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The Dragon
15 Sep 14 20:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 12 Mar 05
| Topic/replies: 49,609 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Hi guys

This thread will start this weekend.

4th year of stats and analysis now . so should be good!!!
Will post Top rated and Value tips with analysis for the selections 8-) . Lets hope it goes well
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Report The Dragon September 11, 2024 11:29 AM BST
Decided to do a small double with Sheff utd who are at Hull on Friday Evening.

DONNY is the main bet though
Report Whisperingdeath September 12, 2024 8:38 AM BST
I am in that too Dragon,

I think this weekend The Championship is where we could make some money. If anybody has any inside or local info it would be greatly appreciated.

I also fancy Gillingham to bounce back and win at home.
Report Whisperingdeath September 12, 2024 9:36 AM BST
Blackburn
Derby
Watford
Middlesborough

All at home

Sunderland and WBA are away

Notts County and Fleetwood away at big odds combine a plus one to give 10/1 plus
Report The Dragon September 12, 2024 1:28 PM BST
My bets for the weekend are as follows:

BRISTOL ROVERS to win at home (2/2) v Wigan (lost all away games) at 21/20.

STOCKPORT to win at Crawley at 9/10 (Crawley lost two on the bounce- Stockport no losses and 3/4 wins)

READING to win at home v Orient at 11/10. (Reading 2/2 at home Orient lost all 4 games.) Patent and Treble with 365.

In the Championship i like two home wins for Blackburn at Evens and Derby at 13/10 - Two singles and a double with 365.

If you fanciy a riskier bet Ive backed an away day Treble and Patent for teams in form against fancied teams who have made a poor start and they are :

LINCOLN at 23/10, HUDDERSFIELD at 9/4 and ChARLTON at 21/20.

Good Luck with all your bets this weekend and as usual all comments gratefully received.
Report colupaul September 12, 2024 8:55 PM BST
stocks - if you’re looking in, how many of the 92 have you visited currently?
Report flukes September 12, 2024 9:59 PM BST
The Dragon
The Dragon 09 Sep 24 14:59 Joined: 12 Mar 05 | Topic/replies: 49,195 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
i think Doncaster will win at Harrogate on thursday evening. i have taken 3/4 with 365.

5/6 on here.

Harrogate have lost both home games  without scoring a goal so far and donny are top of the tree with 4 wins out of 5.

hopefully will give us a good start to the betting weekend
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The Dragon
The Dragon 11 Sep 24 11:29 Joined: 12 Mar 05 | Topic/replies: 49,195 | Blogger: The Dragon's blog
Decided to do a small double with Sheff utd who are at Hull on Friday Evening.

DONNY is the main bet though

Stick to laying Wrexham for a profit
Report Foinavon September 12, 2024 10:16 PM BST
Donny were 1.7 to win this and Harrogate were off to a poor start this season so the Dragon's bet was logical.
Donny's performance tonight was lacklustre, they look scrappy for a team leading the division.
I noticed there was a bit of 13 still available on Notts. Co to win this division so I matched it. I think their price should be nearer 8 or 9 from what I've seen so far.
Report stocks September 13, 2024 9:32 AM BST
Hi colupaul done all Premier league last count was 67 now semi retired so get chance to go midweek more Weekends difficult as help  other half business
Report The Dragon September 13, 2024 10:52 AM BST
yes doncaster performance was very disappointing- 70per cent possesion had more shots on and off target than Harrogate with 37 touches in the box compared to Harrogates 14.

Bad day at the office
Report Whisperingdeath September 13, 2024 11:19 AM BST
It happens

Doncaster are a bogey side for me this season.

