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pxb
19 Jul 15 19:00
Joined:
Date Joined: 07 Jun 10
| Topic/replies: 8,019 | Blogger: pxb's blog
Banglas on a roll with 3 consecutive ODI series wins over top teams.

They are targeting a draw in this match and on a batting friendly pitch with the usual weather at this time of year could well get one.

The match odds market has only traded pennies so far, but that should change as the match starts Tuesday.

A draw back.
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Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 1:36 AM BST
Yes indeed welcome, we do have some good robust discussions from time to time and most on here are trustworthy.
Report pxb July 23, 2015 1:53 AM BST
Looks from the satellite, some rain in the next 2 hours.
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 1:55 AM BST
have you got a link for the satellite pxb?
Report pxb July 23, 2015 1:59 AM BST
http://www.accuweather.com/en/bd/national/satellite

I prefer the animation, as you get a better idea of what's coming.
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 2:01 AM BST
this is quite good too

http://www.yr.no/kart/#lat=22.3384&lon=91.83168&zoom=6&laga=nedb%C3%B8r&baseid=PunktUtlandet%3A1205733&proj=900913
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 2:03 AM BST
https://www.google.co.uk/maps?biw=1360&bih=643&q=chittagong+cricket+stadium&bav=on.2,or.r_cp.&bvm=bv.98476267,d.bGg&bs=1&gs_rn=64&gs_ri=psy-ab&tok=1JV1oII6hstSloVdLsO_Ew&pq=chittagong+map&cp=12&gs_id=1h&xhr=t&um=1&ie=UTF-8&sa=X&sqi=2&ved=0CAYQ_AUoAWoVChMI1dK8jofwxgIVJ2vbCh0UUQUV

map of the ground so you can sync it too
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 2:03 AM BST
wow thanks... appreciate it
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 3:49 AM BST
https://twitter.com/Isam84

weather seems fineSad
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 3:59 AM BST
yeah looks like a start on time according to Mohammed
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 3:59 AM BST
could be one of those forecasts that promise a lot of rain but deliver not so much
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 4:03 AM BST
live feed

http://cricmelive.tv/live/gtv.php
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 4:04 AM BST
Good morning and welcome to ESPNcricinfo's coverage of the third day. First up, weather report: Our correspondent, Mohammad Isam, says that it had rained early morning but it has stopped now. The covers are being peeled off.
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 4:11 AM BST
Looks like the market does not know what to make of this... cheers jucel
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 4:13 AM BST

Jul 23, 2015 -- 4:11AM, tyco161 wrote:


Looks like the market does not know what to make of this... cheers jucel


I don't think many are clued up. Waiting for star sports 1 to start in 10 mins

Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 4:15 AM BST
if they see the sun shining etc the draw could go back out to where it finished last night? But Bangladesh are batting very slowly so there is help for the draw is SAF cannot break through
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 4:21 AM BST

Jul 23, 2015 -- 4:15AM, tyco161 wrote:


if they see the sun shining etc the draw could go back out to where it finished last night? But Bangladesh are batting very slowly so there is help for the draw is SAF cannot break through


probably about even money (2s)

Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 5:14 AM BST
Amazing how short SA are. They still need 15 wickets, a load of runs & no rain to win
Report pxb July 23, 2015 6:41 AM BST
Prices have been all over the place. I didn't take as much advantage as I should pre-play, partly as I had to get a few hours sleep.

An ideal day from here would be Ban bat till tea, then it rains as forecast.
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 6:50 AM BST
I've started laying some off already between 1.7 and 1.8. These forecasts are driving me mad!
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 7:05 AM BST
Raining, covers on
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 7:09 AM BST
Looks real grim
Report pxb July 23, 2015 7:10 AM BST
Draw has dropped 25 points. Must be raining.
Report scouceman July 23, 2015 7:22 AM BST
The Draw Train has left the station for its 2 day trip!!!
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 7:23 AM BST
Stopped already covers off ffs
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 7:24 AM BST
Restart 12.40
Report pxb July 23, 2015 7:56 AM BST
I had some draw lays around 1.4 which I've cancelled.

