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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 45,795 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report onthehoy November 10, 2023 1:56 PM GMT
Whisperingdeath, I’m with you on 2 of your selections tonight

Will go for a single on Blackburn at 2.06 on exchange

and try a bet on Trebles/4 fold
Blackburn  @ 1.95
Silkeborg  @ 1.8
R.Bucharest  @ 2.8
Schalke v Elversberg Over 2.5 goals  @ 1.50

Good Luck All
Report twoquidew November 10, 2023 4:16 PM GMT
Some thoughts on rovers v pne tonight.
We have been a bit gash with derbies under jdt and Preston have a good record here. I think we have genuinely picked up and played well at Norwich  but they were not at their best to say the least.
However rovers play some really classy stuff at times and are always a good watch, but not for the faint hearted.

I don't normally back us but had a few quid the Norwich game so I  might risk a couple more on rovers tonight.But this could go either way and both yes have injuries to key players. Rankin Costello latest a sad miss as he's been brilliant this season. Hopefully our collective nous we see through.

2.06 a bit short for me though and certainly wouldn't be on odds on.

Btts looks good though and we don't do draws.gl if you're on.

Btw rovers were 148 yrs old on the 5th November had a lovely tour round the ground last week.
Report twoquidew November 10, 2023 4:16 PM GMT
Some thoughts on rovers v pne tonight.
We have been a bit gash with derbies under jdt and Preston have a good record here. I think we have genuinely picked up and played well at Norwich  but they were not at their best to say the least.
However rovers play some really classy stuff at times and are always a good watch, but not for the faint hearted.

I don't normally back us but had a few quid the Norwich game so I  might risk a couple more on rovers tonight.But this could go either way and both yes have injuries to key players. Rankin Costello latest a sad miss as he's been brilliant this season. Hopefully our collective nous we see through.

2.06 a bit short for me though and certainly wouldn't be on odds on.

Btts looks good though and we don't do draws.gl if you're on.

Btw rovers were 148 yrs old on the 5th November had a lovely tour round the ground last week.
Report Whisperingdeath November 11, 2023 9:40 AM GMT
Yep

Did not work out but that is the roll sometimes
Nothing great today but having a roll on Portsmouth Peterborough

And

Aldershot ( 2.2? ) +draw + Kidderminster

Bigger bet on the Aldershot treble but small amounts on the other two as the 2.2 is plain Wrong!
Report onthehoy November 11, 2023 11:35 AM GMT
Only 1 single so far, Palace @ 2.68

Once again Whisperingdeath, I’m with you on 2 of your selections (sorry for putting the jinx on your picks!!!)
Portsmouth & Peterborough

1 bet for Over 2.5 goals
Cardiff v Norwich @ 1.9 on exchange

I think I’ll stick the above 4 games in Trebles/4Fold

Also
1 Asian Handicap bet
Crewe +0.25  @  2.0

I can’t decide whether to go for Millwall or maybe cover the draw/away win on the AH????

Good luck All
Report Analyst November 11, 2023 2:27 PM GMT
Both to Score Bonus coupon - Betfred

West Ham
Bolton
Afc Wimbledon
Walsall

4 trebles (each treble is 9/2)
Report Analyst November 11, 2023 2:33 PM GMT
I am surprised Leicester are 2.62 - they have won 7 out of 7 away games this season - they must have at least 40% chance of winning this afternoon @ Boro who have already lost 3 home games this season.
Report Analyst November 11, 2023 2:59 PM GMT
Final bet for 3pm

Luton/Arsenal double @ 14/1 - Betfair sportsbook
Report Whisperingdeath November 13, 2023 12:14 AM GMT
Small loss for the weekend. Charlton equaliser was a kicker but who is to say would not have lost that money today? We live to gamble on.

Not much this week. Try not to get involved. Will enjoy both cricket semi finals with steak and Shiraz or Stellenbosch!
Report Whisperingdeath November 13, 2023 12:14 AM GMT
Small loss for the weekend. Charlton equaliser was a kicker but who is to say would not have lost that money today? We live to gamble on.

