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IPL Match #10 Delhi v KKR espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1175365
Tied Match "No" overturned. I don't know what lowest odds traded - 1.02? In the Match Odds Delhi went from 1.01 to upper 1.3s but obviously all that fun went to waste. |
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No need to record tied games gubbing. If a game ended a tie, its clear No was a very short odds gubbing.
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same goes for CMM too, though that can be traded for a long period of time.
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I take your point re. ties, but it's still useful to see how often they occur. Bear in mind you may end up trading the tie when a short match-odds potential gubbing is in progress. Though I failed to check it this time, the lowest odds where volume starts to be available would be handy to know even if it doesn't end up being a tie. Also, a "No" half-gubbing that didn't result in an actual tie wouldn't easily be inferred from stats.
CMMs don't always trade in volume at micro-odds if there's already weather in the offing so a short-odds gubbing of "Yes" could mean the weather came as an almost complete surprise. A short-odds "No" gubbing would be very interesting as the nearly-gubbed "Yes" may have already traded from very low odds and the magnified greens could be quite large. Probably also useful to get an idea of how often active CMM markets end up having multiple flip-flops. My gut feeling is it's better to have too much info and filter it out later. Everyone should feel welcome to contribute without over-thinking "does this kind of massive odds-swing qualify"? |
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IPL Match 13 Lions v Delhi
Punjab 160 1.01 to 3.0+ Score reached 166 |
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Delh 1.02 Match Odds gubbed
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VV Charles i refer you to general betting, barton bank thread. Confirmation of what i was saying.
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I am too stupid(and working at low enough stakes for now) to understand some of the problems he has mentioned.
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Pakistan Cup 4th Match
Punjab v Khyber Pakhtunkwha (D/N) Punjab 1.02 gubbed - 341 target succesfully chased down under lights. |
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IPL Match #17 RCB v KKR
RCB 1.06 gubbed - 205 chased down in a most unlikely way with 5 balls to spare. espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1175372 |
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Also, though I didn't spot the lowest odds, Titans v Warriors
Titans were heavily tipped to be the stronger team and set a target of 217 for a losss of 5 men. I'm sure their odds dipped below 1.10 but I'm not sure what the lowest sizeable trade was. My 1.04 didn't get matched (unless I did something stupid like cancel the bet). Anyway, rain delayed the second innings and D/L set The Warriors a rather easier 57 in 6 overs which they polished off without losing any wickets. Yet more evidence that the D/L method seems to underestimate the utility value of wickets in hand. So that's another low odds gubbing - three in one day - a "Betfair Hatrick" of the day's markets if you exclude the County Cricket four-dayers. |
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For anyone interested - espncricinfo.com/series/8656/commentary/1157224
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IPL Match #19 Sunrisers Hyderabad v Mumbai Indians
Not as short as I'd normally include but as a lot of people seem to be getting caught up in and caught out by the IPL it gets an honourary mention. Sunrisers got off to a good start chasing Mumbai's 136 and traded as low as 1.13 before the wheels started to fall off, finally losing the last 6 wickets for a mere 14 runs and falling 40 short of the opposing score. espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178394 |
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IPL Match #20 RCB v Delhi Crappy-tools
RCB 150 Runs 1.02 gubbed espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178395 |
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RCB also traded in size at 1000 then back down to 100 several times in the last two overs.
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IPL Match #22 Lions v Sunrisers
Thai "Yes" traded around 50 for most of the match but suddenly shot off to 100 after a productive over followed by a weird stall in the scoring where it dipped below, trading between 55 to 95, then it shot out to 140 for £50 before shrinking all the way down to below 10s before settling on "No" after all. Meanwhile in the Match Odds during the last few overs Punjab traded in size at 1.01 then eased higher and settled around 1.25ish for quite a while before moving to 1.50/160 even touching the high 1.80s then retreating, pausing to oscillate around 1.50 before King's got really close then finally clinched it with a ball to spare. Not quite a "half-gubbing" but a decent trading opportunity nonetheless. First time I've observed the Thai for a whole game where it actually got pretty close to happening. Watching the scoring suddenly stall was really strange after it seemed to have only just started to accelerate shortly before. On this occasion I didn't have the radio feed so I was just flying on instruments. espncricinfo.com/series/8048/scorecard/1178397 |
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IPL Match #23 KKR v CSK
KKR Runs 90 101 Reached evens 95 102 Reached evens 100 106 Exceeded evens 108 Scored 110 104 Gubbed 115 106 Gubbed 120 106 Gubbed espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178398 |
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Sorry, I missed out the decimal points above - 101, 102, etc should be 1.01, 1.02.....
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Pakistan Cup - Federal Arreas vs Balochistan (D/N)
Fed 1.09 Gubbed with one major and multiple minor flip-flops. espncricinfo.com/series/17924/game/1178886 |
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IPL Match #24 Mumbai Indians v Kings XI
Kings scored 197 Mumbai 1.01 nearly Half-gubbed. Reached about 1.8ish I think. After losing a wicket in the final over they had to get four runs in as many balls. Down to the wire with 2 scored off the last delivery to win by one run. Thai "NO" 1.01 Half-gubbed, reaching about 2.25 espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178399 |
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Several flip-flops in that match too. At least six convincing crossings of evens and a couple more touches.
