New Posts For Thread: Exploiting 'fixed' exchange gameshttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-gamesIf these games are fixed then it should be possible to exploit this.If they were fixed I would assume that when there are large lays or backs by punters, betfair senses this and ensures that these bets either win or lose - whatever makes the most monyes a multi million pound company would risk its licence to**some silly virtual game.......https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847378#418847378yes a multi million pound company would risk its licence to**some silly virtual game.......Fri, 05 Feb 2010 03:42:24 -0600They don't need to**the exchange games, they make money no matter what. Like a casino does.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847346#418847346They don't need to**the exchange games, they make money no matter what. Like a casino does.Thu, 04 Feb 2010 14:13:58 -0600Betfair seed the markets with their own money. Punters can still offer their own bets, but Betfair have rigged it so they always beat punters in terms of queue position.So in short, no you can't make money this way.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847342#418847342Betfair seed the markets with their own money. Punters can still offer their own bets, but Betfair have rigged it so they always beat punters in terms of queue position.So in short, no you can't make money this way.Thu, 04 Feb 2010 12:34:42 -0600are you sure the hands were being layed by punters and not backed?Yes, because the amount of money went down on the lay side while remaining unchanged on the back side!Do you think the hands won more than the expected chance alone?Hmmm... can't say thttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847338#418847338are you sure the hands were being layed by punters and not backed?Yes, because the amount of money went down on the lay side while remaining unchanged on the back side!Do you think the hands won more than the expected chance alone?Hmmm... can't say tThu, 04 Feb 2010 07:46:04 -0600nz bot, are you sure the hands were being layed by punters and not backed?Do you think the hands won more than the expected chance alone?If you are right then it blows holes in those that are saying these games are ixed. They just happened to bet bighttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847302#418847302nz bot, are you sure the hands were being layed by punters and not backed?Do you think the hands won more than the expected chance alone?If you are right then it blows holes in those that are saying these games are ixed. They just happened to bet bigTue, 02 Feb 2010 11:17:15 -0600I think Airfix do one.https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847298#418847298I think Airfix do one.Tue, 02 Feb 2010 10:36:34 -0600Anyone got a model for the Exhange Virtual Racing in Sports?https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847294#418847294Anyone got a model for the Exhange Virtual Racing in Sports?Tue, 02 Feb 2010 09:36:27 -0600Diep, in the last few days I observed in Texas Hold'em that very often hands lost with obviously big LAYS on themIt looked to me as if someone was chasing losses!https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847290#418847290Diep, in the last few days I observed in Texas Hold'em that very often hands lost with obviously big LAYS on themIt looked to me as if someone was chasing losses!Mon, 01 Feb 2010 17:55:43 -0600Diep, in the last few days I observed in Texas Hold'em that very often hands lost with obviously big LAYS on them. According to the fixed theory, these hands should have won (when e.g. I lay 1,000€ @ 4.98 and the hand wins, I lose 3,980€, market mahttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847286#418847286Diep, in the last few days I observed in Texas Hold'em that very often hands lost with obviously big LAYS on them. According to the fixed theory, these hands should have won (when e.g. I lay 1,000€ @ 4.98 and the hand wins, I lose 3,980€, market maMon, 01 Feb 2010 17:49:48 -0600...very unlikely, thats very noticable...we all looking for any pattern, that could be turn into profit...on the end is all matematic formula where you can find continuity...or difference...https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23453638/exploiting-fixed-exchange-games?post_id=418847282#418847282...very unlikely, thats very noticable...we all looking for any pattern, that could be turn into profit...on the end is all matematic formula where you can find continuity...or difference...Mon, 01 Feb 2010 16:17:31 -0600