Not much this week. Try not to get involved. Will enjoy both cricket semi finals with steak and Shiraz or Stellenbosch!
Report Whisperingdeath November 13, 2023 12:15 AM GMT
Sometimes we forget we love sport
Report The Dragon November 16, 2023 9:01 AM GMT
Hi Guys ,

Just back from a hot break in Gambia.

Thanks for all your posts and I will be posting my selections for the weekend by Friday!
Report morpteh mackem November 16, 2023 2:22 PM GMT
harrogate price looks a tad large ( home to swindon )
Report Whisperingdeath November 17, 2023 11:11 AM GMT
Some good prices in League One and National League
No
Going to roll the dice in some decent priced trebles like Barnet, Solihull and Bromley / Chesterfield

Add Dagenham, York and Aldershot into a mix


Stockport and Mansfield

Then mixes of the two above but also not them for the odds Notts County and Wrexham

Gif the roulette add in or mix

Barrow, Sutton and if you’re feeling lucky Swinedon
Report Whisperingdeath November 17, 2023 11:15 AM GMT
Sorry League Two
Report The Dragon November 17, 2023 11:59 AM GMT
my system has given me 2 teams this weekend:

Mansfield 2/5 and Barrow 20/21

Good Luck all
Report Analyst November 18, 2023 1:15 AM GMT
Poor betting weekend for me last week.

Only 1 of the 4 BTTS came in. Poorest BTTS bet results of the season. I should always get at least 2.

Leicester lost, but lookin at their performance I can see why they are top - most of the team are Premier League players - their luck ran out at Boro who are now playing like a top 6 side.

Arsenal won but Luton lost at MU, but not by much.
Report onthehoy November 18, 2023 10:54 AM GMT
Dragon, good time in Gambia? Roaming around the countryside, river cruising or just sitting around on the beach all day drinking cold beers getting ready for a return to betting

Hoping Notts Co. (12:30 k.o.) will get me off to a good start today @ 1.94
Will see how the above bet goes then decide what to place on the following in the 3pm games

Home Wins:
Blackpool   Barnet   Bromle

Over 2.5 Goals
Sutton Utd v Tranmere, Dorking v Boreham Wood, Southend v Chesterfield

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 11:03 AM GMT
hey OTH

Gambia was amazing and we did a lot of travelling around to experience the real Gambia.

Such a poor country with no free education and loads and loads of people with very little.

People were lovely but it was a very reflective experience comparing their lives of very little to our lives in the west.

Very humbling experience.

It was also very warm but has given me a taste for further visits to Africa.

Good luck with your bets m8
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 1:57 PM GMT
good start with Notts Co OTHCool
Report onthehoy November 18, 2023 2:08 PM GMT
Hope Notts Co. is not my only winner today!!

will add Cove Rangers to my home wins above and go for Trebles and 4Fold

plus a win single on Barnet @ 2.2

+ Could do with a good run from Easy Street in 3:39 Wetherby

GoodLuck All
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 2:09 PM GMT
yes easy street was on my shortlist
Report colupaul November 18, 2023 3:00 PM GMT
Switching sports... Grand Slam of Darts is reaching its conclusion this weekend and I've been impressed with both the performance and attitude of Rob Cross... seems a different animal to the man of earlier years, playing with a bit more aggression, had a bit of a spat with MvG after their group game earlier in the tourney, plays Damon Heta tonight for a place in the semi final... after Cross' victory against Nathan Aspinall had a look for a price on Cross to win the Worlds and was pleased to see 33/1 avaiable, had some of that... others thinking the same and 25/1 now best which is still reasonable imo... having said all that I do think Luke Humphries will take a lot of beating (was 7/1 a week ago, now 11/2) but not for me at the price, cheers...
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 3:08 PM GMT
Mansfield winningCool
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 3:47 PM GMT
boooooooommmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm  east street gtfi
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 3:47 PM GMT
think  it won
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 3:49 PM GMT
u put it up in the comp OTH ?
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 3:49 PM GMT
it won get in . backed it and layed the fav ..nice
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 3:50 PM GMT
9/1 wtf i has it at 19.00 on bfCool
Report onthehoy November 18, 2023 4:03 PM GMT
aye Dragon, it was my competion selection, should put me in with a good chance of getting back in the Premier league

