New Posts For Thread: Why isn't....https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isntLaying only one has 21 a good bet at 8/1 when only dealer left to play and dealer is showing a 10 as first card??? i.e. Only the Ace can do us damageSorry FAFH...only jokes anyhow :-)So you believe it may be possible but in another direction...3 or 4 times deviation is huge though is it not???https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286550#416286550Sorry FAFH...only jokes anyhow :-)So you believe it may be possible but in another direction...3 or 4 times deviation is huge though is it not???Mon, 30 Nov 2009 15:58:42 -0600True but it is close isn't it...just trying to give a small insight of what I do on here (Not that bet on its own ;-) )https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286546#416286546True but it is close isn't it...just trying to give a small insight of what I do on here (Not that bet on its own ;-) )Mon, 30 Nov 2009 15:13:44 -0600In 13 games you will have 7 full stake wins = less than 7 points after undervalue odds & commission.In 13 games you will have a full stake loss one time = more than 8 points with overvalue odds.Can you make enough from the trade outs to make more thahttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286542#416286542In 13 games you will have 7 full stake wins = less than 7 points after undervalue odds & commission.In 13 games you will have a full stake loss one time = more than 8 points with overvalue odds.Can you make enough from the trade outs to make more thaMon, 30 Nov 2009 14:59:42 -0600Our posts crossed Benni.I don't believe I have changed my tune at all.What you are proposing is simply trading in and out on poor value odds, doing the same sort of trades in all scenarios where the opportunities present.Nobody I can assure you can dhttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286538#416286538Our posts crossed Benni.I don't believe I have changed my tune at all.What you are proposing is simply trading in and out on poor value odds, doing the same sort of trades in all scenarios where the opportunities present.Nobody I can assure you can dMon, 30 Nov 2009 14:56:52 -0600GrunweldYou should be able to bot this proposed trade out strategy.If you do you will see that eventually you will decline into negative territory.The mkt. making bots have covered all these scenarios in their odds.Frustrating I know, but that's justhttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286534#416286534GrunweldYou should be able to bot this proposed trade out strategy.If you do you will see that eventually you will decline into negative territory.The mkt. making bots have covered all these scenarios in their odds.Frustrating I know, but that's justMon, 30 Nov 2009 14:49:56 -0600FAFH...you have changed your tune! :-)I have seen you on other peoples threads saying that just because somebody can't do it doesn't mean it can't be done...and then you come in with a sweeping statement like that! Lol...https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286530#416286530FAFH...you have changed your tune! :-)I have seen you on other peoples threads saying that just because somebody can't do it doesn't mean it can't be done...and then you come in with a sweeping statement like that! Lol...Mon, 30 Nov 2009 14:48:45 -0600I don't think you're understanding my point basically.All these trade out scenarios would be done at poor value odds also, and the consequent gains ( after commission) from them and from straight wins would not offset the losing scenarios.I repeat lhttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286526#416286526I don't think you're understanding my point basically.All these trade out scenarios would be done at poor value odds also, and the consequent gains ( after commission) from them and from straight wins would not offset the losing scenarios.I repeat lMon, 30 Nov 2009 14:45:51 -0600Yes Grun...although the only time we would let the liability run until the end of the game is if the ace hits 1st card...which would be a loser for us anyhow!https://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286522#416286522Yes Grun...although the only time we would let the liability run until the end of the game is if the ace hits 1st card...which would be a loser for us anyhow!Mon, 30 Nov 2009 14:44:21 -0600Looked at that way there would appear to be something in it. Obviously the price must be correct if you let the lay bet run to the end of the game, but with the opportunity to clear the liability or even profit in R4, then on the face of it, it coulhttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286518#416286518Looked at that way there would appear to be something in it. Obviously the price must be correct if you let the lay bet run to the end of the game, but with the opportunity to clear the liability or even profit in R4, then on the face of it, it coulMon, 30 Nov 2009 14:40:15 -0600GrunWorst is the 2 if it comes and the price goes to 8.5 to back which would give us a small profit as long as it doesn't hit (although no liability.)If the 6 comes then the price goes to 12.9 which again gives us a small profit but no liability, afthttps://community.betfair.com/exchange_games/go/thread/view/94066/23381314/why-isnt?post_id=416286514#416286514GrunWorst is the 2 if it comes and the price goes to 8.5 to back which would give us a small profit as long as it doesn't hit (although no liability.)If the 6 comes then the price goes to 12.9 which again gives us a small profit but no liability, aftMon, 30 Nov 2009 14:11:01 -0600