If I am any judge of Sattelite images we will see more rain today.
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 9:02 AM BST
What do we draw backers do now?
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 9:12 AM BST
betting with the assumption of rain is not a good idea imo... might aswell just red out if the rain happens
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 9:13 AM BST
Still got my £50 at 4.4 on Bangladesh but put £20 on SA at 6.4 just in case. Can see SA batting and batting and batting now. Then try and get them out in 2 sessions. So yeh the draw is likely.
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 9:16 AM BST
no rain predicted for the rest of the day. But tomorrow and Saturday is awful
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 9:24 AM BST
Today was supposed to be awful as well so who knows what we will get tomorrow....
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 9:25 AM BST
agreed. Bangladesh all out 326... 78 ahead.... expect SA to score about 500-5 declared.
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 9:26 AM BST
then have a day to bowl them out which they will fail
Report tyco161 July 23, 2015 9:28 AM BST
I do not think SA will get to 500 though... (using the 1st innings as a rough proxy) but they are behind so may be a bit more circumspect in the way they approach the innings...
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 9:29 AM BST
I don't normally bet on weather in particular but the forecast was for 50-100mm per day. That sort of grabs your attention.
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 10:09 AM BST
South Africa will get ****g loads here.
Report Foinavon July 23, 2015 10:35 AM BST
Good Morning.Happy

Signed in expecting my position to show a loss because of Bangla lead and no rain but it's actually green!

Red faces in the South Africa camp conceding a 78 run lead, hopefully they will do better second innings.
Will just sit on my Bangla lay for now.
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:04 AM BST
Bangladesh already out of the game. Need to get these two rank average batsman out. Got no chance of skittling Amla and Duminy
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:10 AM BST
still 30 overs left... South Africa will be 50 ahead by then
Report slip5 July 23, 2015 11:12 AM BST
Where the rain
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:13 AM BST
Draw is safe with or without rain imo
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:13 AM BST

Jul 23, 2015 -- 11:10AM, Mike-lfc wrote:


still 30 overs left... South Africa will be 50 ahead by then


20 overs left approx. Finish in 1hr 20 mins

Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:14 AM BST

Jul 23, 2015 -- 11:13AM, jucel69 wrote:


Jul 23, 2015 -- 11:10AM, Mike-lfc wrote:still 30 overs left... South Africa will be 50 ahead by then20 overs left approx. Finish in 1hr 20 mins


5.30pm is the latest they can finish

Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:15 AM BST
should be raining now, the radar in chittagong is full or rain
Report slip5 July 23, 2015 11:18 AM BST
rain coming groundsman ready
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:18 AM BST

Jul 23, 2015 -- 11:18AM, slip5 wrote:


rain coming groundsman ready


Grin

Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:19 AM BST
Hope it rains for the next 2 days non f*ckin stop
Report slip5 July 23, 2015 11:19 AM BST
to much play today juce we need more Plain
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:20 AM BST
friday and saturday were always the worst weather days, so hopefully they will be full of rain
Report slip5 July 23, 2015 11:20 AM BST
I would say if 50 overs is lost to rain during next 2 days this is 100 percent draw
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:21 AM BST
fookin comms always fanning the flames
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:22 AM BST
might just cash out
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:22 AM BST
got plenty of time to go back in if theres no sign of rain
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:23 AM BST
how can that not be raining???
Report slip5 July 23, 2015 11:24 AM BST
groundsman know man don't worry hopefully overnight rain damages pitch
Report slip5 July 23, 2015 11:25 AM BST
the dark cloud is going away Laugh
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:25 AM BST
im out. If something dramatic happens ill go back in but even if they had 2 and a half days of full play just can't see a result... SA scoring at 3 an over they would need to be at least 300 ahead to even consider declaring. WHich would take then the whole of tomorrow and some if it rains.
Report slip5 July 23, 2015 11:26 AM BST
groundsman on the draw also
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:33 AM BST
lightmeter on the draw
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:44 AM BST
4:40pm: It is steadily drizzling in Chittagong.
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:44 AM BST
yep. Onto tomorrow we go
Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:46 AM BST
WICKET VAMOS PAPA NEW GUINEA
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:47 AM BST

