Mar 19, 2017 -- 10:08AM, pxb wrote:
Looking very much like a draw.
We'll see when Australia bats but I'm surprised that the batsmen have not only made no attempts to up the rate but also not even scored as quickly as earlier in the partnership. It's very negative with a game there to be won.
Mar 19, 2017 -- 10:41AM, jucel69 wrote:
sun's out again now . Maybe India will go deep after tea?
Whatever they do they should do it quickly. Don't see Pujara taking the long handle but he should. Think Saha will be aggressive once he's got his hundred.
Mar 19, 2017 -- 12:31PM, pxb wrote:
Draw looks massive.
I've got these prices about right. Australia won't get enough runs ahead to make a chase difficult without batting out most of the overs. I think they ought to but Jadeja and Ashwin bowling into that rough outside the lefties off stumps may be quite a challenge.
Mar 19, 2017 -- 12:34PM, VardonVoo. wrote:
What does WinViz predict from here?
India 57%. I'm happy with that as almost £5k green there and only £1.6k draw. I may equalise if there are two or three early wickets though.
Mar 19, 2017 -- 1:13PM, betfairchat wrote:
Can only see an Indian victory now
Saw the Warner wicket just before going out and immediately thought I'd be piling a lot of beans on India at evens if not already very heavily into the home team. Smith is obviously a beast of a batsman but I think India has every chance of winning just by ripping through the rest of them now, even if he gets a score and incredibly hard to see Australia holding out if he doesn't. The loss of Warner matters a lot, because his free scoring could easily have put Australia far enough ahead that he'd have been effectively taking extra time out of the game. Now you'd think Australia will need to bat well past two sessions tomorrow, probably even into the last hour to be safe. Even scoring at 3s, which I very much doubt they'll do, 75 overs only puts them 100 ahead. India chasing that off 15 overs might be quite fun. Other thing to bear in mind is that India will get through the overs very quickly indeed with the spinners in tandem: if looking feasible to win I wouldn't be surprised to see 80+ overs bowled with an hour of play left.
Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:22AM, tyco161 wrote:
Might be time to back the draw now... :)
I'm the worst last day trader in the world. I'd be a millionaire if I never bet on day 5
Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:26AM, tyco161 wrote:
haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.
Easy to get sucked in thinking it looks easy & then bang, bang, game over!
Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:30AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:
I'm also reluctant day 5 trader, because if you get in a hole on day 5 you usually stay in a hole.
Mar 20, 2017 -- 7:20AM, VardonVoo. wrote:
Aus scoring so slowly that they might bat the day yet still lose me my overs @ 200 :-(Seemed like a good idea at the time to hedge my India back with the bonus of a reasonable chance of getting paid on both bets.
If they lose wickets they will start playing a few more shots to get past the Indian total.
Mar 20, 2017 -- 7:28AM, VardonVoo. wrote:
I'm banking on Aus preferring to set a total than block out the whole day, simply cos of the "runs counting double" effect after reaching parity.
Handscombe and Monkey magic won't die wondering
Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:28AM, jucel69 wrote:
Mar 20, 2017 -- 4:26AM, tyco161 wrote:haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.Easy to get sucked in thinking it looks easy & then bang, bang, game over!
Happens again! On the right side this time
Mar 20, 2017 -- 12:55PM, VardonVoo. wrote:
Oh well! I guess I should be very grateful to escape the jaws of death at the eleventh nanosecond.
I would say you've had a result. They could have gone off several overs ago.