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happyhibee
30 Dec 12 11:59
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 38,514 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Well after the drama of last night and possibly one of the best matches ever in the PDC we're left with 4 players who still have a chance of the world title. There's potentially another epic match in store so lets take a look and see what bets are out there for us.

Michael Van Gerwen v James Wade:

QF - MVG bt Adrian Lewis 5-4
Ave: 102.73
180's: 15
HC: 120
CO%: 30%

Wade bt Wes Newton 5-4
Ave: 92.89
180's: 5
HC: 101
CO%: 41%

The first match of the night sees the ever exciting Michael Van Gerwen take on James Wade. I think most people watching last night would agree that Van Gerwen & Lewis served up one of the finest matches ever seen and it was a shame there had to be a loser. However there was and MVG I think just about deserved to win. He had to survive 2 match darts against him but sometimes thats the little bit of luck you need to go on and win tournaments. His scoring power is absolutely frightening andif he doubles even moderately then he's going to take some stopping. Wade again did just enough and hit some clutch doubles at really critical times to edge out Wes Newton. I've said the whole tourney that he doesn't seem to have anything above a mid 90's average in him and if hes going to win he either has to find power scoring from somewhere or MVG has to underperform. I personally can't see either of those things happening and I like the look of 2 bets in this match quite strongly. First up is the match handicap where Wade is receiving 2.5 sets. For him to won this he has to get 4 sets and I honestly dont think that will happen and if MVG gets on a roll he could easily blow Wade away. If pushed I think a 6-2 or 6-3 scoreline is likely so this is a bet I do fancy. The second bet I like the look of is the 180 handicap bet. I'm wary of playing match 180's or individual 180's as I do fear it could be a blow out but on this bet MVG has to outscore Wade by 5 or more to win. He's hit 34 so far in the tournament which is the most and is averaging 1 ever 2.76 legs. Wade on the other hand has only hit 16 in 88 legs which is 1 every 5.5 legs. So based on stats Van Gerwen can be expected to hit 2 to ever 1 of Wade's per 5 legs played. So roughly calculated he should hit 5 more if they play 25 legs and more if it goes further. I honestly think he's capable of 12 or 13 and given Wade has yet to hit more than 5 in a match I think this is a solid wager.

Recommendations: 2pts win Van Gerwen -2.5 sets @ 4/6 (general) & 3pts win MVG -4 180's @ 11/10 (Sky)

Phil Taylor v Raymond Van Barneveld:

QF - Taylor by Andy Hamilton 5-0
Ave: 101.38
180's: 5
HC: 118
CO%: 56%

Barney bt Simon Whitlock 5-1
Ave: 102.32
180's: 9
HC: 135
CO%: 52%

Second semi would be as anticipated as any match between these since their first meeting in the final at the circus tavern. Last few years Barneveld has rolled over to Phil (Think its 16 straight losses) but now he seems to be in a better place and if he keeps his form it should be a tremendous match. However I would always say when Phil's back is against the wall thats when he normally finds his absolute best. Neither were tested seriously in their QF wins but Taylor especially has sauntered through to this stage despite allegedly not being at his best. It shows the fear factor he puts in other players that he's lost only 9 legs so far and this is while his overall tournament average sits around 96. He will have to play well tonight but I fancy he is starting to peak at the right time. Barney has averaged over 100 twice already this championship and in full flow looks so relaxed. He's not been pushed seriously though and has only dropped 2 sets so far and it remains to be seen if he starts to tighten up when the gun is put to his head. I honestly can't pick a winner here but if pushed I'd side with Phil in a thriller but there is 2 bets I like to small stakes. First of all I like the look of the HC market as I expect a lot of legs here and Taylor especially seems to find big finishes as the tournaments progress. Over 139 is beatable but its a high line and as such its a small bet. I also like the look of Barney winning the h'cap 180's bet again to small stakes. He's hit 25 in 71 legs so far for an average of 1 every 2.84 legs while Taylor has only hit 11 in 58 legs played for an average of 1 every 5.4 legs. As in the previous match it means Barney is hitting almost 2 to every 1 of Phil and as such the -2 handicap looks beatable.

