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happyhibee
28 Dec 13 09:13
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 56,153 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Morning folks,

Darts wise I thoroughly enjoyed most of the action yesterday. Punting wise it couldn't have gone any worse but hey ho onwards and upwards and all that. Today sees the afternoon wrap up the last 16 and then this evening we get the first 2 quarter final matches.

Adrian Lewis v Mervyn King:

R2 - Lewis bt Vincent Van Der Voort 4-1
Ave: 103.68
180's: 9
CO%: 46%
HC: 146
Legs played: 20

King bt Ricky Evans 4-2
Ave: 94.81
180's: 6
CO%: 39%
HC: 110
Legs played: 25

Opening match of the afternoon sees 2 time champion Lewis take on The King and I'm looking forward to it enormously. As Silverback kindly pointed out King has actually won their last 9 meetings which is a really surprising stat to me but most of those victories have been on the floor. However it's definitely worth considering if anybody was going to take the short odds about Adie. I personally think he's playing better than when he won his 2 titles and he was excellent in putting VDV to the sword in R2. If Merv is going to win he is going to have to produce as close to his mythical A game as possible. He got a good victory v the youngster Ricky Evans and played pretty well but he needs to improve again to trouble Lewis in my view.  I'm hopeful it won't be a whitewash and if it isn't I think Lewis can cover his max line.

Recommendation: 1pt win Adrian Lewis to hit over 8.5 180's @ 10/11 (365)

James Wade v Devon Petersen:

R2 - Wade bt Andy Smith 4-3
Ave: 91.86
180's: 5
CO%: 56%
HC: 122
Legs played: 33

Petersen bt Justin Pipe 4-1
Ave: 95.18
180's: 3
CO%: 50%
HC: 130
Legs played: 20

Wade survived another 2 match darts against him in his win over Smith and that now makes it 8 in 2 games. He's doing just enough to scrape through and the question is can his luck continue? I was actually surprised by how well Petersen played v Pipe as I had him down as streaky and a 90 average player at best but he averaged 95 over 20 legs and checked out at 50% which is good shooting however you look at it. If he plays like that again he can definitely push Wade who seems to be going through the motions and then finding a bit only when required. As such I'm going to have a pop at Devon on the handicap.

Recommendation: 1pt win Devon Petersen +2.5 sets @ evs (365)

Michael Van Gerwen v Gary Anderson:

R2 - Van Gerwen bt Kevin McDine 4-1
Ave: 96.88
180's: 11
CO%: 37%
HC: 118
Legs played: 20

Anderson bt Brendan Dolan 4-1
Ave: 97.97
180's: 2
CO%: 40%
HC: 119
Legs played: 19

Last game of R3 sees the joint favourite for the title take on the mercurial Subtitles in what could be a belter of a match. Van Gerwen played well in R2 and upped his game after his opponent tried to take the mickey out of his celebration. He's fantastic in full flow and the pace of the game should really suit both players. Anderson has played well in his 2 wins so far but it's really a change as he just doesn't seem to have the same power scoring. The last 18 months have really seen a dip in his 180 hitting and unless he finishes really well I honestly don't think he'll live with MVG's scoring. I really like the Van Gerwen maxes here as he is frightening on the treble once he gets going and he pinged in 11 in 20 legs in his previous match. Really surprised to see the line as low as 7.5 and as such it's worth a decent bet.

Recommendation: 2pts win MVG over 7.5 maxes @ 10/11 (Boils)

Peter Wright v Wes Newton:

R3 - Wright bt Michael Smith 4-3
Ave: 105.07
180's: 7
CO%: 39%
HC: 161
Legs played: 31

Newton bt Robert Thornton 4-1
Ave: 95.51
180's: 6
CO%: 47%
HC: 83
Legs played: 20

First quarter final sees both players try to make it into their first ever semi final at the worlds. I think nobody would disagree that Wright has probably been the best player so far this tourney based on averages and level of performance. I thought he was absolutely tremendous in a great match last night and my only worry here is how much it took out of him cos he looked shattered after the match. As long as he has recovered fully I think he's a worthy favourite to reach the semis though. Newton played well v a disappointing Thornton and he will also be hopeful of a win over a player who he is ranked higher than. However I think he's got it all on v a guy who is easily playing the best darts of his life and is full of confidence. Now we're into the best of 9 it will sort out the men from the boys and I think this has 8 or 9 sets written all over it. In the hope that is the case I'm going to get with the total sets as my bet.

