New Posts For Thread: systems theory questionhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-questionIf you are working on a new system or method, how many bets before you decide upon the quality?Less than 5 lenghts of the winner: 25Placed: 19Traded below 3s if BSP over 4: 21About a third of my winning lays. And I have 9 losing lays in total. Now, I either was very lucky, or I've been finding horses with strong support on the market, who arehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433054#419433054Less than 5 lenghts of the winner: 25Placed: 19Traded below 3s if BSP over 4: 21About a third of my winning lays. And I have 9 losing lays in total. Now, I either was very lucky, or I've been finding horses with strong support on the market, who areSun, 20 Dec 2009 14:48:44 -0600Agree with small stakes.Problem with paper trading is you don't know what price you would really have achieved.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433050#419433050Agree with small stakes.Problem with paper trading is you don't know what price you would really have achieved.Sun, 20 Dec 2009 14:27:33 -0600I was thinking along the same lines, tiger. Maybe reevaluate every 100 lays or so, and then, if results are positive, see if I can do it on Gd/Gd-Sft ground, which I imagine is what the predominant conditions are in the summer? I know it's most likelhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433046#419433046I was thinking along the same lines, tiger. Maybe reevaluate every 100 lays or so, and then, if results are positive, see if I can do it on Gd/Gd-Sft ground, which I imagine is what the predominant conditions are in the summer? I know it's most likelSun, 20 Dec 2009 13:49:36 -0600It's a numbers game,I play the same way.Dunno if the horse has 3 legs or 5.Just play with small stakes,you wont lose much,as long as you stay disciplined.....and patient.At least another 500 is definately needed,then you'll have more idea.Your firsthttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433042#419433042It's a numbers game,I play the same way.Dunno if the horse has 3 legs or 5.Just play with small stakes,you wont lose much,as long as you stay disciplined.....and patient.At least another 500 is definately needed,then you'll have more idea.Your firstSun, 20 Dec 2009 13:40:08 -0600Got matched@6.6. I added it because it shouldn't have been inside my price range. Had I seen that earlier, I would have layed it anyway. It's just that the market had apparently developed in a different way than I had thought. I don't like my lay bechttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433038#419433038Got matched@6.6. I added it because it shouldn't have been inside my price range. Had I seen that earlier, I would have layed it anyway. It's just that the market had apparently developed in a different way than I had thought. I don't like my lay becSun, 20 Dec 2009 13:31:47 -0600The bulk of your profit has come in the higher odds area.It's only a matter of time before 2 or 3 of this price band win and eat into your profits.You have had a very good week,but sadly,your edge,if you do have one,will not be as big as the first wehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433034#419433034The bulk of your profit has come in the higher odds area.It's only a matter of time before 2 or 3 of this price band win and eat into your profits.You have had a very good week,but sadly,your edge,if you do have one,will not be as big as the first weSun, 20 Dec 2009 13:31:04 -0600Just one selection for the day was just killing me though.Very bad to not have control of your emotions. Betting must be done dispassionately.If there are no selections, that's it.If this is difficult, you will need to study psychology and get controhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433030#419433030Just one selection for the day was just killing me though.Very bad to not have control of your emotions. Betting must be done dispassionately.If there are no selections, that's it.If this is difficult, you will need to study psychology and get controSun, 20 Dec 2009 13:19:51 -0600Patience and discipline.With only one meeting probably best if you don't play on these days.What price were you laying Labissa at ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433026#419433026Patience and discipline.With only one meeting probably best if you don't play on these days.What price were you laying Labissa at ?Sun, 20 Dec 2009 13:16:58 -0600Labisa. But I'm not too proud of it. Should have stayed away once I've decided it. Just one selection for the day was just killing me though.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433022#419433022Labisa. But I'm not too proud of it. Should have stayed away once I've decided it. Just one selection for the day was just killing me though.Sun, 20 Dec 2009 13:14:50 -0600I'll guess Musical Script was your lay in the last ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23481918/systems-theory-question?post_id=419433018#419433018I'll guess Musical Script was your lay in the last ?Sun, 20 Dec 2009 13:10:58 -0600