Soren's Betting Thread

Juventus: BTTS
Chelsea: Over 2,5
Liverpool sejr
Atalanta: Begge hold scorer og over 2,5
Inter: Over 2,5
Leipzig 1/1 (halvleg/fuldtid)
Double:
atalanta: over 2,5
Dortmund: over 2,5

Atalanta er banker

juve_ over 1,5

Sorry first reply was send prematurely. Give me 2 secs

ROUND 1 BETS:

Juventus: BTTS  2,00 Betfair
Chelsea: Over 2,5 1,75 Betfair
Liverpool MoneyLine 1,77 Betfair
Atalanta: BTTS AND over 2 goals: 1,75 BET365  **BANKER**
Inter: Over 2,5 1,73 Betfair
Leipzig (HT/FT) 1,68 Betfair

Double:
atalanta: over 2,5
Dortmund: over 2,5  2,19 BET365

juventus over 1,5 FIRST BET IN CHALLENGE (ROLLING BETS) 1st of 6 with profit put on top of next bet.
1,40 Betfair

Good luck Soren

Thanks 11, much appreciated :)

- Remember I am just a man. Good and bad betting times are ahead, but over the long run I do believe this will make you money, but time will tell.




let me translate this for the forum "in the unlikely event that I show a profit on this thread, I will take my bets off line, post a link to my website and ask you for money for more tips".

Cmon Soren wheres tonight big uns........

Haha I know that's most likely sarcasm but if not they were included in the first round bets

***RESULTS*** (ALL BETFAIR RESULTS ARE AFTER 5% COMM) ALL RESULTS ARE IN PROFIT OR LOSS

ROUND 1 BETS:

Juventus: BTTS  2,00 Betfair                                LOST 1,00 U
Chelsea: Over 2,5 1,75 Betfair                              LOST 1,00 U
Liverpool MoneyLine 1,77 Betfair                            WON  0,72 U
Atalanta: BTTS AND over 2 goals: 1,75 BET365  **BANKER**    LOST 2,00 U
Inter: Over 2,5 1,73 Betfair                                WON  0,68 U
Leipzig (HT/FT) 1,68 Betfair                                WON  0,63 U

Double:                                                     WON  1,19 U
atalanta: over 2,5
Dortmund: over 2,5  2,19 BET365

juventus over 1,5 FIRST BET IN CHALLENGE (ROLLING BETS) 1st of 6 with profit put on top of next bet.
1,40 Betfair                                                WON  0,35 U (profit carried over to challenge bet 2)

TOTAL AMOUNT IN UNITS PROFIT LOSS: -0,78 U

A bit unlucky with your Midtjylland bet; I too thought they'd score at least one, especially at home, but overs was always likely in that game or any game that involves Atalanta.

Good luck with Round 2

Very unlucky Soren, you hit the crossbar more than once.

Yea just one goal from Midtjylland would have made a World of difference, but it's all good. I have confidence in profits over the long run.
2nd round coming right up

ROUND 2 BETS:

Molde: Moneyline 1,62 Betfair
Benfica: Moneyline + o1,5 1,61 Bet365
Arsenal: Moneyline + o1,5 (½UNIT) 1,86 Bet365
Arsenal: BTTS 1,80 Betfair
Celtic: BTTS 1,80 Bet365
Dinamo Zagreb: o2.5 1,80 Bet365
Hofffenheim: BTTS 1,78 Betfair
Ludogorets: o2.5 1,86 Betfair
Tottenham: -1,5 (½UNIT)  1,80 Betfair
Napoli: HT/FT 1,85 betfair

DOUBLE: Napoli o2.5 + Tottenham o2.5 2,09 Bet365

CHALLENGE BET NUMBER 2 (1U + 0,35U from last round): Napoli o2.5 1,50 Bet365

Good Luck Soren

Thanks 11 :)

***RESULTS*** (ALL BETFAIR RESULTS ARE AFTER 5% COMM) ALL RESULTS ARE IN PROFIT OR LOSS

ROUND 2 BETS:

Molde: Moneyline 1,62 Betfair                   W 0,59
Benfica: Moneyline + o1,5 1,61 Bet365           W 0,61
Arsenal: Moneyline + o1,5 (½UNIT) 1,86 Bet365   W 0,43
Arsenal: BTTS 1,80 Betfair                      W 0,76
Celtic: BTTS 1,80 Bet365                        W 0,80
Dinamo Zagreb: o2.5 1,80 Bet365                 L 1,00
Hofffenheim: BTTS 1,78 Betfair                  L 1,00
Ludogorets: o2.5 1,86 Betfair                   W 0,81
Tottenham: -1,5 (½UNIT)  1,80 Betfair           W 0,37
Napoli: HT/FT 1,85 betfair                      L 1,00

DOUBLE: Napoli o2.5 + Tottenham o2.5 2,09 Bet365 L 1,00

CHALLENGE BET NUMBER 2 (1U + 0,35U from last round): Napoli o2.5 1,50 Bet365   L 1,00

TOTAL FOR THE DAY: -0,65 U

TOTAL RESULT AFTER ROUND 2: -1,43 U

I think most on here will appreciate that with any system, short-term losses are inevitable; it is the long-term results that count. You've been unlucky with a number of bets so far, bets that should have come in and will come in on another day. Good luck with Round 3

who pays 5% commission these days ?

moneyline bets showing promise.

5%?

Thanks Aspro. I had a lot hanging on that Napoli game. Really thought they would score at least 1 or 2 against a corona hit Swedish team. I do believe we will see profit in the long run, so let's give it until round 10 to see where things are going :)

Round 10, not a big enough sample size, if you want people to buy your tips we need at least half a seasons worth of bets and even then you have to be in healthy profit. When you say 'we' will see profit, who is we?

Oct 23, 2020 -- 5:30AM, scandanavian_haven wrote:

who pays 5% commission these days ?

I have a 14% discount on the 6.5 % so I think I'm around 5% :)

Oct 23, 2020 -- 5:51AM, ----you-have-to-laugh--- wrote:

moneyline bets showing promise.5%?

Yes they've been doing great. I'm trying out these weirder bets for now, if they don't give a plus in the long run I'll dump them.

Scandinavian - I don't expect anyone to pay for my picks, but if I can prove a profit over a season and it makes sense I'll always be open to spend much more time on the pics and take a fee for them. But as you say, for that to happen I will need A LOT of bets on here :)
3rd round coming up soon

*** ROUND 3 BETS ***

Sassuolo: BANKER o2.5+BTTS 1,72 Bet365
Stuttgard: o2.5+BTTS 1,83 Bet365
DOUBLE: Leipzig Moneyline+Dortmund Moneyline+ Dortmund o2.5 Unibet 2,28  (Leipzig is one bet, both Dortmund bet in a combo as bet 2 in the Double)
DOUBLE: Sassoulo o2.5 + Napoli -1,5 365 2,77

fair enough soren, seem many of these types of threads, nobody else admits as much where it's heading so didn't expect you to be open, gl.

I understand Scandinavian. I have nothing to hide, I would love to get to that point but I just see it as far away. If the chance comes one day I wouldnt mind getting on that train.
For now I'm just focused on making sure this thread takes off in terms of profit - I'm on here all the time anyways making my living off of Betfair even though that becomes harder by the day.

There was a lad on golf forum who started a similar thread, but featuring golf tips.

He got some work out of it. So it's possible to demonstrate some ability and
gain reward.

What I dislike is when folk put up links to elsewhere,instead of putting thoughts on here.

I too wish you luck, doubtless you will get some grief when it goes wrong but its
a hazard of being an internet tipster.