I could do with some early second half goals, only 1 of my home wins leading and only 1 goal in each of my Over 2.5 goals games, plenty time though
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 4:06 PM GMT
barrow winningCool
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 4:11 PM GMT
be good to see u back in prem OTH

not sure how it will work with all the shearer to the rescue elections gone

will 8 go up?
Report The Dragon November 18, 2023 4:57 PM GMT
booooooooooommmmmmmm double system landed  hope you were on
Report Whisperingdeath November 18, 2023 6:51 PM GMT
Slight up on the day bug disappointed as backed Wrexham in 5 Acca’s  Could of been a momentous night
Report The Dragon November 21, 2023 1:47 PM GMT
CHESTERIELD at 4/7 away at Woking tonight looks a solid bet

Woking lost 6/7 with 4 out of 4 home losses in recent games

Chesterfield only lost 2 all season with 11 wins out of 15 games.

looks a solid away bet
Report onthehoy November 21, 2023 1:56 PM GMT
Good luck with your selections tonight Dragon

I’ve picked out 4 National League games for tonight


2 home wins, Double @ 3.32
Bromley & Halifax

Over 2.5 goals Double @ 2.59
Ebbsfleet United v Maidenhead
York v Oxford City
Report The Dragon November 21, 2023 2:28 PM GMT
cheers oth and very good luck with your picks also
Report kingscrewed November 21, 2023 4:59 PM GMT
Quiet like the look of Chesterfield also, with btts pays 2-1

Gl all
Report Whisperingdeath November 21, 2023 6:43 PM GMT
I am on Chesterfield but also geared up with a mix of Eastleigh, Bromley, Maidenhead ( Wot? ), Hartlepool ? Are you mad! ) also backed both those long shots on DNB as both home teams look shot to buggery. Also thrown Orient into a mix but most low stakes.

I backed the team against Fylde at least twice and been crushed! I will take the tip offered by hoy hoping for retribution!
Report The Dragon November 22, 2023 8:03 AM GMT
Nice and comfortable win 0-2 by Chesterfield last night
Report The Dragon November 23, 2023 8:13 AM GMT
BOLTON at 3/5 are the systems highest rated team this weekend and I have backed them accordingly.

These teams are going in separate directions with Bolton having won 7 out of 8 and Exeter has lost 7 out of 8.

Exeter have also lost their last 4 away games conceding 12 goals in the process and scoring only 1 all to teams lower that Bolton (apart from Oxford). Exeter have not beaten a team above 111 th all season and Bolton currently are in 3rd Place 1 point off top.

The home win looks a solid bet.

Other teams on the system are Mansfield 23/20 and Stockport 8/13. These are my three main bets of the weekend in singles and muti bets.

I have also added Accrington at 11/4 who look good value and Soton at 7/10

Acca on all 5 .

Good luck all
Report colupaul November 24, 2023 4:43 PM GMT
Barrow, Bristol Rovers, Millwall and Pollock… 3 pts on each and 1 pt Yankee, cheers…
Report morpteh mackem November 24, 2023 6:15 PM GMT
brum look a tad big, was expecting 4/6ish
Report The Dragon November 24, 2023 7:21 PM GMT
2.18 on here mm

both teams in very poor form no bet for me
Report morpteh mackem November 24, 2023 7:58 PM GMT

Nov 24, 2023 -- 1:21PM, The Dragon wrote:


2.18 on here mmboth teams in very poor form no bet for me


based on sheff wed being totally inept. Brum were decent and 6th in league before Rooney got the job.

