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nigelpm1
12 Mar 13 11:25
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Date Joined: 10 Jan 02
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Looks like being heavily wet on Sunday and Monday, with chance of rain on Saturday as well:

http://www.yr.no/place/New_Zealand/Wellington/Wellington/long.html

Given, they can't make up lost overs by that point I'm backing the draw here quite heavily but only a small stake initially.

It's a result wicket though so will rely on that rain coming.

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By:
pxb
When: 12 Mar 13 11:39
Most money I ever lost in a test match resulted from me relying on a NZ weather forecast.

About 6K as I recall.

Just saying.

* The o in match above is just weird **** happening.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 12 Mar 13 11:43
Yep. Weather forecasts are touch and go particularly 6 days out - just flagging it up and hence why I'll start small and keep an eye on it.  Just thinking that the draw could go out heavily to say 10 on a load of wickets but weather forecast not change.  Market always seems to forget weather in play test matches.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 12 Mar 13 11:52
Trying to think of the most I've lost on the weather - probably around £1k - I find good reliability up to two days out - then it becomes a lottery, however if there's large amounts forecast as there is here it usually sweeps in at some point.
By:
nigel no idea
When: 12 Mar 13 15:01
new zealand forecast can be tricky as they are hard to get accurate. its not like asia where the rain usually comes in the evening.it would be value to be in contact with local to help with profit pitch should have a bit more pace and bounce than dunedin is likely to get easier to play as the match goes on. will back the draw if england bats first.
By:
palchneru
When: 12 Mar 13 19:49
The entire north island is in a major drought at the moment, hasn't been hardly any rain here in Wellington for the last couple of months (half a day of light showers that I can remember) and metservice has rain on Monday only.  I have laid NZ for now but might look at backing england if they bowl first.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 12 Mar 13 23:57

Mar 12, 2013 -- 7:49PM, palchneru wrote:


The entire north island is in a major drought at the moment, hasn't been hardly any rain here in Wellington for the last couple of months (half a day of light showers that I can remember) and metservice has rain on Monday only.

By:
nigelpm1
When: 12 Mar 13 23:57
Really?  Looks to agree to the Norwegian site I posted earlier:

http://www.metservice.com/towns-cities/wellington/wellington-city
By:
takethestand
When: 13 Mar 13 08:45
The weather forcaster on one news staked his reputation on rain on Sunday. Its the remains of a cyclone system heading south so should be heavy if it arrives.   He is a NUT though.
Fookin fed up with the sun! 

NZ will have wrapped this up before then so weather not a problem
By:
palchneru
When: 13 Mar 13 09:28
Well metservice did have rain starting Monday but they've changed it now.  Perhaps I had it open in my browser from the previous evening or something.

MetService forecaster Brooke Lockhart said there was an increased chance of showers across the Wellington region for a few days from Sunday.

But the forecast was uncertain at this stage, because it depended on what path Tropical Cyclone Sandra took as it headed south towards the Tasman Sea.


http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/8417298/Wellingtons-water-supply-now-at-crisis-level
By:
nigelpm1
When: 13 Mar 13 10:26
ha, good stuff guys.  Great to have local knowledge posting on here.
By:
nigelpm1
When: 13 Mar 13 11:13
http://betting.betfair.com/cricket/michaelvaughan/michael-vaughan-england-to-bounce-back-but-draw-price-will-drop-in-play-120313-12.html
By:
TwoTonTed
When: 13 Mar 13 18:38
dont like the look of the forecast charts the storm - could get very close to Wellington
By:
kingmax
When: 13 Mar 13 21:53
ok whats ur opening bets?
By:
ecdub2
When: 13 Mar 13 22:17
some people are behind the 8 ball already if they backed nz after the toss!
By:
judorick
When: 13 Mar 13 22:37
let's see if Eng can get a partnership for the opening wicket...
By:
nigelpm1
When: 13 Mar 13 22:41
Draw looks good to me.  I'm big red NZ, small green ENG and big green Draw.
By:
kingmax
When: 13 Mar 13 22:42
anyone got a decent link please, extracover is aweful quality
By:
kingmax
When: 13 Mar 13 22:43
http://www.viplivesports.eu/cricket/140061/1/new-zealand-vs-england-live-stream-online.html
By:
kingmax
When: 13 Mar 13 22:44
think we will se draw heavy odds on here at some point..
By:
judorick
When: 13 Mar 13 22:48
love a bit of test match cricket!

will be watching all night really so feel free to natter

or will be on #bbccricket and #TMSproducer on Twitter
By:
Makybe_Diva
When: 13 Mar 13 22:52
Rick, just sent you a pm.
By:
steview84
When: 13 Mar 13 22:54
im on the compton hundred, 7/1 with 365. come on lad!
By:
Captain Christy
When: 13 Mar 13 23:13
2nd best player ever out
By:
judorick
When: 13 Mar 13 23:14
bad that for England backers...
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 13 Mar 13 23:14
cook will you ever learn ffs
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 13 Mar 13 23:15
wish i had the balls to lay the draw but the spectre of bad weather is stopping me
By:
lastchance
When: 13 Mar 13 23:15
good wicket for draw backers Happy
By:
nigelpm1
When: 13 Mar 13 23:16
why has Finn not come in??
By:
steview84
When: 13 Mar 13 23:17
out comes the trott. england wont score 100 runs in this session now.
By:
screaming from beneaththewaves
When: 13 Mar 13 23:17
Tough game for NZ backers.

9.4 before the first ball, Cook gone with just 26 on the board and NZ are 10.0. Sad
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 13 Mar 13 23:19
tbf though they were 16's before the wicket
By:
judorick
When: 13 Mar 13 23:19
what's a par score on this track?
By:
sweetchildofmine
When: 13 Mar 13 23:20
average about 370 first pop
By:
dylansdad
When: 13 Mar 13 23:21
I'm on England from the off but some crazy movement on the NZ price?
By:
Whisperingdeath
When: 13 Mar 13 23:23
Good shout Captain Christy!  Just to repeat a comment I made on the other test board the new Compton is batting like the old Compton just without the dashing good looks and brylcream.
By:
trader pj
When: 13 Mar 13 23:29
Grim weather forecast for day 5 I can see the draw trading a lot lower than these prices
By:
nigelpm1
When: 13 Mar 13 23:36

Mar 13, 2013 -- 11:29PM, trader pj wrote:


Grim weather forecast for day 5 I can see the draw trading a lot lower than these prices


and day 4.  Looking to back draw at silly prices - might happen if NZ lose a few wickets fast.

By:
judorick
When: 13 Mar 13 23:51
what's the spread on Pietersen first innings runs?
By:
kingmax
When: 14 Mar 13 00:02
i thought the draw would be shorter than this by now
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