I'll take the sweet with the sour. I'm not trying to trick anyone or sell something that doesn't work. I'll be posting my picks here for months before even thinking about what to do next. I just found that my picks have been working really well over the last year so thought I would begin to keep a close record of them here.
We'll see how it goes :) Thanks for the good luck wishes, I'm gonna need them haha

Glad your banker bet came in. I intended to have a half-time punt on goals but got distracted. The final result was a bit sick for me.

Thanks Aspro. I was surprised the goals came that late, but better late than never. Unlucky with you not getting on it before they came in.

to quote Command

patience

*** Round 4 bets - round 3 bets are still in progress ***

sevilla: ML+u4.5 1,70 365   
real madrid: dc 1,99 ½Unit       
chelsea: BTTS+o2.5 1,80 365 ½Unit   
Man city: AH-1 1,69 ½Unit       
Dortmund: dortmund team total o2.5 1,83 365   
Bayern: ML+o3.5    1,7 365   
leipzig: ML+u4.5 2,0 365   
Lazio: BTTS+o2.5 1,75 365   
inter: ht/ft 2,20 365
   
DOUBLE:
everton o2.5 + United o2.5 3,04

by special delivery, no charge.

Ok I can type again

Thanks Scandinavian

*** ROUND 3 BETS ***

Sassuolo: BANKER o2.5+BTTS 1,72 Bet365      W 1,44u
Stuttgard: o2.5+BTTS 1,83 Bet365            L 1,00u
DOUBLE: Leipzig Moneyline+Dortmund Moneyline+ Dortmund o2.5 Unibet 2,28  (Leipzig is one bet, both Dortmund bet in a combo as bet 2 in the Double)               w 1,28u
DOUBLE: Sassoulo o2.5 + Napoli -1,5 365 2,77  (NAPOLI plays tomorrow - this bet will be processed in ROUND 5 bets)

                                           TOTAL +1,72

AFTER ROUND 3 TOTAL RESULT: +0,29u

*** Round 4 bets - round 3 bet is still in progress with 1 double being settled tomorrow ***

sevilla: ML+u4.5 1,70 365                          L -1,00u
real madrid: dc 1,99 ½Unit                         W +0,47u
chelsea: BTTS+o2.5 1,80 365 ½Unit                  L -0,50u
Man city: AH-1 1,69 ½Unit                          L -0,50u
Dortmund: dortmund team total o2.5 1,83 365        W +0,83u
Bayern: ML+o3.5    1,7 365                         W +0,70u
leipzig: ML+u4.5 2,0 365                           W +1,00u
Lazio: BTTS+o2.5 1,75 365                          W +0,75u
inter: ht/ft 2,20 365                              L -1,00u
   
DOUBLE:
everton o2.5 + United o2.5 3,04                    L -1,00u

                                          TOTAL FOR ROUND: -0,25u

AFTER ROUND 4 TOTAL RESULT (with 1 double remaining, that will be finished tomorrow) : +0,04u

*** ROUND 5 BETS ***

napoli:    ML+o2.5    1,72 365
wolfsburg: BTTS    1,90 365   
southampton: BTTS 1,64 25
sociedad: ML+u4.5 1,83 365   

There is also still the double with Napoli that will be settled today. Additions might come if I find any gold

Great thread Soren, will you be putting up anymore banker bets.

Thanks G Hall :)
I will when I find some that are worth it where the price just seems off. They typically come up every other day.

ROUND 5 ADDITIONAL BETS:

Cagliari: o2.5 1,84 Betfair
Southampton: o2.5 1,82 Betfair

*By the way the Southampton o2.5 1,82 Betfair bet is HALF a unit

Cagliari smashing it! Another I missed although I will confess I wasn't looking at it

RESULTS AFTER ROUND 5:
DOUBLE from round 3 with Napoli            L -1,00u
napoli: ML+o2.5 1,72 365                   W +0,72u
wolfsburg: BTTS 1,90 365                   W +0,90u
southampton: BTTS 1,64 25                  L -1,00u
sociedad: ML+u4.5 1,83 365                 L -1,00u
Cagliari: o2.5 1,84 Betfair                W +0,80u
Southampton: o2.5 1,82 Betfair             L -0,50u

