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I would make NZ big favourites but England have already had 2 matches at Delhi so will be used to the conditions. That will even it up. I don't think you should worry about Root and Guptill as neither is likely to score more than 40 in Delhi. The other semi final is in Mumbai where there's been lots of 200+ scores. Gayle made his 100 there. Eng chased down 230 against SA and SA made another 200+ score there against Afghan. Kohli will in all probability hit a 70+ score in Mumbai and that will push him close to top tournament batsman. If India win the semi final he will have a chance to overtake 295 in the final.
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tough call, depends on how england bat, no bet for me but hope to home to watch it
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No bet for me. I have a sneaking feeling that England could win this.
New Zealand games have not been particularly high scoring ones and they have relied on their bowling and fielding limiting the opposition. England's cavalier style of batting should cause New Zealand problems especially if chasing a modest total. |
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If NZ don't have any fitness issues, I'd favour them to win, although not by much. A low scoring pitch will benefit NZ.
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A game well worth leaving alone as a serious punting prospect..that said the 9/4 with Skybet for either Root OR Guptill to top score could be worth an interest.
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Another 20/20 and one of the biggest coinflips I have seen in a while... Lots of unknowns and the usual unpredictability of this form of cricket. I'm backing England prematch at 2.10 (waiting to get matched) currently.
Scenario one, if NZ win the toss and bat first then I'll be slightly worried, I'll be hoping they can lose a few cheap wickets. I could potentially exit (break even) after loss of 1st wicket, which I would highly consider doing (don't like NZ batting 1st, looking at tourney results so far) If England win the toss and bat first their price should come in to closer to 2.00s, but I will wait for them to bat before I act and hope they can get on track to posting a total of 160+, which should see them shorten into the 1.80-2.00 depending on other factors, of course. NZ batting 2nd is a bit of an unknown and I think the pressure could see them stumble at some point, I would probably be patients and hopefully green out when England shorten to 1.65-1.70 if the opportunity arises. The biggest danger I see here is scenario one, if NZ bat first and England can't slow down the run rate and/or take wickets... This could see NZ firm into the 1.50-1.60 range which would then leave me in a dangerous predicament (loss of 0.50-0.60 of investment) and the hard call whether to get out, or wait and see what England can do on the chase. Thoughts? |
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BACK ENGLAND AT 5.00 ON OUTRIGHT. IT IS BIG.
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I don't see England beating India in the final if they progress Yomamma... You looking to trade this between matches or in-play tonight, or you actually think they can win the tournament?
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I'm trying to get matched on NZ so hoping Eng price goes down a bit. There's not much in the match odds but NZ 4.3 and Eng 5.00 on outright.
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NZ 4.5 with stan james and a few other bookies.
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I haven't seen NZ spinners so far in the comp, but their figures are better than the Indians. Nathan McCullum has the best economy rate FFS. If they are as good as their figures indicate then I wouldn't be optimistic about Eng chances.
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Will follow my usual strategy for England, back them when they're batting and lay them when they're fielding!
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Don't think the NZ spinners will get much assistance from this pitch, played pretty well in womens game
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As much as I would like to see England win, NZ are strong in most areea, the biggest one being the Captaincy, as Kane Williamson, is a superb captain, way better then Eoin Morgan. England do have some big hitters, right through the batting order, but NZ have a far better bowling attack, I think NZ at 1.66 England 2.5 is nearer the correct mark the 2 sides
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Surprised the odds are so close. Think NZ are a good bit better than England myself.
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good bAtting wicket imo which favours England surely
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England should be favs for this. NZ are a little over-rated just now
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Eng huge at 5.1. That does not correlate with match odds.
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Think people may be overrating England.
Ok they did very well to get a huge total to beat SA but they won with two balls to spare and bowlers were crap and could easily have lost; against Afghanistan they had to rely on Ali, Jordan and Willey thrashing for the last few overs and could easily have lost; against a poor SL team they could easily have lost as well. NZ out spun India, defended a low total reasonably easily against Aussies, and were just the better team against Pakistan and Bangas. England do have some advantage of having played on pitch before. Toss may be important. |
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Thats how I see it Charlie. Agree the toss could be crucial and batting first a big advantage.
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NZs batting this tournament has been fairly woeful, fancy england to win this, surprised they arent favs
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if England play India in final, they'll be 3.0+? Which would make their chance of winning tournament 2.08 x 3 = 6.24 (at least)
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WI are 3.0 vs India, no way will England be shorter than WI
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Prices in the outright look bang on to me.
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The prices are all wrong. England are too big.
NZ are 4.5 and 4.33 with some bookies but 4.2 on betfair. |
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Can you remember what price WI were when they beat Eng in the group stages? Seem to remember WI 1.8 or so but could be wrong
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NZ are 4 with the majority of bookies though.
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SP
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That was on exchange?
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england were clear favourites against the windies around 1.73
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Like the look of Guptil Performance at 36 on the spreads... gets 1 point for each run, but also 10 for a catch. He's had 6 catches in 3 games so far so could be a nice little bonus to top up his run total.
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About time Williamson lost the toss...
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why can't you type t o s s e r?
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Looks like Eng won toss and bowl
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