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NZ v Bangladesh - Hamilton

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Replies: 875
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 00:48
thank goodness
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 00:48
Oh I see and now its 5.2. Ok understand :)
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 00:48

Feb 28, 2019 -- 12:48AM, detraveller wrote:


thank goodness


Gone I take it?

By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 00:49
NOOOO
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 00:49
I moved it to 5.1 and now its taken
ALso had to move the 4.9 bet to 5.2
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 00:51
It was a rather bigger bet at 500 stake so important not to mess that up.
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 00:51
Should have waited 2 mintues :) These things happen. Well done anyway.
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 00:51

Feb 28, 2019 -- 12:51AM, detraveller wrote:


It was a rather bigger bet at 500 stake so important not to mess that up.


this

By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 28 Feb 19 00:52
Dangerous trading now, everything could unravel quickly for bangers but on the other hand they could press home their advantage.
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 00:57

Feb 28, 2019 -- 12:52AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:


Dangerous trading now, everything could unravel quickly for bangers but on the other hand they could press home their advantage.


Agree, 1 wicket will change things dramatically, but another 30 -40 by this pair and NZ could be at 1.80's

By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 01:00
Well batted, Iqbal
By:
GRANTCKING
When: 28 Feb 19 01:02
how refreshing to see someone going along at a decent strikerate in test cricket
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 01:02
When the game started, anything other then backing NZ was low risk. That was the time to bet. Now each result has a pretty high price and risk. Probably Bangla lay a safe bet but you'll have to stake a good chunk for that(not good for your health).
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 01:04

Feb 28, 2019 -- 1:02AM, detraveller wrote:


When the game started, anything other then backing NZ was low risk. That was the time to bet. Now each result has a pretty high price and risk. Probably Bangla lay a safe bet but you'll have to stake a good chunk for that(not good for your health).


I don't quite agree. At the time the match started laying NZ had its risks. What if Bangladesh were 40-6 after Boult and Southee destroyed the top with a swinging seaming ball on a green pitch. Happens often enough. But agree the short odds are not compelling for me. At these prices there are plenty of opportunities too depending on which way you think the match will go. NZ were 1.16 for a reason. It just does not always work that way.

By:
Bunsen79
When: 28 Feb 19 01:06
The pitch has quickened up and there's some good bounce
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 01:07
is their a way to place multiple lays at a time on the betfair interface?
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 01:12
damn the draw price had just reached 4.5 and my lays were going to start getting matched. Not complaining though. I've had a great day.

Goodnight lads.
By:
detraveller
When: 28 Feb 19 01:13
New Zealand
€192.00

Bangladesh
-€60.00

The Draw
€1,352.50
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 01:23
CS, you called it.
By:
Cardinal Scott
When: 28 Feb 19 01:25
Haven't benefitted from it Sad
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:35
These disgusting paki rejects ought have 100 lashes each for getting out to a medium pace dobber. Absolutely disgraceful
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:36
Exactly as I posted in the OP, spineless creature
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:37
it's an absolute feather bed
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:38
anybody getting out to the short ball on this should retire
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 01:39
Totally agree. Like I said earlier, I would not mind facing Southee with the new ball on this pitch. He is bowling low 130's so not express and nothing in the pitch to worry. To get out to Wagner knowing that he is going to try and bounce you out is just criminal.
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:41

Feb 28, 2019 -- 1:39AM, blackcap wrote:


Totally agree. Like I said earlier, I would not mind facing Southee with the new ball on this pitch. He is bowling low 130's so not express and nothing in the pitch to worry. To get out to Wagner knowing that he is going to try and bounce you out is just criminal.


x 3 dismissalsCrazy
Everybody else looks ineffective so just get out of the way or let it hit you. Plenty to feast on from the other end

By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:42
Southee and Boult are going at 6 an over.
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:45
I should be sitting here drinking 1975 Dom Pom with foie gras and instead it's looking like a bottle of Buckfast & pork scratchingAngryLaugh
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 01:49

Feb 28, 2019 -- 1:41AM, jucel69 wrote:


Feb 28, 2019 --  1:39AM, blackcap wrote:Totally agree. Like I said earlier, I would not mind facing Southee with the new ball on this pitch. He is bowling low 130's so not express and nothing in the pitch to worry. To get out to Wagner knowing that he is going to try and bounce you out is just criminal.x 3 dismissalsEverybody else looks ineffective so just get out of the way or let it hit you. Plenty to feast on from the other end


Exactly, its not like Wagner is express or anything. Or just duck the fcuk under the thing.

By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:50
There are enough minefields in test cricket. Make the most of a decent wicket ffs & let us draw backers enjoy a bit of pleasure!
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:51

Feb 28, 2019 -- 1:49AM, blackcap wrote:


Feb 28, 2019 --  1:41AM, jucel69 wrote:Feb 28, 2019 --  1:39AM, blackcap wrote:Totally agree. Like I said earlier, I would not mind facing Southee with the new ball on this pitch. He is bowling low 130's so not express and nothing in the pitch to worry. To get out to Wagner knowing that he is going to try and bounce you out is just criminal.x 3 dismissalsEverybody else looks ineffective so just get out of the way or let it hit you. Plenty to feast on from the other endExactly, its not like Wagner is express or anything. Or just duck the fcuk under the thing.


80 mph, anybody else bowls short at that pace and they end up out of the ground.
It's like he has them under a spell

By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 01:53
And now Tamin goes to the Big man. Boy they self destruct.
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:55
My scratch is 30 but was hoping for a big win here. Just standard for these vermin
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 01:56
NZ will get 600+ on this and then bowl the vermin out on day 4 for spit
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 02:00

Feb 28, 2019 -- 1:56AM, jucel69 wrote:


NZ will get 600+ on this and then bowl the vermin out on day 4 for spit


As the 1.16 pre match predicted. But was never going to back it. The application to bat long innings is sadly lacking these days.

By:
VardonVoo.
When: 28 Feb 19 02:10
"NZ were 1.16 for a reason. It just does not always work that way."

When Bang performed reasonably well this time, like a typical Test team, NZ were perceived to still have the home advantage so traded as high as 1.75ish like a favourite with a modest edge. If Bangla had lost a few wickets in a flurry then steadied the ship, as is more typical of them, we would probably have seen NZ trade at 1.08 or so and level off.

If you back at 1.16 expecting Bang to get off to a bad start then you make twice as much as if you wait for a bad start to be confirmed, but if they start off well you have a really uncomfortable time of it.

If you take the chance of Bang getting off to a "normal" Test team start then the odds climb rapidly. In this case the amount of extra win potential in each scenario was in the ratio (1.75-1.16)/1.16-1.08) or 7.5/1 give or take a point, so say somewhere between 6-1 and 9-1. The extra amount you make on NZ (if they win) by not backing NZ from the outset is several times the extra you make when you back at 1.16 ahead of a bad start instead of backing them at 1.08 after the bad start is confirmed. I hope that makes sense.

In summary I think you have a better time and more potential to win if you avoid backing the 1.16 from the outset.
By:
blackcap
When: 28 Feb 19 02:32
Another Wagner wicket there.
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 02:33
told ya this is either a massive fix or just 3rd world braindead play.
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 02:34
Wonder what they talk about in the dressing room
By:
jucel69
When: 28 Feb 19 02:35
2 men out and still goes for it.
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