New Posts For Thread: How to price up a football match?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-matchHi could anybody tell me how a bookmaker prices up a football match? What stats taken into account etc and how to evaluate value. If anybody could awnser this or link me an article that would be great cheers.Who are the top Asian bookmakers?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161330#419161330Who are the top Asian bookmakers?Tue, 01 Dec 2009 04:32:21 -0600Thanks for the link slimfast, interesting read.... don't understand what the distribution of fish has got to do with it but if better minds than mine think it has I will try to keep up.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161326#419161326Thanks for the link slimfast, interesting read.... don't understand what the distribution of fish has got to do with it but if better minds than mine think it has I will try to keep up.Tue, 01 Dec 2009 03:51:16 -0600http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/sport/football/fink_tank/article5576644.eceThis gives a rough and ready means of getting an approximate calculation. I don't use it myself but you could test it and compare to actual prices. The Poisson distribution thttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161310#419161310http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/sport/football/fink_tank/article5576644.eceThis gives a rough and ready means of getting an approximate calculation. I don't use it myself but you could test it and compare to actual prices. The Poisson distribution tMon, 30 Nov 2009 19:18:25 -0600This is a good read: http://www.havebet.com/content/who-controls-world-market-priceshttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161282#419161282This is a good read: http://www.havebet.com/content/who-controls-world-market-pricesMon, 30 Nov 2009 15:36:43 -0600they guessjust like this thread.;)https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161258#419161258they guessjust like this thread.;)Mon, 30 Nov 2009 12:50:49 -0600bookies will price up wrong sometimes on matchs deliberately, my opinion. dont know much about how asian markets affect the betting , asians are big gamblers.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161254#419161254bookies will price up wrong sometimes on matchs deliberately, my opinion. dont know much about how asian markets affect the betting , asians are big gamblers.Mon, 30 Nov 2009 11:16:03 -0600all wrong, virtually all football matches priced up by bookmakers are directly influenced by Asia,https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161250#419161250all wrong, virtually all football matches priced up by bookmakers are directly influenced by Asia,Mon, 30 Nov 2009 11:01:06 -0600Its true they are influenced these days by the market here, and by what they think the 'mugs' will back .They will still have their own opinions though.The basis for any consistent pricing method is a rating system:A match between teams of equal abihttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161246#419161246Its true they are influenced these days by the market here, and by what they think the 'mugs' will back .They will still have their own opinions though.The basis for any consistent pricing method is a rating system:A match between teams of equal abiSun, 29 Nov 2009 19:53:07 -0600How will the others bet ?What will the punters bet ?What's the lowest we can price the favourite at ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161242#419161242How will the others bet ?What will the punters bet ?What's the lowest we can price the favourite at ?Wed, 25 Nov 2009 13:56:29 -0600They pick a rough starting point to get the ball rolling then move the odds to balance the book. "WE" price it up for them.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469750/how-to-price-up-a-football-match?post_id=419161238#419161238They pick a rough starting point to get the ball rolling then move the odds to balance the book. "WE" price it up for them.Wed, 25 Nov 2009 13:54:15 -0600