                                     Total for the day: -1,08u

TOTAL RESULT FOR THREAD: -1,04 u

*** ROUND 6 BETS ***
Bringhton: Moneyline 1,77 Unibet
Roma: o2.5 1,66 Betfair

*** ROUND 6 BETS ***
Bringhton: Moneyline 1,77 Unibet    L -1,00u
Roma: o2.5 1,66 Betfair             W +0,63u

Total for the day:  -0,37u

Total for the thread: -1,41u

*** Round 7 bets *** More to come in round 7 for today

Club Brugge: Moneyline 2,14 Unibet

** ROUND 7 CONTINUED **

Real Madrid: ML BANKER 1,97 Unibet
Shaktar: BTTS+o2.5 1,83 Bet365
FC Porto: ML 1,91 Betfair

Tomorrow:
Club Brugge: o2.5 1,88 Betfair
Juventus: Barca DNB 1,90 Betfair

Double: Inter o2.5 + Real Madrid ML: 2,86 bet365

Good luck with your bets Soren, but what is a moneyline bet I don't understand what constitutes that bet.

Thanks Hall. I just mean the odds on that team so moneyline Real Madrid = their odds

ROUND 7 results:
Real Madrid: ML BANKER 1,97 Unibet              L - 2,00u
Shaktar: BTTS+o2.5 1,83 Bet365                  L - 1,00u
FC Porto: ML 1,91 Betfair                       W + 0,87u

Tomorrow:
Club Brugge: o2.5 1,88 Betfair                 L - 1,00u
Juventus: Barca DNB 1,90 Betfair               W + 0,86u

Double: Inter o2.5 + Real Madrid ML: 2,86 bet365 L - 1,00u
Brugge ML 2.14 Unibet                            L - 1,00u

Total for round:                                 -4,27 u

Total for thread:                                -5,68 u

Horrifical 10 days so far. Not in the business of apologizing for results but I do hope it will get back to normal soon. Let's see.

Oct 29, 2020 -- 7:23AM, Soren24 wrote:

Horrifical 10 days so far. Not in the business of apologizing for results but I do hope it will get back to normal soon. Let's see.

You have to factor in covid and empty stadiums, results have been pretty poor for me also. Normally I plod along with money in account and withdraw some every few months and leave some in for building up again. Only a few times over the last year Ive had to add funds, just added some to my account last few days. Hopefully things turn round for you, and more so myself

Stuttgard: o2.5 1,81 Betfair

Yea I agree Stroodle. These are interesting times. As long as this thread turns a profit in the long run I'll be good with that. Sounds like you're doing well for yourself also. Good luck, I hope the pandemic treats you better than until now, betting-wise

Stuttgard bet lost

Total for thread: -6,68u

challenge: (profits from this bet put on next until challenge completed)
Real Madrid ML + Man City ML:

*** ROUND 8 BETS ***

Real Madrid HT/FT: ½unit 2,14 betfair
Atl. Madrid: ½unit  ML 1,96 betfair
Sevilla: ½unit DNB 1,84 Betfair
Frankfurt: BTTS + o2.5 1,90 bet365
Dortmund: -1,5 2.08 betfair
Bologna: BTTS + o2.5 BANKER 1,80 bet365
Inter: ML + u4.5 1,80 bet365
Crotone: BTTS + o2.5 1,70 bet365
DOUBLE: Dortmund ML + Leipzig o2.5: 2,09 bet365
DOUBLE: Chelsea ML + Southampton BTTS: 1,64 * 1,60 = 2,52 betfair exchange after commision

Chellenge odds was 1,71 at bet365

ROUND 8 CONTINUED
Granada: ½UNIT ML ½UNIT 2,38 betfair
Real sociadad: ½UNIT 1,83 betfair
Tottenham: ½UNIT ML + o1,5 1,90 bet365
Newcastle: ½UNIT BTTS 1,75 betfair
leverkusen: ML 2.14 betfair
M'gladbach: BTTS+o2.5 1,80 bet365
Napoli: o3.5 2,00 betfair
Roma: BTTS + o2.5 1,80 bet365
Napoli: o2.5+BTTS 1,61 bet365

