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happyhibee
25 Dec 11 18:35
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Date Joined: 25 Oct 04
| Topic/replies: 50,578 | Blogger: happyhibee's blog
Hope all the regular forumites have had a great christmas. Thought I would stick this up as I might not have time before Tuesday and I'm bored senseless anyway so its as good a time as any Happy Looks like a great days action and I think there's a couple of corking bets so might as well get on with looking ahead to the 6 matches.

Terry Jenkins v Co Stompe:
R1 - Jenks bt Joe Cullen 3-0
Ave: 95.39
180's: 2
Doubles hit: 36%
HC: 116

Stompe bt Michael Smith 3-0
Ave: 88.64
180's: 4
Doubles hit: 43%
HC: 79

Opening match of the afternoon session sees a rejuvinated Terry Jenkins take on one of my favourites Co Stompe. Jenks played really well in his opening win over Joe Cullen and he carried on the form of the player champs event when he should have beat Phil Taylor. He is looking like he's putting the work in as he admitted that his form had dipped as he hadn't practiced enough but hes definitely playing a lot better than the previous 12 months. Stompe came through his opening match fairly easily but in all honesty wasn't under a great deal of pressure in the match. He averaged under 90 but doubled well which isn't always Co's strength and at his best this could be a really close match. Bet I like the look of is in the high check market as I have Jenks down as one of the better 100+ finsihers in the game and Stompe is more than capable as well.

Recommendation: 1.5pts win over 125.5 HC@ 5/6 (General)

John Part v Richie Burnett:
R1 - Part bt John Henderson 3-0
Ave: 88.82
180's: 1
Doubles hit: 39%
HC: 96

Burnett bt Mark Webster 3-2
Ave: 95.3
180's: 11
Doubles hit: 25%
HC: 121

Interesting 2nd match features 2 former world champs in Part & Burnett. Part was quite unimpressive for me in his opening win and was put under no pressure from a really below par opponent in John Henderson. I think he has been struggling on tv for a while and he needs to play better in my view to preogress further. Burnett on the other hand has gone from someone who looked like he was going only 1 way in the rankings to suddenly turning it round in the last 6 months. He had a great run to the semi's in Ireland and he continued it with a great win over Mark Webster in R1. He scored heavily and missed a lot of doubles but I was really impressed with how he composed himself to eventually get the win. I actually thought he might have been a bit shorter here and as such I think I'll risk a few quid on the welshman's renaissance continuing.

Recommendation: 1.5pt win Richie Burnett @ 4/5 (General)

Vincent Van Der Voort v Andy Hamilton:
R1 - VDV bt Mark Hylton 3-2
Ave: 95.7
180's: 11
Doubles hit: 46%
HC: 134

Hamilton bt Antonio Alcinas 3-2
Ave: 97.18
180's: 5
Doubles hit: 43%
HC: 125

Last game of the afternoon session sees a match between 2 heavy scorers who often throw in big scores with a load of rubbish doubling. VDV played exceptionally well in his opener and came through a hard test v Hylton to get into R2. He doubled well for a change and hit a ridiculous amount of maxes especially early in the match. He'll have to score well again if he wants to go on but he'll have lots of positive memories from his run to the quarters last year. Hamilton was victorious in probably the best quality match of R1 and overcame the spaniard Alcinas in what was a high quality and exciting encounter. He dug in really well when put under a barrage of high scores early and in the end probably just about deserved to win. I think this is a really hard match to call from the winning perspective but I really think the line of the maximums has been pitched too low. VDV hit 11 and Hamilton 5 in their 5 setters and I think this has potentially the look of a 6 or 7 set match. As such I think 10.5 maximums is just too low and is extremely beatable if they both bring their best.

