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jucel69
12 Mar 19 09:27
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Date Joined: 03 Aug 12
| Topic/replies: 56,851 | Blogger: jucel69's blog
Weather looks really bad for this game. However after Bangla's effort in the last match it's prudent to tread carefully

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Replies: 576
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 09:29
draw sub 4s already
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 11:29
forecast has just completely changed!
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 11:51

Mar 12, 2019 -- 11:29AM, jucel69 wrote:


forecast has just completely changed!


and the draw layers pile in Grin

By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 14:12
staying out of this for now. Not relying on the forecast so far out.
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 14:13
If there is consistent weather threat I might hire some milf in Christchurch to keep her webcam on for the whole day.

Just as an experiment.
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 22:46
https://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/christchurch/christchurch-city#!/ten-day

and now truly biblical!!
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 22:47
virtually no play with the new forecastSurprised
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 22:57
jucel is that you with the 500 bucks trying to back the draw?
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:00
No I took as much as I could at over 4s & 3.95/3.9
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:01
also got a load on SB at 4.2
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:02
if that forecast turns out to be correct it's going real short!
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:03
it's changed massively a couple of times though so got to keep an eye on it
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 23:03
SB?
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:04
sports book BF
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 23:05
ok
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:10
only managed to get 3k on the exchange so far at various prices, not much liquidity at the moment
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 23:11
im backing the draw in the 3.6 to 4 range only because i missed the boat last time.
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:17
fully updated for all the test match days now. GRIM
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:24
I like it when the really bad weather is at the back end of the test.
Teams tend to play normally in the first few days as they don't use the weather forecasts as much as we do to try and force a result
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 23:27
the last two days for now are only comp generated.

I am also not trusting the 5 day radar much. It failed at wellington
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:31
Yeh but the market moves with the forecast so you have to be ready. What actually happens is often irrelevant if you can make enough from the forecasts/market moves.
I was in a great position in the last game until I made some errors and miscalculations re NZ scoring rate and the effect it would have on the market.
It was in the NZ inns where I lost most of my green
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 23:39
yeah im aware of that juce. havent backed any significant amount yet.only enough to not feel left out of draw shortening too much Grin

yeah need to be vigilant with forecasts,
By:
jucel69
When: 12 Mar 19 23:57
I tend to know the times when they update so I don't have to sit watching it all day!
By:
detraveller
When: 12 Mar 19 23:58
update times look pretty random to me last time.
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 00:01
*looked
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Mar 19 00:02
They are between 9am and 11 am and then late in the evening. The current day updates about 6pm but is irrelevant by then
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 00:04
alright thanks, will keep an eye on that.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Mar 19 01:08
The only good thing about SB is that when you cash out ( for a very poor payout tbf) you get the cash instantly. Therefore you don't spend the rest of the test chainsawing green for the sake of it
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 01:41
Interestingly Matchbook instantly lets you use your green on other games even when the market you are green on is still in play.
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Mar 19 01:51

Mar 13, 2019 -- 1:41AM, detraveller wrote:


Interestingly Matchbook instantly lets you use your green on other games even when the market you are green on is still in play.


how the fcuk does that workLaugh

By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 01:54
They add it to your balance.

However.

Say you had a 100 green on all results and 100 in your account, you would be able to bet on another game for a stake of 200. But if you came back to the game you are green on, you would not be able to lay off your green, as you have already used that on another game. The benefit is just that you can use your green elsewhere without waiting for the game to be settled.
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 01:55
hope i didn't confuse you further.
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 03:10
forecast updated 3 min ago
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 03:12
funny that the update was only for today's weather. But the odds shifted a bit and liquidity disappeared(whatever little there was)
By:
detraveller
When: 13 Mar 19 03:17
Jucel did you know what a turd abortion is?
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Mar 19 03:26
No I understand, it makes sense
By:
jucel69
When: 13 Mar 19 03:27

Mar 13, 2019 -- 3:17AM, detraveller wrote:


Jucel did you know what a turd abortion is?


just looked, fecking horrible.

By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 13 Mar 19 03:51

Mar 13, 2019 -- 1:41AM, detraveller wrote:


Interestingly Matchbook instantly lets you use your green on other games even when the market you are green on is still in play.


Their is a transaction charge with them which is why I have no account with them and have no plans to open one.  I make as many as 3000 trades on a test match and regularly over a 1000.

By:
jucel69
When: 13 Mar 19 03:53
Yeh I make a lot of trades so wouldn't like that at all
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