New Posts For Thread: Betting on "clean sheet"https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheetOn fotball matches you can bet on "clean sheet" for both teams. Feks "Arsenal clean sheet?"When handicapping these bets I often find value betting on clean sheet for the favourite team, but not the underdog.Most bettors seem to overestimate the possiThey look to be up now (eg on Nottingham Forest / Chelsea).https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=564742233#564742233They look to be up now (eg on Nottingham Forest / Chelsea).Fri, 23 May 2025 05:41:37 -0500Morning the hook, on the bigger games there is a team to score over 0.5 goals market, I know it's normally on the premier league TV games, but Betfair haven't added it yet for Sunday's games (on the exchange).https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=564742039#564742039Morning the hook, on the bigger games there is a team to score over 0.5 goals market, I know it's normally on the premier league TV games, but Betfair haven't added it yet for Sunday's games (on the exchange).Fri, 23 May 2025 02:49:15 -0500Can anyone tell me how I actually place a clean-sheet yes/no bet in BetFair? Looking on Sportsbook and Exchange for this option I cannot see it anywhere under any of the games I have looked at. Thankshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=564741055#564741055Can anyone tell me how I actually place a clean-sheet yes/no bet in BetFair? Looking on Sportsbook and Exchange for this option I cannot see it anywhere under any of the games I have looked at. ThanksThu, 22 May 2025 06:24:56 -0500I realize that I'm not doing this correctly. At the same time this seems to be very hard to do correctly. There seems to be no excact way to do this correct. It depends on so many factors. I wonder how correct the market is.. ++++++++++++++++++++++++https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=467862553#467862553I realize that I'm not doing this correctly. At the same time this seems to be very hard to do correctly. There seems to be no excact way to do this correct. It depends on so many factors. I wonder how correct the market is.. ++++++++++++++++++++++++Mon, 27 Sep 2010 08:51:08 -0500I have total goals 3.01 with Chelsea 2.318 and Marseille 0.696. Those figures are simply derived from match odds and over odds.---------------------Right now my numbers are Chelsea 2,39 and Marseille 0,62 goals. Derived from match odds and over/undehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=467859733#467859733I have total goals 3.01 with Chelsea 2.318 and Marseille 0.696. Those figures are simply derived from match odds and over odds.---------------------Right now my numbers are Chelsea 2,39 and Marseille 0,62 goals. Derived from match odds and over/undeMon, 27 Sep 2010 08:19:40 -0500According to Kevin Pullein (The definitive guide to fotball betting) the probability of a team scoring goes up with 3 % when being under with one goal, compared to when the result is 0-0. If that is correct this effect is not big enough to explain whhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=467858525#467858525According to Kevin Pullein (The definitive guide to fotball betting) the probability of a team scoring goes up with 3 % when being under with one goal, compared to when the result is 0-0. If that is correct this effect is not big enough to explain whMon, 27 Sep 2010 08:05:22 -0500One of the problems of Poisson is, that it assumes that the number of goals of the favorite is independent from the number of goals of the underdog. That isn't true. So if there is a clear favorite, there is a big probability they will score some goahttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=467857325#467857325One of the problems of Poisson is, that it assumes that the number of goals of the favorite is independent from the number of goals of the underdog. That isn't true. So if there is a clear favorite, there is a big probability they will score some goaMon, 27 Sep 2010 07:51:07 -0500Thanks. This was very helpfull. According to Kevin Pullein (The definitive guide to fotball betting) the probability of a team scoring goes up with 3 % when being under with one goal, compared to when the result is 0-0. If that is correct this effecthttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=467856633#467856633Thanks. This was very helpfull. According to Kevin Pullein (The definitive guide to fotball betting) the probability of a team scoring goes up with 3 % when being under with one goal, compared to when the result is 0-0. If that is correct this effectMon, 27 Sep 2010 07:43:13 -0500My numbers nidicate that Chelsea will score 2,47 goals (81 % av 3,05) and Marseille 0,58 goals (19 % of 3,05). ----------------------------------------------I have total goals 3.01 with Chelsea 2.318 and Marseille 0.696. Those figures are simply derhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=467855709#467855709My numbers nidicate that Chelsea will score 2,47 goals (81 % av 3,05) and Marseille 0,58 goals (19 % of 3,05). ----------------------------------------------I have total goals 3.01 with Chelsea 2.318 and Marseille 0.696. Those figures are simply derMon, 27 Sep 2010 07:32:24 -0500My numbers nidicate that Chelsea will score 2,47 goals (81 % av 3,05) and Marseille 0,58 goals (19 % of 3,05). According to the over/under market the game as a total will produce 3,05 goals. The Clean sheet market seem to agree with me that Chelsea whttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25788241/betting-on-clean-sheet?post_id=467854417#467854417My numbers nidicate that Chelsea will score 2,47 goals (81 % av 3,05) and Marseille 0,58 goals (19 % of 3,05). According to the over/under market the game as a total will produce 3,05 goals. The Clean sheet market seem to agree with me that Chelsea wMon, 27 Sep 2010 07:15:19 -0500