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I like Germany, but that game they were 4-0 up against Sweden then ended 4-4 sticks in my mind. Hard to see them not bottling it
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Uruguay at 29s looks a bit of value there like clarky says , easy group to get out of too
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the germans can never beat the italians
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Uruguay, ill lay anyones money on Uruguay theyre ****. What strong recent form is this? when they needed a playoff to qualify? The usual suspects will be there Brazil, Germany, Spain, Italy and Argentina, the winner comes from them. Brazil and Germany being the main 2 for me.
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Spain the value now they have Costa on board.
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Backed Uruguay when they had to face a playoff. Against Jordan. Tricky to figure out how that price was going to move.
If Costa establishes himself, Spain could be the stand out again, though Xavi and Xabi are fading. Chile are my other outside sniff. |
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Yeah, Chile a very good bet I think.
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Though obviously they got a duff draw.
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Colombia also a decent outside chance, with a much, much better draw than Chile.
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Holland @33/1 are a bigger price than England & Uruguay . Rather better than both IMO
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Brazil.
The tournament has not been too well received by many in Brazil, people think its badly organised and could fall flat on its face and there will be pressure on the side to start well. However, like the London Olympics once it gets going the country will get behind them and they will be extremely hard to stop. Players like Luiz and Ramires are twice the player in their national jerseys, and massively popular. There are major question marks about all of the other favourites - Argentina (defence, Messi fitness/form), Germany (climate), Spain (Xavi/Iniesta getting on). The one I'd throw in at a massive price would be Ecuador, but Brazil will walk it to the semis and be odds on by then |
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Couldnt back Holland with stolen money after the Euros
Think Germany will win but Italy are huge price |
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Italy are very good value at 30.
I ignore form and look at history when betting on the World Cup. When any of Brazil (3.4/1), Argentina (5/1), Germany (6/1), Italy (29/1) get out of line pricewise I back them. Brazil, Germany, Italy are the big teams, the teams to back. Argentina a distant fourth. |
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I'm with mary. Brazil all the way, with a saver on Argentina. Italy at odds as a trading option perhaps but now way they win. The cup will stay in South America
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Greece at 320s
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France - 25/1 - they blow bit hot and cold but should walk their
group and looks like an easy game in the first knockout stage. |
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chile, becaue they,re a good team. back to lay job.
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brazil will win it, the most obvious winner since 1970, murdered spain last time they played them, no one to come near at the moment, outsider? Italy or Greece, who will prob be very hard to beat, and beat someone decent on pens all the way to semis or something
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Greece lol
Better taking Bosnia who have a good chance of getting out their group they battered Greece 3-1, could have been 7-1 |
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a lot of the european teams wont like the humidity, and the heat. that will stop most of them, spain maybe not. sth american team will win it
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Spain are the value for me, especially out of the 4 favourites, when you consider their recent tournament history. Yes some of their players are getting on but they will have so many options in their squad. Can't see why they're a higher price than Germany tbh. Also think Portugal and Russia could go well at bigger odds but will wait til closer to see friendlies, fitness etc.
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No way will Spain do it this time round. Xavi & Iniesta are different class but past it and none of the up-and-coming midfielders are fit to lace their boots.
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The WC is a tournament for the usual suspects. Horses for courses, but this is a South American course and no European nation has ever become champs there.
Brazil, Argentina and Uruguay. |
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To be fair, its a sample size of 2
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Spain have Fabregas, Delefeu, Silva, Mata as back up...
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Three wingers and Fabregas ain't gonna replace the two best midfielders of the last 15 years
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Spain have no chance
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Spain's other midfielders could include Thiago, Busquets, Isco, Javi Martinez, Fabregas, Xabi Alonso, not to mention attacking midfielders already mentioned. They also have an experienced coach and a winning mentality. I understand why people may write them off as too old but I wont be.
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Am very confident that Brazil win this.
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Thiago - promising
Busquets - totally different type of player to Xavi & Iniesta Isco - cracing player but much more of a deep forward Javi Martinez - see Busquets Fabregas - the nearest they've got but nowhere near as good Xabi Alonso - quality but will be past it in 2014 in the heat & humidity none of them are Xavi & Iniesta, who will still be 2 of the 3 if fit, but they are well on the wane, and by next summer will be more so. |
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The concern I have about Spain is not so much doubts about their squad (though fair points), it is to do with their draw. In Group B alongside Holland and Chile, winning this group or even qualifing is far from certain. If they were to qualify as group runners up Brazil are their likely last 16 opponents.
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Japan are a huge price, if they could defend i would fancy them against anyone.
Chile and Uruguay, weather will be a huge factor, nothing the Spanish or Italians will be use to. The weather is not just hot it is the humidity that is the key issue. |
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If humidity is going to be such a crucial factor, then I'll go for the team that is likely to have the lion's share of possession in each of their games. It's not nearly as tiring a game when you have the ball.
Spain. |
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Fair point.
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Anyone that thinks that Spain will have most possession and will be the best team should rewatch the Confed Cup final
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the reason they generally have the most possession is that they have (had) the best midfielders of our generation. That won't be true in 2014. I promise.
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No intention here to go off topic so don't give me a hard time just cos I am Scottish! The temperature, humidity and possession of the ball are my main reasons for not fancying England. They simply don't have the depth and quality in the squad to keep hold of the ball for long periods. Not enough possession means chasing and in these conditions that will be very tough going.
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Spain have won the last three major tournaments and are 8/1! Yes 8/1!
Confed Cup was basically a glorified friendly tournament, meant nothing |
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Regarding climate, the variation in Brazil is marked. In the north, near the equator, heat and humidity will indeed be vital factors. In other areas these will not be nearly so important. Remember that Brazil is a very large country. Over 2,600 miles E-W, Over 2,700 miles N-S.
Europe could fit into Brazil! |