New Posts For Thread: Correct score Dutching "value" challengehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challengeI'm currently trying to read up on statistics(complete novice) and currently looking at poisson..As a learning curve for myself i am going to paper trail a method of dutching correct scores which are feel have value which have been calculated using pAC Milan v Genoascore odds Betfair EDGE0-0 6.18% 16.17 14 No bet -13.44%0-1 5.36% 18.66 21 Value 12.53%0-2 2.32% 43.06 55 Value 27.72%0-3 0.67% 149.07 180 Value 20.75%1-https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419696126#419696126AC Milan v Genoascore odds Betfair EDGE0-0 6.18% 16.17 14 No bet -13.44%0-1 5.36% 18.66 21 Value 12.53%0-2 2.32% 43.06 55 Value 27.72%0-3 0.67% 149.07 180 Value 20.75%1-Wed, 06 Jan 2010 11:45:05 -0600cheers STPhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695750#419695750cheers STPWed, 01 Jul 2009 14:08:31 -0500DFC Can i just Ask Y u Highlight certain parts of ur posts ? lol does it not take u too much time(not sayin in bad way)https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695746#419695746DFC Can i just Ask Y u Highlight certain parts of ur posts ? lol does it not take u too much time(not sayin in bad way)Wed, 01 Jul 2009 14:08:16 -0500sportingindexextrabetspreadexUse those 3, if anyone knows of more please post them, would like to use them into spreadsheet. cheershttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695742#419695742sportingindexextrabetspreadexUse those 3, if anyone knows of more please post them, would like to use them into spreadsheet. cheersWed, 01 Jul 2009 14:01:01 -0500STP - which 3 spread companies do you use?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695738#419695738STP - which 3 spread companies do you use?Wed, 01 Jul 2009 13:57:44 -0500Feel you were "brave" to lay 0-0 ........then not so brave on not laying 2-0 a wee bit .......as I know you had 3-0 and 3-1 covered ,,,,,,but 2-1 could well still happen ...and it did......as well as 2-2 etc.....Laying 2-0 a wee bit ....would have sehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695734#419695734Feel you were "brave" to lay 0-0 ........then not so brave on not laying 2-0 a wee bit .......as I know you had 3-0 and 3-1 covered ,,,,,,but 2-1 could well still happen ...and it did......as well as 2-2 etc.....Laying 2-0 a wee bit ....would have seWed, 01 Jul 2009 13:44:20 -0500Didn't trade out,but didn't take a loss as the lay of 0-0 wonBet 14a -£50Bet 14b +£50overall = same (no loss)Think i will look at the possibility of trading out and the maths behind it to secure a profit. May work well as the scorelines i take tehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695730#419695730Didn't trade out,but didn't take a loss as the lay of 0-0 wonBet 14a -£50Bet 14b +£50overall = same (no loss)Think i will look at the possibility of trading out and the maths behind it to secure a profit. May work well as the scorelines i take teWed, 01 Jul 2009 13:20:41 -0500Brave decision ...as both teams appear to be coming to life!!!!!!When odds get lower STP .....I'd definitely lay off to ensure a profit ........say at 2.1????https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695726#419695726Brave decision ...as both teams appear to be coming to life!!!!!!When odds get lower STP .....I'd definitely lay off to ensure a profit ........say at 2.1????Wed, 01 Jul 2009 12:57:02 -0500I'll hold out for 3-1 lol, nothing to lose all to gain ;-)nice to see the value bet of, over 2.5 come in @ 1.99https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695722#419695722I'll hold out for 3-1 lol, nothing to lose all to gain ;-)nice to see the value bet of, over 2.5 come in @ 1.99Wed, 01 Jul 2009 12:54:29 -0500:Dhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23493966/correct-score-dutching-value-challenge?post_id=419695718#419695718:DWed, 01 Jul 2009 12:54:13 -0500