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uptheboro
22 Jan 13 17:14
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Date Joined: 09 Oct 03
| Topic/replies: 6,831 | Blogger: uptheboro's blog
Well i think the bookmakers have got this right to some extent. I think on recent form Brentford deserve to be favourites though maybe not quite as short as they are. Brentfords recent League One home form is as follows:

Brentford    1-2    Tranmere Rovers
Brentford    0-0    AFC Bournemouth
Brentford    3-2    Milton Keynes Dons
Brentford    2-0    Sheffield United
Brentford    2-1    Carlisle United


Three wins, one draw and one loss

Orient's recent League One away form is:

Doncaster Rovers    2-0    Leyton Orient
Yeovil Town    3-0    Leyton Orient
Bury    0-2    Leyton Orient
Portsmouth    2-3    Leyton Orient
Carlisle United    1-4    Leyton Orient

So Orient's recent away performances have seen 3 wins and two defeats. Those defeats coincided with the loss of top scorer Kevin Lisbie to injury. This is what im sure gives Brentford the edge in this game and makes them the favourites to win. However as i was saying, i'm not sure there is a great deal of value in backing Brentford at around 8/11, and in Dean Cox, Orient do have a midfielder capable of creating enough chances for whoever takes the place of Lisbie.

But the market that does interest me is the Over 2.5 goals. Currently 11/10 at the time of posting, there are reasons for thinking this is good value. The last time these two sides met at Griffin Park, Orient found themselves on the end of a 5-0 hammering. It is also noticeable that Orient have not been as strong defensively since losing Centre Half Nathan Clarke to injury. All things measured, i think the best that Orient can hope for here is a Draw, but in order to get that they are going to have to score at least twice (Which is entirely possible). If i was going to play the win market, the Draw is probably where the value lies, currently around the 3/1 mark. That of course opens up the possibility of looking at the correct score market for a result of 2-2 or 3-3 which are currently trading at 25 and 130 respectively.

However the safer option for me is just to back Over 2.5 at 11/10

Best of Luck if having a bet on this game

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Replies: 26
By:
hippie
When: 22 Jan 13 18:09
Brentford's FA Cup tie on Sunday is an absolutely massive West London derby for them and I can't believe it won't effect their performance tonight.
By:
The Dragon
When: 22 Jan 13 18:19
nicewrite up and good luck, this is ano bet match for me as it could be anything. I like Bournemoth at evens to beat Hartlepool and have backed accordinglyr
By:
Panther65
When: 22 Jan 13 18:22
i agree with hippie...

small punt on orient for me
By:
sevey
When: 22 Jan 13 18:30
Brentford half time Draw full time And the same for L/Orient
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 18:52
That is true hippie, huge game at the weekend and i suppose it could affect their performance and they may in fact rest a couple of players. On the other hand you may get those players who want to stake a claim for a place in the team and therefore the performance improves.
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 18:53
Good luck with that one Dragon. Bournemouth really should win that game though i do think their chance is reflected in the odds.
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 18:56
I think thats a fair bet Sevey, as one of my initial thoughts on the game was the possibility of a high scoring draw. Best of Luck thereHappy
By:
sevey
When: 22 Jan 13 19:11
Boro man had Brentford Twice this season at Juices Prices they are Knowen to draw a Few Games which they have already Done G/Luck
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 19:55
Mmm and its Orient who strike first 0-1
By:
itfc87
When: 22 Jan 13 19:56
Brentford were never going to win this, eye on Chelsea match on Sunday
By:
supersmith
When: 22 Jan 13 19:57
That wasnt in the script!! ScaredSad
By:
sevey
When: 22 Jan 13 19:59
Waiting to put an Order in at 2.5 laying the 0 0 at half score to cover both Stakes swings in Roundabouts
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 20:04
And the Bees have stung 1-1
By:
MadVlad
When: 22 Jan 13 20:05
CrazyCrazyCrazy
By:
supersmith
When: 22 Jan 13 20:05
Bees Bees!!!Excited
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 20:27
And Brentford grab the lead 2-1

Collect on the oversHappy
By:
MadVlad
When: 22 Jan 13 20:28
Cool
By:
Craigyboy77.
When: 22 Jan 13 20:30
Well done boro. Bet up before h/t
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 22:01
Cheers Craigyboy, well pretty much got this game spot on and indeed the 25 that was available in the correct score market turned out to be a winner. Must say i was tempted by the 2-2 3-3 scorelines and i could kick myself a bit now.
By:
uptheboro
When: 22 Jan 13 22:03
Oh and Well done Sevey with your half time/full time betsHappy
By:
sevey
When: 22 Jan 13 22:11
Cheers Boro 23 at 20 the Bees 17 at 22 the 0zs layed 1.25 for 300 the draw at the death not bad bit pay in the End
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Jan 13 08:56
great call and vwd. my bet on bournemouth came in so happy days all round . doubled up with walsall at the weekend who look overpriced at 2.7
By:
uptheboro
When: 23 Jan 13 10:25
Yep well done there Dragon, hope you won plentyHappy
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Jan 13 10:50
yes thanks boro be areally big win if walsall beat colchester at the weekend i have 6/4 - 10/11 double on it as well as numerous single bets
By:
uptheboro
When: 23 Jan 13 12:19
Well i wish you the very best of luck with that one Dragon, havent had a look at that game yet though funnily enough, having beaten Bournemouth last weekend, you would expect them to be going there full of confidence.
By:
The Dragon
When: 23 Jan 13 12:24
won 5 out of last 6 whereas colchester have lost 10 out of last 11
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