Recommendation: 1pt win Over 7.5 sets @ Evs  (Sky)

Simon Whitlock v Ian White:

R3 - Whitlock bt Kevin Painter 4-0
Ave: 92.96
180's: 5
CO%: 38%
HC: 80
Legs played: 16

White bt Richie Burnett 4-3
Ave: 95.92
180's: 6
CO%: 38
HC: 128
Legs played: 27

Last game of the day and I think this could be a good match. Whitlock is the only player left who has yet to drop a set but he was not exactly pushed against a very average Painter in the win last night. He's scoring well enough but I'm not convinced he can be relied upon to hit the crucial doubles now in a close match. Obviously that theory hasn't been tested yet as he's not been involved in a close one but the history of the last 18 months definitely shows he can crack when it gets close. I've been really impressed with White in his 3 matches and his level has rarely dropped below 95 for the whole tournament. Considering he'd never won a match at the worlds before this year that's quite a turnaround. He never panicked when he went 3-1 down v Burnett and although Richie helped a bit White just continued to hit big scores and hit checks at crucial times. I think White will go close here but unfortunately he's not as big a price as I hoped for. So I'm going back into the total sets market here and will be backing over 7 sets again as I expect a close one.

Recommendation: 1pt win over 7.5 sets @ 6/5 (Sky)

Summary: Really looking forward to today and lots of bets that hopefully might actually win unlike yesterday. As usual I'm sure the crack and banter will be top notch on here and all bets and views are welcome as I'm bound to have missed the value somewhere. Best of luck to all punting and may all your bets be winners!
HH Happy
Pause Switch to Standard View *** World Darts Championship - Day 13...
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Report aberdonia December 28, 2013 11:28 PM GMT
Shaking Simon
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:28 PM GMT
both are at the moment.
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:28 PM GMT
Laugh
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
yezzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
Report RichyH December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
Whys tge crowd so quiet now?
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
now#
Report teessider7 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
sh!t the bed!
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
I honestly think 60 is the hardest 2 dart check in the game
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
boooooooooooooooooooooooom
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
YEZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ GTFI
Report DartsnBooze December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
crowd are adding to the tension
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
BERGY CELEBRATION
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
yesssssss, gtfi
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
come on ffs
Report Lori December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
Reminds me of the match where Anderson needed to win a leg and Robson nearly won it by accident
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
THESE ARE GOING TO BE SOME JPEGS LADS
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
OR NOT
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
Laugh
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
FEK OFFFF AngryAngryAngry
Report viva el presidente! December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
I hope beard backers brought several changes of underwear tonight.
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
14-12 maxes
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:29 PM GMT
I GIVE UP
Report RichyH December 28, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
Whitlock most Maxes not home yet
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
White's missus just looks happy to be there
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
come on, fend off this giant Australian leprechaun.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
COME ON NOW AUSSIE FREAK
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
YEZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
180 AngryAngryAngryAngryAngryAngry
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:30 PM GMT
15-12 maxes
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
1111188888000000000
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMM MOTHERFCUKERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR
Report viva el presidente! December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
white's imploded.
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
Whoops
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
ITS COMINGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
dear meCry
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
BRING HER HOME YOU AUSSIE FREAKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKKK
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
oh dear
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
yesssssssssss
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:31 PM GMT
YEASSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS...
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
GTFI
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
oi oi oi
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
show me the moooonnneeeeyyyyyyy
Report wisewords December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
SHOW ME THE MONEY
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
Whitlock needs oxygen after that

2 cracking matches for 2 different reasons tonight
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
kjp knew Cool

should be party's punts
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
blimey , 1.02 in serious trouble
Report RichyH December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
Just in Time for the Ashes
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
pressure always switches when a comeback pulls level
Report DartsnBooze December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
if only whitlock v wright was on in an hrs time Devil
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:32 PM GMT
15 maxes whitlock
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:33 PM GMT
Time for my bet of the day on the NBA again. Won me big time money yesterday.
Report marychain1 December 28, 2013 11:33 PM GMT
Two astonishing darts matches this evening
Report TexassportsagentBuzz December 28, 2013 11:33 PM GMT
so who wins Whitlock or Wright?
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:33 PM GMT
















