New Posts For Thread: Making a profit ONLY with statisticshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statisticsI know that most of you (probably all of you) want believe me. Thats because I'm able to do something that should not be possible. I've read a lot of books and numerous articles on the internet on gambling, and they all say the same. It's not possiblI almost always find value on under bets, and very seldom on over bets. This is especially the case when I bet in-play. I think this is natural. A lot of non-professional bettors watching a game is hoping for a goal. 0-0 games are not fun watching. Ihttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=463329717#463329717I almost always find value on under bets, and very seldom on over bets. This is especially the case when I bet in-play. I think this is natural. A lot of non-professional bettors watching a game is hoping for a goal. 0-0 games are not fun watching. ITue, 24 Aug 2010 17:47:15 -0500askari1, even excellent is ok.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=463240089#463240089askari1, even excellent is ok.Tue, 24 Aug 2010 05:15:53 -0500what's triggering the bot tho? A bot cant see a horse find nowt off the bridle, can it? I can see how bots may react to the overround being out of kilter IR but beyond that???https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=463131761#463131761what's triggering the bot tho? A bot cant see a horse find nowt off the bridle, can it? I can see how bots may react to the overround being out of kilter IR but beyond that???Mon, 23 Aug 2010 11:21:49 -0500Duncan, maybe. If it's 'fastest finger wins' in IR, then surely the fastest finger is a triggered bot.The prob. is that a laying bot wants to lay to people who are a little slow, not the people who are the fastest.I have no idea how to win in these mhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=463120721#463120721Duncan, maybe. If it's 'fastest finger wins' in IR, then surely the fastest finger is a triggered bot.The prob. is that a laying bot wants to lay to people who are a little slow, not the people who are the fastest.I have no idea how to win in these mMon, 23 Aug 2010 09:59:07 -0500but Livebetter ist this what You are doing finding value? Because I dont see much statistics in it if You take a football game and look the price at KO and then if at some point in game it is wrong You make Your bet.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=463091177#463091177but Livebetter ist this what You are doing finding value? Because I dont see much statistics in it if You take a football game and look the price at KO and then if at some point in game it is wrong You make Your bet.Mon, 23 Aug 2010 02:57:38 -050049.8%?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=462971249#46297124949.8%?Sun, 22 Aug 2010 05:16:47 -0500Imv it's better than ok, it's excellent.On the horse markets, it seems anecdotally the case that the first horse IR that breaks the 2.0 price barriers win less than 49.9% of the time, and the third horse to do so wins more often than that.IR bettorshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=462911953#462911953Imv it's better than ok, it's excellent.On the horse markets, it seems anecdotally the case that the first horse IR that breaks the 2.0 price barriers win less than 49.9% of the time, and the third horse to do so wins more often than that.IR bettorsSat, 21 Aug 2010 15:38:23 -0500That's ok.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=462887973#462887973That's ok.Sat, 21 Aug 2010 12:21:37 -0500Yeshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=462865873#462865873YesSat, 21 Aug 2010 09:07:10 -0500After commission ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25635125/making-a-profit-only-with-statistics?post_id=462851397#462851397After commission ?Sat, 21 Aug 2010 06:40:03 -0500