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29 Dec 09 14:03
Date Joined: 18 Jul 03
| Topic/replies: 22,897 | Blogger: d13phe's blog
Could finally pull of a famous coup (double)

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Report bigjoe December 29, 2009 2:07 PM GMT
pity i did not double them up at bookies :(

But still happy.. most of the xmas pressies payed for whatever the reults now :D
Report shergarburger December 29, 2009 2:08 PM GMT
well played joe
Report d13phe December 29, 2009 2:09 PM GMT
wd bigjoe
Report Jan1ne December 29, 2009 2:09 PM GMT
short-term memory syndrome strikes again :0
Report trader pj December 29, 2009 4:15 PM GMT
wd joe
Report oitoitoi December 29, 2009 7:47 PM GMT
wd bj, really didnt think much of your predictions on these 2 tests, thought they were wishful thinking tbh, but you've certainly proved me wrong
Report Sterling Morrison December 29, 2009 9:31 PM GMT
A contrarian! May your God bless you.
Report foolds gold December 30, 2009 8:31 AM GMT

Report Captain Wurzel December 30, 2009 8:40 AM GMT
Yeah good work from the big fella on this test. Joe's analysis of the games in the champions trophy in India was top rate and his pitch information invaluable. Well done for keeping it going.
Report trader pj December 30, 2009 12:09 PM GMT
were England one of your priceform tips?
Report bigjoe December 31, 2009 5:32 PM GMT
TraderPj... these were my suggested series bets in my article ;)

South are priced up as short odds on favourites for the series. I believe the value lies in laying them, and laying them with confidence. A drawn series cannot be ruled out, but I feel it will be England that will prevail and therefore my suggested bets for this series are:

In The Series Outright Market:

LAY South Africa for 5 points liability @ 1.74 at**

BACK England for 2 points @ 4.1 at**

In The Series Correct Score Market:

BACK England to win 2-0 for 1 point @ 23.0 at Betfair

BACK England to win 1-0 for 1 point @ 26.0 at Totesport

BACK 1-1 draw for 1 point @ 8.0 at Ladbrokes sportsbook and Totesport

Join me and watch England rise further from the Ashes

Report trader pj January 1, 2010 4:13 PM GMT
Good work!!!
who vaildates the odds on your reccommendations (since long run this is crucial) in calculating ROI. Not accusing, just curious. Happy new year mate!
Report leetsfosllab January 2, 2010 10:43 AM GMT
All odds at the site are proofed to The Racing Post and Bettingadvice
Report bigjoe January 2, 2010 11:17 AM GMT
Cheers PJ, as indicated, the odds are proofed in professional manner :D

Hopefully those subscriber that followed my tips in this series ar now nicely all green in both the outright and correct score markets :D

But to add balance, my tips on aussie/pakistan series are not looking too clever . yet ;)

But i am extremely confident that Pakistan will bounce back at sydney and get that series back on track for me too ;)

Good Luck :)
Report fundamentalist January 2, 2010 11:18 AM GMT
are they taking commisiion off exchange odds?
Report bigjoe January 2, 2010 11:48 AM GMT
no funda... commision on exchanges is not included so i accept the ROI in slightly exaggrated for those that bet on exchanges :)
Report trader pj January 2, 2010 5:19 PM GMT
Pakistan will go down fighting. fact
Report anyother January 2, 2010 5:33 PM GMT
what .. so basically its an exaggerated ROI .. :) .. HTEHB ?:|
Report leetsfosllab January 2, 2010 5:44 PM GMT
It is not Joe's decision not to include commission but mine. What rate would you suggest? In the past I was at 2%, others are more likely to be nearer 5%. When there is such a variable the only standard that does not change is the gross profit.

It is all about value at the end of the day. The price given by Joe and the other writers represents the value point in the market as it stands when the article has been published.
Report fundamentalist January 2, 2010 5:54 PM GMT
personally think you should deduct 5% as that is the rate the majority of followers are likely to be on, but wouldnt think using a middle of the road figure say 3.5% would cause an issue. Using no commission clearly distorts the figures imo and provides a completely false ROI for someone where mos of there bets are on the exchanges. You are ultimately settling the tips at a price that is not achievable
Report leetsfosllab January 2, 2010 6:07 PM GMT
That is a fair point and it is something we review on a regular basis. However the price is always accurate and available, it is the net profit that is under discussion.
Report fundamentalist January 2, 2010 6:14 PM GMT
i dont doubt the gross price is available, but im pretty sure that any tipster should be judged on his profit and ROI based on a net profit not a gross profit figure as ultimately that is the "real world" profit that a punter can achieve.

be far worse anyway when you have to start knocking 22.5% off the big fellas profit ;)
Report trader pj January 3, 2010 8:22 AM GMT
Jpe. I backed Pakistan @ 6.2 last night! I can honestly say your "Pakistan will ight back" comments helped! cheers mate
Report bigjoe January 3, 2010 11:50 AM GMT
great work TradrpJ...i was lucky enough to get on at 7.2 ....and have got rid of my aussie red by laying some off at 1.84 :)

I also topped up my green on draw at 9.8 ..i believe pakistan will get 200+ lead and draw will be the main opposition to the pakistan price at close of play tomorrow :)

Good Luck :)
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