TRIPPLE: Cagliari o2.5 + napoli o2.5 + napoli BTTS: UNIBET 2,42

MONDAY
Leeds: ½UNIT BTTS+u6.5 1,70 Bet365

CORRECTION: The Napoli o2.5+BTTS single bet is included in the Tripple and so NOT A BET ANYMORE on it's own.
Match starts later today.

CORRECTION: Real sociaded was DNB - I had left it unspecified for some reason. DNB at 1,83 Betfair

*** ROUND 8 RESULTS *** (excluding the one bet for tomorrow still unresolved)
CHALLENGE: Real Madrid ML + Man City ML: 1,71 bet365                                      W +0,71u (profit for next CHA bet, not calculated here)
Real Madrid HT/FT: ½unit 2,14 betfair                                                     W +0,55u
Atl. Madrid: ½unit  ML 1,96 betfair                                                       W +0,47u
Sevilla: ½unit DNB 1,84 Betfair                                                           L -0,50u
Frankfurt: BTTS + o2.5 1,90 bet365                                                        L -1,00u
Dortmund: -1,5 2.08 betfair                                                               W +1,03u
Bologna: BTTS + o2.5 BANKER 1,80 bet365                                                   W +1,60u
Inter: ML + u4.5 1,80 bet365                                                              L -1,00u
Crotone: BTTS + o2.5 1,70 bet365                                                          W +0,70u
DOUBLE: Dortmund ML + Leipzig o2.5: 2,09 bet365                                           L -1,00u
DOUBLE: Chelsea ML + Southampton BTTS: 1,64 * 1,60 = 2,52 betfair exchange after comm.    W +1,52u

ROUND 8 CONTINUED
Granada: ½UNIT ML ½UNIT 2,38 betfair                                                      L -0,50u
Real sociadad: DNB ½UNIT 1,83 betfair                                                     W +0,41u
Tottenham: ½UNIT ML + o1,5 1,90 bet365                                                    W +0,45u
Newcastle: ½UNIT BTTS 1,75 betfair                                                        W +0,37u
leverkusen: ML 2.14 betfair                                                               W +1,10u
M'gladbach: BTTS+o2.5 1,80 bet365                                                         L -1,00u
Napoli: o3.5 2,00 betfair                                                                 L -1,00u
Roma: BTTS + o2.5 1,80 bet365                                                             L -1,00u

TRIPPLE: Cagliari o2.5 + napoli o2.5 + napoli BTTS: UNIBET 2,42                           L -1,00u

                                                                      TOTAL FOR ROUND:    +0,2 u
                                                                      TOTAL FOR THREAD:   -6,48 u

Champions league double: Ajax moneyline and Chelsea moneyline: 2,35 betfair exchange

Good thread Soren, and I'm with you on btts in Leeds game.

I think Ajax are ravaged by covid so you might want to check it out.

Awesome, good luck Hall. And thanks, I had a few live bets that made me 2 units but I can't really post them here. Shouldn't matter in the long run anyways

Nice one Hall ;) congrats on the win

After leeds bet won today TOTAL PROFIT FOR THREAD: -6,15u

ROUND 9 BETS:

Shakrtar: +0,5 AH 1,98 betfair
Real Madrid: ML 2.14 Betfair
Ajax: ML 1,83 betfair

ROUND 10 BETS - Round 9 settles later today

Juventus: -1,5 AH 1,81 Betfair
Chelsea: ML + o2.5 1,83 bet365

Champions league double: 2,35 betfair            W +1,30u

ROUND 9 BETS:
Shakrtar: +0,5 AH 1,98 betfair                  L -1,00u
Real Madrid: ML 2.14 Betfair                    W +1,10u
Ajax: ML 1,83 betfair                           W +0,83u

