New Posts For Thread: Why football kicks us in the balls time and againhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-againFirstly, can I please make it clear that Im not writing this as a in play football markets often have value odds available, even more so in the less liquid games where people are desperate to close positions at the first available price offered after a goal/sending offhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581330#419581330in play football markets often have value odds available, even more so in the less liquid games where people are desperate to close positions at the first available price offered after a goal/sending offSat, 02 Jan 2010 06:12:33 -0600The Betfairy 29 Dec 09:47 Plechy, an excellent read, thanks for posting. Just a few of points from me:Finally: don't fall into the trap of thinking that successful betting is only about statistical analysis and pricing; there are other ways.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581322#419581322The Betfairy 29 Dec 09:47 Plechy, an excellent read, thanks for posting. Just a few of points from me:Finally: don't fall into the trap of thinking that successful betting is only about statistical analysis and pricing; there are other ways.Sat, 02 Jan 2010 05:41:46 -0600Don't really agree with you Rocket.Let's face it it's two teams against each other with fully exposed form.Where are the secrets? There's easier things to bet on.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581298#419581298Don't really agree with you Rocket.Let's face it it's two teams against each other with fully exposed form.Where are the secrets? There's easier things to bet on.Sat, 02 Jan 2010 04:12:05 -0600Yeah but you're also betting against thousands of folk who don't have a clue and who only come on betfair for the big EPL games...https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581294#419581294Yeah but you're also betting against thousands of folk who don't have a clue and who only come on betfair for the big EPL games...Sat, 02 Jan 2010 03:50:59 -0600Good luck to you mate well done.I just feel that sports with such high exposure you are betting against a lot of guys that really know their stuff.Pickings must be slim.Profit over a year must depend on being 1/2% more accurate than thousands of othttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581290#419581290Good luck to you mate well done.I just feel that sports with such high exposure you are betting against a lot of guys that really know their stuff.Pickings must be slim.Profit over a year must depend on being 1/2% more accurate than thousands of otSat, 02 Jan 2010 03:50:22 -0600doubleagent,So you think that sports markets that attract a lot of money are almost perfectly efficient?Absolutely not the case. I make my living from betting almost exclusively on top flight football (EPL, Serie A, Spanish Primera Division, etc). Thhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581286#419581286doubleagent,So you think that sports markets that attract a lot of money are almost perfectly efficient?Absolutely not the case. I make my living from betting almost exclusively on top flight football (EPL, Serie A, Spanish Primera Division, etc). ThSat, 02 Jan 2010 03:16:29 -0600I'm an aussie and never had a bet on footballl in my life.But as an experienced gambler I'll throw my 2 cents in.Football,EPL,is watched by millions punted on by millions there can't be an edge.The odds must be very accurate.All bar 1% of freaks musthttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581282#419581282I'm an aussie and never had a bet on footballl in my life.But as an experienced gambler I'll throw my 2 cents in.Football,EPL,is watched by millions punted on by millions there can't be an edge.The odds must be very accurate.All bar 1% of freaks mustSat, 02 Jan 2010 03:10:36 -0600The football markets are generally very sound and are based on a few underlying assumptions. If you can spot a flaw in theose assumptions then all the markets open themselves to a bit of value.A big mistake is to play a match just because it's on tvhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581038#419581038The football markets are generally very sound and are based on a few underlying assumptions. If you can spot a flaw in theose assumptions then all the markets open themselves to a bit of value.A big mistake is to play a match just because it's on tvWed, 30 Dec 2009 03:45:09 -0600The Betfairy 29 Dec 09:47Accumulators: As well as increasing the over-round against you accas also have another hugely undesirable effect; they remove control over staking.some excellent points betfairy but the above is total rubbish if you arehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581034#419581034The Betfairy 29 Dec 09:47Accumulators: As well as increasing the over-round against you accas also have another hugely undesirable effect; they remove control over staking.some excellent points betfairy but the above is total rubbish if you areTue, 29 Dec 2009 17:57:38 -0600Main markets are Match Odds, Correct Score, Over/Unders and Total Goals.I started out with Total Goals, as back in 2006 betfair had a special promotion on Asian Handicap and total goals markets where you only paid 1% commission. In 2006 I still managhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23488158/why-football-kicks-us-in-the-balls-time-and-again?post_id=419581030#419581030Main markets are Match Odds, Correct Score, Over/Unders and Total Goals.I started out with Total Goals, as back in 2006 betfair had a special promotion on Asian Handicap and total goals markets where you only paid 1% commission. In 2006 I still managTue, 29 Dec 2009 16:28:32 -0600