Recommendation: 2pts win over 10.5 maxes @ 8/11 (BSQ)

James Richardson v Kim Huybrechts:
R1 - Richardson bt Ray Barneveld 3-0
Ave: 89.79
180's: 1
Doubles hit: 45%
HC: 145 x 2

Huybrechts bt Brendan Dolan 3-0
Ave: 88.62
180's: 1
Doubles hit: 45%
HC: 91

Opening match of the night session sees 2 names that might not be familiar to a lot of darts fans. Both players are playing at their first world championships and its fair to say that this is probably the most important match of both their careers. Richardson caused the biggest upset of R1 in beating Barney with ease and I was really impressed with his composure and doubling at important times. He didn't score that heavily but very few visits seemed to produce and less that 1 treble which was impressive. The question is now instead of having nothing to lose he has some expectation on himself and how will he cope? I tipped Huybrechts in R1 and he came through with ease and again I was impressed especially with his doubling. He can score heavier than he did v Dolan but again its a huge match and the question is will he perform to his best in a game that he probably thinks is very winnable? I think the match prices look about right and I'm finding it hard to find an edge here as I want Kim to come through as I tipped him to go deep in the outright markets. Before looking at the prices I wanted to get with Huybrechts on the most maxes market but then I see an odds on quote and I think I can pass at those prices.

Recommendation: No Bet

Phil Taylor v Dave Chisnall:
R1 - Taylor bt Haruki Muramatsu 3-0
Ave: 99.98
180's: 2
Doubles hit: 41%
HC: 98

Chisnall bt Mark Dudbridge 3-0
Ave: 98.52
180's: 3
Doubles hit: 29%
HC: 90

Really interesting test this is for the 15 time champion Taylor and I'm curious to see how Chisnall performs v the greatest there's ever been. Taylor strolled through R1 in first gear and this is a far greater test for him. He underperformed in the Players Champs before this tournament but before that he had played as well as ever in winning the Grand Slam and looked like he was at his peak for these 2 weeks. Chisnall played well in his win but Dudbridge is a shadow of the player he used to be and he has to realise that he's going to be put under a lot more pressure v Phil. There's no question his scoring is up there with any player in the PDC when he's at it but does he double well enough to put Phil to the sword? My gut says no but I do think this will be a very good game especially if Chissy starts well. However I can't find an edge at the prices and I'll sit back and watch hopefully a terrific match.

Recommendation: No Bet

Paul Nicholson v Alan Tabern:
R1 - Nicholson bt Mensur Suljovic 3-1
Ave: 91.01
180's: 4
Doubles hit: 39%
HC: 110

Tabern bt Christian Perez 3-1
Ave: 86.81
180's: 2
Doubles hit: 38%
HC: 149

Last match of the day sees the bad boy of darts take on the man who never gets a sky interview in Tabern. Nicholson came through a tricky match v the very awkward Suljovic and hit a couple of crucial shots at vital times in the win. He's putting himself under a lot of pressure in his quest to get a PL spot though and I think its playing on his mind a little bit. Tabern has been below par for a while on tv and the floor but he is someone who is capable of spells of very heavy scoring. While I don't think he is the best player in the world he is someone who can shock players like Nicho if they aren't on their game. The one bet that I think stands out though is most 180's simply because the price is too big. Nicholson hits lots of 140's but he isn't a prolific 180 hitter for me and Tabern is capable of hitting at least 5 or 6 in a longer match. As such I think the 10/3 is just a stupid price for him to hit the most.

Recommendation: 1.5pts win Tabern most maxes @ 10/3 (Slybet)