Report The Dragon November 24, 2023 8:47 PM GMT
yup but not won in 5 losing 4 and drawing 1 couldnt back a team wit that form esp with rooney at the helm

good luck if you give them a shot
Report Wist November 25, 2023 6:14 AM GMT
Good Morning all.
No rest for the wicked. I am on my way to work.
Man City v Liverpool
Salah to score odds very decent 3.3
Regards
Report The Dragon November 25, 2023 9:29 AM GMT
i do hope that one wins WistWink
Report onthehoy November 25, 2023 10:56 AM GMT
4 losing selections with my midweek picks, so can only improve today :-)

Over 2.5 goals
bet to start today’s betting in German Bundesliga 2  12:00ko
Hansa Rostock v St Pauli  @ 2.04

I’m going for a single on Birmingham, 2.34 on exchange
Sheffield have have failed to score in 8 of their last 9 games and have lost their last 5 away games to an aggregate score of 9-0, so despite Birmingham having lost 4 of their last 5 games, they did manage to score in their last 3 games (4 goals) so maybe they can maybe do enough to put at least 1 past Sheffield today to nick a win


Also fancy Middlesbrough and Southampton's chances of taking away wins


I’m thinking of covering the draw/home win with Sheff Utd on the Asian Handicap (2.00 with +0.25 goals)
or maybe I should just go for the win at 3.40, anyone fancy Sheefield United's chances today?

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon November 25, 2023 11:33 AM GMT
GL OTH

Dont fancy Sheffield at all if anything id be on Bournemouth but as 6/5 favs i think thats a bit skinny
Report Whisperingdeath November 25, 2023 12:17 PM GMT
I hope you are right this week Hoy. I am in that too.

Plenty of away wins to roll the dice at good prices
Report The Dragon November 25, 2023 3:46 PM GMT
bolton 2 up and paid out GTFI Cool
Report The Dragon November 25, 2023 6:39 PM GMT
poor outcome here but bolton as main bet was a good un
Report colupaul November 25, 2023 8:13 PM GMT
Barrow @ 6/4 only winner for me so a loss of 15.5 pts on the day… a rare dip into the Saturday footy once again confirms it a wasteful exercise… Laugh
Report colupaul November 25, 2023 10:59 PM GMT
I’ve had a bet on the EFL Trophy outright market, Reading @ 16/1… won all three of their group games with a goal difference of +19 and the competition appears to be a welcome relief to the clubs’ off the field issues… I assume that the team playing in the Trophy isn’t much different to the kids playing in League One week in week out whereas other teams use players with lesser experience… who knows, time will tell and Charlton up next at the Madjeski, cheers…
Report The Dragon November 26, 2023 7:08 PM GMT
wdnyt back reading with other peoples Monet
Report The Dragon November 28, 2023 12:35 PM GMT
a lot of games this evening in lower leagues and championship.

My system has given me

HOMES: Stockport 9/20,Blackburn 5/6,Barrow 19/20

AWAYS: Derby 21/20,Leicster 3/5 and Stoke 5/4

Highest Rated is Stockport and best Value is Blackburn

Gl whatever you go for
Report The Dragon November 28, 2023 12:35 PM GMT
a lot of games this evening in lower leagues and championship.

My system has given me

HOMES: Stockport 9/20,Blackburn 5/6,Barrow 19/20

AWAYS: Derby 21/20,Leicster 3/5 and Stoke 5/4

Highest Rated is Stockport and best Value is Blackburn

Gl whatever you go for
Report onthehoy November 28, 2023 1:11 PM GMT
A couple of winners on Saturday, so, not too bad

I’ll go for a single on Barnsley, just under even money on exchange

A short priced Treble at 2.80
Charlton 1.5
Mansfield 1.33
Stockport 1.4

Over 2.5 goals Double @ 3.24
Watford v Norwich  /   Doncaster v Colchester

Looking forwards to the Newcastle game tonight, just hope I hear 1 of the 4 alarms I have set for 15 mins before ko

Good Luck All
Report Whisperingdeath November 28, 2023 5:49 PM GMT
I like Barriw j stead of Charlton. Have also added Pompey to your list.
Report kingscrewed November 28, 2023 5:54 PM GMT
Have backed btts @
Cardiff
Barnsley
Wigan
Burton
Barrow
Forest Green
Mk Don's

Minimum price 1.8 all singles only, hoping for 5 winners

Gl all
Report Analyst November 28, 2023 7:37 PM GMT
Lay Boro @ 1.74 (seven of the first team is missing)

Back Watford @ 2.28 (Norwich have struggled this season)
Report Analyst November 29, 2023 1:14 PM GMT
Mixed betting results last night - small profit if betting to equal winnings

For example

Boro loss of £18
Watford win of £24

On £25 win target less commission.