Recommendations: 1pt win HC over 139 @ 5/6 (VC) & 2pts win Barney -2 180's @ Evs (Paddy)

Summary: Really looking forward to this tonight after last nights matches and hopeful of a few winners too. Hopefully a comfy Van Gerwen win sets us up nicel for the big match and if there's a high check from either and Barney hits a few more maxes then I'll be a happy chappy Happy

All the best to all on here punting tonight and all wagers and discussion as welcome as ever. Hopefully it matches last night when I can honestly say I had one of the best nights on the forum having a laugh and watching some great arrers.
HH Happy
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Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:08 AM GMT
LOL at The Westies on Twitter.

For the uninitiated, they RUN the BDO/Lakeside event.
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:08 AM GMT
Unfortunately not Alun. I'm out of the loop on the BDO front now mate. I'm backing Chuch Norris though
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:09 AM GMT
I'm so excited for the guys who have never seen the BDO. What a treat they have in store
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:09 AM GMT
Ok mate, no probe
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:10 AM GMT
Gotta love the Westies. I hear they are frequent visitors to the Rijksmuseum now they dwell over there
Report Footiefan111 December 31, 2012 12:10 AM GMT
tony o shea and martin adams will be leading contenders as usual Crazy
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:10 AM GMT
Surely its time for one of the wests to rule the world at the lakeside?
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:10 AM GMT
"England versus England"
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
Says on Tony West twitter page that he plays on PDC not BDO
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
Threw a few arrers myself tonight, I'm coming back to take Lionel out!
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
I've swilled quite a few glasses of Absolut this evening which might explain why I'm hyperventilating.
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
tony the viper eccles back at the lakeside this year
Report STUDYFORM December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
I'm with you alun, They seem to add a microphone to the dartboard for the BDO.
Bloody annoying.
Report grrrrrowl December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
If you're in the BDO rather than the PDC, does that mean you're rubbish at darts?
Report Footiefan111 December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
anyone got a good outsider bets for the bdo worlds
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:11 AM GMT
ha ha Alun. I think Tony and Steve both moved actually. Unsuccessfully
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
Cosmo :  was there any 'afters' between you and The Lion after he broke your heart in Hull ?
Report Lori December 31, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
Two nine darters in a row but didn't get the fish tank.
Report comefrombehind December 31, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
the four players tonight wade behaved like the nutter he is no grace in defeat barneveld like a child at the start of
game sulking for the first four sets and taylor looking for a fight imagine he lost.only mvg comes out with any credit
hope he spanks taylor in final.
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 31, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
only 1 winner for me this year

GLORY GLORY GLORY GARRY THOMPSON
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:13 AM GMT
Who is James wilson? 20/1 for the BDO?
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:13 AM GMT
only an hour to go
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:14 AM GMT
NFL guys - Peterson about to break NFL rushing record
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:14 AM GMT
i'd say Kist at 8/1 aint a bad bet in all fairness. Bunting the man to beat but favs have a shoddy record at Lakeside
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:15 AM GMT
No Alun, "win with honour, lose with dignity" was always my mantra Grin
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:15 AM GMT

Dec 30, 2012 -- 6:14PM, happyhibee wrote:


i'd say Kist at 8/1 aint a bad bet in all fairness. Bunting the man to beat but favs have a shoddy record at Lakeside


Bunting any good?

Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:15 AM GMT
yeah Bunting and Norris can both hit maxes for fun
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:16 AM GMT
O Shea disappointing IMO, he could have been great. Not sure why he hasnt done the buiness
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:16 AM GMT
Bobby George's son is in the BDO this year
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:17 AM GMT
Ah that's great to know Cosmo. I'd have been spitting feathers and making drunken advances to the delicious Mrs Lion...
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:17 AM GMT
I love the BDO champs. The raffle, the miscalls, scampi in a basket, Shazza steaming into trap 2......it has it all!
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:18 AM GMT
I think Kist has to be a reasonable bet at 8/1
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 31, 2012 12:18 AM GMT
fitzys racist jokes Love
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:18 AM GMT
I think I played him after he split with her. He's a decent chap really.
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:19 AM GMT
england vs england
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:20 AM GMT
Will Belgium's finest be commentating on the BDO again this year, for the 800th year in a row?
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:20 AM GMT
Tony Green's inimitable commentary "they're all here", "it's all happening"
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:20 AM GMT
Scotty walking an iaginary dog on stage? Where else but at the BDO??
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:21 AM GMT
"A knowledgable crowd here at Lakeside
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:21 AM GMT
Not read through the forum, how was excitement levels when the Mekon nearly did back to back 9 darters?
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:21 AM GMT

Dec 30, 2012 -- 6:20PM, happyhibee wrote:


Scotty walking an iaginary dog on stage? Where else but at the BDO??


Cant be as bad as Fittons stupid walk on - just cringe worthy

Report Footiefan111 December 31, 2012 12:22 AM GMT
what about wolfie
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:22 AM GMT
Just looked through the BDO first round, there is some absolute dross in it
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:23 AM GMT
Cosmo - I was shaking and screeching watching it. Shouting at the telly. That was before the vodka as well.
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:23 AM GMT
It was a bit excited Cosmo think we had about 80 posts in 2 minutes

I genuinely have no idea who about 40% of the lakeside field is
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:23 AM GMT
Cosmo - meltdown
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:23 AM GMT
Gwynne was fairly excited too.
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:23 AM GMT
Wolfie has a great draw but had that at The Masters too and seemed to have forgotten how to play darts
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:24 AM GMT
Ha ha, nice one Alun. Gotta love MVG. I hope he winds Taylor up to epic proportions
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:25 AM GMT
Will the Beeb be getting Bobby to show us some of his old dartboards again this year?
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:25 AM GMT
the beeb are a disgrace to sport
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:25 AM GMT
Even the players lounge at Lakeside. Where all you see is most of the field who've been beaten sitting around getting drunk
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:26 AM GMT
he beat him up bad
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:26 AM GMT
Is Anastasia defending her women's title this year?  Remember the Politburo frowning on that win last year?
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:26 AM GMT

Dec 30, 2012 -- 6:25PM, happyhibee wrote:


Even the players lounge at Lakeside. Where all you see is most of the field who've been beaten sitting around getting drunk


With pictures on the wall of all the "turns" over the years. Matt Monro, Bob Carolgees, Cannon and Ball etc

Report birchy December 31, 2012 12:27 AM GMT
Harms is worth a bet at 18 i reckon. Looks like he has potential and random dutchmen have previous winning it :)
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:27 AM GMT
Is Colin Murray doing it again this year?
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:27 AM GMT
Ah, those walls could tell a few stories Leemo.
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:29 AM GMT
1      England Deta Hedman         
         England Lisa Ashton         
               England         
   
                        
    4      Germany Irina Armstrong    
           Netherlands Sharon Prins         
                         
                   
      2      Russia Anastasia Dobromyslova         
         England Lorraine Farlam         
                   
   
                        
    3      Wales Julie Gore    
           England Trina Gulliver
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:30 AM GMT
Ana and Deta are a country mile ahead of the rest of the ladies this year
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:30 AM GMT
Only 8 as normal in the womens draw
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:30 AM GMT
Golden girl no good anymore?
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:30 AM GMT
Where oh where is The Lily of Llanelli ????
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:31 AM GMT
had her nose put out of joint by ana leemo
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:31 AM GMT
The women players have much better nicknames than the men

