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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 53,597 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report impossible123 April 9, 2025 6:43 PM BST
Barca, PSG and Coventry to win is 11/4. I think this is a betting proposition.
Report Whisperingdeath April 9, 2025 7:06 PM BST
I am on that!
Report The Dragon April 9, 2025 7:11 PM BST
gl guys
Report Whisperingdeath April 9, 2025 8:10 PM BST
Oh I added Swansea too and also got Barca and PSG on -1
Report Whisperingdeath April 9, 2025 8:13 PM BST
Just covered Portsmouth / draw with Barca and PSG
Report onthehoy April 11, 2025 3:36 PM BST
1 bet for tonight:

Burnley at 1.63

I just can’t see Norwich taking any points from this game and with Burnley having scored 16 goals in their 7 games before last week’s 0-0  with Derby I’m trying to decide if I should stick an extra few quid on them on the Asian Handicap with -1 goal at 2.10

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon April 11, 2025 6:36 PM BST
i agree OTH all over burnley tonight- my highest rated team this weekend
Report The Dragon April 12, 2025 7:55 AM BST
nice little earner last night on Burnley wd OTH
Report kingscrewed April 12, 2025 10:34 AM BST
Morning all, today's btts selections all singles

Brighton 2.2
QPR 2.02
Inter Milan 2.2

Gl all
Report The Dragon April 12, 2025 10:35 AM BST
PORT VALE 4/7 Chesterfield 19/20 and Brighton 2/7 are my three main homes.

Villa should win away at 4/7.

Lets go for a few big outsiders today as follows:

Tranmere 7/4, Derby 5/2 Bristol City at 13/10 and Palace at 5/1

GL All
Report Analyst April 12, 2025 11:15 AM BST
BTTS Betfred Bonus shop prices

9/1 Fourfolds on the games at :

Arsenal
Southampton
Bournemouth
Morecambe
Newcastle
Birmingham/Peterboro
Report onthehoy April 12, 2025 12:13 PM BST
Aye Dragon, off to a winning start with Burnley last night (LSP at -0.38pts for the Month)

I’ve picked 2 short priced selections from the early games that I’ll stick in a double

Man City / Wycombe  Double @ 2.41

Good Luck All
Report onthehoy April 12, 2025 12:48 PM BST
Not a good start

Man City losing 0-1, has to be worth sticking a few quid on them to turn it around, surely
Report The Dragon April 12, 2025 12:54 PM BST
0-2 Palace -that ones in the bag with 365Cool
Report onthehoy April 12, 2025 12:55 PM BST
I'll get my coat Laugh
Report onthehoy April 12, 2025 2:16 PM BST
Man City came good in the end, I just need Wycombe to nick the win in the last few minutes (currently 0-0) to get my double up

On to my selections @ 3pm 

2 home wins in the Championship:  Cardiff @  2.4     Luton @ 2.02 

Asian handicaps:  Brighton -1.5  @ 1.85   Everton +0.50  @ 1.92    Derby +0.25  @  1.80

Over 2.5 goals Double:
  @  2.71:  Southampton v Aston Villa / Barnsley v Bolton

and finally, 1 bet on BTTSAccrington v Tranmere @  2.06


Good Luck All
Report The Dragon April 12, 2025 2:24 PM BST
and thees your late goal for wycombe othCool
Report onthehoy April 13, 2025 1:34 PM BST
wd Kingscrewed 3 good priced winners

Dragon, fingers crossed you get a good return from your golf bets. The best from my 5 selections was J.Day sitting on 5 under, but with no chance of catching the leaders I doubt if I will stay up to watch it.

Returns from 5 of 8 for me yesterday, puts my LSP back into the black for the month, what’s the betting it will be back in the red at the end of today’s betting

Only 3 selections for me today, although as usual I will be having a few bets on the Toon game

Asian Handicap:  Spurs +0.25 goals @ 1.91
Over 2.5 goals:  St Etienne v Brest  @  1.69

Angers, home win @ 2.0

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon April 13, 2025 1:37 PM BST
liverpool and newcastle double for me today
Report onthehoy April 14, 2025 3:29 PM BST
2 out 3 from yesterday’s bets, I’m on a roll Cool

LSP for April +2.17pts (-15.38pts for season)

I fancy Fulham to take something from tonight’s game:
Asian Handicap: Fulham +0.25 goals @ 2.14

Good Luck All
Report Whisperingdeath April 14, 2025 3:47 PM BST
That sounds like a good bet!
Report The Dragon April 14, 2025 4:11 PM BST
yup good winner thatCool
Report morpteh mackem April 18, 2025 9:14 AM BST
if you're not on Bristol City today you haven't been watching. I think . Grin
Report The Dragon April 18, 2025 9:33 AM BST
Morning MM - hope you have a great Easter and are getting ready for the nail biting playoffs.