Summary: Quite a long preview due to the amount of matches and I like the look of several bets on the day. Hopefully after Friday's losses I get back on the winning trail or the doubters will be out in force again probably halfway through a match thats going wrong. All opinions and views are as welcome as ever and hopefully we can have the usual banter and chat as well as some winning bets along the way.
HH Happy
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Report a bitofinterest December 27, 2011 10:25 PM GMT
sharon adams just tweeted "martins gonna ride me hard tonite" Excited
Report RichyH December 27, 2011 10:26 PM GMT
lol
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:26 PM GMT
cant see over 9.5 180's coming if Nicky continues like this.... white wash
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 10:27 PM GMT
ffs bito Laugh
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 10:27 PM GMT
:( need tabbern to stop being a bender
Report Danno December 27, 2011 10:28 PM GMT
The Power gracious in defeat.  Don't know why he's so hated on here tbh.
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 10:28 PM GMT
becuase he's a c0ck when he wins
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:28 PM GMT
taylor retiring from darts..... said his eye sights giving in and he cant handle the 'heat' in the arena........
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:28 PM GMT
3 years he is retiring
Report a bitofinterest December 27, 2011 10:29 PM GMT
daves on drugs Crazy
Report CARDIFF1927 December 27, 2011 10:29 PM GMT
ffs is there a game on? prob delayed them starting this set for us to hear off that n0b ed
Report CARDIFF1927 December 27, 2011 10:29 PM GMT
ffs is there a game on? prob delayed them starting this set for us to hear off that n0b ed
Report Hamsterdam December 27, 2011 10:30 PM GMT
Very honest interview I thought
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:31 PM GMT
honest? Well he couldnt exactly lie and say 'Dave fluked it'! he had to be honest and say that Dave punished me because I was too busy thinking about my new girlfriend
Report KJPG December 27, 2011 10:31 PM GMT
Taylor left his missis did he??
Report treble December 27, 2011 10:32 PM GMT
The old chestnut of Phil's finished has been rolled out for years and he has constantly whacked it down your throat.

However, This could be different imo. I am going to say now he will never win the world championship again.
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 10:32 PM GMT
give him the ****ing title for it gwynny
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:33 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2011 -- 4:31PM, KJPG wrote:


Taylor left his missis did he??


i no he left his missus of 20 odd years for some new chick about 1 year ago

Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:33 PM GMT
this match is such a no contest
Report a bitofinterest December 27, 2011 10:33 PM GMT
taylor must have watched kjp earlier and said "i can't possibly win this title"
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
tabern is embarrasing himself out there
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
5 legs in a row for Nicky here
Report scarecrow December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
nico superb here so far
Report treble December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
I may have a nibble on Jenks at 33/1 Grin
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
Looking forward to Nicho making a sarcy Taylor comment after this.
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
exactly right bito,

gone a bit quiet since the sc tso shows up
Report Danno December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
Crowd getting "boisterous" again.  Only about 20 mins left though to have a fight before closing time.

Horrible chavs
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:34 PM GMT
not helped by the fact that tabern cant even spell treble, let alone hit one
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:35 PM GMT
Ever since Tabby gave that interview at the "FA cup of darts" about having to force his way onto the TV boards, he's played terribly on TV
Report themover December 27, 2011 10:35 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2011 -- 4:34PM, The-Special-One wrote:


5 legs in a row for Nicky here


not bad for someone you called a mug pre-match

Report STEPTOES YARD December 27, 2011 10:35 PM GMT
wade got a pretty decent record when somebody else ditches phil in the tv majors
Report KJPG December 27, 2011 10:36 PM GMT
what a **** match, tabern go home!
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:37 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2011 -- 4:34PM, Nilsson Schmilsson wrote:


exactly right bito,gone a bit quiet since the sc tso shows up


indeed, 'Superstar Champion' The Special One makes a room go silent when it is blessed with his presence

Report themover December 27, 2011 10:37 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2011 -- 4:05PM, The-Special-One wrote:


right........ time to lay that mug nicholson now


Tongue Out

Report sniperAYR December 27, 2011 10:38 PM GMT
If thats Nicholsons bird ,he needs to buy her a blade to shave dem pitsCry
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:39 PM GMT
time to get on correct score 4-0 for Nico..... any of you lot want to bless the market with some liquidity
Report themover December 27, 2011 10:39 PM GMT
Laugh
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:39 PM GMT
There's plenty of liquidity on the correct score market
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 10:40 PM GMT
****ing awful from tabbern, no over 9.5 180's for us TSO SadSad
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 10:41 PM GMT
theres THREE
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:42 PM GMT

Dec 27, 2011 -- 4:39PM, Lori wrote:


There's plenty of liquidity on the correct score market


im seeing 20 quid, 2 quid and 18 quid on correct score 4-0?

Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 10:42 PM GMT
trending on twitter. big hook
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:42 PM GMT
There's about 3 grand on either side, you're probably looking on the wrong match.
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:42 PM GMT
@fraser - the 180's aint happening. Tabern is awful so we have to reply on nick to score the 180's on his own and he will finish the match before he gets a chance
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:43 PM GMT
£3,525
1.68               £274
1.70    £84         £373
1.72               £124
1.73               £25
1.75               £15
1.76               £194
1.79               £43
1.81         £55    £1,833
1.82               £147
1.85               £8
1.86               £235
1.87               £63
1.88               £153
1.89               £345
1.90               £715
1.91         £84    £204
1.92         £178    £1,595
1.93               £50
1.94               £40
1.95               £5,
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:43 PM GMT
awful liquidity
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:43 PM GMT
How much did you want on? Put your bet up between legs and it'll get matched.
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 10:43 PM GMT
hahaha true TSO, ive backed 4-0 nico  and have been backing him each leg small amounts just watching the money grow
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:44 PM GMT
hello.......
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:44 PM GMT
no the liqudity comes
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:44 PM GMT
Was that your 17 quid that came up?
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:44 PM GMT
now
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:45 PM GMT
It comes between legs, obviously.
Report MC Roller December 27, 2011 10:45 PM GMT
17 quid, you chasing tso?
Report themover December 27, 2011 10:45 PM GMT
Laugh
Report pacficrc December 27, 2011 10:45 PM GMT
last of the big spenders
Report scarecrow December 27, 2011 10:46 PM GMT
anyone with 31480 replies to posts since last march cannot be doing much betting imo Laugh
Report The-Special-One December 27, 2011 10:47 PM GMT
gutted, should have snapped that 2k up at 2.5! missed out big time
Report themover December 27, 2011 10:47 PM GMT
LaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report RichyH December 27, 2011 10:47 PM GMT
Even for Taberns standards this is pretty bad
Report scarecrow December 27, 2011 10:48 PM GMT
tabern has been going down hill badly over the last couple of years
Report KJPG December 27, 2011 10:49 PM GMT
he's dreadfull!
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 10:50 PM GMT
tabbern is worse than me...and i would of had a few beers
Report scarecrow December 27, 2011 10:50 PM GMT
he is on the slippery slope i fear,ask mardle or manley its hard to stop once it starts.
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 10:51 PM GMT
4 TSO haha
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 10:53 PM GMT
5 haha come on!!
Report sniperAYR December 27, 2011 10:55 PM GMT
She kept her pits outta view that time :P
Report KJPG December 27, 2011 10:56 PM GMT
there's a tranny vibe off her!
Report STEPTOES YARD December 27, 2011 10:57 PM GMT
tabby just another one of players getting swallowed up by bdo lads coming across and new kids on block

whitlock,webster,king,anderson,chisnal to name 5 coming across had huge impact

add to it nicolson and likes of new lad from belguim and makes it very tough for old guard who used to get in top32 because there was no bugger else to take place
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 10:57 PM GMT
gwynny taking credit now LaughLaugh
Report Lori December 27, 2011 10:58 PM GMT
Be interesting to see if they start going the other way Step.

Sickening isn't it NS!
Report happyhibee December 27, 2011 10:59 PM GMT
Its the NEW ECHELON i think you will find Laugh
Report STEPTOES YARD December 27, 2011 11:00 PM GMT
not so sure lori, seems money floating about for even lower ranked pdc players these days

bdo could be on last legs
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 11:00 PM GMT
'there's nobody i admire in darts more than john part' - nico (2011)

can't dislike him after that
Report GRANTCKING December 27, 2011 11:00 PM GMT
whoever layed nicholson in this match must feel like a retard now LaughLaughLaughLaugh
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 11:00 PM GMT
7 TSO haha
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 11:01 PM GMT
such a shame tabern isnt gonna help us here!
Report Lori December 27, 2011 11:01 PM GMT
I laid 4-0 and lost, not sure that makes me a retard, it's just gambling.
Report KJPG December 27, 2011 11:02 PM GMT
so close...
Report Latalomne December 27, 2011 11:03 PM GMT
I know Tabern's been pretty rubbish but I think this is as well as I've seen Nicho play - certainly the most consistent at any rate....
Report Lori December 27, 2011 11:03 PM GMT
Yeah solid performance this one. He doesn't usually start well imo but he did today
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 11:03 PM GMT
well that was ridiculous
Report Lori December 27, 2011 11:03 PM GMT
Did gwynne write "D I S C O" ?
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 11:04 PM GMT
come on paul

