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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
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Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 49,275 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report The Dragon August 17, 2024 4:32 PM BST
stockport winning they may save my day cmonnnn
Report The Dragon August 17, 2024 4:35 PM BST
gills winningCool
Report The Dragon August 17, 2024 4:59 PM BST
donny and boro cost meCry

the rest ok  stockport the big saver at a price
Report colupaul August 17, 2024 5:54 PM BST
Couple of throwaway bets in the IR market… Villa 1 up, backed AUQ @ 9.8… St Johnstone to beat Rangers @ 18.5…
Report Whisperingdeath August 18, 2024 12:30 PM BST
Quite encouraging yesterday although overall down

Hit quite a few of the right notes though but neccecelery in the right order

Doncaster were a shocker.

Pleased with Gillingham, Huddersfield, Brighton and Villa as ones to watch at the right time and odds

Today rolling the dice again

Palace away and Nice away to start

Then Citeh with somebody else maybe Ajax.

Sticking with doubles before moving back to trebles for now
Report onthehoy August 18, 2024 1:13 PM BST
managed to avoid a 100% loss yesterday, with my only return coming from my double

Lost on my Newcastle AH bet, but happy to see them hang on for the win

will try a couple of AH bets today

Palace +0.25 goals @ 1.66 
Chelsea +0.5 goals  @ 1.96
Report Analyst August 18, 2024 5:17 PM BST
Donny let me down on my four fold - they took a second half lead as well.

Boro had 20 goal attempts to Derby's 3 - just one of those days - if someone offered you 6/5 on a team with those stats without knowing the result you would take it. Latte Lath had a few very good opportunities and surprisingly did not take any.

A lot of games were surprisingly low scoring particularly on both teams to score, not sure why. For example EPL only two games were BTTS across 7 games on Friday and Saturday.
Report The Dragon August 22, 2024 7:51 AM BST
looking at the weekend fixtures i dont get why CRAWLEY are 4.4 to win at Wigan.

Crawley have started the season well with 2 out of two wins beating Blackpool at home and Cambridge away.

Wigan have lost both opening games to Charlton and Reading without scoring a goal.

I know its early in the season and form lines are not fully formed yet but i thought the price was unusually large.

If you fancy the lay Wigan are evens on here.

Other comments re the rest of the other fixtures to follow at some stage.
Report The Dragon August 22, 2024 9:55 AM BST
No strong fancies this weekend but have backed DONCASTER and HUDDERSFIELD in an even money Double.

I think Watford and Swansea look solid home wins.

Good luck whatever you go for.

Done over 2.5 goals in the following games Newport,Burton and Coventry.

Good luck all
Report The Dragon August 22, 2024 10:05 AM BST
I think Fulham will beat Leicester at 4/5
Report Garden Of Gulab August 22, 2024 7:51 PM BST
I was at the Reading / Wigan match, Wigan were very poor, I agree with your comment about them being seemingly overpriced
Report The Dragon August 23, 2024 7:22 AM BST
thanks for that info Garden of Gulap , very helpful and the match stats back that up
Report onthehoy August 24, 2024 11:48 AM BST
Only 1 win from 5 bets last weekend

Will try my luck in one of the early games
Bristol city @ 2.62 

Good Luck All
Report 36DD August 24, 2024 12:03 PM BST
My bet is Middlesbrough to win and Danny Wellbeck to score at anytime.
Pays just over 7/2

Good luck today everyone
Report kingscrewed August 24, 2024 12:07 PM BST
Sportsbook going Mitoma to be fouled in the Brighton game boosted to 2.0
Report 36DD August 24, 2024 1:06 PM BST
Nice one Danny
Report onthehoy August 24, 2024 2:45 PM BST
1st bet a loser with Coventry scoring with their only shot on target

try 3pm games now

Fulham @ 1.94
Palace @ 2.00
and N.Forest on Asian Handicap with +0.25 goals @ 1.91
Report Whisperingdeath August 25, 2024 10:52 AM BST
Hit plenty of the right notes again yesterday but still not quite in the right order. A stupid inclusion of Malmo to boost the odds cost me dear!

