New Posts For Thread: Away Team Superiority Premier Leaguehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-leagueI have been maintaining some Elo based ratings for the past couple of years, and have had some success with them especially in the Premier League, Ligue 1 and rather bizarrely, the Scottish First division.Last week, the ratings had Chelsea 2.5 goal fcpfc4me Joined: 30 Mar 04Replies: 152 24 Aug 10 04:10 Personally, I feel that the Premier League has even more disparity now than ever before. Six goal thrashings used to be a rarity in the top league, but last season there were several of that nuhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463241329#463241329cpfc4me Joined: 30 Mar 04Replies: 152 24 Aug 10 04:10 Personally, I feel that the Premier League has even more disparity now than ever before. Six goal thrashings used to be a rarity in the top league, but last season there were several of that nuTue, 24 Aug 2010 05:40:34 -0500Apologies to ''the silverback'' as I hadn't read your post before posting myself at 10:15. Sorry !!https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463237361#463237361Apologies to ''the silverback'' as I hadn't read your post before posting myself at 10:15. Sorry !!Tue, 24 Aug 2010 04:25:55 -0500cpfc4me, when you say ''2.5 goal favourite'', do you mean 2.5 goals superior, as in spread betting ?The reason I ask is because the leading spread firm had Chelsea 1.8 over Wigan, which is a big disparity from your figure, and they are also quite goohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463236921#463236921cpfc4me, when you say ''2.5 goal favourite'', do you mean 2.5 goals superior, as in spread betting ?The reason I ask is because the leading spread firm had Chelsea 1.8 over Wigan, which is a big disparity from your figure, and they are also quite gooTue, 24 Aug 2010 04:15:54 -0500Thanks for that excellent response, and no offence taken at any of your comments. Personally, I feel that the Premier League has even more disparity now than ever before. Six goal thrashings used to be a rarity in the top league, but last season therhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463216917#463216917Thanks for that excellent response, and no offence taken at any of your comments. Personally, I feel that the Premier League has even more disparity now than ever before. Six goal thrashings used to be a rarity in the top league, but last season therMon, 23 Aug 2010 22:10:55 -0500Interesting debate. I certainly can't remember having seen a 2 and a half goal favourite away from home.Home advantage is obviously important here. For a team to be as strong as a 2.5 goal favourite away from home suggests they are significantly highhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463125857#463125857Interesting debate. I certainly can't remember having seen a 2 and a half goal favourite away from home.Home advantage is obviously important here. For a team to be as strong as a 2.5 goal favourite away from home suggests they are significantly highMon, 23 Aug 2010 10:41:34 -0500I didn't mean to claim that either team was in good or bad form, only that there is a form factor used in the formula for predicting the superiority, and early in the season, that figure includes matches from the previous season - albeit with low weihttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463076161#463076161I didn't mean to claim that either team was in good or bad form, only that there is a form factor used in the formula for predicting the superiority, and early in the season, that figure includes matches from the previous season - albeit with low weiSun, 22 Aug 2010 21:43:57 -0500To claim either team is in good or poor form is stretching it given the limited sample of recent matches.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463070805#463070805To claim either team is in good or poor form is stretching it given the limited sample of recent matches.Sun, 22 Aug 2010 20:35:19 -0500You're not wrong - if it can possibly happen, it will at some point. I also read a quote on here recently which went along the lines of "Results inform statistics, statistics don't inform results" - apologies if that's not quite right.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463040377#463040377You're not wrong - if it can possibly happen, it will at some point. I also read a quote on here recently which went along the lines of "Results inform statistics, statistics don't inform results" - apologies if that's not quite right.Sun, 22 Aug 2010 15:56:56 -0500I have been maintaining some Elo based ratings for the past couple of years, and have had some success with them especially in the Premier League, Ligue 1 and rather bizarrely, the Scottish First division.Last week, the ratings had Chelsea 2.5 goal fhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25685817/away-team-superiority-premier-league?post_id=463035073#463035073I have been maintaining some Elo based ratings for the past couple of years, and have had some success with them especially in the Premier League, Ligue 1 and rather bizarrely, the Scottish First division.Last week, the ratings had Chelsea 2.5 goal fSun, 22 Aug 2010 15:21:52 -0500