New Posts For Thread: What probability method for a database?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24916969/what-probability-method-for-a-databaseI have recently completed the long process of creating a racehorse pedigree performance database. It covers from 1996 to date and(on the flat,NH on its way) covers over one million racecourse appearances.This has enabled me to give ratings, and probBayes or logistic regression. Bayes is simpler but you cannot do dam and damsire as they are related in the maths and family sense. You may find that samples get too small and you cannot rely on the data for small divisions.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24916969/what-probability-method-for-a-database?post_id=450028709#450028709Bayes or logistic regression. Bayes is simpler but you cannot do dam and damsire as they are related in the maths and family sense. You may find that samples get too small and you cannot rely on the data for small divisions.Mon, 31 May 2010 14:24:37 -0500I think that you're actually going to need to go into genetic theory to determine how to do this.I have zero knowledge on that subject, so if this is crude then I apologise.IMO you need to make some assumptions about which parent the horse is gohttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24916969/what-probability-method-for-a-database?post_id=449830637#449830637I think that you're actually going to need to go into genetic theory to determine how to do this.I have zero knowledge on that subject, so if this is crude then I apologise.IMO you need to make some assumptions about which parent the horse is goSun, 30 May 2010 06:07:57 -0500I have recently completed the long process of creating a racehorse pedigree performance database. It covers from 1996 to date and(on the flat,NH on its way) covers over one million racecourse appearances.This has enabled me to give ratings, and probhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24916969/what-probability-method-for-a-database?post_id=449826313#449826313I have recently completed the long process of creating a racehorse pedigree performance database. It covers from 1996 to date and(on the flat,NH on its way) covers over one million racecourse appearances.This has enabled me to give ratings, and probSun, 30 May 2010 05:02:32 -0500