A few odds on tonight but tomorrow is a big day

Dortmund, Lisbon,

Lille, Betis

Sheffield United?
Report colupaul September 13, 2024 10:24 PM BST
stokes - fair play to you mate, it's an excellent hobby to undertake if you have the time, resources and an understanding missus Grin I got up to 77 I believe before I knocked it on the head... geography coupled with a lack of enthusiasm for the driving did for me.  It was only in the mid 90s that I thought I'd give the 92 a go, I had done about 40 grounds by then... another issue was different teams being promoted from the Conference as it was back then, had a quick tally up and have visited 12 National League grounds.  It's a good way to see the country and for me have some decent ale, the places I wish I had got to are Liverpool, Newcastle, Cardiff, Swansea, Wrexham and Carlisle, twice over a couple of seasons I as due to visit Carlisle and couldn't be bothered with the drive, it was then I effectively through the towel in, last ground being Macclesfield in 2019 who also have dropped out the League!  Keep us updated on your travels mate...
Report colupaul September 13, 2024 10:31 PM BST
My venture in to yankee land ended with 5 attempts and a loss of 142 points Shocked that hair brained scheme now shelved... done an early doors dub tomorrow Burnley and Wimbledon paying 10/1, cheers...
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 7:13 AM BST
Never give up Paul!

Get a driver!
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 7:16 AM BST
4 out if 5 last night. I feel something coming

Still liking the Championship

Blackburn
Derby
Sunderland ( away )

If there is a God.

I do fancy Watford too at home.
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 7:51 AM BST
Top 4 in National League look good too
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 8:06 AM BST
nice win for sheff utd
Report kingscrewed September 14, 2024 10:20 AM BST
Morning all Derby fan here. Confused by the price for us today 2.38 have won last 9 at pride park in all comps playing bottom I know very early. Expected about 2.0 bookies saying Cardiff slightly better. Saying that we have history in losing these kind of games including losing to Sunderland years ago to Dave Roy Keane from being sacked. We are on the back of a excellent performance beating Bristol City 3 nil last time out although we were under the cosh for 20 minutes or so until we scored. Early days with our new Swedish keeper who is 6 foot 6 and spreads himself like Peter Schmichael although what I've seen I'm not fully convinced coming out for crosses. Added to this we added Nat Phillips from Liverpool and Marcus Harness from Ipswich. Will be a lively atmosphere with the Welsh boys in town and approximately 30000 at pride park.Just hope the rams don't freeze under pressure as a win today will give them breathing space early from the relegation places.

Sportsbook going Kobee Mainoo to commit a foul at 2.0 £20 max he's committed at least 1 every game this season might have few quid on at 1.79 on the exchange as well.

Gl all
Report Whisperingdeath September 14, 2024 10:26 AM BST
Strange prices on Derby and Blackburn. What do the bookies know?
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 11:14 AM BST
im on derby at 2.44
Report Analyst September 14, 2024 11:34 AM BST
I went to Boro's game at Cardiff on Aug 31st and I thought based on that game Cardiff were a just under mid table side. Boro were well understrength though with most of the defence out injured and Cardiff failed to score.

I saw Derby v Boro on Sky and it was a very one sided game - somehow Boro managed to contrive to lose it, but I think the stats were 19-3 goals attempts in Boro's favour.


Based on those two games I would say Cardiff are a slightly better team. Cardiff also seem to struggle very badly at home and yes Derby do well at home, but its cancels itself out because Cardiff seem to gain most of their points away. Odds for this game look spot on to me.

In the Championship Burnley's odds look big @ Leeds - Burnley seems priced up as a non top 6 side and they must be a top 6 side.
Report onthehoy September 14, 2024 11:46 AM BST
1 winner from only 2 selections last weekend

2 bets on today's 12:30 games

Man Utd  @ 1.82
I reckon Leeds v Burnley @ 1.90 could be good for BTTS

I’ve been trying to find a couple of odds against teams to back and Derby is currently on my shortlist, still not 100% sure, but 2.40 is tempting

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 11:51 AM BST
gl oth - derby are one of my selections this weekend
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:28 PM BST
not sure why newport are 5/1 away at swindon. another strange price. swindon yet to win a game newport won 3/5 although had two red cards last week which may impact on the outcome
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:42 PM BST
1-0 alreadyShocked
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:52 PM BST
3-0 21 mins wow. these big or surprising prices this season have not been landing. market gets another one correct so far
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 12:58 PM BST
mainoo bet landed already kinggs vwd -ta

booked as well
Report kingscrewed September 14, 2024 1:02 PM BST
Cheers Dragon, definitely worth looking at the Saturday dinnertime boost
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 1:03 PM BST
yes will do in future thanks again -great shout
Report colupaul September 14, 2024 2:40 PM BST
Hold the front page… a 10/1 winner! Shocked

