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jucel69
27 Feb 19 01:49
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Date Joined: 03 Aug 12
| Topic/replies: 56,851 | Blogger: jucel69's blog
Nothing to see here.
NZ are gun at home, especially against a team as spineless as Bangladesh.
Expect lots of wafts, hooks, fends and very very poor dismissals.
All draws in recent times have been rain affected and this test looks a cert to be 450 overs (though they won't be required).
Weather looks to be warm & sunny so if the deck bakes quickly then there could be a few opps throughout the test.
I will tread carefully though as Bangla lose a lot of balance without Shakib & Mushy is 50/50 at time of writing too.
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Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 3:37 AM GMT
More than close, met and matchedExcited
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 3:42 AM GMT
Gone redless and 1.5k of green on draw
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 3:45 AM GMT
Sad
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 3:47 AM GMT
The short f*cking ball of course. CryCrazyWhoops
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 3:55 AM GMT
The dream is over.  I'm levelling up and saying goodbye to this test, should have levelled up as I had planned at 19.5 not 55s Angry
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 3:59 AM GMT
I'm not wasting another second on this from here. not even a 200 partnership will get me involved again.
Report VardonVoo. March 2, 2019 4:16 AM GMT
The trouble with games like these is you pile on more money at super-high odds but you have to clear your red with most of it as soon as the chance presents itself, which takes all the fun out of it. By the time you've broken even after three days of worry you can't be bothered to see if any more opportunities present themselves.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:48 AM GMT

Mar 2, 2019 -- 3:00AM, VardonVoo. wrote:


DT are you still here?I've been pondering what you said about Pecker's "pay yourself" tip.It ties in with something I've been runnning some figures on.


?

Report VardonVoo. March 2, 2019 4:51 PM GMT
I'll post a separate thread, methinx. Everyone can chip in if they want.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 9:45 PM GMT
Hello and welcome to another day of exciting test cricket.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 9:46 PM GMT
.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 9:46 PM GMT
,
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 9:49 PM GMT
my 4k+ run is over with a 660 euro loss at the england game.
Report Fatslogger March 2, 2019 10:18 PM GMT
Very flat track but they have to bat for another decade to get out with a draw and they’re just too loose. Have had a bit of a fiddle anyway though. Have about an £8.5k loss on the day to try to catch up on. Just need to let a hundred on the draw at 120 pretty much run until it’s shorter than evens. Still need it matched, mind.
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 10:22 PM GMT
I did a charlie in the 1dayer which I am only just declaring now, it was a very risky charlie as Jos was still in at the time and if they had scraped to 200 whole different ball game.....I must learn to take a good loss.
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 10:24 PM GMT
On this we got sub 20s on the draw and I didn't take advantage and ended up levelling up when draw was 55s........I'm getting £27 off this which feels like a red.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:26 PM GMT
I wouldn't rule out a miracle wicketless day. Isn't that what happened against SL?
However, I am also not stupid enough to put money on that happening again.
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 10:27 PM GMT
"Have about an £8.5k loss on the day" Shocked but then again relatively that may be smaller than the 1k loss I swallowed on St Lucia test
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 10:28 PM GMT
Not my intention to double post, not doing anything differently
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 10:29 PM GMT
Now they are coming out 3 times Angry
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:30 PM GMT
forum fkd up and eating up my posts sometimes
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:30 PM GMT
its almost like they use this forum to create and test bugs. Every second week there is a new issue
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 10:31 PM GMT
Actually when refreshed page, all those double and triple posts disappeared
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:31 PM GMT
.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:32 PM GMT
Yes CS thats correct. I have to refresh to see me own posts
Report Cardinal Scott March 2, 2019 10:33 PM GMT
Jucel disappeared after 2 quick wickets yesterday after draw was sub 20s.....hope he hasn't got stranded....20 was his scratch earlier on in test.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:41 PM GMT
ive backed draw at 70. mug bet i know but who knows this could be a wicketless session
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:45 PM GMT
no he's too smart to be backing Bangers after what they did to him first innings.
Report Fatslogger March 2, 2019 10:59 PM GMT

Mar 2, 2019 -- 10:27PM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


"Have about an £8.5k loss on the day"  but then again relatively that may be smaller than the 1k loss I swallowed on St Lucia test


It’s about 6% but I’ve generally had a pretty sh1t year since all my politics bets rolled in on Jan 1st and after a bit of a recovery, had some more decent sizes losses in the last couple of days too, so am a bit grumpy. This stuff happens though, so can’t reallh complain.

