300 Bet Challenge

first bet matched

bet 1 up

bet2 West Ham v Burnley
Over 0.5 Goals - Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Betfair Bet ID 1:221850208801    Back    1.20    11.79 waiting to be matched

I can share my shortlist for all that's worth.My shortlist would be for Over 0.5 Goals,not looking at the price,as long as it's 1.02 or above...this is what this challenge is about after all,building it up slowly.My first one would have been Cittadella as Winner played,already a goal in that.My second one would be the bet I placed,a goal in the Arezzo v Cesena match at 1.11

Another italian match starting in 35 mns,should be Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.05,Lucchese v Renate...only on Sportsbook

After that,2 dutch,2 french and 1 German if anyone is interested

Most of it based on a mixture of gut instinct and local knowledge from living abroad

* just realized,no goal in the Cittadella match yet

I have already placed my second bet,otherwise I'd go for a goal in that...anyway enough babbling for now

I could have waited 10-15mins before getting on, but as it was higher than the Over 0.5 I went with it from kick off.  This game so far is much closer than I expected.  When it comes to looking at selections for Over 0.5, I look the Over 2.5 market first. If it's over 2.0, I generally don't consider it.  When I have found a game I like the look of, I then look at the home teams record for scoring and conceding, and the same for the away team.  I like to see either both teams score and concede most games, or a side that is clear favourite score lots and the other team cant keep clean sheets.  Also if either side have had a 0-0 in their last 6 games it might put me off.  It's not bulletproof by any means, but it helps me have an idea. 

Selections I will be keeping an eye on over the next few hours in play is:

Watford v Huddersfield
Bournemouth v Luton
Plymouth v Crewe
Alloa v Hearts
FC Emmen v Vitesse
Oostende v Kortrijk

The Emmen game is in my list too

My selections would be :

Auxerre v Chateauroux
Emmen v Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag
Marseille v Nimes
Dortmund v Mainz

Plus the 2 italian games:
Cittadella v Ascoli...in play at the moment
Arezzo v Cesena...about to start

Lucchese v Renate worth a mention too

And Verl v kaiserslautern...in play at the moment ,good price

That would be my whole list for today,there you go,shared...not sure I could do that every day,ver busy recording stuff over the next couple of weeks

Without looking at stats, the first one of your selections that stands out is Dortmund.  But Over 0.5 starts at 1.02, if no goal is scored after say 30 mins and the odds are much better I would certainly be all over it.

Something else I look at is which leagues that have the least 0-0's. 

Here are the top 10.
                                   GP   Over 0.5  %
1    Morocco - Botola Pro       8    8     100.00%   
2    Saudi Arabia - Pro League  56    55     98.21%   
3    Singapore - Premier League 56    55     98.21%   
4    England - Isthmian League  93    91     97.85%   
5    Thailand - Thai League 1   105    102     97.14%   
6    Scotland - League 2       34    33     97.06%   
7    Denmark - Superliga       66    64     96.97%   
8    Malaysia - Super League       66    64     96.97%   
9    Holland - Eredivisie       98    95     96.94%

That's right Winner and sometimes it's a question of being patient and waiting.If a goal is scored straight away,then for me it's no bet,I don't go back in...still trying to work on the discipline and patience,I have seen around 440 consecutive winners at low prices recorded ,it's feasible,might be low prices but it's feasible

10    Germany - Bundesliga    90    87    96.67%

The moroocan one surprises me,always thought of it as a low scoring one

It maybe a low scoring league, only 8 games play so far according to the website.  Not really enough data to consider it reliable long term for me.

I meant to bet earlier on Cittadella v Ascoli (over 0.5), by accident I went on Pordenone vs Venezia.
Got the goal but need to wake up!

Top 10 Over 1.5

    League    GP    1.5    %   
1    Austria - Bundesliga    71    63    88.73%   
2    Singapore - Premier League    56    49    87.50%   
3    Wales - Premier League    95    83    87.37%   
4    Holland - Eredivisie    144    125    86.81%   
5    Italy - Serie A    169    145    85.80%   
6    Slovakia - Fortuna Liga    105    89    84.76%   
7    Denmark - Superliga    78    66    84.62%   
8    Germany - Bundesliga    136    115    84.56%   
9    Denmark - 1st Division    96    81    84.38%   
10   
England - Southern League Central
83    70    84.34%

I did not expect to see Wales or Slovakia in that list.