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IPL Match #25 Rajasthan Royals vs CSK
RR briefly touched 1.04, trading in the thousands at 1.1 (thanks Pecker) in the last couple of balls of a farcical final over with a 2-run no ball, a free-hit, a wide and a revoked wide involving a just-dismissed Dhoni coming back on to argue the wide, plus two sixes. The market crossed evens several times during the match, suggesting yet again that backing short odds is not a sure-fire, stress-free route to riches in this particular brannd of T20 tournament. |
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Almost forgot the link - espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178400
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Zimbabwe v UAE 2nd ODI
UAE 169/8 in a rain-curtailed 35 overs Zimbabwe early 1.02 Half-Gubbed and then some, due partly to a rain-revised higher target of 210 in 35 overs, 40 runs more than the opposing side scored - not bad compensation to UAE for the rain interruption. UAE 1.06 Gubbed as Zimbabwe reached the target after all. A rare short-odds double-flipper of a match. espncricinfo.com/series/19185/game/1179273 |
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That target was reduced to 182 by D/L after bad light cut short the last three overs.
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IPL Match #29 KKR v CSK
KKR 165 Runs 1.02 Gubbed espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178404 |
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IPL Match #32 Kings v Royals
Royals 170 Runs Traded at 1.01 before rising to 1.47+ early in the last over. 182 was scored. espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178407 |
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IPL Match #33 Sunriser Hyperbad v Chennai Spacker Kvntz
CSK Runs 135 1.02 Gubbed 135 1.03 " 145 1.05 " espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178408 |
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From Friday 19th April
Warwickshire v Yorkshire ended in a THAI so that was a 1.01 "NO" that got well and truly gubbed. espncricinfo.com/series/8335/game/1167056 |
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From Saturday 20th April
1.01 Namibia (v Papua New Guinea) traded above 1.7 before going on to win, so not too far off a Half-Gubbing. espncricinfo.com/series/8786/game/1174828 |
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In the ICC Second Division matches yesterday (Sunday)
1.06 Hong Kong (v Papua New Guinea) totally Gubbed espncricinfo.com/series/8786/game/1174833 1.06 USA (v Namibia) reached about 2.4 for more than a Half-Gubbing espncricinfo.com/series/8786/game/1174831 |
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From Sunday's Royal London Cup matches
1.01 Somerset (v Glamorgan) reached 4.0 ish during a last wicket stand. Glamorgan came within two runs of winning. With nearly two overs left Thai "NO" managed to get as high as 1.2 espncricinfo.com/series/8335/game/1167063 1.01 Leicester (v Worcesters) reached higher than 1.4 for a potential 40-bagger trade - Leics had set a target of 378 in 50 overs of which Worcester's last pair got within a reasonably respectable 40 runs (i.e. almost within 10%). espncricinfo.com/series/8335/game/1167066 |
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IPL Match #39 RCB v CSK
Teams aren't easily trading as low as one normally expects - people have wised yup to crazy outcomes happening routinely in IPL. However when it looked almost impossible for even MSD to save the day in the last few overs RCB dipped to 1.03 but then reached 5.5 as Dhoni chose to skip taking singles to stay on strike and whack boundaries every chance he got. In the end RCB went on to defend the target, avoiding a THAI by one run - close to being a Full Gubbing so I hope every one made some money and or at least that nobody here got roasted. Thai "NO" briefly touched 1.7 but traded in quantity around 1.3 for long enough to place trades. |
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From yesterday (24th April) ICC World Cup Div 2
Namibia 1.08 (v Oman) Gubbed espncricinfo.com/series/8786/game/1174838 |
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Also from yesterday - Royal London One-Day Cup
Worcester 1.02 (v Durham) traded as high as 1.8 for a near Half=Gubbing espncricinfo.com/series/8335/game/1167075 Derbyshire 1.02 (v Lancashire) reached as high as 5.0+ for a Half-Gubbing that was nearly a full one. espncricinfo.com/series/8786/game/1174838 |
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IPL Match #41 from yesterday RCB v Kings XI
RCB somehow reached 202 after looking like they were struggling - there was even a period of 6 or 7 overs where no boundaries were scored. 200+ runs traded as high as 32 Kings started off strongly and looked like possibly reaching the target with ease. RCB had been hovering within 0.5 of evens for most of the match until late in the game when they reached 3.5 before going on to defend the target. Evens was crossed by a margin of at least 0.25-0.5 on no less than 8 occasions. Kings would have needed six fours or four sixes off the last over but after scoring a six off the first ball the next two balls were wickets. espncricinfo.com/series/8048/game/1178417 |
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Match #42, sorry!
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From yesterday (Friday 26th April)
Royal London Cup Yorkshire v Derbyshire ended in a Thai, so a 1.02 Gubbing there for "NO" but underneath that result was a Yorkshire 1.02 earlier in the match which could have been a Half or Full Gubbing for the sake of 1 run. espncricinfo.com/series/8335/game/1167085 |
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Today's Royal London matches
Lancashire 1.02 (v Durham) traded at over 4.0+ chasing what initially looked like a low target but proved quite tough and may even have ended up being a Full Gubbing but for an unlkely pair of back-to-back sixes from Graham Onions in the 48th over. espncricinfo.com/series/8335/game/1167096 Essex 1.05 v Sussex was a Full Gubbing espncricinfo.com/series/8335/game/1167095 |
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IPL Match #49 RCB v Rajasthan Royals in a rain-reduced 5-over match
RR runs 65 1.01 traded and was overturned. CMM traded at 1.01 and then got well above evens before hovering below 1.10 again during reduced play and grinding it's way back towards 1.01 but then rain interrupted again with ten balls to go and the match was abandoned. So that was a 1.01 "YES" Half-Gubbing followed by a "YES" Full Gubbing from at least as low as 1.03. |