Yesterdays take aways though left me liking

Huddersfield
Birmingham
Gillingham
Stockport, Watford, West Brom ( keep an eye on ),

Also there is mileage in Forest, Fulham possibly Palace and West Ham, against Southampton in the right circumstances. I think those sides will get goods odds against them and might prove lucrative to add one to an acca as a speculative addition
Report Whisperingdeath August 25, 2024 10:54 AM BST
Southampton and Everton, probably Ipswich look like whipping boys
Report Whisperingdeath August 25, 2024 11:02 AM BST
I’ve hit a number of combinations on

Newcastle
Chelsea
Celtic
Bayern + ( -1 and -2 )
+ Lens
+Swansea

Liverpool
Aberdeen
Union Gilloise
Real Madrid + (-1 and -2 )
Report Whisperingdeath August 25, 2024 11:10 AM BST
Also Brighton look pretty good too
Report kingscrewed August 25, 2024 11:40 AM BST
Mitoma to be fouled landed in the first 15 minutes yesterday.

Seen this morning Paddy's paying out on Everton to be relegated!
Report onthehoy August 25, 2024 1:36 PM BST
2 out of 4 yesterday for a small loss

hoping for a Newcastle win, @ 2.82, to take me into profit for the weekend

Good luck All
Report The Dragon August 26, 2024 1:27 PM BST
Pretty decent weekend here with some good selections landing. Pity about Crawley at Wigan but hey ho

Had a bet today on Barnet 5/6 and York 2/5 Double and a

Single bet on Barnet
Report The Dragon August 26, 2024 4:53 PM BST
bobbins
Report colupaul August 26, 2024 8:19 PM BST
18 League Cup ties each involving one team priced up at 2/1 or bigger… surely a profit to be made there backing singles only especially with 356 2 goal payout a useful tool…

Tempted to back the lot, for now have gone for a 2 point Yankee on Brum, Barrow, Orient and Oxford, also 5 point win singles…

Didn’t have a play the weekend, having backed 12 pokes at 2/1 or bigger only Colchester against MK Dons has obliged so after 3 weeks losses are substantial, only need one big week to get in front but as things settle down in the respective divisions that becomes harder to do, will probably stop at a 200 point loss… Grin
Report colupaul August 28, 2024 12:42 PM BST
6 out of 18 winners last night: 16/5, 11/4, 7/2, 2/1, 15/4 and 3/1, a 33% profit at level stakes... seems harder to turn over the Prem sides these days with their talented squads... tonight the same with seven sides at 2/1 or bigger, I'll have a punt on Colchester meself...

42 points laid out yesterday with only Orient obliging, 18 point loss Plain current form for me reads: L, L, L, L Grin
Report Analyst August 30, 2024 10:23 PM BST
Bets for the weekend

Fleetwood @ 3.60 (they were unlucky not to beat Gillingham last week and beat Div 1 Rotherham on Tuesday night) AFC Wimbledon played 24 hours later and there might be a bit of after the Lord Mayors Show after knocking out Premier League Ipswich.

Reading @ 2.58 see Div 1 thread.

On BetFred's BTTS Bonus shop coupon is Man United game and West Ham game both are quite short odds on Betfair exchange for BTTS, you need to find a third game to get a 5/1 treble (current offer) - there must be value in many selections. I haven't picked any of these games but these are decent possibilities - Derby, Forest, Ipswich, Everton, Brentford, Northampton, Rochdale, Leicester, Raith.
Report Analyst August 31, 2024 1:10 AM BST
Add Shrewsbury @ 3.45 (Orient had a draining game at Millwall in mid week while S'bury rested).
Report Whisperingdeath August 31, 2024 4:30 AM BST
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Gillingham

Fulham
Villa
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 8:38 AM BST
Morning everyone

My main bet this weekend is BRADFORD 13/10 to win at Grimsby. Bradford have sratarted the season well after a good end to last season and have a great record v Grimsby who have had an average start to the season. I expect bradford to be in the promotion hunt this season.

I also like Charlton at 2/1 at reading and Huddersfield at Rotherham 29/20 for an away day patent and treble.

other teams of interest are newport at 23/10 Walsall at 4/6 and gills at 17/10.

good luck with your bets this weekendExcited
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 8:38 AM BST
have also done villa and fulham in the prem
Report morpteh mackem August 31, 2024 9:15 AM BST
bromley, walsall and ayr for me
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 10:53 AM BST
gl MM
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 11:31 AM BST
some info on the Newport selection:

- Morecambe are yet to score this season and have lost their opening four games.
- Newport have won their last two games 3-1 and will be looking to continue their form.
- Morecambe have lost each of their last five league meetings with Newport County
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 11:32 AM BST
23/10 seems big
Report onthehoy August 31, 2024 11:58 AM BST
I think only 3 winning bets from 12 posted on here this month
need a (miracle) full house this weekend to finish August on a profit