I normally bet all single games on Betfair exchange to set winnings target.
Report The Dragon November 29, 2023 1:18 PM GMT
mixed bag here also waiting on Blackburn and the foxes tonight

boro did well with all those players out analyst

rally going well following their poor start
Report onthehoy November 29, 2023 1:36 PM GMT
Barnsley left it a bit late for me last night, 90+1mins, but they got there in the end
+ my goals bet came in to give a profit for the night.

Will try another short priced Treble tonight @ 3.3
Leeds / Southampton / Ipswich

And an over 2.5 goals single @ 1.81
Ipswich v Millwall

Still gutted about the Newcastle game last night!!!

Good Luck All
Report kingscrewed November 29, 2023 6:10 PM GMT
Well had a shocker last night just 1 out of 7 but we go again.

Tonight's btts all singles again are
Sunderland
Leeds
Southampton
Ipswich

Gl all
Report The Dragon November 30, 2023 1:01 PM GMT
sheff wed equaliser at leicster was a stinger

2/3 on homes with stockport somehow failing to get the ball over the line
Report The Dragon November 30, 2023 1:03 PM GMT
9 shots on target ffsCry
Report The Dragon December 1, 2023 10:07 AM GMT
Limited choices this weekend due to Fa Cup games.

Two teams from the system are :

Blackburn at 11/8 away at Sheff Wed and Gateshead at Evens away at Woking

Two singles and a double are the bets i have place

Good luck all
Report morpteh mackem December 1, 2023 2:14 PM GMT

Dec 1, 2023 -- 4:07AM, The Dragon wrote:


Limited choices this weekend due to Fa Cup games.Two teams from the system are :Blackburn at 11/8 away at Sheff Wed and Gateshead at Evens away at WokingTwo singles and a double are the bets i have placeGood luck all


gateshead game off

Report The Dragon December 1, 2023 3:08 PM GMT
Thanks MM...... and then there was oneSad
Report morpteh mackem December 1, 2023 3:13 PM GMT
Newport price tomorrow ( home to Barnet ) is a bit surprising ie bigger than expected
Report The Dragon December 1, 2023 3:33 PM GMT
i dont include fa cup games in my system for obvious reasons

stevenage look overpriced also at 10/11
Report morpteh mackem December 1, 2023 4:19 PM GMT
morton v dundee utd- off
Report The Dragon December 1, 2023 4:21 PM GMT
backed wigan tonight but not much of a price ...
Report morpteh mackem December 1, 2023 4:24 PM GMT
crewe v bristol rovers- off
Report kingscrewed December 1, 2023 4:30 PM GMT
Yeah Dragon Wigan not massive price but bigger than I expected though. Looking at them to score in both halves @ 2.1 on sportsbook on here will wait for team news but York shipping almost 2 goals a game in the league.
Report The Dragon December 1, 2023 4:33 PM GMT
not a bad shout that kings
Report Wist December 1, 2023 4:48 PM GMT
Good Afternoon all,
Poland 1st division
Gornik Zabrze v Pogon Szczecin. Friday 19:30
Pogon odds 2.42. Worth a look.
Gornik has got lots of financial problems. The players still waiting for part of their wages.
From memory Gornik lost last four games.
Regards
Report morpteh mackem December 1, 2023 7:19 PM GMT
forest green off ( undisclosed reasons )
Report Wist December 1, 2023 10:19 PM GMT
Gornik Zabrze v Pogon Szczecin 1-0
Regards
Report The Dragon December 2, 2023 8:11 AM GMT
vwd wist great call you know your polish footballCool
Report colupaul December 2, 2023 9:56 AM GMT
3pt win singles, 1 pt Yankee Doodle do… Horsham, Alfreton, West Brom and Sheffield United, cheers…
Report The Dragon December 2, 2023 10:13 AM GMT
he FA cup fixture between Blackpool and Forest Green Rovers has been postponed after the FA launched a last-minute investigation against Forest Green.