Top 10 Over 2.5

League    GP    2.5    %   
1    England - Isthmian League    93    63    67.74%   
2    Iceland - 1. Deild    119    79    66.39%   
3    Singapore - Premier League    56    36    64.29%   
4    Denmark - Superliga    78    50    64.10%   
5    Hungary - NB I    93    59    63.44%   
6    Norway - Eliteserien    240    151    62.92%   
7    Italy - Serie A    169    105    62.13%   
8    Austria - Bundesliga    71    44    61.97%   
9    Holland - Eerste Divisie    196    121    61.73%   
10    Denmark - 1st Division    96    59    61.46%

Top 10 Over 3.5

1    Austria - Bundesliga    71    34    47.89%   
2    Singapore - Premier League    56    26    46.43%   
3    Iceland - 1. Deild    119    51    42.86%   
4    Malaysia - Super League    66    28    42.42%   
5    Finland - Ykkonen    132    55    41.67%   
6    Holland - Eredivisie    144    58    40.28%   
7    Germany - Bundesliga    136    54    39.71%   
8    Norway - OBOS-Ligaen    240    95    39.58%   
9    Norway - Eliteserien    240    93    38.75%   
10    England - Southern League South    70    27    38.57%

Lucchese v Renate in already ...in my list

Norther Ireland and Wales are my favourites

Bet 6 WON 19.75

Bet 3
£23.40 @ 1.44 Over 1.5 goals
Blackburn   v  stoke

I was starting to think that goal was never coming.

Good to see people still giving this a go

Attempt number 5.Bets to include reasoning . No more non football bets on this for me. They have cost me 3 of the 4 times I’ve lost on this.

Bet 1 Lay Bristol City win to nil 2.27 @ 5.4

Reasoning. Preston are our bogey team. Form and football has been awful,partly due to massive injury list.

If I do lose this bet I’ll actually be happy!

Bet 20.Dortmund 0-0 Mainz 32mins played.  Dortmund win 13.27@1.33

£23.17@1.33*

Bet 7 Dortmund v Mainz Over 0.5 Goals 19.75 @ 1.13

Emmen v Vitesse

Emmen v Vitesse
Arezzo v Cesena
Cittadella v Ascoli
Lucchese v Renate
Verl v kaiserslautern

All of my shortlist has come up so far,let's wait for the rest...the Dortmund game that started at 1.02 could be the huge letdown

bet 2 Blackburn v Stoke
Over 0.5 Goals - Over/Under 0.5 Goals
Betfair Bet ID 1:221878155566 | Matched: 16-Jan-21 15:35:06    Back    1.24    11.79

Wow, didn't see Mainz scoring first.

Bet 96 : Leeds 0-1 Brighton HT - lay 1-2 correct score for £15.15 @ 7.6 Liability £99.99

Start £500
Banked £1700

Bet 7 WON 22.18

what a joker missing a penalty

good luck sonof dunc keep away from mickey mouse teams

bet3 Fulham v Chelsea
Draw or Away - Double Chance
Betfair Bet ID 1:221886589052 | Matched: 16-Jan-21 16:19:17    Back    1.17    14.56 reason for chelsea have not lost to fulham in 30 matches lots of draws

Bet 01. Marseille 0-0 Nimes 43mins played, Over 0.5 £10@1.21

Bet 8 Marseille v Nimes Over 0.5 Goals 22.18 @ 1.24....hopefully,I won't jinx it Winner

I was in two minds about this game, I hate French football, its usually PSG screw me over.  Fingers crossed for us both

Bet 96 :  Fulham v Chelsea 530pm ko- lay 1-1 correct score for £14.35 @ 9 Liability £114.80

Start £500
Banked £1700

Bet 4
£33.18 @ 1.61 Chelsea

Bet 02.Royal Mouscron-Peruwelz v Genk, Over 0.5 £12.05@1.09 - waiting to be matched in play.

Bet 8 WON 27.23

Bet 03.Fulham 0-0 Chelsea HT, Over 0.5 £13.13@1.19

Bet 9 Fulham v Chelsea Over 0.5 Goals 27.23 @ 1.24...I'm deviating from my list,not a smart thing to do,fingers crossed

Regretting it now,should have watched a bit of the game first.Chelsea are really devoid of ideas.Will definitely stick to my shortlist from now on no matter what happens

I'm getting to like lower leagues more and more when I watch this rubbish,loads of diving around

cashed out Fulham v Chelsea
Draw or Away - Double Chance
Betfair Bet ID 1:221905889687 | Matched: 16-Jan-21 19:00:40    Lay    1.06    14.56

