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happyhibee
25 Dec 12 22:31
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 33,262 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Seasons greetings one and all. Got some spare time so thought I'd stick this up early and get some debate going before the action gets going again on Thursday Happy

Wes Newton v Mark Walsh:

R2 - Newton bt Scott Rand 4-0
Ave: 99.53
180's: 5
HC: 144
CO%: 33%

Walsh bt Justin Pipe 4-2
Ave: 91.41
180's: 5
HC: 101
CO%: 50%

Opening match of the day sees Wes Newton take on Mark Walsh. I was kind of looking forward to a repeat of Newton v Pipe to see how he would cope but Walsh ruined that with a decent performance. I thought Newton was excellent in his 2nd round win and scored very heavily. If it wasn't for him messing about on doubles in 1 leg his % would have been over 40% and his average would have been over 100 and thats one of the best performances of the competition. Walsh played well for 2 sets before dropping off to a more usual level for him but he had enough breathing space to get over the line. His finishing was good but thats not always the case and I think he always tends to pull d20 inside when he's involved in close matches and under pressure. I fancy Newton to win this but 4/11 is no more than correct. I do like the look of the HC market though for a small bet as Newton has been in my notebook for a while as being capable of the big outs. He had a 135 in his opener followed but 4 ton plus finishes in R2 and coupled with the fact that Walsh is capable I think this is worth a small bet.

Recommendation: 1pt win HC over 130.5 @ 5/6 (Sky)

Simon Whitlock v Dave Chisnall:

R2 - Whitlock bt Colin Osborne 4-0
Ave: 96.34
180's: 4
HC: 164
CO%: 55%

Chisnall bt Daryl Gurney 4-1
Ave: 98.44
180's: 10
HC: 107
CO%: 40%

Game of the afternoon here in my view between 2 heavy scorers who play at a decent pace. Whitlock hasn't dropped a set yet in getting to this stage but I don't think he's exactly been pushed by the opposition. He's going to average somewhere in the mid to high 90's I think and if his finishing is good then he'll make Chisnall go. I think Chisnall has slipped under the radar a bit  this tournament as he's averaged 93 and 98 in his 2 victories and finished at 50% and 40% which is good for him. He's going to hit a lot of maxes and he needs to keep this up but I fancy he might. I think this could be a thriller going all the way to a deciding set and I like the look of 2 bets in this match. Firstly I'm going for a small bet on the high check market again as whitlock is probably the best exponent of ton plus finishes in the PDC. He hit a 164 in r2 which landed us the money and I think he will have plenty of chances again here. I also like the look of the 180's in this match as Chisnall is in my top 3 max hitters in the game. If this goes 6 or 7 sets as I expect then this mark is more than beatable and hopefully the 180's continue to flow.

Recommendation: 1pt win HC over 131.5 @ 5/6 (Sky) & 2pts win over 14 maxes @ 5/6 (BSQ)

James Wade v Vincent Van Der Voort:

R2 - Wade bt Steve Beaton 4-2
Ave: 92.13
180's: 5
HC: 130
CO%: 54%

VDV bt Dean Winstanley 4-2
Ave: 90.79
180's: 7
HC: 105
CO%: 47%

Last game of the afternoon sees the erratic Wade take on the quickfire Vincent Van Der Voort. Wade has played ok in his 2 wins but right now I don't think he's capable of anything above a 93 or 94 average. This might be enough to win some games but I doubt it will him a world championship. VDV has actually surprised me thus far and he played pretty well and finished well v Winstanley in his R2 win. He's always capable of throwing in a stinker though as is Wade though at this time. I think both are too unpredictable to have a bet in this as I toyed with betting VDV just as the price was a bit big. However given the h2h record (heavily in Wade's favour) I'm happy to sit this out.

Recommendation: No Bet

Michael Van Gerwen v Colin Lloyd:

R2 - MVG bt Peter Wright 4-2
Ave: 102.13
180's: 12
HC: 90
CO%: 35%

Lloyd bt Mark Webster 4-2
Ave: 92.81
180's: 4
HC: 117
CO%: 35%

First match on in the evening session sees the ever entertaining MVG take on forum favourite H2O Colin Lloyd. Van Gerwen was sensational in the final 4 sets v Peter Wright in R2 and averaged around 110 in the 14 legs within that period. If he plays like that for the full match then LLoyd is going to have to be at his very best to live with him. He is always prone to have a bad set or two and can miss doubles but in full flow he is an absolute joy to watch. Lloyd has actually surprised me with his run to the last 16 as he's been out of form on tv for a while now. He's played solid stuff though and dug in when its got tight especially v Young in R1. I really like the look of 2 bets here simply as I think the bookies have underestimated the potential of the maximums. First of all I like MVG's individual maxes due to his incredible scoring. He hit 12 in 23 legs in R2 so almost 1 every 2 legs which is pretty impressive. He's switching a lot less and when he gets the first dart right you just expect the next 2 to follow. secondly I like the match maxes too as I think it's been priced up as a line on MVG winning 4-0. I think even if he does the line could be beaten but provided Lloyd wins a set this will get beaten easily I think.

Recommendation: 3pts win over 10 maxes @ Evs (BSQ) & MVG over 6 maxes @ 5/6 (BSQ)

Gary Anderson v Raymond Van Barneveld:

R2 - Anderson bt John Bowles 4-3
Ave: 98.01
180's: 19
HC: 142
CO%: 28%

Barney bt Brendan Dolan 4-1
Ave: 95.75
180's: 4
HC: 93
CO%: 50%

I honestly can't wait for this match as a darts fan and really hope they both bring their best game and the best man wins. Anderson dodged a major bullet in his R2 win as Bowles missed 3 match darts to send him home but when he got his chance I was really impressed with his nerve which doesn't always hold. His scoring is absolutely frightening and definitely looks back to his best and if he can just up his % on the doubles then I still think he can go deep in this championship. barney was unplayable in his R1 win and although he averaged 95 in R2 he looked disinterested. This can sometime happen v Dolan though and he'll know he has to bring his best to the party for this. Maximums are the obvious place to start but at a line of over 17 its just too high for me despite them both hitting them for fun this past 10 days. For that line to get beat you need them both at their best and 6 sets minimum and there's no guarantee of that. I do think Anderson is overpriced though as I thought he'd be Evs or 11/10 and not 13/10. He's playing tremendous stuff and if he gets in front of barney it will be interesting to see if the headshaking comes back.

Recommendation: 2pts win Gary Anderson @ 13/10 (general)

Adrian Lewis v Kevin Painter:

R2 - Lewis bt Denis Ovens 4-1
Ave: 87.95
180's: 5
HC: 81
CO%: 31%

Painter bt Ronnie Baxter 4-3
Ave: 95.86
180's: 11
HC: 151
CO%: 43%

Last match of R3 sees the underperforming champion take on a former runner up in Painter. Lewis has been bang average in his 2 wins averaging 83 and 88 and he just doesn't look at his best and hasnt all year. This tournament especially his 1st dart has been constantly low on the treble and he looks a pale shadow of the player who won it in stunning fashion 2 years ago. Painter has averaged 95 in both his victories and he's a guy you know will try his heart out to get a win which I'm not sure is the case with Lewis. I firmly believe Lewis is there for the taking and I think Painter is the man for the job though I was hoping for a slightly bigger price. However I do like another bet to go with it so hopefully we cop both ways. Painter most maxes is a joke price for me at 21/10 and it just needs to have a bet on it. Its not a market to go mad on I always feel but Lewis is struggling round the treble and Painter has hit 15 to his 10 in the tournament to date. Just on those stats I'm happy to have a few quid on at over 2/1.

Recommendation: 1pt win Kevin Painter @ 7/4 (SJ) & 1pt win Painter most maxes @ 21/10 (PP)

Summary: Probably the busiest day so far with me with so many bets and it could either be a glorious day or bloody grim! I really think the MVG match is key though and the lines just look too low right now considering how capable he is of power scoring. As for the rest I fancy Anderson & Painter which given my straight up record this week means they both lose but hopefully not.

Best of luck to all punting on the matches and hopefully the banter and winners is as good as always for the arrers fans on here
HH Happy
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Report Swardean December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
****?
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
Painter seems to have lost it again.
Report marychain1 December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
If Bingo stood slighty to the side, he would be able to affect Painter's darts using his gravatational pull
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
Kev must hang on here
Report Swardean December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
tw4t?
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
lol
Report MC Roller December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
Pyke has the house on Lewis.
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2012 -- 4:29PM, Swardean wrote:


tw4t?


