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rob_dylan
26 Nov 15 08:43
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Date Joined: 26 Nov 11
| Topic/replies: 79,273 | Blogger: rob_dylan's blog
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-34922738

A brilliant and progressive move from our altruistic Tory leaders.  This should have been done about 15 years ago but the evil Tony Blair and Gordon Brown decided that rampant house price inflation was good for their election prospects so let it escalate unfettered.  Three cheers for George Osbourne for putting the brakes on HPI.
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Report rob_dylan • November 26, 2015 8:54 AM GMT
Taxing the rich to pay the poor.  A shame Labour didn't try that when they were in charge.
Report bix • November 26, 2015 9:00 AM GMT
So less people will want to buy properties to let so there will be less available so rents will go up.
Alternatively landlords who do buy will look to recover the extra expense of the increased stamp duty by putting up the rents.
How goes this help the poor?
Report larry grayson • November 26, 2015 9:09 AM GMT
As the increase doesn't come in 'til April 2016 there'll be a scramble from landlords to buy before the deadline which will push up prices even more. After April the market will go very quiet.
Report screaming from beneaththewaves • November 26, 2015 9:11 AM GMT
If landlords could charge higher rents, they'd be doing it right now, wouldn't they?

If the tax change results in fewer landlords in the future, then the prices of houses fall and they become affordable to owner-occupiers, who will not be subject to the stamp-duty surcharge. Hence there will be fewer tenants for landlords to chase, leaving rents exactly as they are now.

Or are you arguing that houses disappear off the face of the earth unless some landlord corners it?
Report rob_dylan • November 26, 2015 9:13 AM GMT
This move will not push rents up. The houses will still be there either rented or owned.  Stamp Duty increases aren't going to mean there are less houses available.
Report screaming from beneaththewaves • November 26, 2015 9:25 AM GMT
Any borrow-to-letter who aims to get in before April 2016 is going to get their trousers pulled down. No more wear and tear allowance without receipts, no more deducting mortgage interest payments from rent receipts for income tax purposes, no more end-of-year deferral of capital gains tax from price rises (a little-noticed change yesterday - cough up within 30 days from now on) ... The Tories have recognized the buy-to-letters are public enemy number one and are out to skin them.

And the Bank of England have been warning for years about the economic dangers these multiply-mortgaged cretins pose to the UK. Look forward to the BofE reclassifying their loans as commercial, with a concurrent jump in interest rates.
Report G1_Jockey_4 • November 26, 2015 9:28 AM GMT
good move but should have been done earlier
Report bix • November 26, 2015 9:39 AM GMT
Time will tell.
Report lfc1971 • November 26, 2015 1:06 PM GMT
madness
Report Dotchinite • November 26, 2015 1:14 PM GMT
Looks like finally a Govt determined to control or even bring down house prices.
Report lfc1971 • November 26, 2015 1:19 PM GMT
Why have house prices not fallen? different reasons. Both husband and wife working the main one but also immigration, people borrowing money off their poor parents, young people sharing a house together etc. However the system is shakey and house prices in England, including London and south east will collapse.
Report Dotchinite • November 26, 2015 1:28 PM GMT
You are right that theres lots of factors that have kept prices going but BTL is the biggest single one I think and thats about to go into reverse  just as some of the things you mention reach their limit.
Report toffee87 • November 26, 2015 1:43 PM GMT
I'm not sure how much effect the extra stamp duty will have to be honest but as a tax revenue measure it should raise a few bob quite painlessly
If I was buying a house to let would an extra £6k on a £200k house put me off - nope

Will it push rents up - nope because the new landlords will be competing with existing landlords who haven't had to pay the extra SD
Report bix • November 26, 2015 1:49 PM GMT
Well it should put you off because the golden rule with property is that you make your money when you buy.
Report Dotchinite • November 26, 2015 1:58 PM GMT
It should also worry any prospective BTL purchaser that we have a Chancellor who either sees them as a cash machine or as a problem to be dealt with.
Report Ted Brogan • November 26, 2015 2:33 PM GMT
HPI has remained high in recent years due to demand-stimulating schemes such as Help To Buy, without there being sufficient boost in supply.