I’ll start today's betting with an Arsenal/Burnley double @ 2.60   both 12:30ko
also Arsenal on the Asian Handicap @ 2.1 with -1.5 goals

I also have a selection in an early Polish game:

1:45ko Puszcza Niepolomice   @  2.58


Good Luck All
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 12:03 PM BST
gl oth
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 12:45 PM BST
gills winningCool
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 1:50 PM BST
red card gillsCry
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 2:01 PM BST
red card huddersfield ffsDevil
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 2:03 PM BST
goal huddersfield gtfi!!!!!
Report onthehoy August 31, 2024 2:49 PM BST
no returns so far, but there’s still hope for my bet in Polish league,   0-0 at HT

only 2 bets for 3pm games

Derby v Bristol City  BTTS @ 1.90

and Brentford to beat Southampton @ 1.86
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 3:10 PM BST
newport winningCool
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 3:11 PM BST
gills win and huddersfield lose-red card did for them
Report The Dragon August 31, 2024 4:32 PM BST
bradford costing me todayCry
Report Analyst September 4, 2024 2:28 AM BST
Shrewsbury won @ 3.55
Reading won @ 2.58 (sorry Dragon)
Fleetwood lost @ 3.60

Those three games gave a 18 point net profit overall.

My three Betfred BTTS Bonus treble lost - Luton and WHU came in but Man United failed to score. The only team out of 20 in the EPL not to score last weekend. Because the MU game was on the Sunday I was able to green up before the MU game to give a guaranteed profit of 24 points.
Report The Dragon September 4, 2024 12:35 PM BST
Yes very well done Analyst Top Betting m8Cool
Report The Dragon September 6, 2024 6:28 PM BST
not sure o the pricing of newport v port vale which is

Newport 23/10-Port Vale 23/20

Newport have won 3 out of 4 and 3 on the bounce winnning both home games 3-1.

Port Vale have lost the last 2 games and won only 1 game beating salford on the first game of the season 0-2.

prices seem wrong imvho- newport look value at 23/10
Report The Dragon September 6, 2024 6:34 PM BST
walsall also look too big at 9/4 away at under peforming MKD
Report Whisperingdeath September 7, 2024 7:25 AM BST
Strange price indeed

Something up?
Report Whisperingdeath September 7, 2024 7:31 AM BST
Notts County
Barrow
Bradford
Wrexham
Walsall
Newport

Gillingham and draw
Report The Dragon September 7, 2024 10:44 AM BST
i like Coolall of those WD
Report onthehoy September 7, 2024 12:47 PM BST
Only 4 winners from my 16 bets posted last month

couple of odds against singles to start this month off

Charlton @ 2.56
Gateshead @ 2.60

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon September 7, 2024 1:28 PM BST
gl oth
Report stocks September 7, 2024 2:31 PM BST
Been doing Div 2 grounds on the way to the 92 Accrington Stanley have been shocking the twice I've seen them so Notts County bet plus adding Charlton for double good luck to all
Report The Dragon September 7, 2024 2:33 PM BST
thanks stocks gl m8
Report The Dragon September 7, 2024 4:33 PM BST
newport 2 red cards and losing 1-4 makes u wonder doesnt itDevil
Report The Dragon September 7, 2024 4:34 PM BST
how did they make port vale so short and favs -they ficking knewDevil
Report Whisperingdeath September 9, 2024 2:51 AM BST
Yes that and Walsall

I think I covered Vale so did quite well. Good size wins as I got many of the notes in the right order. I quite like these lower two divisions.
Report The Dragon September 9, 2024 2:59 PM BST
i think Doncaster will win at Harrogate on thursday evening. i have taken 3/4 with 365.

5/6 on here.

Harrogate have lost both home games  without scoring a goal so far and donny are top of the tree with 4 wins out of 5.

hopefully will give us a good start to the betting weekend
Report The Dragon September 11, 2024 11:29 AM BST
Decided to do a small double with Sheff utd who are at Hull on Friday Evening.

DONNY is the main bet though
Report Whisperingdeath September 12, 2024 8:38 AM BST
I am in that too Dragon,

I think this weekend The Championship is where we could make some money. If anybody has any inside or local info it would be greatly appreciated.

I also fancy Gillingham to bounce back and win at home.
Report Whisperingdeath September 12, 2024 9:36 AM BST
Blackburn
Derby
Watford
Middlesborough

All at home

Sunderland and WBA are away

Notts County and Fleetwood away at big odds combine a plus one to give 10/1 plus
Report The Dragon September 12, 2024 1:28 PM BST
My bets for the weekend are as follows:

BRISTOL ROVERS to win at home (2/2) v Wigan (lost all away games) at 21/20.