Thought he said that too

Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
Think I've had 8 bets today and looking at 8 losers Cry
Report Dan Chipowski December 27, 2012 10:29 PM GMT
Definitely said it
Report aberdonia December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
not over till the fat jackpot sings.
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
Yeah but you've seen the greatest day of darts ever, EVER HH so not all bad....
Report marychain1 December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
Happens to us all hibee, I bet on Villa to win at Stamford Bridge
Report MC Roller December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
i bet you ated that one mary
Report marychain1 December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
Can see a ch1nk? Shocked
Report Darlo Bantam December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
PDC's finishing dates in last few years have been 2nd, 1st, 1st, 4th, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd. So this year is only on par.
Report Swardean December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
You mug marychain, I just layed chelsea
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2012 10:31 PM GMT
never go aginst king rafa mary , or lese we';ll have to have words Grin
Report Dan Chipowski December 27, 2012 10:31 PM GMT
Looks grim for Kev.
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:31 PM GMT
poor from Artists there
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:31 PM GMT
You think you've all had it bad. I support Stockport ounty and we got be HYDE FCUKIN UTD at HOME TWO NIL and now sit in relegation from conferenceScared
Report DirkDiggler December 27, 2012 10:31 PM GMT
elite v alsoran... right there
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 27, 2012 10:32 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2012 -- 4:19PM, Darlo Bantam wrote:


Dec 27, 2012 -- 10:18PM, Srichaphan or Ancic? wrote:0-0 1.62-2 1.8Quite. I stuck a lay of Painter in at evens half-hoping the market to continue to make its stupid overreactions.


Good bet.

Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2012 10:32 PM GMT
reminds me of marina after he beat paul lim, "you are the weakest c*ink goodbuy"
Report Danno December 27, 2012 10:32 PM GMT
Kevin has thrown this away
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:32 PM GMT
ha
Report sickoflayinwinners December 27, 2012 10:32 PM GMT
painter looks gone im afraid
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:33 PM GMT
Lewis gonna have it handed to him something royal by mighty mike
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:33 PM GMT
on this form MVG would spank him alright, dodgy achilles or not!
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:33 PM GMT
7-6 maxes
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2012 10:34 PM GMT
Darlo Bantam • December 27, 2012 10:30 PM GMT
PDC's finishing dates in last few years have been 2nd, 1st, 1st, 4th, 3rd, 3rd, 2nd. So this year is only on par.

it's a bit different when the 1st is a tuesday though, the pdc must have been shocked but kpp having the pdc trophy with him while commentating at the lake side Cool
Report aberdonia December 27, 2012 10:34 PM GMT
Lewis has been lucky, some of those doubles high in the bed.
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 27, 2012 10:34 PM GMT
Getting out of this with a profit of less than a pound, but it still feels good!
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
I hate the "sweaty top lip" camera shot
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
in HD it aint good
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
Lewis has definitely played better but needs to up it a lot to live with Barrie Bates younger brother
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:36 PM GMT
cmon Kev, one more break, one more 180
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:37 PM GMT
8-7 maxes
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2012 10:37 PM GMT
QUITE SENSATIONAL

pkye as been skyified Cry
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:37 PM GMT
Think the handshake might be brief here
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y December 27, 2012 10:37 PM GMT
that's why he's champion, that's why he's champion, that's why he's champion, that's why he's champion!!!!
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:38 PM GMT
looks like fighting talk onstage
Report sickoflayinwinners December 27, 2012 10:38 PM GMT
whats going on here
Report aberdonia December 27, 2012 10:38 PM GMT
shame that , that horrible excuse for a man is still in.

Kev, take him out backstage.
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:38 PM GMT
Painters offered him out
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:38 PM GMT
Lewis always seems to "take his ball in"
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:38 PM GMT
He can start a fight in an empty house
Report Srichaphan or Ancic? December 27, 2012 10:39 PM GMT
Painter: "Nicely played"
Lewis: "I'm off, I need my tenth dump of the day"
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:39 PM GMT
As HH said before, Lewis is common denominator in all the fall outs
Report Brian_Ookiebasher December 27, 2012 10:39 PM GMT
Gracious in defeat again eh Kev
Report treble December 27, 2012 10:39 PM GMT
What did he do wrong exactly?
Report Cosmo Kramer December 27, 2012 10:39 PM GMT
Well what a great day of darts that turned out to be Grin
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:39 PM GMT
Here goes
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
6 matches that was the only one that was remotely half decent
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
Kev was right
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
LOL 'rubbish game'
Report aberdonia December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
Kev was right