Re Bristol -their form v top 6 teams is hopeleess they have not won any of their 8 games v top 6.they have also only won 1 in their last 5 games and that was 4-3 at home to millwall,

sunderland only lost 1 in 4 in recent away games, so id be tempted by a lay of bristol based on those stats at 2.44
Report The Dragon April 18, 2025 10:01 AM BST
Teams i have backed are :

Wrexham 4/9, Salford 17/20, Birmingham 3/10, Liverpool 1/4 and Millwall 23/20

Lucky 31 and 5 time acca

GL All
Report morpteh mackem April 18, 2025 10:55 AM BST

Apr 18, 2025 -- 9:33AM, The Dragon wrote:


Morning MM - hope you have a great Easter and are getting ready for the nail biting playoffs.Re Bristol -their form v top 6 teams is hopeleess they have not won any of their 8 games v top 6.they have also only won 1 in their last 5 games and that was 4-3 at home to millwall,sunderland only lost 1 in 4 in recent away games, so id be tempted by a lay of bristol based on those stats at 2.44


snderland got injuries, already guaranteed 4th place . be surprised if we even scored .

Report kingscrewed April 18, 2025 11:48 AM BST
Morning all today's btts selections, all singles as per min price 1.8

Norwich
Bolton
Rotherham
Grimsby

Massive game for my team (Derby in a hour) against Luton, surprised to see the rams @ 2.56 would have us at least equal and with home advantage would expect 2.2 -2.3. The 1 bit of team news coming out is the Derby keeper is out injured and his back up hasn't played competitely for 8 months. Despite being on t.v. pride park is a sell out and if Derby start on the front foot the atmosphere should be electric. Not picked any bets out on the game yet and sportsbook haven't got half of the players listed, for example Jerry Yates Derby's centre forward who's played all season isn't even listed in the shot on target market.
Report onthehoy April 18, 2025 2:28 PM BST
Only 2 games for me today

2 bets in the Preston v QPR game: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.62    &  BTTS @  2.14

Asian handicap: Birmingham -1.50 goals @ 1.78


Good luck All
Report onthehoy April 19, 2025 2:03 PM BST
A QPR late goal turned a losing day into a winning one yesterday, LSP now at +3.46pts for the month and -14.67pts for the season

Only 2 bets for today

Palace @ 2.76

Over 2.5 goals Double @ 2.51 :  West Ham v Southampton  / Brentford v Brighton


Good luck All
Report The Dragon April 19, 2025 4:44 PM BST
u were right mm -but not about sunderland not scoring
Report morpteh mackem April 19, 2025 5:00 PM BST

Apr 19, 2025 -- 4:44PM, The Dragon wrote:


u were right mm -but not about sunderland not scoring


was a worldy tbfGrin

Report onthehoy April 20, 2025 1:14 PM BST
2 losing bets yesterday, need at least a couple of winners from today’s 4 selections to stay in profit for the month

I think I’ll take a chance today on Man Utd   @  2.68

also, a couple of Asian handicap bets: Fulham +0.25 goals @ 1.91 & Liverpool -1.75 goals @ 1.87

and over to France for an Over 2.5 goals bet:

Lille v Auxerre  @  1.76

Good Luck All
Report onthehoy April 21, 2025 2:26 PM BST
Only 1 return from yesterday’s bets so I’m back in the red for the month, -0.80pts

