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frog2
16 May 17 21:02
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Date Joined: 01 Feb 08
| Topic/replies: 4,229 | Blogger: frog2's blog
I cannot see past the Sunrisers in this one.

Why are KKR favorites at 1.95 and SRH 2.04?

Sunrisers have picked the perfect squad for the play-offs. They have lost no one. They have Kumar (top wicket taker) and Warner (top runs). They have the Afghans who are perfect for bowling on these warn pitches.

KKR have lost 4 of their last 5 matches. They have lost Woakes and recently the style Lynn and Narine play at the top of the order had rubbed off on the whole team. No one is willing to show grit and adjust in the way Warner can to get the job done.

I make no secret of the fact I think SRH will win this one and will win the IPL again this year.

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By:
bobweenit
When: 16 May 17 22:08
Gonna have a big non cutting bet on KKR myself Gambhir will steer his boys through serenelyCool
By:
ayt
When: 16 May 17 22:08
LaughLaughLaugh
By:
pxb
When: 17 May 17 00:35
Lynn as an opener hasn't worked out. I don't expect that experiment to continue.

I've fancied KKR from the start, but Sunrisers do look a better bowling side. How many Warner gets will probably swing the match either way. SRH batting weak after the top 2.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 17 May 17 07:36

May 17, 2017 -- 12:35AM, pxb wrote:


Lynn as an opener hasn't worked out. I don't expect that experiment to continue.I've fancied KKR from the start, but Sunrisers do look a better bowling side. How many Warner gets will probably swing the match either way. SRH batting weak after the top 2.


You mean someone else? Lynn is averaging 71.2 at a SR of 186.3 - he's been an utter monster. I expected KKR to struggle without him but they still did pretty well and definitely have a significantly stronger batting side than SRH with him in. A top 4 of Lynn, Narine, Gambhir and Uthappa looks excellent to me although I'm not so concvinced after that and having the fat spinner at 7 looks too high, especially without Woakes in the side to offer a bit more batting lower down.

By:
pxb
When: 17 May 17 07:53
Lynn is a batting phenomena, but he previously played as a finisher (in the BBL as well), and KKR have lost 2 out of 3 with him opening. It seems to unbalance the team in a way Narine opening doesn't.

Anyway, I'd prefer to see GG open and Lynn at 5 or 6.
By:
Fatslogger
When: 17 May 17 08:45

May 17, 2017 -- 7:53AM, pxb wrote:


Lynn is a batting phenomena, but he previously played as a finisher (in the BBL as well), and KKR have lost 2 out of 3 with him opening. It seems to unbalance the team in a way Narine opening doesn't.Anyway, I'd prefer to see GG open and Lynn at 5 or 6.


I find that a surprising view - Lynn has done extremely well opening and it's not his fault the rest of the batting hasn't been great since he returned from injury. He's been KKR's best batsman and opening with him maximises his utility, especially as he gets to bat more against pace that way. Not that I think Gambhir is a bad opener: he's also excellent.

By:
pxb
When: 17 May 17 09:25
From cricinfo,

KKR's batting power is at the top of their innings. They have scored the most runs in the Powerplay, with an average of 58.74 per game. They have the highest run-rate in the middle overs too - 1079 runs at 8.57 runs per over. They fade away towards the end overs though, scoring just 427 runs at 8.45 runs per over, the least among all teams.
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:01
KKR win toss and bowl
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:02
I don't think it is the case that Lynn is a bad opener. He is brilliant.

The problem is GG has to open or he is rubbish.

Uthappa has been poor since he returned from injury trying to hit every ball for 6.

Pandey has not been able to time the ball since about the 4th or 5th match.

The rest of the order is not capable of finishing an innings.
By:
Steam
When: 17 May 17 15:03
Pandey injured today..out..
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:03
oh my, Jordan getting a game
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:06
Williamson and Yuvi back.
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:07
Surprised Jordon for Nabi. Nabi is excellent and would have taken down Lynn in the powerplay.
By:
Steam
When: 17 May 17 15:08
Surprised with Nabi out and Jordan in on a slow track..but may be Warner knows better
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:08
Boult and Chawla playing for KKR. Poor KKR backers.
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:09
KKR always had really good all rounders, their team not looking so strong without them
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:10
Henriques injuried or just left out for Williamson?
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:11
Kolkata Knight Riders (Playing XI): Sunil Narine, Chris Lynn, Gautam Gambhir(c), Robin Uthappa(w), Yusuf Pathan, Suryakumar Yadav, Ishank Jaggi, Piyush Chawla, Umesh Yadav, Nathan Coulter-Nile, Trent Boult
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:11
Sunrisers Hyderabad (Playing XI): David Warner(c), Shikhar Dhawan, Kane Williamson, Yuvraj Singh, Vijay Shankar, Naman Ojha(w), Chris Jordan, Bipul Sharma, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Rashid Khan, Siddarth Kaul
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:11
SRH look much better with KW at 3
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:12
Wouldnt have chosen Jordan tho, he's garbage!
By:
sunshine1
When: 17 May 17 15:12
No reserve day as far as I know, how's the weather looking?
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:16
I dont get the choice of Jordon and Bipul Sharma for Nabi and Mohammed Siraj.

Looking Jordons T20 league stats he averages 1.2 wickets a match with economy of 8.8.

I can see Lynn and Narine tucking into and taking the game away.
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:17
Always confuses me as to why anyone picks CJ
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:18
Chris Jordan went for 11.25 an over in his last IPL match. Doesnt look good.
By:
Steam
When: 17 May 17 15:19
Wonder why CJ is good enough for England but not for SRH Crazy
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:19
Wouldnt pick him for England either!
By:
Steam
When: 17 May 17 15:20
No you wouldn't but he gets picked...!!! Why !!!
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:22
Jordan is one of the few players to have a better record bowling second.

Win rate bowl first : 45%
Win rate bowl second : 66.7%

sample size 35 T20 league matches.
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:34
What do we think of the pitch?
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:35
Bit of life in it with it being under the covers
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:35
Hard to assess it properly yet
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:35
Market saying 162
By:
Steam
When: 17 May 17 15:36
Unless you bowl short ..this would be like the usual Bangalore pitch this season..low and hard to score.
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:37
Looks tricky to me.
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:38
Warner normally pretty good on these pitches, doesn't play overly aggressive
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:39
Warner so clear top 20 batsmen in the world
By:
tomtimtum
When: 17 May 17 15:41
on your ratings frog?
By:
frog2
When: 17 May 17 15:42
1    David Warner    94.6    Australia
2    Virat Kohli    85.4    India
3    Chris Lynn    79.9    Australia
4    AB de Villiers    53.5    South Africa
5    Jos Buttler    49.7    England
6    Andre Russell    48.2    West Indies
7    Robin Uthappa    47.3    India
8    Hashim Amla    46.8    South Africa
9    Steven Smith    43.3    Australia
10    Kevin Pietersen    41.1    England
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