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draw sub 4s already
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forecast has just completely changed!
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staying out of this for now. Not relying on the forecast so far out.
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If there is consistent weather threat I might hire some milf in Christchurch to keep her webcam on for the whole day.
Just as an experiment. |
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https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/christchurch/christchurch-city#!/ten-day
and now truly biblical!! |
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virtually no play with the new forecast
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jucel is that you with the 500 bucks trying to back the draw?
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No I took as much as I could at over 4s & 3.95/3.9
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also got a load on SB at 4.2
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if that forecast turns out to be correct it's going real short!
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it's changed massively a couple of times though so got to keep an eye on it
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SB?
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sports book BF
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ok
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only managed to get 3k on the exchange so far at various prices, not much liquidity at the moment
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im backing the draw in the 3.6 to 4 range only because i missed the boat last time.
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fully updated for all the test match days now. GRIM
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I like it when the really bad weather is at the back end of the test.
Teams tend to play normally in the first few days as they don't use the weather forecasts as much as we do to try and force a result |
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the last two days for now are only comp generated.
I am also not trusting the 5 day radar much. It failed at wellington |
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Yeh but the market moves with the forecast so you have to be ready. What actually happens is often irrelevant if you can make enough from the forecasts/market moves.
I was in a great position in the last game until I made some errors and miscalculations re NZ scoring rate and the effect it would have on the market. It was in the NZ inns where I lost most of my green |
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yeah im aware of that juce. havent backed any significant amount yet.only enough to not feel left out of draw shortening too much
![]() yeah need to be vigilant with forecasts, |
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I tend to know the times when they update so I don't have to sit watching it all day!
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update times look pretty random to me last time.
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*looked
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They are between 9am and 11 am and then late in the evening. The current day updates about 6pm but is irrelevant by then
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alright thanks, will keep an eye on that.
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The only good thing about SB is that when you cash out ( for a very poor payout tbf) you get the cash instantly. Therefore you don't spend the rest of the test chainsawing green for the sake of it
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Interestingly Matchbook instantly lets you use your green on other games even when the market you are green on is still in play.
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They add it to your balance.
However. Say you had a 100 green on all results and 100 in your account, you would be able to bet on another game for a stake of 200. But if you came back to the game you are green on, you would not be able to lay off your green, as you have already used that on another game. The benefit is just that you can use your green elsewhere without waiting for the game to be settled. |
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hope i didn't confuse you further.
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forecast updated 3 min ago
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funny that the update was only for today's weather. But the odds shifted a bit and liquidity disappeared(whatever little there was)
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Jucel did you know what a turd abortion is?
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No I understand, it makes sense
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Yeh I make a lot of trades so wouldn't like that at all
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