New Posts For Thread: why does my disipline go when i hit a winning streak?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streakSometimes i lose my disipline when im winning..any tips to help me uotPerhaps you are using 'lack of discipline' to fool yourself into thinking that your methods are viable when you lose.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=457043865#457043865Perhaps you are using 'lack of discipline' to fool yourself into thinking that your methods are viable when you lose.Tue, 13 Jul 2010 07:42:00 -0500When I hit a winning run, I start to imagine that horses/teams are winning simply because I've backed them. I think I can do no wrong and no longer need to pay attention to the methods that got me the winning streak in the first place.The numberhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=457043245#457043245When I hit a winning run, I start to imagine that horses/teams are winning simply because I've backed them. I think I can do no wrong and no longer need to pay attention to the methods that got me the winning streak in the first place.The numberTue, 13 Jul 2010 07:35:32 -0500bOtSpot on. If your selection process is sound, then accept that there will be losing runs and winning runs, in no order whatsover. Its random.Which is why any system based on 'sequences' will lose in the long run.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=457034469#457034469bOtSpot on. If your selection process is sound, then accept that there will be losing runs and winning runs, in no order whatsover. Its random.Which is why any system based on 'sequences' will lose in the long run.Tue, 13 Jul 2010 05:57:35 -0500Key useful element is to realise that most streaks, bad or good, are down to luck. It's just standard variance. You can only evaluate recent performance in chunks of several hundred bets at minimum.Once you realise that - and equally, believe ithttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=456948673#456948673Key useful element is to realise that most streaks, bad or good, are down to luck. It's just standard variance. You can only evaluate recent performance in chunks of several hundred bets at minimum.Once you realise that - and equally, believe itMon, 12 Jul 2010 15:46:49 -0500Have rules. Stick to these rules before having a bet.Keep records of all bets.Have a bank, bet % of bank.There will be more losing days than winning ones.If your rules are sound and your staking is sound,and your bank is sufficient to cover at a sequhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=456880341#456880341Have rules. Stick to these rules before having a bet.Keep records of all bets.Have a bank, bet % of bank.There will be more losing days than winning ones.If your rules are sound and your staking is sound,and your bank is sufficient to cover at a sequMon, 12 Jul 2010 07:19:41 -0500If the OP's methods were sound, he wouldn't be asking the question in the first place.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=456880145#456880145If the OP's methods were sound, he wouldn't be asking the question in the first place.Mon, 12 Jul 2010 07:17:26 -0500When it used to happen to me it was for this exact reason:-I'd go on a winning run and so I'd be feeling good and confident. However, I'd always work towards some goal or target and if I reached it early in the week then I'd add ohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=456878697#456878697When it used to happen to me it was for this exact reason:-I'd go on a winning run and so I'd be feeling good and confident. However, I'd always work towards some goal or target and if I reached it early in the week then I'd add oMon, 12 Jul 2010 07:01:06 -0500nothing wrong with a reverse tilt and having a bigger than normal bet if you've had a good run imo. but if it goes t1ts up don't then chase the losses.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=456878405#456878405nothing wrong with a reverse tilt and having a bigger than normal bet if you've had a good run imo. but if it goes t1ts up don't then chase the losses.Mon, 12 Jul 2010 06:58:24 -0500agreed but i think that checking the reasons why you acted in a certain way to your bets is the way forward thanks for the input guyshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=456871329#456871329agreed but i think that checking the reasons why you acted in a certain way to your bets is the way forward thanks for the input guysMon, 12 Jul 2010 05:22:31 -0500crab patties if that is your mindset and you are making money then you are probably just over staking. I do it as well.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/25336825/why-does-my-disipline-go-when-i-hit-a-winning-streak?post_id=456870217#456870217crab patties if that is your mindset and you are making money then you are probably just over staking. I do it as well.Mon, 12 Jul 2010 05:06:00 -0500