Well done Harri

Glad there was a goal for everyone but what a boring game

Bet 9 WON 33.44

bet 4 Leicester v Southampton
Southampton +3 - Southampton +3
Betfair Bet ID 1:221907320311 | Matched: 16-Jan-21 19:13:38    Back    1.14    14.56 reason southampton have a good record at leicester cannot see leicester being 3 goals better

Bet 04.FC Utrecht 0-0 Heracles 16mins played.  Over 0.5 £15.57@1.12

Bet 98 : Leicester v Southampton 8pm ko- lay "Any other home win" correct score for £12.89 @ 11 Liability £128.90

Start £500
Banked £1700

Bet 5
£52.41 @ 1.56
OVER 1.5 goals
Barnsley v  swans

Bet 05.Leicester v Southampton, Goal scored 1-10 minutes, layed £3.95@5.4 liability £17.38  These are always risky, but I am hopeful

Bet 10 AZ Alkmaar v ADO Den Haag Over 0.5 Goals 33.44 @ 1.11

Could be a boring dutch game,they do happen from time to time

Last one for tonight one way or the other

Bet 06.Az Alkmaar 0-0 ADO Den Haag, Over 0.5 £21.27@1.11  waiting to be matched.

Looking at the fixtures for tonight, not much that sticks out.

Bet 06 matched.

Bet 10 WON 36.94

doing well for 10 bets mino

Bet 6
Laid 2-0 rayo vallecano game
Hoping to get matched

bet 4 up only just tomorrows a brand new day

Up all night working from home so will try £5.00 on Bet365, see if I can make it through the night

Bet 01 - £5.00 On Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.50, Fluminense 1-0 Sport Recife

Bet 01 - £5.00 On Over 0.5 Goals First Half @ 1.50, Oeste v AD Confianca

Bet 02 - £7.50 On Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50, Cruz Azul v Puebla

Pathetic.

Bet 99 : Espanyol v Osasuna 11am ko- lay 0-1 correct score for £14.15 @ 11 Liability £141.50 - to be matched inplay

Start £500
Banked £1700

morning tez quick question did you start with a 500 kitty and have withdrawn1700 and still have your 500 kitty cheers paul

bet 5 hoping to be matched  Napoli v Fiorentina
Over 1.5 Goals - Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Betfair Bet ID 1:221954570825    Back    1.25    17.99

morning paul. no i started with £500 and have withdrawn £1700 in total which includes my starting stake so effectively +£1200 ahead as it stands

well done kid keep it up

Cheers

bet 5 not matched

new bet 5  Brest v Rennes
Under 6.5 Goals - Over/Under 6.5 Goals
Betfair Bet ID 1:221956652089 | Matched: 17-Jan-21 12:13:16    Back    1.08    17.99

cashed out for £1.20p

onwards and upwards

bet 6 Motherwell v Rangers
Over 1.5 Goals - Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Betfair Bet ID 1:221962434215 | Matched: 17-Jan-21 12:58:01    Back    1.17    17.99    --    --
3.06

New Staking plan from bet 100 onwards :

Target profit = 10% of Bank per day

Any profit exceeding 10% = 50% withdrawn + 50% added to the bankroll

Bet 100 : Sheff utd v Tottenham 2pm ko- lay 1-0 correct score for £12.43 @ 13.5 Liability £155.38 - to be matched inplay

Day Start Bank : £155.44
Daily Target : £15.54
Daily Withdrawn : £0.00

Start £500
Total Banked £1700

Bet 11 Olympiakos v Giannina Over 0.5 Goals 36.94 @ 1.23

Minos you got the 94th min goal that's unreal!

Thanks Dan, it was on my shortlist so I went for it, got lucky this time, must have been the last kick of the game

Bet 11 WON 45.01

bet 7 Sassuolo v Parma
Over 1.5 Goals - Over/Under 1.5 Goals
Betfair Bet ID 1:221980736877 | Matched: 17-Jan-21 15:14:01    Back    1.22    22.21    --    --
4.89

got out of jail 93 min penalty

bet8 Liverpool v Man Utd
Man Utd +3 - Man Utd +3
Betfair Bet ID 1:221986952301 | Matched: 17-Jan-21 16:00:45    Back    1.13    27.00    --    --
3.51 think this is a very good bet

Bet 101 : Liverpool v Man utd 430pm ko- lay "any other home win"  correct score for £19.49 @ 9.60 Liability £167.61

Day Start Bank : £155.44
Daily Target : £15.54
Daily Withdrawn : £0.00

Start £500
Total Banked £1700