Jul 23, 2015 -- 11:46AM, Mike-lfc wrote:


WICKET VAMOS PAPA NEW GUINEA


Laugh

Report Mike-lfc July 23, 2015 11:56 AM BST
nah easy for Afghanistan
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:57 AM BST
4:55pm Play has been called off for the day.
Report pxb July 23, 2015 12:04 PM BST
On the forecast, there will be no more play in the match.
Report scouceman July 23, 2015 12:07 PM BST
Looking like a draw now - still keep a close eye on the next 2 day Weather ( always the worst days forecast ) another 50 over lost and should be GSM!
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 1:22 PM BST
As of now, probably the best 1.3 shot I've seen in a long time. This could easily be a draw without any rain, never mind the forecast.
Report pxb July 23, 2015 1:48 PM BST
Most of my bank tied up in Ashes markets, but I've maxed the rest out on this.
Report scouceman July 23, 2015 2:23 PM BST
Had lay bets up at 1.6 for 50% of my bet, changed them to 1.5 then 1.44 and got taken at 1.33.
Now thinking I should go back in as have given money back.
Do I keep a medium Red with a large Green on draw or a large Red with a very large Green.....
Decisions, decisions.
Report Foinavon July 23, 2015 2:53 PM BST
Draw back looks enticing but I'm resisting because should the rains not materialise then I can't rule out South Africa win. My existing Bangla lay looks more secure and gives a 33% ROI which is a decent return.
Could lay more Bangla but needs a big chunk of bank to be worthwhile.
Keeping funds dry for Edgbaston.
Report scouceman July 23, 2015 10:24 PM BST
Noah has just been spotted in Chittagong.....he's on the Draw too.
Report jucel69 July 23, 2015 11:37 PM BST
The radar is showing lots of rain over ChittagongHappy
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 2:40 AM BST
https://twitter.com/Isam84

Absolutely pissing it downGrin
Report pxb July 24, 2015 2:58 AM BST
Forecast has the rain clearing around 9am, at least for a couple of hours.
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 3:25 AM BST

Jul 24, 2015 -- 2:58AM, pxb wrote:


Forecast has the rain clearing around 9am, at least for a couple of hours.


looking at the 7.55 satellite there is a few hours left yet in that rain. It seems to be filling in behind it.

Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 3:27 AM BST
Also the outfield has to be a lot drier for a test match, compared to 50 or 20/20 cricket
Report pxb July 24, 2015 3:40 AM BST
I don't think there is any chance of a result. Just a bit of a trading opportunity if the rain does stop for a while.
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 4:06 AM BST
9:05am: South Africa tugged. Bangladesh tugged. Rain tugged. Repeat. This leaves the first Test evenly poised. And rain has had the first say on the fourth day. It is pretty heavy, the teams haven't left their hotel yet and we won't have a prompt start, says our correspondent, Mohammad Isam.
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 4:29 AM BST
9:20am: The rain is intense. Heavy puddles of water on the covers.
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 5:25 AM BST
Even now you can get 4% ROI. Great if you have a spare 100k!
Report the whizz kids July 24, 2015 6:03 AM BST
This is for all the rain lovers.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GL6x5oFBsDI
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 6:27 AM BST

Jul 24, 2015 -- 6:03AM, the whizz kids wrote:


This is for all the rain lovers.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GL6x5oFBsDI


That was a very stressful 3 days for me as I put my whole bank on the line, convinced there would be hardly any play. Not very often you see a forecast with 100s of millimetres of rain in it. In the end, my biggest win ever, so going to have a great weekendGrin

Report scouceman July 24, 2015 7:02 AM BST
We'll done Jucel- enjoy!
M
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 7:06 AM BST

Jul 24, 2015 -- 7:02AM, scouceman wrote:


We'll done Jucel- enjoy!M


cheers, hope you cleaned up too!

Report pxb July 24, 2015 7:36 AM BST
Yep. Well done Jucel.