ROUND 10 BETS
Juventus: -1,5 AH 1,81 Betfair BANKER           W +1,54               
Chelsea: ML + o2.5 1,83 bet365                  W +0,83
                               
                            TOTAL FOR ROUNDS:  W +4,60

                            TOTAL FOR THREAD:  -1,88 U

*** Round 10 BETS ***

Arsenal: ML + u4,5 ½ unit 1,80 bet365
Real sociedad: ML + o1,5 ½ unit 1,66 bet365
Leicester; BTTS 1,81 betfair
Zagreb: BTTS + o2.5 2,00 bet365
Antwerp: BTTS + o2,5 1,90 bet365
Ludogorets: BTTS 2,05 bet365
Benfica: ML 2,24 betfair

Good results yesterday, well done.

Well done Soren.

Thanks for the support guys. LETS GET THIS THREAD IN TO PLUS AGAIN

*** Round 10 BETS *** RESULTS

Arsenal: ML + u4,5 ½ unit 1,80 bet365           - 0,5u
Real sociedad: ML + o1,5 ½ unit 1,66 bet365     - 0,5u
Leicester; BTTS 1,81 betfair                    - 1,0u
Zagreb: BTTS + o2.5 2,00 bet365                 - 1,0u
Antwerp: BTTS + o2,5 1,90 bet365                - 1,0u
Ludogorets: BTTS 2,05 bet365                    + 1,05u
Benfica: ML 2,24 betfair                        - 1,0u
                             
                          TOTAL FOR ROUND:      -3,95u
                          TOTAL FOR THREAD:     -5,83u

Had a bad round 9 - was hoping to go in plus after that round, but no teams were scoring of the ones needed. However, ONWARD

*** ROUND 10 BETS ***
(SATURDAY SATURDAY)
Chelsea: ML+o1.5 ½UNIT 1,70 bet365
Double: Chelsea + Tottenham (1,44*1,55) 2,23 Betfair
Frankfurt: BTTS + over 2,5: BANKER 1,70 bet365
Augsburg: DNB 2,08 betfair 
Union Berlin: ML 1,93 betfair
Bayern ML 2,08 betfair
Sevilla -1 ah ½UNIT 2,08 betfair
Double: Suttgart BTTS + leverkusen BTTS (1,50*1,63) 2,45 betfair


(SUNDAY SUNDAY SUNDAY)
Leverkusen: BTTS + over 2,5 1,90 bet365
Gladbach DNB 2,26 betfair
Inter: o1,5 first half 2,00 bet365 (waiting for better odds tomorrow on Betfair, might replace)
Torino BTTS + over 2,5 2,00 bet365
Bologna: BTTS + over 2,5 1,80 bet365
Westham ML 1,88 betair
Tottenham -1 ah 1,94 betfair
Man city: ML 2,06 betfair
Arsenal: ML + u6 1,80 bet365 
Levante: Haltime Draw 2,10 bet365 (waiting for better odds tomorrow on Betfair, might replace)
Real Madrud: ML + over 1,5 1,83 bet365
Juventus ML BANKER 2,02 betfair
Getafe: DNB 1,72 bet365 (waiting for better odds tomorrow on Betfair, might replace)

UPDATED ODDS FOR THE ONES STATED THAT I WOULD WAIT FOR BETTER ODDS:
Inter: same bet now 2.14 betfair
Levante: same bet now 2.24 betfair
Getafe: same bet now 2.04 betfair

ALSO ALSO ALSO

TOTTTENHAM BET IS ½ UNIT
MAN CITY ½ UNIT
ARSENAL ½ UNIT
LEVANTE ½ UNIT
REAL MADRID ½ UNIT
GETAFE ½ UNIT

what went wong

Sorry for no update for some time, the last couple of rounds ended around 0 again. Very interesting times. I plan to come back with regular updates as soon as I can find the time again.