New Posts For Thread: systems testing questionhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-questionafter how many instances would you be confident a system had a genuine edge not significantly removed from what it was currently showing? assuming level stakes and that all bets were in roughly the 1.5 to 4.0 range?thanks joshuag. will have a read.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448363009#448363009thanks joshuag. will have a read.Thu, 20 May 2010 12:48:58 -0500Its in December 2009 editionhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448351301#448351301Its in December 2009 editionThu, 20 May 2010 11:22:03 -0500Go to SmarterSig and find the magazine with the article on ARCHIE, this shows you how to test for confidencehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448351085#448351085Go to SmarterSig and find the magazine with the article on ARCHIE, this shows you how to test for confidenceThu, 20 May 2010 11:20:28 -0500cheers guys. all further opinions gratefully received.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448217273#448217273cheers guys. all further opinions gratefully received.Wed, 19 May 2010 14:55:39 -0500100 TO TO A THOUSAND BETS SUPPOSE U COULD BACK TEST BUT IM CURRENTLY TESTING A SYSTEM BUT WILL PROBABLY TEST A 100 TIMES OR 100 TRIAL BETS AND WHILE UR TESTING U CAN SPOT THINGS THAT ARE CONSTATNTLY GOING ON OR NOT GOING ON LIKE IF U SPOT SOMETHING Thttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448216913#448216913100 TO TO A THOUSAND BETS SUPPOSE U COULD BACK TEST BUT IM CURRENTLY TESTING A SYSTEM BUT WILL PROBABLY TEST A 100 TIMES OR 100 TRIAL BETS AND WHILE UR TESTING U CAN SPOT THINGS THAT ARE CONSTATNTLY GOING ON OR NOT GOING ON LIKE IF U SPOT SOMETHING TWed, 19 May 2010 14:53:30 -0500charts are great for this sort of thing, unless you're a maths boffin and can do standard deviation calculations in you head.chart your profit/loss and you'll see trends and deviations from the mean and then you'll be able to make a lahttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448216869#448216869charts are great for this sort of thing, unless you're a maths boffin and can do standard deviation calculations in you head.chart your profit/loss and you'll see trends and deviations from the mean and then you'll be able to make a laWed, 19 May 2010 14:53:16 -0500Minimum 1,000https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448215985#448215985Minimum 1,000Wed, 19 May 2010 14:48:30 -0500after how many instances would you be confident a system had a genuine edge not significantly removed from what it was currently showing? assuming level stakes and that all bets were in roughly the 1.5 to 4.0 range?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/24826249/systems-testing-question?post_id=448214429#448214429after how many instances would you be confident a system had a genuine edge not significantly removed from what it was currently showing? assuming level stakes and that all bets were in roughly the 1.5 to 4.0 range?Wed, 19 May 2010 14:39:20 -0500