Report viva el presidente! December 28, 2013 11:34 PM GMT
top day's darts today.
Report nicky27 December 28, 2013 11:34 PM GMT
yes bergy , goodnight mate , see u next time Grin
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:34 PM GMT
Till tomorrow gents
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:34 PM GMT
Good night BOSSSS..See the mara for the Footy GrinCool
Report DartsnBooze December 28, 2013 11:34 PM GMT
whitlock wins the match 5-4 sets in another incredible match.
Well done lads Love


IAN WHITE
Match Average 98.41
Check Out Percentage 42.22% 19/45
Highest Finish 108
12x180


SIMON WHITLOCK
Match Average 95.77
Check Out Percentage 37.5% 21/56
Highest Finish 136   
15x180
Report RichyH December 28, 2013 11:34 PM GMT

Dec 28, 2013 -- 5:33PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:


Time for my bet of the day on the NBA again. Won me big time money yesterday.


I seen that Aftertime last night

Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
I'd love a sign in the background to read
Stephanie show us yer wizards sleeve
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
what is the bet S or A
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 28, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
another reason he wont sleep imo
Report MC Roller December 28, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
well done whitlock backers.

Not the result I was looking for, but then again, I never win. Quality entertainment today though, winning money isn't the be all and end all.

Goodnight all.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
That would be telling.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:35 PM GMT
you get on first then tell everyone else surelyyyyyyyyy s or a ??
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:36 PM GMT
Let's just say its an underdog.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:36 PM GMT
Excited
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:36 PM GMT
a road team.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:36 PM GMT
charlotte Grin
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:36 PM GMT
although that doesnt give too much information, as most of the road teams are underdogs tonight Laugh
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:36 PM GMT
even after a few surprises along the way if the 2 favs win tomorrow then 3 of the top 4 seeds have made the semis
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:37 PM GMT
Laugh the many matches on lollll
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:37 PM GMT
It could be a night of unusual NBA results. Except Minnesota, who should win.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:38 PM GMT
as should LAC.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:40 PM GMT
Yeah LAC should win easy !!
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:41 PM GMT
WTA on later also ...Brisbane,Australia :)
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:41 PM GMT
Although statistically, it is not worth betting on 1.08s at home in NBA.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:41 PM GMT
you would not make a consistent profit doing that.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:42 PM GMT
There is just one area of odds on which you can make a nice profit backing favourites in NBA.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:42 PM GMT
quite a big area.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:42 PM GMT
ht market ?
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:43 PM GMT
no, in the match odds.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:43 PM GMT
what area is it ..do tell ?
Report DartsnBooze December 28, 2013 11:43 PM GMT
Forgot to mention this earler...bit late now as most feckers have disappeared off of here.
I'll be @ rileys, northampton tomorrow evening for the darts and a bit of oche bashing...shoooosh. You aint seen me right. Pop along and say hello Laugh

ps. mardle tipped up lewis to win worlds, and just changed his mind to a wright v mvg final?
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:44 PM GMT
half time scores are very important though. If you plot a graph of win probability from previous match results, you would think that the home and away HT differences would equate to what the odds suggest, but they don't.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:45 PM GMT
so the odds are very frequently incorrect at that stage.
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:46 PM GMT
hmm I see ...must look into the bball markets more
Report DartsnBooze December 28, 2013 11:46 PM GMT
Backing a whole bunch of players in the worlds outrights on fb has totally frazzled my mind. Never again Crazy Grin
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 28, 2013 11:46 PM GMT
just NBA, other basketball leagues are different.
Report happyhibee December 28, 2013 11:47 PM GMT
Hope the book is looking ok now tho DnB
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:48 PM GMT
Oh ok..I only follow NBA now...I did do the south korean for a while ...but stopped for now
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:49 PM GMT
Miami game is Tough too call ...I reckon a lot could get burned in tonight ...Most avoidable game for me in tonights fixtures..not going near it
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:50 PM GMT
in it*
Report DartsnBooze December 28, 2013 11:53 PM GMT
"ROGUE" the movie, (not whitlock) is starting now on bbc1. A horror set in australia Laugh
Report Bergkamp93 December 28, 2013 11:56 PM GMT
Laugh-Will give it a watch to see Cool
Report RichyH December 28, 2013 11:57 PM GMT
Or the England Cricket Team
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 29, 2013 12:05 AM GMT
NBA about to start Happy
Report DartsnBooze December 29, 2013 12:28 AM GMT
Day 13  - Over 2,000 posts Laugh
Report Bergkamp93 December 29, 2013 12:50 AM GMT
Cool
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