It was a rubbish game.
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
Ha ha I love him really
Report StillLearning December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
reckon adie has been watching painters bird on cam
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
Sounded like a Taylor quote "I love him really"
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
"He's a lovely lad"
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
There was me thinking Kev might have been asking Adie's opinion about climate change
Report treble December 27, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
Yes, but it sounds like awfully sour grapes to say it right at the end when congratulating your oppo.
Report aberdonia December 27, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
Dave, wise up you muppet.
Report Brian_Ookiebasher December 27, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
Lewis not good enough to see Dave in the box
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
Thank the lord Rodders is here to offer sound judgement
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
It was a solid 7/10 match, looked better coz the preceding one's were pish
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Dave has got "his eye" on Painters bird
Report STEPTOES YARD December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
whatever you do dave dont hype it up like you did today
Report aberdonia December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
bet the averages were just about touching 90.

might be wrong?.
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Could be the PL line up this last 8 for next year
Report alfee December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
i thought it woz a great game, me won ! LaughGrinCoolDevil
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Ha Ha! For a man with a gunner eye he has done tremendously well, it must be said!
Report Darlo Bantam December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
This tournament has nigh-on gone 100pc with seedings so far.
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
He must have nailed that initial interview!
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Think he was 95ish
Report marychain1 December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Look at that quarter final draw! Jesus! Shocked

How the **** is anyone supposed to call the winner of that? Confused
Report StillLearning December 27, 2012 10:42 PM GMT
Rod going on the law of average theory
Report Cosmo Kramer December 27, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
Taylor on last? He will be seething! Wonder if wears the hat his Mother bought him for the walk on?
Report sickoflayinwinners December 27, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
lewis deserved towin , without playing great hes managed to  win the games.
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
alun2005 • December 27, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
There was me thinking Kev might have been asking Adie's opinion about climate change

actual lol LaughLaughLaugh
Report harry2.1 December 27, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
Am I correct. Final 16 all favourites won, no one averaged 100 ?
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:44 PM GMT
Only been 2 averages over 100 so far
Report Leemo December 27, 2012 10:44 PM GMT
Anyone watched that documentary with Taylor "Life with Taylor"? He namedrops Robbie Williams about half a dozen times
Report treble December 27, 2012 10:44 PM GMT
"Hottest ticket in town"

If it's anything like today, I think I'll go and watch Tom Cruise in Jack Reacher instead.
Report MC Roller December 27, 2012 10:45 PM GMT
Was it a prison documentary?
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:46 PM GMT
I'm off the way my day has gone I'll probably fall out of bed tho
Report Darlo Bantam December 27, 2012 10:46 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2012 -- 4:44PM, happyhibee wrote:


Only been 2 averages over 100 so far


The man with the second highest average of the tournament went out first round.

Report treble December 27, 2012 10:47 PM GMT
How many of your bets came in HH?
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:47 PM GMT
8 bets 8 losers, I dont think I've ever had a a day like it mate
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2012 10:49 PM GMT
thats the god punishement for tipping cullen Tongue Out
Report sickoflayinwinners December 27, 2012 10:49 PM GMT
standard deffo down onlast couple of years , very odd as most sports the standard gets better.maybe just the last 2 years were ridiculously high .i doubt now if the averages will get higher this year as the longer the games go the harder itis to get 100+ avs. there wont be one match that will appeal as a betting medium now with all 16 seds  still in the markets will be pretty much  in line. my only financial interest now is as  bit on neton outright  but not holding my breath having seen him play today.
Report Zazu December 27, 2012 10:50 PM GMT
3 100+ averags

barney rd1
MVG round rd2
jenkins round rd3

fav backers must be well up so far? Confused
Report StillLearning December 27, 2012 10:50 PM GMT
at last a bit of quality

radiohead
Report sickoflayinwinners December 27, 2012 10:51 PM GMT
i do think that mvg is no value to wi outright  but is the most likely winner.
Report alun2005 December 27, 2012 10:51 PM GMT
Radiohead a weird choice of closer music
Report Tintoyou December 27, 2012 10:53 PM GMT
@sick why no betting because the seeds got through? Don't see why you can't take a position just because it's gone with seed....
Report Zazu December 27, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
anyone else fancy newton ew at 16/1?
Report happyhibee December 27, 2012 10:55 PM GMT
One ridiculous session of 180 hitting put all the max lines too high and it seems hardly any have gone over the line since
Report Only-the-Brave December 27, 2012 11:00 PM GMT
some cracking games in prospect next couple of days.  MVG most 180s against lewis will be the price to look out for imo.
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