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tobermory
08 Jun 12 18:06
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Date Joined: 01 Mar 08
| Topic/replies: 60,979 | Blogger: tobermory's blog
Backed: £80 Spain@3.9 , £15 Holland@7.6 , £8 Croatia@60

Layed: £8 Poland@48 ,£10 England@16, £80 Germany@4.6 , £7 Italy@18.5 , £3 Denmark@110 ,£3 ,£5 Ukraine@65 , £3 Ireland@110 , £3 Greece@110

Leaves it like this . Max Red £500

Spain £311.60 Poland £368
Germany £352 Ukraine £309
Holland £123.50 Croatia £471.20
France £15.20 Sweden £15.20
England £144 Czechs | £15.20
Italy £113.50 Denmark £314
Portugal £15.20 Greece £314
Russia £15.20 Ireland £314

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Replies: 262
By:
u want some
When: 08 Jun 12 18:07
Always look forward to your posts tobermory. I will guarantee Spain don't win it though. Lay lay lay
By:
tobermory
When: 08 Jun 12 18:40
Could do with them winning their 1st game . Still think they are clear best team

£3 lay of Czechs@75 .They have dropped from 95 during this match but i can't see then being much better than Pol/Gre
By:
MONEY TREE
When: 08 Jun 12 18:42
why have you not put 20k on engerland?
By:
tobermory
When: 10 Jun 12 17:00
Disastrous results yesrerday

Think Denmark very limited team that got a bit lucky though, so layed  then £2 more @46

Also got a back of Greece matched, £2 @150 


Spain £314.45 Denmark £403.00
Germany £349.00 Croatia £474.05
France £18.05 Sweden £18.05
Russia £18.05 Poland £365.00
Holland £126.35 Ukraine £306.00
England £141.00 Ireland £311.00
Italy £110.50 Greece £11.00
Portugal £18.05 Czechs £206.00
By:
RMB ©
When: 10 Jun 12 17:04
I enjoy your ratings, any chance you can put up the table with the prices as you have them. No worries if not, hope you're doing well sir.
By:
tobermory
When: 10 Jun 12 18:20
not going too well to sat the least Scared

Layed £12 Spain @4.7 as seems a bit of an undereaction to whats happening

Also £7 lays of Russia & France @9.6 & 13

then Spain score ffs Crazy
By:
tobermory
When: 10 Jun 12 18:23
RMB, have a vague idea of what the ratings would be though not betting on match odds in this

104.5 Spain

102.0 Germany
101.0 Holland
98 France
96.5 England

down to 86 ish Ireland/Greece
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 01:30
£2 Lay if Croatia @38

Current Position

Spain £287.47 Croatia £424.45
Germany £321.00 Denmark £375.00
France £20.20 Sweden £44.65
Russia £44.00 Ukraine £278.00
Italy £82.50 Poland £337.00
England £113.00 Greece £16.15
Holland £152.95 Czechs £178.00
Portugal £44.65 Ireland £283.00


Unsure on next move

Only 6 greens and only 1 of those has won Sad
By:
RMB ©
When: 11 Jun 12 02:55
GL mate, cheers for the response. I've personally layed England and backed Italy, roughly 2.3 DNB. I couldn't have Spain at 3.8 before the tournament, nor Germany at 4.3 so felt the value lied with the Italians. Russia and Croatia have provided me with two nice wins in a current sea of losses, so not fairing too well either. Always good reads your threads. I got a large bet on pinny on France at 2.83 vs us a month ago, will make or break my Euros. My concern is the fact we've been written off the pressure is off and we will play some good football and get a result, would be typical.
By:
prepared83
When: 11 Jun 12 13:25
I also enjoy these threads, good luck fella
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 15:36
thanks guys

Layed Holland £2 @16.5

Have unmatched bets.. £3 back Portugal@30

£4 Lay Russia@13

Can't see why Russia's price would drop much even if they win their next match .Think they are too low because no one else has put in a great performance yet, but that should change
By:
RMB ©
When: 11 Jun 12 15:38
GL bud. Portugal are a weird one, on paper they look just as good if not better than the Netherlands, yet they seem to always not deliver. FORZA ITALIA!
By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 15:48
mate, back Russia, they are while 1st contender for win, but bokkies don't believe in that. While Russia too underrated. Don't remember Russia defeated italy 3-0 and Denmark 2-0, italy played a draw with Spain and Denmark defeated Holland. So, while Russia is number 1 of the Euro. ;)
By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 15:48
Not don't remeber, but don't forget. Sorry for my bad English. :)
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 11 Jun 12 15:52
I wouldn't be feeling too comfortable about that red on the Germans
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 15:52
They are a good team but Czechs were weak .