Decent enough profit for me. Reduced somewhat by some poorly judged overnight trades.

The 2nd Test should be equally interesting. Lesson from this is, Banglas are no longer mugs at Tests, following on from their ODI successes. You can no longer safely lay them at 7 or 8 like you once could.
Report scouceman July 24, 2015 9:33 AM BST
Yeah, like you say a nervy few days initially, SA bowled out cheap and not much signs of the wet stuff.
However forecast was always for intermittent rain and a terrible Fri & Sat glad the reports were accurate and Bangs were resilient.
Biggest bet for around 7-8 years, these opportunities don't come round too often.Grin
Report Channers July 24, 2015 11:24 AM BST
Can anyone see a realistic scenario where it wouldn't be a draw? Hopefully there will not be repeat of what Cronje did, years ago. I really can't see South Africa making an extremely aggressive declaration where they could end up losing. So if we get a rain free Saturday (that might be a big if) with extended play, would that be an hour? So about an extra 14 overs, less 2 overs for change of innings, and 3 overs for South Africa to make up the 17 runs deficit (if they were going for it), that means that we would have about a 100 overs play left in the match. Surely SA would bat for about 55 to 60 overs to take a Bangladesh win out of the picture. What price would South Africa be to bowl them out in 40 overs, with Bangladesh playing defensively for the draw?
Report slip5 July 24, 2015 12:12 PM BST
south Africa are more cautious when it comes to declarations, if it was Australia playing I would be nervous especially with Clarke has captain he is very attacking captain and he could set 220 target in 50 overs for Bangladesh from this match situation if we got a full day 5 play in.
Report Channers July 24, 2015 12:27 PM BST
I agree slip (although I would be surprised at that declaration from Clarke. I think he would be aggressive, but maybe not by that much). The forecast for tomorrow isn't good either, it looks very unlikely that we will get a full days play.
Report Channers July 24, 2015 1:16 PM BST
If Clarke did that though, it would certainly make an interest days play out of an otherwise boring days play.
Report Mike-lfc July 24, 2015 2:21 PM BST
anyone on the draw get out. Im guessing it's only at 1.1 to lay
Report Channers July 24, 2015 3:13 PM BST
Stick up 1.1 and I back it with you
Report Channers July 24, 2015 3:16 PM BST
Mike - I can only assume that you are currently piling in on the 150/1 SA and 100/1 Bangladesh currently quoted
Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 3:21 PM BST

Jul 24, 2015 -- 2:21PM, Mike-lfc wrote:


anyone on the draw get out. Im guessing it's only at 1.1 to lay


I wish it was 1.1 I would have the world on it!

Report jucel69 July 24, 2015 3:26 PM BST
Sometimes things are certain, like this game. The weather does not take bribes and can't be swayed. It is what it is, and it can be very profitable.
Report Foinavon July 24, 2015 3:46 PM BST
Well done Jucel. Looks like I was over-cautious but have been caught out by dodgy forecasts in the past. Still I'm happy with what I have.
Agree with pxb that Banglas are much improved recently. That knowledge might help us spot some good opportunities in the near future before the markets adjust.
Report Channers July 24, 2015 5:02 PM BST

Jul 24, 2015 -- 3:46PM, Foinavon wrote:


Well done Jucel. Looks like I was over-cautious but have been caught out by dodgy forecasts in the past. Still I'm happy with what I have.Agree with pxb that Banglas are much improved recently. That knowledge might help us spot some good opportunities in the near future before the markets adjust.


I have often wondered why Bangladesh are not better than they are, when you consider that their population is 156m and cricket is their national sport?

Report the whizz kids July 24, 2015 6:26 PM BST
Nice one Jucel for the big win. Like you and many others on this forum was very happy to see the rain come.
Time for a break now to see what MBOOK & the DAQ is like for cricket over the next couple of weeks as I am not very keen on using the new site.
Good luck to you all.
Report pxb July 25, 2015 7:31 AM BST
Play abandoned.

Unfortunately, back to the dreaded PC for me, and trying to mitigate it.
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