West Ham, Norwich, Reading and Colchester, trebs and Acca, same bet -1 handicap, cheers…
Report onthehoy September 14, 2024 2:50 PM BST
1 winner from my 2 early bets, try 3pm games now:

Derby @ 2.36
Sheff Wed @ 2.34
Fulham v West Ham DRAW @ 3.45

Over 2.5 goals  Blackburn v Bristol City @ 2.02

Asian Handicap, Man City – 2 goals @ 2.02

2 short priced doubles
Brighton/Middlesbrough @ 2.16
York/Forest Green @ 1.82

Good Luck All
Report Analyst September 14, 2024 2:50 PM BST
After Dragon's tip - Lincoln City @ 3.60

Latte Lath FGS @ 9/2 - he looked fired up last time out.
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 2:54 PM BST
gl OTH and Analyst
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 2:57 PM BST
followed you on LL first goal scorer analystCool
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:07 PM BST
stocpkort 1 upCool
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:17 PM BST
blackburn winningGrin
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:18 PM BST
boro 1 up conway not ll
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 3:40 PM BST
ffs bristol 2 down to wigan you couldnt make it upSad
Report The Dragon September 14, 2024 4:13 PM BST
blackburn in the bagCool

forget bristol roversCry
Report colupaul September 15, 2024 12:46 PM BST
WD - are you throwing your hat in the ring for the vacant chauffeur position? Grin

Woeful 3pm picks from me... Colchester throwing away a 3-1 lead against 10 man pointless Morecambe, you couldn't make it up...
A lot of dross it seems bottom half of League Two, I've gone in again on Colchester relegation @ 14/1...

Sunday dub Pompey/Spurs @ 11/1, cheers...
Report Whisperingdeath September 16, 2024 9:39 AM BST
Depends on your limousine and if I can wear a cap like Parker’s!
Report Whisperingdeath September 16, 2024 9:41 AM BST
Saturday was dreadful! Morecambe down to 10!

Recovered yesterday and almost had some big wins but Besiktas went 1-0 down to 10 man Trabsonspor and could only draw!

Getting closer though to a big win.
Report Foinavon September 16, 2024 10:50 AM BST
Your favourite team Gillingham scored two after going down to ten men. I had backed under 1.5 goals on this game and baled out early for a small loss thinking that Tranmere would equalise. A lucky escape.
Report colupaul September 16, 2024 11:13 AM BST
WD - I’ll keep you in mind mate but I’m not sure you’ll look good in a low cut top and a mini skirt… Laugh

Wrexham crying out to be backed tonight at prices north of 3/1… Confused
Report colupaul September 16, 2024 11:13 AM BST
WD - I’ll keep you in mind mate but I’m not sure you’ll look good in a low cut top and a mini skirt… Laugh

Wrexham crying out to be backed tonight at prices north of 3/1… Confused
Report colupaul September 16, 2024 11:15 AM BST
League Cup this week and next with plenty of mismatches on paper, 14 odds on pokes, blind lay of backing the rag or laying the jolly, be interesting to see how it pans out…
Report colupaul September 16, 2024 4:55 PM BST
Am on the Red Dragons @ 4.6…
Report colupaul September 16, 2024 9:23 PM BST
Watched the game from the half hour mark until Brum's second goal, Wrexham chasing shadows, looking out of their depth... what's this with panning in on Beckham and Co Crazy who gives a **** about them c****
Report The Dragon September 20, 2024 1:25 PM BST
In Division 1 for my main bets this weekend and next weekend will be the start of my form based system so that will be intersting to see how it goes.

My bets are :

CHARLTON 13/10, STOCKPORT 4/7 and WYCOMBE 7/10 - Treble, patent and 3 singles. All with 365.

At Bigger prices Ive had a dabble on Blackburn, Doncaster and Wimbledon.

