New Posts For Thread: Does anyone bet prices rather than fancies ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fanciesFor instance this evening Fulham are 11/10 with the books, around 2.20 before comm on here, close enough to be about right IMO.If Fulham drifted to, say 2.45 for no apparent reason, would you back them purely for the price ?I asked whether anyone backed ''prices'' or ''fancies'' but like most threads, after a few posts, it goes off on a tangent. Never mind, I'll leave them to it.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157950#419157950I asked whether anyone backed ''prices'' or ''fancies'' but like most threads, after a few posts, it goes off on a tangent. Never mind, I'll leave them to it.Fri, 27 Nov 2009 10:08:46 -0600Hhhmmm,Im not quite sure what to make of this thread to be honest.Whats the "core" of the discussion here again?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157874#419157874Hhhmmm,Im not quite sure what to make of this thread to be honest.Whats the "core" of the discussion here again?Thu, 26 Nov 2009 19:36:18 -0600Zealot,I'm not sure whether you're being sacastic and I'm aout to get an earful for being a smug tw@t- but in case I'm not-I started off as a bonus **/arber, so I had a decent bank for that. In the process of getting all those bets on I started to thhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157866#419157866Zealot,I'm not sure whether you're being sacastic and I'm aout to get an earful for being a smug tw@t- but in case I'm not-I started off as a bonus **/arber, so I had a decent bank for that. In the process of getting all those bets on I started to thThu, 26 Nov 2009 17:02:55 -0600robot --you are a legend mate .how big was your bank to start with , robot ?https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157862#419157862robot --you are a legend mate .how big was your bank to start with , robot ?Thu, 26 Nov 2009 16:46:41 -0600even value is about opinionsThat's not quite right- Altough you can't acurately determine the value of an individual bet you can retrospectively asess the average value of a set of bets. on that basis you can make a probabilistic assumption about thehttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157858#419157858even value is about opinionsThat's not quite right- Altough you can't acurately determine the value of an individual bet you can retrospectively asess the average value of a set of bets. on that basis you can make a probabilistic assumption about theThu, 26 Nov 2009 16:45:28 -0600even value is about opinions , there's no pre-race matrix table you can look up to see who had value and who didn't , consequently whether something is value is an opinion the same as the opinion as to why you've chosen that selection in the first plhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157854#419157854even value is about opinions , there's no pre-race matrix table you can look up to see who had value and who didn't , consequently whether something is value is an opinion the same as the opinion as to why you've chosen that selection in the first plThu, 26 Nov 2009 16:35:14 -0600For instance this evening Fulham are 11/10 with the books, around 2.20 before comm on here, close enough to be about right IMO.If Fulham drifted to, say 2.45 for no apparent reason, would you back them purely for the price ?Yes- The first winning strhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157850#419157850For instance this evening Fulham are 11/10 with the books, around 2.20 before comm on here, close enough to be about right IMO.If Fulham drifted to, say 2.45 for no apparent reason, would you back them purely for the price ?Yes- The first winning strThu, 26 Nov 2009 16:06:18 -0600anything that bookies are priced up over betafair get steamed in.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157846#419157846anything that bookies are priced up over betafair get steamed in.Thu, 26 Nov 2009 14:56:32 -0600correction re the overs in the fulham game, i was slightly out in what i said but got 2.32i've always thought there was a little bit of of value in the unders market just through the number of people who like backing overs but noticed unders came inhttps://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157826#419157826correction re the overs in the fulham game, i was slightly out in what i said but got 2.32i've always thought there was a little bit of of value in the unders market just through the number of people who like backing overs but noticed unders came inThu, 26 Nov 2009 14:00:06 -0600I don't remember seeing any significant move for Gillingham, but did note..Rochdale 2.80Wycombe 3.20Norwich 1.55Cheltenham 3.20Colchester 1.52Charlton 1.66Some in, some out.https://community.betfair.com/general_betting/go/thread/view/94082/23469510/does-anyone-bet-prices-rather-than-fancies?post_id=419157694#419157694I don't remember seeing any significant move for Gillingham, but did note..Rochdale 2.80Wycombe 3.20Norwich 1.55Cheltenham 3.20Colchester 1.52Charlton 1.66Some in, some out.Thu, 26 Nov 2009 01:25:30 -0600