Frances Thingy from Holland is 'The Dutch Crown'
Report RichyH December 31, 2012 12:31 AM GMT
Reading between the lines I have a feeling Taylor and Barney might have came to blows
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:32 AM GMT
lol
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:32 AM GMT
One of them (a Dutch player with a dodgy name) has the nickname 'Dolphin'
Report RichyH December 31, 2012 12:32 AM GMT
She entering Tour School Alun
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:33 AM GMT
Julie Gore (Welsh captain) is 'Ice Cube'
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:33 AM GMT
Scotland captain Anne Kirk is 'Captain Kirk'
Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:34 AM GMT
One of them is nicknamed PEBBLES
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:34 AM GMT
big deta is colins old flame
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:35 AM GMT

Dec 30, 2012 -- 6:34PM, STEPTOES YARD wrote:


big deta is colins old flame


I know yeah. Imagine them in the sack. f'sakeCry

Report alun2005 December 31, 2012 12:35 AM GMT
Ah yes, that was an inspiring partnership
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:35 AM GMT
Apparently Dave Lanning is doing the commentary for the final if you watch in 3D
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:36 AM GMT
I have 3D Cosmo but I wont be tuning in for that
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:37 AM GMT
Joseph Barton ‏@Joey7Barton

Is Phil Taylor sick? Don't think he's mentioned it in this interview.
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:39 AM GMT
Tom Essex ‏@cynically_me

So Rod Harrington is a director of the PDC and Phil Taylor (reportedly) holds shares; could Sky's coverage have much less integrity?
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 31, 2012 12:40 AM GMT
phil still managed by bazza


it's not called the phil darts corperation for nothing
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:40 AM GMT
The interview was a disgrace to be fair. Totally swept under the carpet Phil can do what he wants
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:41 AM GMT
Twitter went "Taylor mental" and still is TBH. He is hated SO much for someone who should be loved. But he is a p.rick and you cant fool the masses
Report STEPTOES YARD December 31, 2012 12:41 AM GMT
yep you just know that no other player could have said im not talking about it so dont ask me and it
would have been left at that
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:42 AM GMT
Doubt the full story will ever be known as to what went on
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:45 AM GMT
Oof, Peterson so close to the record
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 12:46 AM GMT
9 yards shy Sad
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:50 AM GMT
Aye watched it
Report Lori December 31, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
I think that's a fair result, they gave him the ball a zillion times anyway.
Report TheMadness December 31, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
The Sun newspaper trying to present Trina Gulliver as some sort of eye candy is still one of the funniest things I've ever seen
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
Think Trina is a spare rib tickler now.
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
Love how the Beeb never mention she a **** and err on the side of caution.
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 31, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
' and theres trina's wife '


crofty Cool
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:57 AM GMT
So who is that Polly bird on here?
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 12:58 AM GMT
Seems active on forum but not posted on this thread
Report Cosmo Kramer December 31, 2012 1:01 AM GMT
Well done on the 180 bets by the way Hib
Report happyhibee December 31, 2012 11:08 AM GMT
Cheers Cosmo
Report Conans December 31, 2012 11:23 AM GMT
Yes HH ... well done.
Report Leemo December 31, 2012 4:56 PM GMT
Go Skins Guys

PS - Enjoyed the night on here tremendously and looking forward to the final and BDO. Thanks again Guys
Report Navel-Gazer December 31, 2012 5:06 PM GMT
HH - I was gutted to miss out on the 3.2/1 double for the handicaps on the maximums (couldn't get it on, but I did say it was the best bet of the tournament) though the 4/5 straight double (MVG & RVB) on the 180's soothes things a little.
Report DartsnBooze December 31, 2012 7:43 PM GMT
I had my biggest single bet of the champs on Barney most 180's - 14pts. (Taylor may have led 3-2 (180's) at the time.)
Barney was so shockingly bad i thought Taylor would end up with the most 180's as time and time again he missed the max with his last dart. Because of the size of my stake i bailed out for a 2pt loss. Luckily for the forum folks something clicked into place and Barney started to let his darts flow.

Well done max backers.
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