Good luck all
Report colupaul September 20, 2024 8:20 PM BST
Gone for a big price treble, West Ham, Watford and Ipswich, cheers…
Report The Dragon September 21, 2024 7:29 AM BST
good luc colu

i have also backed WBA
Report Whisperingdeath September 21, 2024 10:26 AM BST
Getting ALL the right notes in the right order!

Getting closer and closer. It’s a recur theme this year. Plymouth v Sunderland, one before that and last night Stoke lost me big wins but still managed to get ahead nicely small for the night.

Quite a lot I like today in Championship and also HOME teams in League One.
Report Whisperingdeath September 21, 2024 10:27 AM BST
Why are Charlton 13/10?

I don’t get it. The Steve Bruce effect or a false dawn?
Report Whisperingdeath September 21, 2024 10:28 AM BST
I also like Watford. Why are they so generously priced? I don’t get it although I think Norwich could click into gear
Report The Dragon September 21, 2024 11:15 AM BST
yes WD i agree on both fronts watford nd charltion are both overpriced in my book
Report The Dragon September 21, 2024 12:44 PM BST
watford losing in 11 minsSad
Report The Dragon September 21, 2024 12:56 PM BST
1-1 watford
Report onthehoy September 21, 2024 2:47 PM BST
I scraped a small profit last week despite 2 late goals wiping out a couple of winning bets!!
Only 5 bets for today

A short priced Premier League Double  -   A. Villa / Spurs  @ 2.36

couple of single bets
Newcastle @ 2.62
Juventus (5pm) @ 2.4

2 Asian Handicap bets
Liverpool -1.5 goals @ 1.75
Everton +0.25 goals @ 2.15

Good Luck All
Report Whisperingdeath September 21, 2024 5:58 PM BST
Well done hoy!
Report Whisperingdeath September 21, 2024 5:58 PM BST
Well done hoy!
Report Whisperingdeath September 21, 2024 6:07 PM BST
Stockport, Huddersfield and Charlton all at home!

Sent me into a panic before the half hour. Made some compensatory bets but really was saved by some late goals at Wycombe, Burnley, Mansfield, Barnsley and Wrexham (79 mins…almost early! )

A big winning day today. I am not sure how after so many early goals against hot favourites!

Some days ve vin
Some days ve lose
Today ve vin
Ha ha ha
Report The Dragon September 21, 2024 6:18 PM BST
bad day at the office here but thankfully the horses bailed me outCool

hey ho
Report onthehoy September 22, 2024 1:00 PM BST
3 returns from 5 bets yesterday for another small profit, but the way my betting has gone this year I’ll be happy with any profit

hopefully I can add to that with a return from backing Brighton today @ 1.90

Good Luck All
Report colupaul September 24, 2024 6:38 PM BST
Blackpool/Orient dub @ 10/1, cheers…
Report Whisperingdeath September 24, 2024 8:44 PM BST
I fancied Orient too bu5 the wheels are falling off after a good start
Report The Dragon September 27, 2024 7:07 PM BST
not much time to study this week so gone for four away shots as follows:

Lincoln 13/10
WBA 7/5
Sheff United 10/11 and
Notts Co at 4/5

4 singles, Lucky 15 and 4 timer

GL all
Report onthehoy September 28, 2024 12:14 PM BST
Small loss last week, hoping to get back to winning ways today.

1 bet in an early Championship game

Blackburn v QPR Over 2.5 goals @ 2.1

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon September 28, 2024 12:30 PM BST
gl oth

ive done overs in the brum and barnsley games
Report Whisperingdeath September 28, 2024 2:34 PM BST
Blackburn, Walsall and……WBA!

FFS one nearly every week!

Still plenty on offer today.

Blackpool, Wycombe, Lincoln, Mansfield

Plenty in League One today
Report The Dragon September 28, 2024 2:37 PM BST
tell me about it WDCry
Report onthehoy September 28, 2024 2:50 PM BST
A losing bet to start the day, only 2 goals scored, but plenty of chances in the 3pm games

only 1 match single,    Chelsea @ 1.80
   
Double @ 2.36  Leeds/Birmingham

3 bets on the Asian Handicap
West Ham +0.25 goals @ 1.99
Everton 0 goals  @  2.05
Cardiff +0.50 goals   @  2.12

and finally I’ve gone for 2 short priced games in an Over 2.5 goals double at 2.27   
Birmingham v Peterborough / Blackpool v Burton Albion

Good Luck All
Report Whisperingdeath September 28, 2024 3:07 PM BST
OMFG

Bloody Morcombe again 1 up v Notts County!

