Nov 11, 2020 -- 10:33AM, Hamlin wrote:
Did you bet on the next President or next President elect? What happens to your bet if Biden wins the nomination and then dies in Decemeber.... K Harris would become the next President. You shouldn't bet on markets you don't understand, the next President doesn't get settled until January.
Fake news. If you believe this it's you that doesn't understand the market
Nov 11, 2020 -- 2:01AM, cpfc4me wrote:
By the way, I think Trump will win in the courts.Based on what? Unfortunately for him, he needs evidence, and his star case in PA collapsed tonight with the guy admitting he'd made it all up. If there was any "substantial" fraud, it would have been known by now.The market for Next President isn't settled because the State markets for Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are still open. That's 97 Electoral College votes up still technically in play although Trump is likely to pick up just 18 of them (Alaska and North Carolina). Biden is 1.12 or shorter in all the other states and Pennsylvania alone puts him over the top. Trump is losing to Biden by...20,539 votes in Wisconsin47,215 votes in Pennsylvania12,567 votes in Georgia14,746 votes in Arizona36,274 votes in NevadaThese are margins that won't be overturned in a recount. Biden is the winner, we just need to be patient while Betfair waits the official state declarations.
The whistleblower in Pennsylvania "didn't make it all up". He was put under enormous pressure by the Feds to claim he did though. If you're fully convinced the election is over then surely you should not turn down the free money of Biden at 1.10 to win the election.
Nov 11, 2020 -- 10:41AM, wolf3011 wrote:
Nov 11, 2020 -- 10:33AM, Hamlin wrote:Did you bet on the next President or next President elect? What happens to your bet if Biden wins the nomination and then dies in Decemeber.... K Harris would become the next President. You shouldn't bet on markets you don't understand, the next President doesn't get settled until January.Fake news. If you believe this it's you that doesn't understand the market
Whats fake about it? Try to use your words instead of just drooling out catchphrases like an uneducated swamp rat. The President-elect doesn't become President till January.
Nov 11, 2020 -- 11:45PM, shiny new shoes please wrote:
Over exposed , jail time awaits!
Jail time for who kid?
Nov 12, 2020 -- 10:18AM, brians wrote:
Hamelin , have you read the rules on the market? It is not really a market on who becomes the next president. It is a market on who won the election. If Biden dies today, he is still the winner as it was his name on the voting paper. It is all very well explained on the US election thread which is on the horse racing part of the forum.
Not quite as cut and dried as you might think. Any legal challenge/recounts before the Electoral College votes will affect this market I would think. As a bit of extra sidebet fun, don't forget Harris and Pence are also named on the ballot paper!
Nov 13, 2020 -- 7:03PM, jamee1 wrote:
Nov 12, 2020 -- 10:18AM, brians wrote:Hamelin , have you read the rules on the market? It is not really a market on who becomes the next president. It is a market on who won the election. If Biden dies today, he is still the winner as it was his name on the voting paper. It is all very well explained on the US election thread which is on the horse racing part of the forum.Not quite as cut and dried as you might think. Any legal challenge/recounts before the Electoral College votes will affect this market I would think. As a bit of extra sidebet fun, don't forget Harris and Pence are also named on the ballot paper!
you vote for "Biden/Harris", not "Biden".
Nov 13, 2020 -- 7:48PM, dave1357 wrote:
So Betfair will be paying out on both as a dead heat? gl with that.
Meant more for potential settlement other than Biden if he was to die before the Electoral College vote.