Yesterday he announced he'd build 400,000 new homes by 2020, which sounds good on the face of it, but that is only 100,000 a year, and all the 'experts' claim we need to build around 250-300k a year in order to meet the short fall.

He has also extended the H2B loan in London to 40%, which will give the government a larger share in the London housing stock (taking more of it off the banks), which potentially creates an incentive for them to deliberately keep prices high, especially in London.
Report Wesdag • November 26, 2015 3:10 PM GMT
rob, it's foreign money which is buying up most investment property.

Such measures as this and the landlord tax introduced in July's budget will not change this fact.
Report 1st time poster • November 26, 2015 3:16 PM GMT
you,d need to no the london property market was cooling before you touched the 40% loan offer with a barge pole,apparently you pay back 40% of the propertys value in 5 years time not the purchase price, inlondon that could be anything
Report Dr Crippen • November 26, 2015 3:18 PM GMT
I can just picture the BTL landlords quaking in their boots in the back of their brand new limousines.
Choking on their fat cigars, at the thought of spending the cost of some extra trim for their next car on each new house they purchase.

While the usual socialist suspects on here are cheering the Tories on, with their heating turned down in their rented hovels trying to keep warm this winter. Struggling to make ends meet living on benefits. 

Comrades the revolution has begun.
Report ebulGery • November 27, 2015 2:36 AM GMT
It will deter people from buying to let properties which may mean less properties will be available

But it is also driving up House prices making it more difficult for people to buy their own property

On balance,I agree with it. ..even though I am a socialist


Will this mean the end of 'Homes under the Hammer'Shocked
Report ebulGery • November 27, 2015 2:39 AM GMT
As a socialist I would also like everyone working on a decent wage so they can afford their own properties

I would be happy to start a revolution for that
Report bix • November 27, 2015 8:16 AM GMT
Robert Pullen, tax manager, at Blick Rothenberg LLP said of the three per cent buy to let surcharge: “This is likely to cause initial spike in house prices as investors rush to buy, but the long term impacts are not known. It could result in even larger rent costs as landlords seek to recover the new tax.”
Report bix • November 27, 2015 8:29 AM GMT
The golden rule with anything to do with economics is to assess the issue of supply and demand. Immigration is up again so we've now got even more people who need somewhere to live. You do the math. But of course it's not just housing where the pressure of too many people is causing problems. The transport system is also going under and travelling anywhere has now become a nightmare.
Lots of other areas where the UK is not copeing. All down to too many people all trying to live on one small island.
Report rob_dylan • November 27, 2015 8:40 AM GMT
travelling anywhere has now become a nightmare

wtf?
Report Dr Crippen • November 27, 2015 10:54 AM GMT
The government is essentially taking more money out of the housing market.

This can hardly lead to more houses being built.
It can only lead to fewer because there will be less money available for landlords to purchase new properties with. And less money available for them to buy run down properties and knock them into shape.

The government must think that the market can stand it.
Yet if they go too far down this road and house prices start to fall, how many private houses will get built in that situation with nobody lending?
Report Gin • November 27, 2015 11:19 AM GMT
No mention of what is the biggest reason for continually rising house prices - namely super cheap credit. Until that changes house prices will stay strong.

When it does change (god knows when that will ever be) it will cause carnage.

As for BTL, now is a really bad time to get into it particularly for the reasons that screaming posted yesterday morning. Whatever the short term pain/consequences may be from this shift, it will be better for all (well maybe not all but the BTL'ers can hardly complain given the run that they have had)in the long run if the housing market becomes less distorted.
Report rob_dylan • November 27, 2015 11:33 AM GMT
We had high interest rates back in the eighties the housing market didn't crash.
Report Dr Crippen • November 27, 2015 11:39 AM GMT
Except for buying at the top of the market, it's bad payers and people who trash properties that are the biggest stumbling blocks to renting out.