I can complain about missing the 120s and the 100s on the draw suddenly disappearing when I was planning to take £250 of it. Would have been a good bet.

Report detraveller March 2, 2019 10:59 PM GMT
wicketess fist hour. the dream is alive
Report Fatslogger March 2, 2019 11:00 PM GMT
Soumya is very lucky still to be there. He’s playing an awful lot of shots.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:01 PM GMT
THis is the srilanka test all over again
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:03 PM GMT
going at 6 an over in the last 10
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:04 PM GMT

Mar 2, 2019 -- 10:41PM, detraveller wrote:


ive backed draw at 70. mug bet i know but who knows this could be a wicketless session


*pro bet

Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:10 PM GMT
They clearly aren't in any mood to help draw backers. Just enjoying their time out there. Its only a coincidence that its coming off and helping us. On a flat surface like this, you could easily block your way to stardom.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:17 PM GMT
100 runs for the day
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:17 PM GMT
208 to go and bangers will be in the lead
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:19 PM GMT
Welcome to the 20s
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:29 PM GMT
my pro technical analysis skills tell me you wont see teens till lunch so you may want to cash out now.
Report detraveller March 2, 2019 11:40 PM GMT
Holy moly Bangers in the double figures!
I remember juce saying people love to give away their money backing bangers at 900 Laugh
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 12:04 AM GMT

Mar 2, 2019 -- 11:29PM, detraveller wrote:


my pro technical analysis skills tell me you wont see teens till lunch so you may want to cash out now.


19

Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:07 AM GMT

Mar 2, 2019 -- 11:40PM, detraveller wrote:


Holy moly Bangers in the double figures!I remember juce saying people love to give away their money backing bangers at 900


They won't win though, hardly much of a trade either from 900 to 100. Looks massive but it's not much profit

Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:07 AM GMT
TEST
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:09 AM GMT
I'm flat on match odds so not too bad considering I made a decent amount on NZ inns runs
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:11 AM GMT
Went out all afternoon and then went to sleep early and missed the Eng game.
Dodged a bullet there.
As I've said many times when Eng misfire it's biblical.
They need to assess things better on the fly or they won't win the WC
Unless every deck is an absolute road and then it's a case of the Brazil mentality.
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 12:14 AM GMT
900 to 100 is a 9 fold return so pretty decent profit. Though I understand people aren't going to be staking much at those odds considering the team trading at that price is in MASSIVE trouble already so you needs balls or stupidity to back those odds big.
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 12:15 AM GMT
All my bangla backs up to 600 would have given a good return by now but obviously at the time of backing them there was no hope.
I cahsed out about 90% of Bangers green at 400.
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:17 AM GMT
I can never understand people piling into short odds in Kiwiland.
In most countries you can see the disintegration of the pitches but not here.
Been quite a few gubbings here in the last 10 years but people still try and fill their boots.
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:20 AM GMT
100 more overs at 4s = 400 - 171 = 229 with 50 overs left.
Draw would be pretty low then
Report Cardinal Scott March 3, 2019 12:29 AM GMT
I'm sitting pretty (so far) in the lasses game after laying Aus sub 1.4 Excited stream being watched on Cricket Australia.....NZ are racing along.
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:29 AM GMT
This p'ship in the first innings would have been much more beneficial
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:31 AM GMT

Mar 3, 2019 -- 12:29AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


I'm sitting pretty (so far) in the lasses game after laying Aus sub 1.4  stream being watched on Cricket Australia.....NZ are racing along.


>I don't watch much women's stuff but noticed NZ batting seems to fall away pretty quickly after the first few

Report Cardinal Scott March 3, 2019 12:37 AM GMT
Yeah they are top heavy, the openers far and away their best bats
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:45 AM GMT

Mar 3, 2019 -- 12:37AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Yeah they are top heavy, the openers far and away their best bats


> I backed them blindly last week when they were chasing. They folded in a few overs and then I realised I'd mugged myselfCry

Report Cardinal Scott March 3, 2019 12:51 AM GMT
1 down and slowdown before that...time to get on Aus lasses
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:52 AM GMT
Zero NZ in place just loads of NZ backs
Report Cardinal Scott March 3, 2019 12:53 AM GMT
Meanwhile this is getting into Lanka territory now this Bangers partnership
Report Cardinal Scott March 3, 2019 12:55 AM GMT

Mar 3, 2019 -- 12:51AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


1 down and slowdown before that...time to get on Aus lasses


Very Choice beforetiming now 2 down. Excited

Report detraveller March 3, 2019 12:56 AM GMT
25 mins and odds hardly moved.

