New Posts For Thread: Why Is The Draw Never Favourite in Football Matches?https://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matchesTake Villa vs West Ham...Villa laughably are faves to win the match at 2.7West Ham 2.9Draw 3.3I see the draw as the most likely result but is this a matter of my opinion of a matter of fact? I don't get how draws are priced up in matches like these wEasy pickings. I'm just going to read up on the Premium Charge.https://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547239453#547239453Easy pickings. I'm just going to read up on the Premium Charge.Sat, 26 Dec 2015 11:00:06 -0600People keep mentioning the draw being priced as it is because people like to back wins, it has nothing to do with this, the prices are a reflection of likely hood of it happening, if the price was wrong then it would be smashed into straight away.https://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547233099#547233099People keep mentioning the draw being priced as it is because people like to back wins, it has nothing to do with this, the prices are a reflection of likely hood of it happening, if the price was wrong then it would be smashed into straight away.Fri, 25 Dec 2015 05:30:21 -0600with home or aways..you could be out of sight mostly any time in the match...with draws you carnt.so the % must be less with draws.https://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547232821#547232821with home or aways..you could be out of sight mostly any time in the match...with draws you carnt.so the % must be less with draws.Fri, 25 Dec 2015 02:05:35 -0600If a game is gonna finish under 2.5 goals then there are 6 possible scorelines and only 2 of them result in a draw . No one would ask why the draw is never fav in rugby. If the chance of 0-0 is not more than 12% then it is very difficult to get the thttps://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547232449#547232449If a game is gonna finish under 2.5 goals then there are 6 possible scorelines and only 2 of them result in a draw . No one would ask why the draw is never fav in rugby. If the chance of 0-0 is not more than 12% then it is very difficult to get the tThu, 24 Dec 2015 17:32:06 -0600the weight of money that bookmakers take on both sides would be unmanageable if the draw was favmost punters want to bet teams to winhttps://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547232385#547232385the weight of money that bookmakers take on both sides would be unmanageable if the draw was favmost punters want to bet teams to winThu, 24 Dec 2015 16:59:42 -0600*matcheshttps://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547232383#547232383*matchesThu, 24 Dec 2015 16:58:39 -0600there is money to be made betting premier league draws if you know which matters to do it onsorry I know that is vague but if I told you I'd have to kill you but andriy is spot on with his posts herehttps://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547232381#547232381there is money to be made betting premier league draws if you know which matters to do it onsorry I know that is vague but if I told you I'd have to kill you but andriy is spot on with his posts hereThu, 24 Dec 2015 16:58:28 -0600Stats mate ...Draws in Prem games so far this season = 28% !Much easier results to call....for me anyway !https://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547231643#547231643Stats mate ...Draws in Prem games so far this season = 28% !Much easier results to call....for me anyway !Thu, 24 Dec 2015 12:49:31 -0600People over thinking this....maybe it's because punters are more like to back a team to win than back a draw which is a relatively boring bet. Of course over time you would be down....but that takes into account games where there's strong favourites.https://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547231581#547231581People over thinking this....maybe it's because punters are more like to back a team to win than back a draw which is a relatively boring bet. Of course over time you would be down....but that takes into account games where there's strong favourites.Thu, 24 Dec 2015 12:32:38 -0600Your point is correct; if for example 2 equally matched teams in French 2nd div have high goal expectancies relative to the league then the draw will most likely still be outsider of 3. I probably should have written that such an occurrence is more lhttps://community.betfair.com/football/go/thread/view/94070/30631461/why-is-the-draw-never-favourite-in-football-matches?post_id=547231529#547231529Your point is correct; if for example 2 equally matched teams in French 2nd div have high goal expectancies relative to the league then the draw will most likely still be outsider of 3. I probably should have written that such an occurrence is more lThu, 24 Dec 2015 12:10:25 -0600