5 selections today to, hopefully, get me back in the black again

Hull @  2.00
Luton v Bristol City DRAW @ 3.3

Asian Handicap: Leeds -1.50 goals @ 1.86

Over 2.5 goals: Millwall v Norwich @ 2.20

BTTS: Burton v Birmingham @ 1.94

Good luck All
Report morpteh mackem April 21, 2025 2:31 PM BST
Sunderland team is bit of a botch job, Blackburn dnb got to be the shout
Report Foinavon April 21, 2025 2:37 PM BST
I wonder if Leeds will put on a show today. AOHW looks tempting at 4.7
Report onthehoy April 21, 2025 2:46 PM BST
Fionavan, I was thinking the same about Leeds and was considering going for -2 & -3 goals on the AH,
but after a run of a few losing bets, thought I’d play safe with -1.5 goals
Report Foinavon April 21, 2025 3:07 PM BST
I noticed your AH we are essentially hoping for the same thing. They are I up already.
Report Foinavon April 21, 2025 3:09 PM BST
2-0
Report Foinavon April 21, 2025 3:16 PM BST
I've taken the profit here but might be worth having a second bite if the price decays enough.
Report Foinavon April 21, 2025 3:28 PM BST
Wow, 4-0 after only 26 minutes, I should have held on!.
Report SirNorbertClarke April 21, 2025 4:20 PM BST
Always wise to get your stake money back if it comes with a tidy profit.
Report Foinavon April 21, 2025 4:26 PM BST
Agreed, Nobby, I took the meat but left the gravy. The prices on AOHW decay rapidly during a goalless period. Pass the parcel as you recently mentioned.
Report The Dragon April 26, 2025 7:47 AM BST
Morning all

Gone for 3 homes today, Wolves 1/2, Stockport 4/5 and Boro at 4/7.

GL
Report kingscrewed April 26, 2025 11:50 AM BST
Morning all, today's btts bets all minimum 1.8!and singles as per

Newcastle
Southampton
Wolves
Hull
Barnsley
Crawley
Walsall

Massive game again for my team Derby away at Hull could be any score, starting to get nervous now
Report onthehoy April 26, 2025 12:31 PM BST
I’m back in the black for the month with 4 of my 5 Monday selections giving a return

hoping to start with a profit  with BTTS in QPR v Burnley @ 2.3

I reckon Burnley should be good for a goal or 2 and QPR have scored in 19 of 22 home games this season, so maybe they can find a way past a tight Burnley defence

Kingscrewed, I will be keeping an eye on the Derby game hoping they can take the 3pts (like to see them doing ok as I lived only about 20 mins away from Pride Park for about 20 years), I've also gone for this game to back BTTS

Good Luck All
Report onthehoy April 26, 2025 2:47 PM BST
Monthly LSP down to +1.12pts after my first bet of the day

9 selections from 7 games for my 3pm bets

Home wins:  Brighton @ 1.84   Burton @  2.04

Asian Handicap: Newcastle -2.25 goals @  2.09  Brighton -1 goal @ 2.41

Over 2.5 goals:Hull v Derby @ 2.8 Middlesbrough v Norwich @ 1.64
Cheltenham v Carlisle @ 1.84

BTTS:  Cheltenham v Carlisle  @  1.73  Wrexham v Charlton   @ 2.24

Kingscrewed, I changed my mind on the Derby game and switched to Over 2.5 goals instead of BTTS

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon April 26, 2025 4:46 PM BST
goallllllllllll derby 0-1 6 mins to go
Report onthehoy April 27, 2025 12:34 PM BST
5 winners and a returned stake from my 9 selections yesterday

I am giving the 2 Premier league & FA Cup games a miss today, but have 4 selections from European early afternoon games


Home wins: Heerenveen @ 2.10  Inter Milan  @ 1.83  Fiorentina  @ 1.97

Asian Handicap: Ajax -1 goal @ 1.79


Good Luck All
Report The Dragon April 27, 2025 1:29 PM BST
gl oth -been a great season for your newcastle- hoping we can win the prem league in the sunshine at anfield todayCool
Report The Dragon April 27, 2025 1:30 PM BST
boro let me down yesterdayCry
Report onthehoy April 27, 2025 2:02 PM BST
You having any bets on the game Dragon?

