New Posts For Thread: Opinions wanted on system viabilityhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viabilityHi there, my apologies if this is similar to recent threads.I am back testing a horse racing system- very laborious- not an Adrian Massey based one. After 1000 bets it is showing 1% profit on turnover- which doesn't sound much- but it produces approxI'd say its viable if you are a PC payer. If not, I would work hard to refine it before putting it into practice. BFSP is great - try betting 100 stakes or even 250 stakes at SP. You move the SP, and your 1% would very soon be wiped out (if indeed ithttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463330121#463330121I'd say its viable if you are a PC payer. If not, I would work hard to refine it before putting it into practice. BFSP is great - try betting 100 stakes or even 250 stakes at SP. You move the SP, and your 1% would very soon be wiped out (if indeed itTue, 24 Aug 2010 17:50:16 -0500Yes, commission of 5% factored inhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463323729#463323729Yes, commission of 5% factored inTue, 24 Aug 2010 17:01:38 -0500The main thing is for a laying system - have you factored in commission?If you haven't, on those figures it's a loser.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463319069#463319069The main thing is for a laying system - have you factored in commission?If you haven't, on those figures it's a loser.Tue, 24 Aug 2010 16:31:31 -0500lolSo fifty days, forget it!Try the system for small stakes for six months and see how it is going.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463306521#463306521lolSo fifty days, forget it!Try the system for small stakes for six months and see how it is going.Tue, 24 Aug 2010 15:17:51 -0500MuqbilWith respect.........1000 bets @ approx 20 bets per day= approx 50 days testinghttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463290797#463290797MuqbilWith respect.........1000 bets @ approx 20 bets per day= approx 50 days testingTue, 24 Aug 2010 13:31:42 -0500Back testing systems is dangerous with horse racing markets. The goal posts are moving all the while. If it's 20 per day, then you have obviously gone more than one year back which at least covers the complete season(s).If it is showing a profit, youhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463281013#463281013Back testing systems is dangerous with horse racing markets. The goal posts are moving all the while. If it's 20 per day, then you have obviously gone more than one year back which at least covers the complete season(s).If it is showing a profit, youTue, 24 Aug 2010 12:25:07 -0500Yes interesting response. I had an inkling that theremay be an advantage using the strategy I am testing, which led me to test it in the first place. I amnot convinced however. My fear is ihavefound a 1000 bet sequence that is doing well in a long tehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463280217#463280217Yes interesting response. I had an inkling that theremay be an advantage using the strategy I am testing, which led me to test it in the first place. I amnot convinced however. My fear is ihavefound a 1000 bet sequence that is doing well in a long teTue, 24 Aug 2010 12:19:24 -0500It is more important to identify why you believe you have an edge imo. If you have been able to consistently lay (or back) at prices that are favourable to you then you have something. If you intend to do it daily for the long term you have to know whttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463279361#463279361It is more important to identify why you believe you have an edge imo. If you have been able to consistently lay (or back) at prices that are favourable to you then you have something. If you intend to do it daily for the long term you have to know wTue, 24 Aug 2010 12:13:19 -0500Hi there, my apologies if this is similar to recent threads.I am back testing a horse racing system- very laborious- not an Adrian Massey based one. After 1000 bets it is showing 1% profit on turnover- which doesn't sound much- but it produces approxhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25698721/opinions-wanted-on-system-viability?post_id=463277833#463277833Hi there, my apologies if this is similar to recent threads.I am back testing a horse racing system- very laborious- not an Adrian Massey based one. After 1000 bets it is showing 1% profit on turnover- which doesn't sound much- but it produces approxTue, 24 Aug 2010 12:01:54 -0500