New Posts For Thread: Who is backing Kolkata for Top 4 IPLhttps://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-iplat 70...own up..I've cancelled all my bets in the Winner market in case they penalize RR and dock points.https://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532307299#532307299I've cancelled all my bets in the Winner market in case they penalize RR and dock points.Thu, 16 May 2013 02:33:07 -0500Didn't need the fixing news though - guess there's no a chance the RR get thrown out and Sunrisers RR is worse than Panjab if they lose both gameshttps://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532307127#532307127Didn't need the fixing news though - guess there's no a chance the RR get thrown out and Sunrisers RR is worse than Panjab if they lose both gamesThu, 16 May 2013 02:03:18 -0500yeah, I think I know where you are going with it and just done the calcs myself and taken out most of the punjab back order on winner/top 4 and to reach final.https://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532300445#532300445yeah, I think I know where you are going with it and just done the calcs myself and taken out most of the punjab back order on winner/top 4 and to reach final.Wed, 15 May 2013 18:05:54 -0500I didnt even finish that reply and my laptop posted itAs I was saying I calculated it on each match being over a minumum margin instead of the total averaging over that margin which is too complex a calculation for me but I know it was huge odds probhttps://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532298547#532298547I didnt even finish that reply and my laptop posted itAs I was saying I calculated it on each match being over a minumum margin instead of the total averaging over that margin which is too complex a calculation for me but I know it was huge odds probWed, 15 May 2013 16:29:40 -0500Nigel I made a mistake with my calcs as I calculated on each match being over thehttps://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532298345#532298345Nigel I made a mistake with my calcs as I calculated on each match being over theWed, 15 May 2013 16:21:15 -0500Doesn't matter now (unless one fancies the same punt on Punjab) but I don't follow your calcs Aston.I think you have to average the the run rate variance in the games won across the IPL when working out the run rate because you've already assumed KKRhttps://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532290327#532290327Doesn't matter now (unless one fancies the same punt on Punjab) but I don't follow your calcs Aston.I think you have to average the the run rate variance in the games won across the IPL when working out the run rate because you've already assumed KKRWed, 15 May 2013 12:21:39 -0500Delighted to have laid them at 25 and 21 and if I had more money I would lay the rest at 26 and 27. They need 4 results to go their wayand 3 of them(involving Kolkata and RCB) massively in terms of net run rate. RCB are 0.343 ahead of them which hahttps://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532278373#532278373Delighted to have laid them at 25 and 21 and if I had more money I would lay the rest at 26 and 27. They need 4 results to go their wayand 3 of them(involving Kolkata and RCB) massively in terms of net run rate. RCB are 0.343 ahead of them which haWed, 15 May 2013 03:55:30 -0500Appreciate the comments guys. I was extremely tempted to lay KKR at 30's very heavily - will hold off for now. Hadn't really done the maths properly although I do still think the RR could be the big problem.https://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532271903#532271903Appreciate the comments guys. I was extremely tempted to lay KKR at 30's very heavily - will hold off for now. Hadn't really done the maths properly although I do still think the RR could be the big problem.Tue, 14 May 2013 18:17:05 -0500a big price if fat slug Kallis has anything to do with it.https://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532263167#532263167a big price if fat slug Kallis has anything to do with it.Tue, 14 May 2013 13:54:36 -0500Never easy to price the rr.I make it 125 runs difference between RCB and KKR.So if the 3 results (excluding RR-HSR) go the right way for KKR, what price they bridge the 125 runs???https://community.betfair.com/cricket/go/thread/view/94046/29927173/who-is-backing-kolkata-for-top-4-ipl?post_id=532262917#532262917Never easy to price the rr.I make it 125 runs difference between RCB and KKR.So if the 3 results (excluding RR-HSR) go the right way for KKR, what price they bridge the 125 runs???Tue, 14 May 2013 13:46:38 -0500