I can't make my mind up, was thinking Liverpool -2 goals on AH or Over 3.5 goals (or maybe both)
Report The Dragon April 27, 2025 2:32 PM BST
no oth i very rarely bet on liverpool games as i dont want to jinx themCrazy

3-1or 3-0 correct score wd be my guess
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 1:32 PM BST
Just one bet for me today,
Viking V Haugesund AOHW currently around 3.1
In 5 games so far in the Eliteserien Viking Stavanger have scored 16 and conceded 11, their opponents have scored just 1 and conceded 9 in 4 games. I took a better price last night and the correct scores board was then wiped but is back up this morning. I will look for better prices in play and trade as appropriate.
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 1:42 PM BST
A word to the wise, these markets don't always have a lot of liquidity so you often see wide spreads and can't always trade when you want to. The straight win market won't have that problem.
Report The Dragon April 30, 2025 4:17 PM BST
gl foin

bham to win at blakpool tonight - nothing to play for but brum just too good
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 5:44 PM BST
Thanks, the Dragon, good luck with Brum too.
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 6:12 PM BST
So far so good, 2-1 HT and Haugesund down to 10 men. More than doubled my stake but may go back in should the price ease sufficiently.
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 6:43 PM BST
Viking have taken off hat-trick scorer Tripic at 62 minutes. They have probably settled for 3-1. No matter I'm out.
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 6:59 PM BST
Two more in added time to finish 5-1
Report The Dragon April 30, 2025 7:17 PM BST
great stuff foin - top betting/punting
Report kingscrewed April 30, 2025 7:41 PM BST
Sportsbook special going 1.83 for over 1.5 in Barcelona, Mansfield and Blackpool games have had a few quid on I know Brum have had a few 1 nils and Inter have great defensive record this season in the champions league but fancy it to land.
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 7:47 PM BST
Thanks, the Dragon. I'm reticent about putting up my bets because of the forum jinx and because I trade rather than blind squirrel a result. I hope some others profited too.
Report The Dragon April 30, 2025 8:27 PM BST
0-1 brum
Report The Dragon April 30, 2025 9:37 PM BST
0-2 happy that
Report Foinavon April 30, 2025 10:28 PM BST
WD The Dragon and Kingscrewed, happy days.
Report The Dragon April 30, 2025 10:30 PM BST
Cool
Report onthehoy May 2, 2025 3:29 PM BST
Dragon, Hope you were partying well into the night last Sunday after Liverpool’s win

It looks like the midweek posters here had some canny wins, wd all

2 out of 4 last Sunday ensured I finished April in profit, +2.62pts, but on a loss of -15.51pts for the season

I reckon I should have a good chance of reducing my season losses with a bet on Man City to win by 2 or more goals
or at least see a return of stake if only winning by a 1 goal margin, when they face a Wolves side who come into the game on the back of 6 wins from games against 6 of the bottom 7 teams

Asian Handicap Man City with -1 goals @ 1.66

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon May 2, 2025 4:40 PM BST
hey OTH

I sure was magnificant achievemebt so its been a great season for both our teams

i have had a go on Wolves to beat City given their incredible recent form.
Report easyrider May 3, 2025 10:04 AM BST
Championship today. Edge of the seat stuff, top and bottom.
Good luck to fans of any teams involved.
Report The Dragon May 3, 2025 10:40 AM BST
yes looking forward to it ER. no bets today other than wrexham to win at lincoln

hoping stockport can beat wycombe to finish a very honourable third
Report twizzle22 May 3, 2025 11:53 AM BST
Skybet are 10/1 on 1 goal or more in the Championship,Div1 and Div2
decent bet if you can get on (I'm restricted to£1)
Report onthehoy May 3, 2025 12:00 PM BST
At least I avoided a losing start to May with a returned stake from my Man City AH bet

3 home wins in the early games

Villa @ 1.91    Bristol City  @  1.97      Coventry  @  2.14

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon May 3, 2025 12:02 PM BST
thanks twizz shoved a fiver on it - bound to be a nil niller knocking aroundSad
Report The Dragon May 3, 2025 1:19 PM BST
only 2 games at half time in championship with no goals twizz so not a bad start- derby v stoke is a worrying one as a point will do them both
Report impossible123 May 3, 2025 1:24 PM BST
How did Watkins manage to be in the England squad? He was gazumped by Man Utd Rashford. He's only had 1 shot in the 1st 45mins.
Report The Dragon May 3, 2025 1:45 PM BST
just need a goal in the derby v stoke game for every game in champ to havr a goal. if it lands only 2 leagues to goCrazy
Report impossible123 May 3, 2025 2:17 PM BST
Finally Watkins had a sot after missing a sitter earlier.
Report onthehoy May 3, 2025 2:50 PM BST
2 winners from my 3 early games

