New Posts For Thread: Strike Rate Calculation.........https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculationGuys,I understand that the SR for the first 3 favs combined is circa 65%.According to a table, that I have seen, the theoretical longest run of outs is 7(I don't understand how this is calculated)!What I am trying to work out is what would be the the(etc 10 times)https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculation?post_id=419837894#419837894(etc 10 times)Tue, 26 Jan 2010 16:41:00 -0600Didnt quite get what you meant by maximum theoretical sequence, There is no maximum, the chances of 7 successive outs would only be 1 in 1,600 sequences of 7 .. calculated by .35 x .35 x.35 etc The chances of it happening is .65 so the chance of it nhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculation?post_id=419837890#419837890Didnt quite get what you meant by maximum theoretical sequence, There is no maximum, the chances of 7 successive outs would only be 1 in 1,600 sequences of 7 .. calculated by .35 x .35 x.35 etc The chances of it happening is .65 so the chance of it nTue, 26 Jan 2010 16:40:09 -0600nphttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculation?post_id=419837886#419837886npTue, 26 Jan 2010 16:27:40 -0600Thanks for that.Just to qualify.....I am not , for a second, contemplating the backing of all of the 1st 3 favourites!On the contrary, my approach is far more lateral, and advanced, than anything so simplistic,and I am looking at things from a layershttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculation?post_id=419837882#419837882Thanks for that.Just to qualify.....I am not , for a second, contemplating the backing of all of the 1st 3 favourites!On the contrary, my approach is far more lateral, and advanced, than anything so simplistic,and I am looking at things from a layersTue, 26 Jan 2010 16:24:28 -0600blind alleyhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculation?post_id=419837854#419837854blind alleyTue, 26 Jan 2010 11:55:41 -0600I wouldnt even go there... The chances of the front3 in the betting winning a race is not 65%, it is the the sum of the chances of those 3 particular horses. The Betfair SP market is very efficient, so you could reasonably take the prices to reflecthttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculation?post_id=419837850#419837850I wouldnt even go there... The chances of the front3 in the betting winning a race is not 65%, it is the the sum of the chances of those 3 particular horses. The Betfair SP market is very efficient, so you could reasonably take the prices to reflectTue, 26 Jan 2010 11:45:53 -0600Guys,I understand that the SR for the first 3 favs combined is circa 65%.According to a table, that I have seen, the theoretical longest run of outs is 7(I don't understand how this is calculated)!What I am trying to work out is what would be the thehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23500686/strike-rate-calculation?post_id=419837818#419837818Guys,I understand that the SR for the first 3 favs combined is circa 65%.According to a table, that I have seen, the theoretical longest run of outs is 7(I don't understand how this is calculated)!What I am trying to work out is what would be the theTue, 26 Jan 2010 02:07:15 -0600