Waiting for the new ball perhaps.
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:56 AM GMT
Very fishy market, just no layers whatsoever!!!
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 12:57 AM GMT
watch for the 'tell' from the batsmen re wicket incoming
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:02 AM GMT
I can cash out for 330 on my earlier draw back at 70. Should I? Or let it run?

Currently -100 NZ and +6500 draw on today's bet
Report Cardinal Scott March 3, 2019 1:06 AM GMT
Big lay lump of draw just arrived at 15.5...hopefully not straight from the Bangers dressing room.
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:06 AM GMT
I never give advice it comes back to haunt meLaugh
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:07 AM GMT
It's Mushy and Shakib's consortium
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:07 AM GMT

Mar 3, 2019 -- 1:02AM, detraveller wrote:


I can cash out for 330 on my earlier draw back at 70. Should I? Or let it run?Currently -100 NZ and +6500 draw on today's bet


getting close to where you can use inns runs as a hedge

Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:08 AM GMT
I would have cashed out leaving a bit on the draw for interst. But I lost 660 on the Eng game today and that's on my mind still. Not good thinking
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:08 AM GMT
here is crunch time, going to move real quick one way or another!
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:09 AM GMT
this forum is fcuked , even the most basic forum works better than this. Must be done on purpose
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:10 AM GMT
I am not good at using the runlines for hedging. What would be an example bet in my case here? Lay Bangla runs? DOn't see any attractive odds
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:11 AM GMT
lets see if the new ball shatters the dream. If it doens't it could be clover as I have 7k on the draw
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:11 AM GMT

Mar 3, 2019 -- 1:10AM, detraveller wrote:


I am not good at using the runlines for hedging. What would be an example bet in my case here? Lay Bangla runs? DOn't see any attractive odds


yeh just looked there is no liquidity, maybe wait a while

Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:11 AM GMT
swing!
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:12 AM GMT
still ZERO layers, alarm bells ringing!!
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:13 AM GMT
looks tricky now
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:16 AM GMT
15k laying the draw at 11s, that will take some shifting
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:16 AM GMT
gone?
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:17 AM GMT
review
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:19 AM GMT
The bangla dressing room lay at 15.5 has been taken
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:19 AM GMT
3rd ump desperate to find an angle to give that
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:20 AM GMT
ive covered my NZ red and now have a free 5k bet on the draw
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:21 AM GMT
just need to play no shots for 10 overs until the shine goes
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:26 AM GMT
I'd be rolling in 4 leaf clovers if this had happened in the first dig..... as it should have doneAngry
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:27 AM GMT
some serious layers in place desperate for a wicket
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:31 AM GMT
About to enter single figures. Last three NZ tests have brought the draw from 50s to single figures. This one started at 100+ today.
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:31 AM GMT
They need 700 to make a game of it ffs!! The odds of that are ginormous !!
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:31 AM GMT
timber
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:33 AM GMT
I was drip laying the draw 30 downwards. Got matched till 11
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:34 AM GMT
was just getting interesting too
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:34 AM GMT

Mar 3, 2019 -- 1:16AM, jucel69 wrote:


15k laying the draw at 11s, that will take some shifting


wonder if that got matched.

Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:44 AM GMT
back to 17s alreadySurprised
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:47 AM GMT
no more batting after this either
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:49 AM GMT
that 234 cheating sticking out like a sore thumb now
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:58 AM GMT
ill wait and see if market reacts to the trail by figure coming below 100 just like it did when it came below 200.
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 1:59 AM GMT
terrible shot
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 1:59 AM GMT

Mar 3, 2019 -- 1:58AM, detraveller wrote:


ill wait and see if market reacts to the trail by figure coming below 100 just like it did when it came below 200.


RIP

Report detraveller March 3, 2019 2:03 AM GMT
Following pecker's rule of paying yourself, I have managed to win 150 on NZ, despite my greed to keep a big figure on the draw. GOodnight lads. The dream has been shattered but it was a fun ride.
Report detraveller March 3, 2019 2:04 AM GMT
God bless test cricket in NZ. Ciao
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 2:05 AM GMT
Mehidy should never play again, the worst test match effort EVER with bat and ball
Report jucel69 March 3, 2019 2:21 AM GMT
Mama playing some cracking shots
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