New Posts For Thread: In Running : The Evidence, The Follyhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-follyThere are many threads on this topic, many from people who have a vested interest in the subject because they are doing very nicely. I have never seen any figures published on the wisdom of playing in this market, so I decided to check it out for mysVery interesting reading it reminds me of when i read Alfiehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=557606445#557606445Very interesting reading it reminds me of when i read AlfieMon, 22 Jul 2019 23:21:05 -0500DeltaThanks for bringing this back. 10 years ? I must admit that I very rarely look at the GF these days so was taken a little by surprise.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=557602625#557602625DeltaThanks for bringing this back. 10 years ? I must admit that I very rarely look at the GF these days so was taken a little by surprise.Mon, 22 Jul 2019 07:37:21 -0500Sandown newhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=557067065#557067065Sandown newThu, 25 Apr 2019 09:44:34 -0500ttt as I want to re-read thishttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=419706246#419706246ttt as I want to re-read thisWed, 13 Jan 2010 10:59:47 -0600For traders = backers or layers. Didn't mean to imply that backing and laying necessary per se.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=419705914#419705914For traders = backers or layers. Didn't mean to imply that backing and laying necessary per se.Sat, 13 Jun 2009 06:11:33 -0500Another conclusion regarding price sensitivity. If layers can beat those prices by just 2%, then there is a clear and progressive profit for the IR layers up to 8%ros at 20.0 and for layers in the pre-race market the average profit is 5.8% (av 3.5% rhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=419705910#419705910Another conclusion regarding price sensitivity. If layers can beat those prices by just 2%, then there is a clear and progressive profit for the IR layers up to 8%ros at 20.0 and for layers in the pre-race market the average profit is 5.8% (av 3.5% rSat, 13 Jun 2009 06:07:19 -0500For those who are interested in these things, and to round off the analysis so far, the results provided by baconand eggs show a) the pre-race market bias is not significant at either 99% or 95% confidence levelsb) the in-running market results showhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=419705906#419705906For those who are interested in these things, and to round off the analysis so far, the results provided by baconand eggs show a) the pre-race market bias is not significant at either 99% or 95% confidence levelsb) the in-running market results showSat, 13 Jun 2009 05:50:34 -0500baconandeggsThanks for those figures. I have re-interpreted your figures to aid comparison. From a LAYERS standpoint and expressed as a % of level stakes the IR results show that there is not a straight line progression. As you didnt include under 1https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=419705902#419705902baconandeggsThanks for those figures. I have re-interpreted your figures to aid comparison. From a LAYERS standpoint and expressed as a % of level stakes the IR results show that there is not a straight line progression. As you didnt include under 1Fri, 12 Jun 2009 09:31:52 -0500Betfair were suspending the markets a few yards before the finishing line on RUK at the last Breeders Cup meeting. Flash steaming will provide as near a level playing field as possible if Betfair could stream the live track feed.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=419705898#419705898Betfair were suspending the markets a few yards before the finishing line on RUK at the last Breeders Cup meeting. Flash steaming will provide as near a level playing field as possible if Betfair could stream the live track feed.Fri, 12 Jun 2009 09:10:36 -0500Betfair say there's no need for that Clydebank. They are thinking about adding a "you may be betting against people who have indulged in form analysis" warning to the pre-race markets though.P.S. I am not joking.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23494470/in-running-the-evidence-the-folly?post_id=419705894#419705894Betfair say there's no need for that Clydebank. They are thinking about adding a "you may be betting against people who have indulged in form analysis" warning to the pre-race markets though.P.S. I am not joking.Fri, 12 Jun 2009 08:57:05 -0500