New Posts For Thread: do these numbers have potential?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potentialhi, i have got a question:with a strategy proved on 300 matches and average odds of 1.84 and the percentage of your winnings is 49% and loses 51%... can one make a profit in long term?is the average price to back 1.84? obviously you may not neccessarily lay at that price.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135202#420135202is the average price to back 1.84? obviously you may not neccessarily lay at that price.Wed, 10 Feb 2010 08:20:12 -0600yes, thats true. as long as the numbers stated above hold this is the way to go I think.I will give it a go.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135110#420135110yes, thats true. as long as the numbers stated above hold this is the way to go I think.I will give it a go.Wed, 10 Feb 2010 03:35:17 -0600A 1000.00 bank3% level stake on 1000.00 bank30.00 Lay loses =+ 30.0030.00 lay wins = - 25.2 = 4.80 profit less 1.5 com. =net gain 3.33% stake on bank 1000.0030.00 lay loses = +30.00 -1.5 com= +28.5next bet 3% of new bank 1028.5 = 30.830.80 lay wihttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135106#420135106A 1000.00 bank3% level stake on 1000.00 bank30.00 Lay loses =+ 30.0030.00 lay wins = - 25.2 = 4.80 profit less 1.5 com. =net gain 3.33% stake on bank 1000.0030.00 lay loses = +30.00 -1.5 com= +28.5next bet 3% of new bank 1028.5 = 30.830.80 lay wiWed, 10 Feb 2010 03:24:29 -0600farraflash 10 Feb 06:51 For 100 bets per week you will be paying the PC if you get 52 or more 'winners' in a week. The chance of this happening is 30.8% so you will be paying the PC about 1 week in 3. Not true because the lifetime commission paid whttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135102#420135102farraflash 10 Feb 06:51 For 100 bets per week you will be paying the PC if you get 52 or more 'winners' in a week. The chance of this happening is 30.8% so you will be paying the PC about 1 week in 3. Not true because the lifetime commission paid wWed, 10 Feb 2010 03:21:23 -0600the percentage will be around 3%https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135098#420135098the percentage will be around 3%Wed, 10 Feb 2010 02:54:19 -0600Beware staking by a % of the bankThe bigger the % the lower profit % per winBetter to increase stake after bank increases by X amount anddecrease after losing X amount (% of bank)https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135086#420135086Beware staking by a % of the bankThe bigger the % the lower profit % per winBetter to increase stake after bank increases by X amount anddecrease after losing X amount (% of bank)Wed, 10 Feb 2010 01:44:34 -0600AND my stakes will not be at level stakes but at a certain percentage. that means that the bank grows (reduces if losses) faster than at level stakes.so the PC has to be recalculated. but thanks very much for the calculation, compound magic!!!https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135082#420135082AND my stakes will not be at level stakes but at a certain percentage. that means that the bank grows (reduces if losses) faster than at level stakes.so the PC has to be recalculated. but thanks very much for the calculation, compound magic!!!Wed, 10 Feb 2010 00:48:32 -0600no, sorry... 100-150 per month. depends on the oddshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135078#420135078no, sorry... 100-150 per month. depends on the oddsWed, 10 Feb 2010 00:40:16 -0600I think there will only be max. 100 bets per month.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135074#420135074I think there will only be max. 100 bets per month.Wed, 10 Feb 2010 00:38:57 -0600For 100 bets per week you will be paying the PC if you get 52 or more 'winners' in a week. The chance of this happening is 30.8% so you will be paying the PC about 1 week in 3.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23512746/do-these-numbers-have-potential?post_id=420135070#420135070For 100 bets per week you will be paying the PC if you get 52 or more 'winners' in a week. The chance of this happening is 30.8% so you will be paying the PC about 1 week in 3.Tue, 09 Feb 2010 23:51:37 -0600