3rd Test: India v Australia at Ranchi

Back to back test matches too. Aus will have no bowlers left!

Mar 19, 2017 -- 10:08AM, pxb wrote:

Looking very much like a draw.

We'll see when Australia bats but I'm surprised that the batsmen have not only made no attempts to up the rate but also not even scored as quickly as earlier in the partnership. It's very negative with a game there to be won.

sun's out again now . Maybe India will go deep after tea?

They should. Finish about 150 ahead and bowl at Aus tomorrow? I think they won't need more than 50 overs to bowl out the aussies.

Mar 19, 2017 -- 10:41AM, jucel69 wrote:

sun's out again now . Maybe India will go deep after tea?

Whatever they do they should do it quickly. Don't see Pujara taking the long handle but he should. Think Saha will be aggressive once he's got his hundred.

They should just declare here - with a lead of 130 and a little over ten overs left, Aus surviving those and then say another session-and-a-half going at 4-an-over would leave India chasing 110 in about 45 overs. That would set up an exciting finish, methinx. Aus probably won't last that long though.

what is the point in sending Sharma out to block ?

pointless

One day we might get a brave Captain who doesn't conform to this bullsh1t.

to scare the aussies maybe

210 overs in the field!

Draw looks massive.

What does WinViz predict from here?

Mar 19, 2017 -- 12:31PM, pxb wrote:

Draw looks massive.

I've got these prices about right. Australia won't get enough runs ahead to make a chase difficult without batting out most of the overs. I think they ought to but Jadeja and Ashwin bowling into that rough outside the lefties off stumps may be quite a challenge.

Market flip-flop if Aus lose a wicket tonight and a nuclear meltdown if they lose two.

Mar 19, 2017 -- 12:34PM, VardonVoo. wrote:

What does WinViz predict from here?

India 57%. I'm happy with that as almost £5k green there and only £1.6k draw. I may equalise if there are two or three early wickets though.

Winviz says india win.

cant see any possible way india get10 wickets in a day on this runway

TIMBERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

davie warner goes, aus in all kinds now!

India favs now def

even night watchman almost out

TIMBER

carnage

Grant, draw is free money

If going with a nightwatchman was such a great strategy in the first place then logically you'd use two of them, surely?

India once again gonna win after conceding 400+ in the first innings. Those aussie lefties will be clueless tomorrow against Jadeja. Who knows he gets all 10 wickets :D

Can only see an Indian victory now

Mar 19, 2017 -- 1:13PM, betfairchat wrote:

Can only see an Indian victory now

Saw the Warner wicket just before going out and immediately thought I'd be piling a lot of beans on India at evens if not already very heavily into the home team. Smith is obviously a beast of a batsman but I think India has every chance of winning just by ripping through the rest of them now, even if he gets a score and incredibly hard to see Australia holding out if he doesn't. The loss of Warner matters a lot, because his free scoring could easily have put Australia far enough ahead that he'd have been effectively taking extra time out of the game. Now you'd think Australia will need to bat well past two sessions tomorrow, probably even into the last hour to be safe. Even scoring at 3s, which I very much doubt they'll do, 75 overs only puts them 100 ahead. India chasing that off 15 overs might be quite fun. Other thing to bear in mind is that India will get through the overs very quickly indeed with the spinners in tandem: if looking feasible to win I wouldn't be surprised to see 80+ overs bowled with an hour of play left.

Even scoring at 3s, which I very much doubt they'll do, 75 overs only puts them 100 ahead.

Yeh, Aus need to bat out almost the whole day for the draw. Winviz says they will almost, but not quite, do it.

Which makes the draw quite attractive. But last day, currently green on India and the draw. You (I) know what makes sense. Especially with a juicy weather play in the offing.

I've got a huge India green to play with but I don't fancy the draw very much. It's an option as a trade and will try to fiddle with it a bit overnight, because it will plummet if a pair of batsmen get set, as long as one of them is Smith and the other is Renshaw or Marsh. I don't like trading on the last day though, or at least I know that I shouldn't.

The way Jadeja was turning it from the rough , Aussies might be in a lot of difficulties tomorrow. Continuing with my draw lay hope India makes a quick work of the aussies.

Warner hasn't done much in this series and his wicket isn't a big loss. As I said yesterday, it will probably depend on Smith. Could be a nail biter finish.

Prices are very stable, not much to be gained by tick nicking here!...1 hour before play resumes there will prob be movement but I'll prob be asleep then.

My guess is India will shorten rather than the draw in the hour before resumption.

Aus will do well to bat 70 overs. Even if they do & are 100 runs ahead with 20 overs to go, India will still be about 1.1/1.2

Smith must be jaded, he's been on the field virtually the whole game & has had to concentrate for the whole time too.
If there is an early wicket I can see an innings defeat.

India flying in now

While waiting for this thought I would make some easy money on NBA ...bad mistake.   but THX to Lebron & Kyrie no harm done! 

India could become layable as the move on them takes place, not there yet!

Might be time to back the draw now... :)

Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:22AM, tyco161 wrote:

Might be time to back the draw now... :)

I'm the worst last day trader in the world. I'd be a millionaire if I never bet on day 5

haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.

Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:26AM, tyco161 wrote:

haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.

Easy to get sucked in thinking it looks easy & then bang, bang, game over!

Seems Safe as Houses so far day 5........not threatening at all! ....Roller effect last about an hour I suppose.

I'm also reluctant day 5 trader, because if you get in a hole on day 5 you usually stay in a hole.   I like plenty of time to dig myself out!

yeah Smith goes and then boom all the pressure back on the batters and balls will start to spit.

roller effect already wearing off

money piling into India again

Over rate is rapid again!