Yet the government continue to give these people more and more protection when they default on their contracts.
The slightest infringement of the rules by a landlord is a criminal offence.
Yet nothing that a tenant can do is criminal, it's all civil.
And the tenant can get free legal aid and advice into the bargain if a landlord has to take them to court.
Report 1st time poster • November 27, 2015 12:52 PM GMT
in the small prin t it says your exempt from the new tax if you buy 12 or more properies ,so companies at the high end of the market will be bundling up offers for their rich clients
Report ebulGery • November 27, 2015 1:10 PM GMT
I knew there was a catchSad
Report bix • November 27, 2015 1:38 PM GMT
The slightest infringement of the rules by a landlord is a criminal offence.

There's now about 50 pieces of legislation with which a landlord has to comply; all of which are criminal offences for non compliance.
The latest is being reposible for checking that a tenant is legally entitled to be in the country and I'm sure someone is even now dreaming up some more rules to make a landlord's life difficult.
Meanwhile if a landlord gets lumbered with a bad tenant he'll just have to bite the bullet and wait until he can get his property back and there'll be no criminal repercussions for the tenant who could have not paid the rent and trashed the place.
The scales weigh very very heavily in favour of the tenant but it's always the landlord who is labelled as the villain.
Report Wesdag • November 27, 2015 2:01 PM GMT
Yep, it's called envy although most are nowhere near being millionaires.
Report xmoneyx • November 27, 2015 4:02 PM GMT
wait for the crash
Report bix • November 27, 2015 4:39 PM GMT
What crash? People have been predicting a crash on here for ages now. Usually of course those who have not been smart/lucky enough to have invested in property and would love to see it come down to make them feel they weren't so wrong after all.
Supply and demand. Too many people and not enough living accommodation. Not enough of everything else but that's another matter.
Report lfc1971 • November 27, 2015 6:05 PM GMT
After a certain point it is not about supply and demand. Too many people will eventually mean house prices drop.
Report lfc1971 • November 27, 2015 6:12 PM GMT
Supply and demand only means something when it is possible to do without, everyone needs a house either to buy or rent.
Report Wesdag • November 27, 2015 6:12 PM GMT
Care to explain?

Will these extra people not want to have a roof over their heads?
Report lfc1971 • November 27, 2015 6:16 PM GMT
Yes but it is all about affordability, too many people push wages down. If the market works correctly house prices must fall.
Report 1st time poster • November 27, 2015 6:26 PM GMT
in the good old days of normal house prices and mortgages you,d need to be on a minimum of £80,000 a year to live in the lowest hovel in london
Report lfc1971 • November 27, 2015 6:29 PM GMT
Technically there is no such thing as supply and demand regarding housing.
Report Wesdag • November 27, 2015 6:34 PM GMT
Crazy
Report larry grayson • November 27, 2015 6:39 PM GMT
When I was studying Economics many years ago there was a joke which said that in the exam each year the questions are the same it's the answers which change.
Reading the posts on here reminded me of that.
Report G1_Jockey_4 • November 27, 2015 7:05 PM GMT
whats affordability though?

2rds of your take home pay or slightly less plus travel costs?

the low paid will be lucky to get a bedsit on half their wages and the odds are they will have to travel too.

its got to the point where the government has to pay the low paid housing benefit which is a ridiculous situation to be in for a so called economy doing better than most other eu countries.

we let wages get too low and let in many rich people to buy properties with no restrictions or extra charges.

imo the damage has been done.

plenty culd have been done but i dont think mps liked the idea of their house prices not rising more to increase their nest eggs.
Report TheBaron • November 27, 2015 7:25 PM GMT
I could have been a BTL landlord but felt that investing in a Seal pup clubbing business was a more ethical choice.
Report screaming from beneaththewaves • November 27, 2015 9:20 PM GMT
Exactly. Had the best year I've ever had on here, but at no point did I think that it would be cool to spend the winnings on a unit for farming people.
Report PatraTheCat • November 27, 2015 11:25 PM GMT
Glad to hear it and glad to hear it.
Report bix • November 28, 2015 8:49 AM GMT
I could have been a BTL landlord but felt that investing in a Seal pup clubbing business was a more ethical choice.