The second round tie was meant to be played at 3pm tomorrow but has not been delayed.

Blackpool have put out a statement on their website to confirm that the game has been called off along with an apology for their fans.

whats going on here then?
Report kingscrewed December 2, 2023 10:58 AM GMT
All hush hush about Forest Green but rumours might be a ineligible player same as Barnsley but only speculation.
Report The Dragon December 2, 2023 11:02 AM GMT
nicestart ast night with a wigan win- closer than i thought though but they really should have won by more
Report kingscrewed December 2, 2023 11:25 AM GMT
After 3 out of 4 on Wednesday pulled back some losses from Tuesday going for btts again.
Brentford 1.98
Burnley 2.00
Arsenal 2.32
Forest 1.92
Leeds 1.81
Swansea 1.84


All singles go all
Report Analyst December 2, 2023 2:56 PM GMT
Leeds @1.80

Blackburn @ 2.68

Betfred treble
Arsenal/Brentford/Newcastle - 7/2

Betfred BTTS Bonus - 9/2
Newcastle
Man City
Partick
Report colupaul December 2, 2023 9:35 PM GMT
2-1, 3-0 and 5-0 deadbeats for my picks and a nonner so 20 pt loss on the day, grim city… Plain
Report The Dragon December 3, 2023 10:46 AM GMT
blackburn thumped - did not see that one comingCry
Report The Dragon December 3, 2023 10:47 AM GMT
nice treble foe analyst vwd sirCool
Report The Dragon December 3, 2023 10:47 AM GMT
4/6 for kings - not too shabby
Report Analyst December 3, 2023 6:17 PM GMT
I followed the Dragon's advice on Blackburn - I too was surprised with a 3-1 defeat for Blackburn who look to be challenging for the play offs positions - thats the Championship for you.

Boro had at least 8 of the first 11 missing @ Leeds which was my logic for going for Leeds plus Leeds had won 6 on the spin at home.

BetFred treble was actually a special offered by the Bald one - the odds he offered were better than the Exchange odds on the individual outcomes.

BTTS - treble let down by Man U not scoring @ Newcastle.

Overall a reasonably profitable weekend.
Report The Dragon December 9, 2023 8:19 AM GMT
Morning all,

Not many highly rated teams this weekend from the system so low stakes but these are the highest ive got:

Wrexham 8/11 and Nots County at 3/5 have added Stockport at 13/20 for a league 2 Treble.

Others are Liverppol at 11/20, Stevenage at 27/20 and Derby at 21/20

Done them all in an acca and series of multiple bets.

Main bet WREXHAM at 8/11

Good luck if you give any of them a go.
Report kingscrewed December 9, 2023 9:30 AM GMT
Morning all 4 out of 6 last Saturday thanks to Swansea's late goal giving just over 30 percent profit.
Going btts again today just the 3 selections in England
Brighton 1.91
QPR 1.95
Rotherham 1.86

Gl all on a side note sportsbook going 2.0 on Salah having a shot on target, max £10
Report onthehoy December 9, 2023 10:45 AM GMT
Another goals bet for me in the early German 2.Bundesliga games, 12:00 ko

Over 2.5 goals double @ 2.47  Hamburg v Paderborn &  Kaiserslautern v Hertha Berlin

Also,
Liverpool @ 1.84 with -1 goal on the AH in the early Premier game

Good Luck All
Report onthehoy December 9, 2023 11:51 AM GMT
1 more German 12:00ko game to add to my bets

Greuther Furth at 2.06

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon December 9, 2023 12:10 PM GMT
Good luck kings and OTHCool
Report The Dragon December 9, 2023 2:43 PM GMT
first one in - liverpool -close one though
Report onthehoy December 9, 2023 2:48 PM GMT
3 singles for the 3pm games

Stevenage @ 2.20
Notts Co. @ 1.76
Cardiff v Millwall     Over 2.5 goals @ 2.40

and a short priced treble

Brighton / Man Utd / Blackpool @ 3.5

Good Luck All
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