New Posts For Thread: Doubts over long-term profitability might be resolved soonhttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soonWell, at least if your strategy uses x-feeder, which I think applies to a lot of folks on here.This month an update should be announced, that will allow x-feeder to backtest against the BF data files. Just imagine checking your strategy against allYour posts keep me smiling Jazza.Keep em coming.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848958#418848958Your posts keep me smiling Jazza.Keep em coming.Thu, 04 Mar 2010 13:36:22 -0600ludyburrows 04 Mar 07:27 Isn't Jazza just a really happy fricking bunny.Time he developed a brain. This may surprise you, but a developed brain can evolve to a point where it can deal with all sorts of emotions. Happiness is but one.Keep smilinghttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848954#418848954ludyburrows 04 Mar 07:27 Isn't Jazza just a really happy fricking bunny.Time he developed a brain. This may surprise you, but a developed brain can evolve to a point where it can deal with all sorts of emotions. Happiness is but one.Keep smilingThu, 04 Mar 2010 12:35:08 -0600BJ, hilo and bcct, in that order please.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848950#418848950BJ, hilo and bcct, in that order please.Thu, 04 Mar 2010 10:09:22 -0600Well my main interest is in Omaha mainbets, but I suspect that will be at the bottom of anyone's list.Next would be Blackjack, Baccarat (main and side), HiLo and Card Derby - in that order.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848942#418848942Well my main interest is in Omaha mainbets, but I suspect that will be at the bottom of anyone's list.Next would be Blackjack, Baccarat (main and side), HiLo and Card Derby - in that order.Thu, 04 Mar 2010 05:12:05 -0600Can all of you tell me what channel is your priority at the moment, if not Poker?https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848938#418848938Can all of you tell me what channel is your priority at the moment, if not Poker?Thu, 04 Mar 2010 03:30:38 -0600Isn't Jazza just a really happy fricking bunny.Time he developed a brain.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848934#418848934Isn't Jazza just a really happy fricking bunny.Time he developed a brain.Thu, 04 Mar 2010 00:27:15 -0600as I said, it may take 200 years. Too long for me.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848842#418848842as I said, it may take 200 years. Too long for me.Fri, 22 Jan 2010 17:18:37 -0600Exactly.As Grunweld says essentially it can revert virtually to the norm, for example, simply by occurring in the future at the correct probability for a long time.No way to make money out of that sort of prediction unfortunately.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848838#418848838Exactly.As Grunweld says essentially it can revert virtually to the norm, for example, simply by occurring in the future at the correct probability for a long time.No way to make money out of that sort of prediction unfortunately.Fri, 22 Jan 2010 16:40:06 -0600You can be sure that the dealer won't keep winning at that frequency. But we cannot predict how many games it will take the for the frequency to normalise. All we know is that over a large enough number of games the frequency of wins will be as exphttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848834#418848834You can be sure that the dealer won't keep winning at that frequency. But we cannot predict how many games it will take the for the frequency to normalise. All we know is that over a large enough number of games the frequency of wins will be as expFri, 22 Jan 2010 14:21:40 -0600So, let's get this clear, if a series of results runs away from the expected odds, we can rely on future results to bring it back?So if in blackjack, the dealer wins 8 out of 10 times, can we be sure that it won't keep doing that?Does it mean that wehttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453758/doubts-over-long-term-profitability-might-be-resolved-soon?post_id=418848830#418848830So, let's get this clear, if a series of results runs away from the expected odds, we can rely on future results to bring it back?So if in blackjack, the dealer wins 8 out of 10 times, can we be sure that it won't keep doing that?Does it mean that weFri, 22 Jan 2010 13:57:39 -0600