4 more selections to complete my betting for today

Leicester @ 2.52  Blackpool @ 1.57   Arsenal @  1.91

Over 2.5 goals: Cambridge v Birmingham @ 1.91


Good Luck All
Report The Dragon May 9, 2025 8:48 PM BST
hoping stockport can get something at orient tomorrow
Report The Dragon May 10, 2025 7:44 AM BST
nice little winner last night on sunderland last night as postedon the match thread i put up.

pleasant start to a betting weekend 12/5 winner
Report onthehoy May 10, 2025 1:52 PM BST
WD with Sunderland bet last night Dragon, I wasn’t going to have a bet but ended up going for a Coventry win

A few winners last weekend cut my season loss down to -12.56pts

hoping at least 2 of my 3 selections come in today

Asian Handicap: Everton +0.5 goals @ 2.07    Man City -2 goals @ 1.97

BTTS: Wolverhampton v Brighton  @ 1.75


Good Luck All
Report The Dragon May 10, 2025 3:22 PM BST
thanks oth disappoited by the stockport result so close to a nice winner. if id been at home id have cashed out
Report Des Pond May 10, 2025 3:49 PM BST
unlucky Stockport, some shocking officiating today.
Report The Dragon May 10, 2025 3:52 PM BST
didnt see it des as was out with my son, was stockport robbed?
Report Des Pond May 10, 2025 3:55 PM BST
yeah, Orient goal miles offside but no VAR, so tough luck for Stockport. Orient pen looked a bit soft as well, but just about giveable.
Report The Dragon May 10, 2025 3:56 PM BST
ah ok i backed stockport , hopefully they will finish the job at edgely parkCool
Report kingscrewed May 10, 2025 4:05 PM BST
Gl Dragon, apparently first Orient goal was comfortably offside they couldn't believe it on the radio said goalscorer was almost embarrassed to celebrate
Report The Dragon May 10, 2025 4:33 PM BST
might go if they get to wembley kings...no chance of getting in at edgley
Report onthehoy May 11, 2025 11:29 AM BST
Losing day yesterday with only 1 of 3 giving a return

Hoping to get back on track with a bet on Newcastle @ 2.32

Good Luck All
Report onthehoy May 16, 2025 3:50 PM BST
Surely both home teams can come away with wins in tonight’s Premier League games

so for my first bet of the weekend I’ll try a Double
Villa / Chelsea @ 1.91

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon May 17, 2025 11:39 AM BST
yes vwd OTH - I had the same bet but added Brentford for a treble lets hope they can beat Fulham.
Report The Dragon May 17, 2025 11:40 AM BST
gutted at the stockport outcome and did a fewquid on them qualifying and getting promotionCry
Report TheSpyofJackdawsCastle May 17, 2025 11:49 AM BST
I may be back….to give you footy guys a few winners
Report TheSpyofJackdawsCastle May 17, 2025 11:50 AM BST
Thinking about it anyway
Report The Dragon May 17, 2025 12:00 PM BST
Your very welcome spy and i know you are a top punterCool
Report onthehoy May 17, 2025 12:12 PM BST
A few quid to play with today after last nights winning double, so I’ll go for Celtic to win by at least a 2 goal margin
Asian Handicap: Celtic -1.75 goals @ 1.87

Good Luck All
Report onthehoy May 18, 2025 1:49 PM BST
1 selection and 1 losing bet yesterday

I’ll try 2 home wins at odds against today
West Ham @ 3.05  & Brentford @ 2.08

and an Over 1.5 goals Treble @ 1.88  : West Ham v Forest / Leicester v Ipswich / Brentford v Fulham

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon May 18, 2025 7:42 PM BST
brentford did for meCry
Report TheSpyofJackdawsCastle May 21, 2025 3:09 PM BST
Spurs to be winning at half time @ 4.1 looks like ad decent bet to me
Report The Dragon May 21, 2025 3:32 PM BST
thanks spy i was looking for a bet in this game so will follow u in on that one, looking gorward to the game, shame spurs look to have a number of cricial players injured

COYS
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