I think they will still be  10+ even if the beat Poland and Greece, unless they have Denmark in the QF, which is still unlikely i think
By:
owning
When: 11 Jun 12 15:52
germans or french imo
By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 15:53

Jun 11, 2012 -- 9:36AM, tobermory wrote:


thanks guysLayed Holland £2 @16.5Have unmatched bets.. £3 back Portugal@30£4 Lay Russia@13Can't see why Russia's price would drop much even if they win their next match .Think they are too low because no one else has put in a great performance yet, but that should change


Don't lay Holland and don't lay Russia, this is madness. Do you joke? 2 one of the best team on the Euro. Don't worry Holland will defeat Portugal and Germany. Russia will take 9 points in the group, nobody doubt in that, because Czechia is second team in the group A. So, don't make mistakes. Trust me, better lay Spain, Germany, back Italy, Holland, Russia $$$

By:
slixeh
When: 11 Jun 12 15:54
Spain.
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 15:54
Have to have some big reds at this stage Biscuit, though would be more comfortable if they'd drawn with Portugal
By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 15:56

Jun 11, 2012 -- 9:52AM, tobermory wrote:


They are a good team but Czechs were weak .I think they will still be  10+ even if the beat Poland and Greece, unless they have Denmark in the QF, which is still unlikely i think


Do you watch the game? Czechia was better than Greece and Poland. And Russia destroyed Italy and Denmark. Italy played against Russia better than against Spain. Czechia will be second in the goup A.

By:
Unique19
When: 11 Jun 12 15:57
france will win it tober. a profit is a profit no matter how big.
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 15:58
are you Russian, Loser13 ? Wink
By:
RMB ©
When: 11 Jun 12 15:58
I sense a German victory too but not a fan of the price at all. They look susceptible at the back and with 3 knock out rounds post the group stage can't have them as a 1 in 4 shot.
By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 15:59
And I see that Russia can easy go through any team from goup B. Who can beat Russia? Portugal, Denmark? Just Germany or Holland, but I doubt that Germany or Holland will be favourite in that games.
By:
Biscuit1979
When: 11 Jun 12 16:00
I think 7 of your reds are nothing to worry about.

Of your 3 that i think are worth worrying about:

France - could well win D and will then likely face Croatia/Italy. Should win that then it's the semi's, only a small red though.
Russia - likely to win A, then face Denmark/Portugal/Holland. Nothing to suggest they can't beat any of those then it's the semi's. Again, only a small red.
Germany - should win B, face Poland/Greece, semi's look a cert, final very probable. Your main concern i think.
By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 16:01

Jun 11, 2012 -- 9:58AM, tobermory wrote:


are you Russian, Loser13 ?


I'm not Russian, I'm just premium charge payer. Wink I'm just see values and make money on that.

By:
RMB ©
When: 11 Jun 12 16:02
Ruthless stuff Biscuits. I'd be worried about any red especially in this format. I think taking on Germany and backing Spain is a good move, I was tempted to do it myself but I Sir Alexs voice is wobbling in my mind telling me Barca and Spain would bounce. Stick with Italy people, and we can rejoice together.
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 16:05
They were my last big red in the 2010 WC too

Decided to go Max Red on them at the semis ,as they were still a poor price though i could have greened as had big+ on the other 3

Good thing about this is there are usually twists so have chances to green . Brazil were a big red for me but once they went 2-1 down to  Holland they were a decent result so would have been no problem if they'd come back to win.

Very rare that a team will win a tournament without being in big trouble at some stage.
By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 16:11
Nobody in history couldn't win 2 times a raw. So I doubt that Spain will win, all the more they don't show championish game.
By:
loserschaselosers
When: 11 Jun 12 16:22

Jun 11, 2012 -- 9:59AM, Loser13 wrote:


And I see that Russia can easy go through any team from goup B. Who can beat Russia? Portugal, Denmark? Just Germany or Holland, but I doubt that Germany or Holland will be favourite in that games.


Russia to be favs vs Germany or Holland. Are you sure ?

By:
Loser13
When: 11 Jun 12 16:45
Russia, Germany, Holland - no favs between tham. They have the same level in the moment, though Russia a little better while.
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 17:49
£7 France@10.5
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 17:58
scratch that don't look like getting matched unless they go behind again or it is nearing the end

not taking 9.8
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 21:28
£3 lay Sweden@150
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Jun 12 21:41
£2 Sweden@210 not matched
By:
tobermory
When: 13 Jun 12 00:48
not going to be matched either, nor my Portugal Back

£2 Lay Ukraine@44
£3 Lay Czechs@80
£7 Back France@11

Spain £299.82 Croatia £440.80
Germany £308.00 Denmark £362.00
France £66.31 Ukraine £353.00
Russia £83.00 Poland £324.00
Italy £69.50 Czechs £405.00
England £184.00 Sweden £390.00
Holland £133.95 Greece £28.50
Portugal £57.00 Ireland £270.00


Also put up £15 to back Germany@4.5 , unmatched.Only layed then slightly higher to start with and everything has gone their way so far
By:
tobermory
When: 13 Jun 12 00:58
Really would like these results....

Holland beat Germany
Portugal beat Denmark
Croatia beat Italy

2/3 would be nice . 0/3 and very difficult to envisage a winning thread.
By:
mlb11uk
When: 13 Jun 12 01:04
Man laying Germany, Russia, England, Denmark all so so dangerous.

My gut feeling is Germany will come out on top, or an underdog like England or Denmark.  Hate to say it consdering all those teams deal you hefty loss.
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