STOCKPORT to win at Crawley at 9/10 (Crawley lost two on the bounce- Stockport no losses and 3/4 wins)

READING to win at home v Orient at 11/10. (Reading 2/2 at home Orient lost all 4 games.) Patent and Treble with 365.

In the Championship i like two home wins for Blackburn at Evens and Derby at 13/10 - Two singles and a double with 365.

If you fanciy a riskier bet Ive backed an away day Treble and Patent for teams in form against fancied teams who have made a poor start and they are :

LINCOLN at 23/10, HUDDERSFIELD at 9/4 and ChARLTON at 21/20.

Good Luck with all your bets this weekend and as usual all comments gratefully received.
Report colupaul September 12, 2024 8:55 PM BST
stocks - if you’re looking in, how many of the 92 have you visited currently?
Report flukes September 12, 2024 9:59 PM BST
The Dragon
The Dragon 09 Sep 24 14:59 Joined: 12 Mar 05 | Topic/replies: 49,195 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
i think Doncaster will win at Harrogate on thursday evening. i have taken 3/4 with 365.

5/6 on here.

Harrogate have lost both home games  without scoring a goal so far and donny are top of the tree with 4 wins out of 5.

hopefully will give us a good start to the betting weekend
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The Dragon
The Dragon 11 Sep 24 11:29 Joined: 12 Mar 05 | Topic/replies: 49,195 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Decided to do a small double with Sheff utd who are at Hull on Friday Evening.

DONNY is the main bet though

Stick to laying Wrexham for a profit
Report Foinavon September 12, 2024 10:16 PM BST
Donny were 1.7 to win this and Harrogate were off to a poor start this season so the Dragon's bet was logical.
Donny's performance tonight was lacklustre, they look scrappy for a team leading the division.
I noticed there was a bit of 13 still available on Notts. Co to win this division so I matched it. I think their price should be nearer 8 or 9 from what I've seen so far.
Report stocks September 13, 2024 9:32 AM BST
Hi colupaul done all Premier league last count was 67 now semi retired so get chance to go midweek more Weekends difficult as help  other half business
Report The Dragon September 13, 2024 10:52 AM BST
yes doncaster performance was very disappointing- 70per cent possesion had more shots on and off target than Harrogate with 37 touches in the box compared to Harrogates 14.

Bad day at the office
Report Whisperingdeath September 13, 2024 11:19 AM BST
It happens

Doncaster are a bogey side for me this season.

A few odds on tonight but tomorrow is a big day

Dortmund, Lisbon,

Lille, Betis

Sheffield United?
Report colupaul September 13, 2024 10:24 PM BST
stokes - fair play to you mate, it's an excellent hobby to undertake if you have the time, resources and an understanding missus Grin I got up to 77 I believe before I knocked it on the head... geography coupled with a lack of enthusiasm for the driving did for me.  It was only in the mid 90s that I thought I'd give the 92 a go, I had done about 40 grounds by then... another issue was different teams being promoted from the Conference as it was back then, had a quick tally up and have visited 12 National League grounds.  It's a good way to see the country and for me have some decent ale, the places I wish I had got to are Liverpool, Newcastle, Cardiff, Swansea, Wrexham and Carlisle, twice over a couple of seasons I as due to visit Carlisle and couldn't be bothered with the drive, it was then I effectively through the towel in, last ground being Macclesfield in 2019 who also have dropped out the League!  Keep us updated on your travels mate...
Report colupaul September 13, 2024 10:31 PM BST
My venture in to yankee land ended with 5 attempts and a loss of 142 points Shocked that hair brained scheme now shelved... done an early doors dub tomorrow Burnley and Wimbledon paying 10/1, cheers...
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 7:13 AM BST
Never give up Paul!

Get a driver!
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 7:16 AM BST
4 out if 5 last night. I feel something coming

Still liking the Championship

Blackburn
Derby
Sunderland ( away )

If there is a God.