What is stopping your being an ethical landlord?
Report U.A. • November 28, 2015 9:31 AM GMT
I always thought that seal pups hated loud noise and strobe lighting.
Report Dr Crippen • November 28, 2015 10:09 AM GMT
Property provides one of the few ways for the ordinary bloke to get on.
I know one or two who have used this route to move a few notches up the social ladder.
Buy a run down property knock it into shape in your spare time and rent it out.
Build some more capital and do it again.
This involves a tremendous amount of hard work and sacrifice.
Far more than most people are prepared to or are even capable of doing.
Yet now it appears the government wants to make it even harder for these super people to prosper.
No wonder the green eyed brigade are happy with the measure.
If there's one thing they hate it is the sight of hard working people getting on.
Report brendanuk1 • November 28, 2015 10:11 AM GMT
Build some more capital

just do that and forget all that house stuff Grin
Report DIE LINKE • November 28, 2015 10:13 AM GMT
That's very true, Crippen. The majority of BTLers are either cowboy builders or gypos.
Report lfc1971 • November 28, 2015 10:32 AM GMT
I admire people who have the courage and ability to buy and let property.
Report lfc1971 • November 28, 2015 10:36 AM GMT
They are working for themselves, independent of bosses or even other people.   Has a lot of good things about it.
Report Capt__F • November 28, 2015 10:58 AM GMT
This involves a tremendous amount of hard work and sacrifice.

sounds like a Dr
Report Dr Crippen • November 28, 2015 11:10 AM GMT
''The green eyed brigade.''

It's easy to spot the idle and the losers on here.
Report DIE LINKE • November 28, 2015 11:18 AM GMT
You suffer from delusions of grandeur, Crippen. Not everyone's idea of a successful career is doing up hovels and renting them out to HB recipients.
Report Dr Crippen • November 28, 2015 11:25 AM GMT
Absolutely DIE LINKE.
There are many who would prefer to live on benefits rather than exert themselves to that extent.

I did mention that is was one way for the ordinary bloke to get on.

No doubt you might tell us how an ordinary bloke might improve his lot once he realises that it isn't all going to fall into his lap?
Report Dr Crippen • November 28, 2015 11:28 AM GMT
And please don't say make a living on here.
Report DIE LINKE • November 28, 2015 11:32 AM GMT
Personally I'd rather w@nk off old men for a fiver than be a BTLer.
Report lfc1971 • November 28, 2015 11:33 AM GMT
For me the beauty of it is that it is something that can continue right into old age. Should the world stay roughly as it has been for the last few hundred years, (and of course that is not guaranteed...or I fear likely.) then there is nothing quite the same as owning property.
It is greater even than money for the sense of security and wellbeing.
Report lfc1971 • November 28, 2015 11:39 AM GMT
Iremember reading about an old lady who had died in the south of France. They discovered that she still owned apt. in Paris that she had left during WW2 and never went back. There were pictures of the apartment in the article and it was just as she left it 60 years ago.

It was the most beautiful thing.
Report Dr Crippen • November 28, 2015 11:46 AM GMT
So it's clear where DIE LINKE is coming from.
Report Wesdag • November 28, 2015 11:51 AM GMT
Spot on Dr C.

Some on here will only be content when private property is abolished and we're all living in social housing.

Equality they call it - when we're all living at the same level as the lazy and feckless.
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