12 overs in 40mins

80% gone in on India since early hours

Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:30AM, Cardinal Scott wrote:

I'm also reluctant day 5 trader, because if you get in a hole on day 5 you usually stay in a hole.

Starting to look dodgy for Aus. No runs and the bowlers looking dangerous.

time to lay the draw again?

Aus scoring so slowly that they might bat the day yet still lose me my overs @ 200 :-(
Seemed like a good idea at the time to hedge my India back with the bonus of a reasonable chance of getting paid on both bets.

Mar 20, 2017 -- 7:20AM, VardonVoo. wrote:

Aus scoring so slowly that they might bat the day yet still lose me my overs @ 200 :-(Seemed like a good idea at the time to hedge my India back with the bonus of a reasonable chance of getting paid on both bets.

If they lose wickets they will start playing a few more shots to get past the Indian total.

out!

I'm banking on Aus preferring to set a total than block out the whole day, simply cos of the "runs counting double" effect after reaching parity.

Mar 20, 2017 -- 7:28AM, VardonVoo. wrote:

I'm banking on Aus preferring to set a total than block out the whole day, simply cos of the "runs counting double" effect after reaching parity.

Handscombe and Monkey magic won't die wondering

GAME OVER

Mar 20, 2017 -- 6:28AM, jucel69 wrote:

Mar 20, 2017 --  4:26AM, tyco161 wrote:haha thats why i tend not to do it either.... but for a trade, the draw at 1.97 was looking like it could move quickly... nibble no more.Easy to get sucked in thinking it looks easy & then bang, bang, game over!

Happens again! On the right side this time

Got to be a massive lay of Aus for the next test. They won't have any bowlers left after this game.

What do you predict for India's SP for the next Test. 1.4?

If India win this they only need a draw for the series, so should prepare a decent pitch. However, if this is drawn, they will need a result and a turner is in prospect.

if they get to parity only 4 or 5 down, there's still a decent chance of a draw

Dreadful DRS review

Final call Jucel?

Mar 20, 2017 -- 9:39AM, ayt wrote:

Final call Jucel?

draw

Aus are really only 3 down as Lyon doesn't count!
Still need to bat another 40 overs though!

Could get to a scenario where India need 30 off 3 overs or something like that.
The market would combust if that sort of scenario transpires!

Massive over for Aus - 14 off

Laid some more draw here, hoping for a wicket soon.

Once the ball got soft, there was hardly any bite.
11 overs to the newie, could be too late by then. We shall see

Bl00dy hell!!

And now all three live streams have got stuck.  Same for everyone, or is it just me?

Hoping they play some shots so I at least get my overs paid. Messed up a good position by trying to box clever instead of just greening out of my India back after that fourth wicket. Lesson learned (again!).

India where rather unlucky with two very marginal umpire's calls that could have gone the other way. It's a pity that umpires don't have a remit that if in doubt go with the decision that favours the most exciting finish.

cricinfo SE Marsh c Vijay b Jadeja 53 (197b 7x4 0x6) SR: 26.90

It's official - backing overs is for masochists.

Oh dear Maxwell gone now.

200 layers must be spitting feathers!!

200! Phew!

Mar 20, 2017 -- 12:50PM, VardonVoo. wrote:

200! Phew!

Now if they can just very nicely please put on another fifty, I'll actually end up in profit!

Oh well! I guess I should be very grateful to escape the jaws of death at the eleventh nanosecond.

Mar 20, 2017 -- 12:55PM, VardonVoo. wrote:

Oh well! I guess I should be very grateful to escape the jaws of death at the eleventh nanosecond.

I would say you've had a result. They could have gone off several overs ago.

I really have, haven't I!! I'm still beating myself up for letting the green-eyed monster interfere with my trading of a very good earlier position built by day 4 from a disastrous start. #senseofentitlementkillsgoodjudgment

I had a really good day 5 (for once). Laid the draw right before the two wickets and then laid India at lunch.
Had a final speccy on India at 100s up to 1000s but hardly damaged a very tidy profit

Overall I've come out ahead over this week's three Tests, despite some bad trades and even after dozing off on occasion with uncancelled bets that I later woke to find matched at hairshirt o'clock prices.

oh my, what a thai

Hope everybody made a Handscombe profit.......

Would have preferred the Indian win as that would have been £2k more but still a £2.4k win to go with £1.1k in SL Bangladesh (should have done better but not a bad show) more than making up for taking a chainsaw to my solid position in NZ SA.

This has been a cracking test series, one of the best in recent memory both on and off the field. Let's hope the decider lives up to the last 3 tests.

I have been very impressed by Australia's performance, preparation and planning. I think England had better batting resources to deal with India but they were clearly undone by a lack of plan.

I am disappointed with India and the pitches prepared. I am not saying India have no right to choose what to prepare I mean how many Test Matches are won by the spinners at Trent Bridge?!

I would like to see faster pitches. I think the slowness of the wickets may have actually been to India's detriment as clearly they have the better spinners but the Aussie tweakers did really well when there was help. India have been saved by some wonderful batting performances from a couple of Individuals. KL Rahul and Pujara in general and then an innings from Rahane and Saha saved them from losing the last two tests and series!

Rahul has been playing better Test cricket. I was really losing the plot after watching him play a couple of white ball type innings, probably goaded by the experience of Pujara. Why on earth would you drop your most effective batsman because he doesn't score quickly? It was madness. India have such a depth of batting I would like to see them do this abroad.

Well done Aussies.......someone get me a glass of water before I choke!

Well done Detraveller. You've really got this game by the boll*cks lmfao.

can't imagine india are very happy with the pitch prepared in ranchi. surely the last game won't be on a slow turner ? draw's no good to india. better off taking their chances on a raging bunsen

4th Test thread up