Pete Boro same at Birmingham
Report Whisperingdeath September 28, 2024 3:08 PM BST
Chelsea 1 down and is the keeper off? No.
Report The Dragon September 28, 2024 3:21 PM BST
birmingham 2 down
Report The Dragon September 28, 2024 3:21 PM BST
chelsea 1-1
Report Des Pond September 28, 2024 3:29 PM BST
I wish Pat Nevin would calm down a bit and enunciate more clearly. When he gets excited, I can't make out what he's saying. Be as well listening to the Clangers. Silly
Report The Dragon September 28, 2024 3:47 PM BST
booom got liberty lane gtfiExcited
Report Whisperingdeath September 28, 2024 5:03 PM BST
Late winner from Wycombe turns a mare into a nice profit. Close to landing a big one but sadly not to be.
Report onthehoy September 29, 2024 1:18 PM BST
returns from 5 of my 6 bets on yesterday’s 3pm games
fingers crossed for today’s selections


Man Utd  @  2.3
Swansea @  2.42


Good Luck All
Report Whisperingdeath September 29, 2024 1:37 PM BST
I am riding Villa without John McGinn.
and
Frankfurt

With combinations of Girona, Pisa and Lyon thrown in for a Chris Akaboosti
Report The Dragon October 1, 2024 3:38 PM BST
Lots of games tonight

Ive gone for BIRMINGHAM 13/20 and NOTTS COUNTY 7/5

Two singles and a double (365)

GL all
Report onthehoy October 1, 2024 3:50 PM BST
2 losing bets on Sunday, but still ended with a small profit for the month (just)

will try my luck on 3 games tonight

2 on Asian Handicap
Norwich +0.50 goals  @ 1.90
QPR +0   @  2.01

and an Over 2.5 goals
Barnsley v Wycombe   @ 1.83

Good Luck All
Report Foinavon October 1, 2024 5:21 PM BST
Notts Co have lost a key player Jodi Jones out to a fractured tibia sustained in the Gillingham game, The Dragon. It might explain the unexpected result last Saturday.
Report The Dragon October 1, 2024 6:21 PM BST
thanks foinavon - yes last 2 results not so good compared to their excellent start to the season - the key thing though is carlilses form which is 5 losses in 6 and 6 losses out of 8 games.

theitr home form is poor also with 3 losses out of 4 to teams lower than notts co in the league. they also leak goals with 18 conceded already. notts score for fun with 17 goals already. i was surprised by the 7/5 price on NC and i am hoping its not too good to be true
Report Analyst October 1, 2024 7:30 PM BST
Betfred Special

Burnley/Sunderland/Brum - 7/2 treble decent size bet on this as it was 4.29 on the lay prices on Befair Exchange - i.e Betfred was 4% better than the lay prices at lunch time. All teams are at hoke to teams you would expect to finish below them this season, in the case of Burnley and Sunderland well below them.

BTTS Bonus - Betfred shop coupon

9/2 treble - games @ Arsenal, Slovak Bratislava, Dortmund

22/1 - fivefold - games @ Cardiff, Lazio, Port Vale, Bristol City, RB Leipzig

I have not given up on Latte Lath - FGS 10.0 in WBA/Boro game. He is playing up on his own, but Doak looks an interesting loan for Boro - he works hard and is very direct, he will provide some service for ELL. Best bookie price is only 15/2.
Report The Dragon October 1, 2024 7:39 PM BST
thanks analyst gl with your selections
Report Foinavon October 1, 2024 7:42 PM BST
I hope you are right too The Dragon as I've backed them to do well this season. Carlisle's defence is much leakier than Morecambe's so scoring should be easier. My two bluenose friends are expecting a good result tonight, one speculated 3-0 but he does wear blue tinted specs. Good look with your double.
Report Analyst October 1, 2024 10:59 PM BST
Well done Dragon and On the Hoy

All three posters selections showed a overall profit tonight Cool

My big bet came in - it was a generous offer from BetFred - the BTTS bets were losers and ELL despite a few good opportunities could not find the net.
Report The Dragon October 2, 2024 8:12 AM BST
very well done to all last night - my most profitable night of the season so far - i also got a 5 timer up in the champions league- great stuff
Report onthehoy October 2, 2024 2:15 PM BST
A few winners on here yesterday, wd all. More of the same tonight?

