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UBLE/REGY
10 Nov 20 18:17
Joined:
Date Joined: 11 Mar 10
| Topic/replies: 4,512 | Blogger: UBLE/REGY's blog
Not strictly football...but I have a lot of money tied up on US Election
Because of this Betfair limit my bets on football...saying I am over exposed

Does anyone else have this problem?????
Pause Switch to Standard View Can Betfair please settle bet on US...
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Report UBLE/REGY November 10, 2020 5:18 PM GMT
The general opinion is Biden has won
Report UBLE/REGY November 10, 2020 5:18 PM GMT
He has most votes
Report wolf3011 November 10, 2020 5:31 PM GMT
The old adage of it aint over till it's over springs to mind. Can you imagine if they settled and had to reverse payouts if Trump was successful however unlikely?
Report carrot1960 November 10, 2020 6:37 PM GMT
Given the amount of stuff going on in the states and the money involved they have to wait for the "weigh in"
Report RothmanMike November 10, 2020 6:45 PM GMT
Just increase your daily Loss Limit ‘til Election sorted.
Report sofaking November 10, 2020 10:10 PM GMT
By the way, I think Trump will win in the courts.
Report cpfc4me November 11, 2020 1:01 AM GMT
By the way, I think Trump will win in the courts.

Based on what? Unfortunately for him, he needs evidence, and his star case in PA collapsed tonight with the guy admitting he'd made it all up. If there was any "substantial" fraud, it would have been known by now.

The market for Next President isn't settled because the State markets for Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are still open. That's 97 Electoral College votes up still technically in play although Trump is likely to pick up just 18 of them (Alaska and North Carolina). Biden is 1.12 or shorter in all the other states and Pennsylvania alone puts him over the top.

Trump is losing to Biden by...

20,539 votes in Wisconsin
47,215 votes in Pennsylvania
12,567 votes in Georgia
14,746 votes in Arizona
36,274 votes in Nevada

These are margins that won't be overturned in a recount. Biden is the winner, we just need to be patient while Betfair waits the official state declarations.
Report cpfc4me November 11, 2020 1:13 AM GMT
And speaking of Pennsylvania, it's just been announced that Biden is ahead by more votes than there are ballots remaining to be counted, ~44,800.
Report Hamlin November 11, 2020 9:33 AM GMT
Did you bet on the next President or next President elect? What happens to your bet if Biden wins the nomination and then dies in Decemeber.... K Harris would become the next President. You shouldn't bet on markets you don't understand, the next President doesn't get settled until January.
Report wolf3011 November 11, 2020 9:41 AM GMT

Nov 11, 2020 -- 10:33AM, Hamlin wrote:


Did you bet on the next President or next President elect? What happens to your bet if Biden wins the nomination and then dies in Decemeber.... K Harris would become the next President. You shouldn't bet on markets you don't understand, the next President doesn't get settled until January.


Fake news. If you believe this it's you that doesn't understand the market

Report sofaking November 11, 2020 10:05 PM GMT

Nov 11, 2020 -- 2:01AM, cpfc4me wrote:


By the way, I think Trump will win in the courts.Based on what? Unfortunately for him, he needs evidence, and his star case in PA collapsed tonight with the guy admitting he'd made it all up. If there was any "substantial" fraud, it would have been known by now.The market for Next President isn't settled because the State markets for Alaska, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are still open. That's 97 Electoral College votes up still technically in play although Trump is likely to pick up just 18 of them (Alaska and North Carolina). Biden is 1.12 or shorter in all the other states and Pennsylvania alone puts him over the top. Trump is losing to Biden by...20,539 votes in Wisconsin47,215 votes in Pennsylvania12,567 votes in Georgia14,746 votes in Arizona36,274 votes in NevadaThese are margins that won't be overturned in a recount. Biden is the winner, we just need to be patient while Betfair waits the official state declarations.


The whistleblower in Pennsylvania "didn't make it all up".  He was put under enormous pressure by the Feds to claim he did though.  If you're fully convinced the election is over then surely you should not turn down the free money of Biden at 1.10 to win the election. Crazy

Report shiny new shoes please November 11, 2020 10:45 PM GMT
Over exposed , jail time awaits!
Report Hamlin November 11, 2020 10:45 PM GMT

Nov 11, 2020 -- 10:41AM, wolf3011 wrote:


Nov 11, 2020 -- 10:33AM, Hamlin wrote:Did you bet on the next President or next President elect? What happens to your bet if Biden wins the nomination and then dies in Decemeber.... K Harris would become the next President. You shouldn't bet on markets you don't understand, the next President doesn't get settled until January.Fake news. If you believe this it's you that doesn't understand the market


Whats fake about it? Try to use your words instead of just drooling out catchphrases like an uneducated swamp rat. The President-elect doesn't become President till January.

Report sofaking November 11, 2020 11:58 PM GMT

Nov 11, 2020 -- 11:45PM, shiny new shoes please wrote:


Over exposed , jail time awaits!


Jail time for who kid?

Report brians November 12, 2020 9:18 AM GMT
Hamelin , have you read the rules on the market? It is not really a market on who becomes the next president. It is a market on who won the election. If Biden dies today, he is still the winner as it was his name on the voting paper. It is all very well explained on the US election thread which is on the horse racing part of the forum.
Report shiny new shoes please November 12, 2020 11:04 PM GMT
Over exposed! Lol.
WIT. sofa. Wit.
ExcitedCryLaughLaugh
Report sofaking November 12, 2020 11:16 PM GMT
Ah ok,  I see what you're saying shiny. Your sense of humour is on another level. Tongue Out
Report jamee1 November 13, 2020 6:03 PM GMT

Nov 12, 2020 -- 10:18AM, brians wrote:


Hamelin , have you read the rules on the market? It is not really a market on who becomes the next president. It is a market on who won the election. If Biden dies today, he is still the winner as it was his name on the voting paper. It is all very well explained on the US election thread which is on the horse racing part of the forum.


Not quite as cut and dried as you might think. Any legal challenge/recounts before the Electoral College votes will affect this market I would think. As a bit of extra sidebet fun, don't forget Harris and Pence are also named on the ballot paper!

Report jamee1 November 13, 2020 6:04 PM GMT

Nov 13, 2020 -- 7:03PM, jamee1 wrote:


Nov 12, 2020 -- 10:18AM, brians wrote:Hamelin , have you read the rules on the market? It is not really a market on who becomes the next president. It is a market on who won the election. If Biden dies today, he is still the winner as it was his name on the voting paper. It is all very well explained on the US election thread which is on the horse racing part of the forum.Not quite as cut and dried as you might think. Any legal challenge/recounts before the Electoral College votes will affect this market I would think. As a bit of extra sidebet fun, don't forget Harris and Pence are also named on the ballot paper!


you vote for "Biden/Harris", not "Biden".

Report dave1357 November 13, 2020 6:48 PM GMT
So Betfair will be paying out on both as a dead heat? gl with that.
Report jamee1 November 13, 2020 11:23 PM GMT

Nov 13, 2020 -- 7:48PM, dave1357 wrote:


So Betfair will be paying out on both as a dead heat? gl with that.


Meant more for potential settlement other than Biden if he was to die before the Electoral College vote.

Report shiny new shoes please November 13, 2020 11:56 PM GMT
Who really cares!
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