I do fancy Watford too at home.
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 7:51 AM BST
Top 4 in National League look good too
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 8:06 AM BST
nice win for sheff utd
Report kingscrewed September 14, 2024 10:20 AM BST
Morning all Derby fan here. Confused by the price for us today 2.38 have won last 9 at pride park in all comps playing bottom I know very early. Expected about 2.0 bookies saying Cardiff slightly better. Saying that we have history in losing these kind of games including losing to Sunderland years ago to Dave Roy Keane from being sacked. We are on the back of a excellent performance beating Bristol City 3 nil last time out although we were under the cosh for 20 minutes or so until we scored. Early days with our new Swedish keeper who is 6 foot 6 and spreads himself like Peter Schmichael although what I've seen I'm not fully convinced coming out for crosses. Added to this we added Nat Phillips from Liverpool and Marcus Harness from Ipswich. Will be a lively atmosphere with the Welsh boys in town and approximately 30000 at pride park.Just hope the rams don't freeze under pressure as a win today will give them breathing space early from the relegation places.

Sportsbook going Kobee Mainoo to commit a foul at 2.0 £20 max he's committed at least 1 every game this season might have few quid on at 1.79 on the exchange as well.

Gl all
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 10:26 AM BST
Strange prices on Derby and Blackburn. What do the bookies know?
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 11:14 AM BST
im on derby at 2.44
Report Analyst September 14, 2024 11:34 AM BST
I went to Boro's game at Cardiff on Aug 31st and I thought based on that game Cardiff were a just under mid table side. Boro were well understrength though with most of the defence out injured and Cardiff failed to score.

I saw Derby v Boro on Sky and it was a very one sided game - somehow Boro managed to contrive to lose it, but I think the stats were 19-3 goals attempts in Boro's favour.


Based on those two games I would say Cardiff are a slightly better team. Cardiff also seem to struggle very badly at home and yes Derby do well at home, but its cancels itself out because Cardiff seem to gain most of their points away. Odds for this game look spot on to me.

In the Championship Burnley's odds look big @ Leeds - Burnley seems priced up as a non top 6 side and they must be a top 6 side.
Report onthehoy September 14, 2024 11:46 AM BST
1 winner from only 2 selections last weekend

2 bets on today's 12:30 games

Man Utd  @ 1.82
I reckon Leeds v Burnley @ 1.90 could be good for BTTS

I’ve been trying to find a couple of odds against teams to back and Derby is currently on my shortlist, still not 100% sure, but 2.40 is tempting

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 11:51 AM BST
gl oth - derby are one of my selections this weekend
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:28 PM BST
not sure why newport are 5/1 away at swindon. another strange price. swindon yet to win a game newport won 3/5 although had two red cards last week which may impact on the outcome
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:42 PM BST
1-0 alreadyShocked
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:52 PM BST
3-0 21 mins wow. these big or surprising prices this season have not been landing. market gets another one correct so far
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:58 PM BST
mainoo bet landed already kinggs vwd -ta

booked as well
Report kingscrewed September 14, 2024 1:02 PM BST
Cheers Dragon, definitely worth looking at the Saturday dinnertime boost
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 1:03 PM BST
yes will do in future thanks again -great shout
Report colupaul September 14, 2024 2:40 PM BST
Hold the front page… a 10/1 winner! Shocked

West Ham, Norwich, Reading and Colchester, trebs and Acca, same bet -1 handicap, cheers…
Report onthehoy September 14, 2024 2:50 PM BST
1 winner from my 2 early bets, try 3pm games now:

Derby @ 2.36
Sheff Wed @ 2.34
Fulham v West Ham DRAW @ 3.45

Over 2.5 goals  Blackburn v Bristol City @ 2.02

Asian Handicap, Man City – 2 goals @ 2.02

2 short priced doubles
Brighton/Middlesbrough @ 2.16
York/Forest Green @ 1.82

Good Luck All
Report Analyst September 14, 2024 2:50 PM BST
After Dragon's tip - Lincoln City @ 3.60

Latte Lath FGS @ 9/2 - he looked fired up last time out.
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 2:54 PM BST
gl OTH and Analyst
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 2:57 PM BST
followed you on LL first goal scorer analystCool
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:07 PM BST
stocpkort 1 upCool
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:17 PM BST
blackburn winningGrin
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:18 PM BST
boro 1 up conway not ll
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:40 PM BST
ffs bristol 2 down to wigan you couldnt make it upSad
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 4:13 PM BST
blackburn in the bagCool

forget bristol roversCry
Report colupaul September 15, 2024 12:46 PM BST
WD - are you throwing your hat in the ring for the vacant chauffeur position? Grin

Woeful 3pm picks from me... Colchester throwing away a 3-1 lead against 10 man pointless Morecambe, you couldn't make it up...
A lot of dross it seems bottom half of League Two, I've gone in again on Colchester relegation @ 14/1...

Sunday dub Pompey/Spurs @ 11/1, cheers...
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