3 bets on tonight’s games

2 in the Championship
Watford @ 2.94
Stoke v Portsmouth  Over 2.5 goals @  1.92

and 2 MLS games kicking off early Thursday morning (00:30hrs)

Over 2.5 goals double @ 2.1

Atlanta United v CF Montreal  /  New York City FC v FC Cincinnati

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon October 2, 2024 7:34 PM BST
couple for me but only small

Watford 7/4 and sheff united  4/6- 2 singles and adouble with 365

Backed 5 odds on shots in the champions league (atlanta already landed)

gl OTH
Report onthehoy October 4, 2024 2:32 PM BST
4 winners from 6 midweek bets

hoping to start off the weekend with a winning bet tonight in Serie A
Verona @ 2.56


Dragon, I saw your other thread about Sunderland v Leeds
This is a game included in a correct score tipping comp. I enter and I reckon a close game that Leeds will just edge it with a 1-0 win, fingers crossed (but no real cash bets on it)

Good Luck All
Report The Dragon October 4, 2024 2:37 PM BST
First weekend of my form based system and the results from it are as follows :

Highest Rated: WYCOMBE at 3/5 to beat Crawley.

OTHERS Arsenal 1/7, Liverpool 1/2 and Birmingham 4/5

Main bet Wycombe - Lucky 15 on all four.

My selections which are  generally better prices and not without a chance are:

BARNSLEY at 13/5 (Huddersfied are in terrible form)
STEVENAGE at 11/5 (in good form and Posh are seriously dodgy at home.)
BOLTON 2/5 (Now in great formand Shrews are pants)

Treble ,3 singles and patent.

All bets are on 365- Really fancy Brum at a great price so had a largish bet on them

Good Luck all.
Report The Dragon October 4, 2024 2:40 PM BST
gl with verona oth - ive had a few quid on sunderland as you know from the thread i posted so i wont wish you well with leedsHappy
Report stocks October 4, 2024 2:53 PM BST
Hi Dragon good luck with Brum bet This season being doing what a poker player friend of mine has been doing for several seasons picks team ie Man City and lays opposition for set amount each game This season obviously I've gone with Brum so far 450 in front and they don't have to win My friend goes for 500 a game braver and richer than me !!!!!!
Report The Dragon October 4, 2024 2:55 PM BST
cheers stocks lets hope they can keep their great form goingCool
Report The Dragon October 5, 2024 8:20 AM BST
vwd on verona oth -great call at a decent priceCool
Report The Dragon October 5, 2024 8:21 AM BST
done overs on the 3 sunday prem games
Report onthehoy October 5, 2024 10:20 AM BST
canny winner last night, trying a couple of early games today

Burnley @ 1.84


Bundesliga 2(12:00 k.o.)for an Over 2.5 goals bet

Nurnberg v Preussen Munster  @ 1.67

Good Luck All
Report onthehoy October 5, 2024 2:52 PM BST
1 return from 2 bets on early games

home wins
West Ham  1.93
Swansea  2.32

Asian handicaps
Arsenal -2.0  @  1.83
Wolverhampton +0.50  @  1.83
Man City -1.75  @  2.11

Over 2.5 goals
Leicester v Bournemouth  @  1.70

Good Luck All
Report colupaul October 5, 2024 7:58 PM BST
This footy betting lark is hard innit… well for me anyway Laugh 4/5, 10/11 and 5/2 winners in a four fold with the tractor boyz Cry Arc tomorrow, I’ve played the top one based mainly on the jockey booking, stall one interesting… 50/1 ew 4 places, cheers…
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