'phils lucky he's out, he'd have hated been walloped by me'
Report fraser4348 December 27, 2011 11:05 PM GMT
no more darts till tomorrow :(
Report a bitofinterest December 27, 2011 11:05 PM GMT
the asset wants to know is phil in bed Cool
Report STEPTOES YARD December 27, 2011 11:06 PM GMT
gotta think phil could be doing some work for sky for rest of tournie
Report Lori December 27, 2011 11:06 PM GMT
Surely that's the end of the black guy in the car park looking for Taylor now though?
Report AIDSMcGUG December 27, 2011 11:06 PM GMT
HAVE SKY MENTIONED TAYLORS DEFEAT YET ?? FECKING HELL !! OUTRAGEOUS
Report Lori December 27, 2011 11:07 PM GMT
Has Chizzy taken his dart out of the board yet?
Report STEPTOES YARD December 27, 2011 11:09 PM GMT
phil averaged 100 tonight and missed doubles

not much wrong imo
Report a bitofinterest December 27, 2011 11:11 PM GMT
state funeral for phils shirt in the morning Sad
Report daz550 December 27, 2011 11:11 PM GMT
e blamed his eyesight and heat you sour loser all about you you you your a selfish **** you never praise your opponent who is better than you your a patetic stinky excuse peddler.

i hate your arse liking worshipers too
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 11:12 PM GMT
they daren't interview nicho
Report Nilsson Schmilsson December 27, 2011 11:13 PM GMT
the way it can go in set play steppy

a couple of 15 darters in half an hour and can easily be level despite being blown away
Report AIDSMcGUG December 27, 2011 11:22 PM GMT
STEPTOES YARD  Date Joined:  18 Sep 06
Add contact | Send message
27 Dec 11 23:09
Joined:  18 Sep 06 | Topic/replies: 81,081 | Blogger: STEPTOES YARD's blog
phil averaged 100 tonight and missed doubles

not much wrong imo


I KNOW WOT YO'RE SAYING STEPTOE , BUT TAYLOR NEVER LOOKED LIKE WINNING OR GETTING A BIG CHECKOUT , CHIZ BLEW DARTS IN SET TAYLOR WON TOO , SHOULD HAVE BEEN 4 0 IMO
Report DartsnBooze December 27, 2011 11:27 PM GMT
Aid, i think you need a new keypad Cry
Report AIDSMcGUG December 27, 2011 11:32 PM GMT
Plain
Report STEPTOES YARD December 27, 2011 11:55 PM GMT
phil had darts at double against chisnal throw in legs 1 and 5 of first set he lost 3-2

Phil outscored chizzy overall but missed too many doubles

His average was 2nd best of whole tournie. No doubt hes more vunerable these days but still man to beat every tournie
Report Hugh-Mongous December 28, 2011 12:17 AM GMT
SY - you're probably right squire, and that was more like his B- game tonight, which is still good enough for most.

What his rivals need is a killer instinct to POUNCE when they sense he's not firing on all cylinders (as Chizzy didn't in the second set) because even on a bad day, his game is still the benchmark.

His dire finishing invited Chizzy into the game and although I was ecstatic at the result, I think Chisnall can improve greatly on that performance.

At the risk of being a massive after-timer, I saw the signs early (but I was too scared to tempt fate) as he was way off on many of his arrows, just like he was against Jenkins & King recently - Merv's got balls, which enabled him to capitalise.

What makes this so mystifying, is that for once, his opponent (unlike Jenkins last month) could find a double (and of all people it was Chizzy) and also that it came straight off a run of some of the best darts I've seen from the Staffordshire Lard, in dismantling quality opponents (Nicholson, Lewis & Anderson) on the same day!

Needless to mention...he'll show them all up in the World Cup of darts (partnered by Lewis or Wade?) and then in the Premier League.
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