New Posts For Thread: Lord Sumptionhttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption'To say that life is priceless and nothing else counts is just empty rhetoric. People say it because it is emotionally comfortable and avoids awkward dilemmas. But they don't actually believe it. We went to war in 1939 because lives were worth losingI am not arguing for or against the merits of the paper.I am simply pointing out that it provided a range of scenarios that produced a range of estimates and that you are only ever interested in the scenario that produced the highest estimate.I can bhttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559271391#559271391I am not arguing for or against the merits of the paper.I am simply pointing out that it provided a range of scenarios that produced a range of estimates and that you are only ever interested in the scenario that produced the highest estimate.I can bMon, 04 May 2020 10:25:29 -0500If you want to go through ever single permutation and write all his forecasts with different error rates go for it.Personally I am not interested in doing so now the paper looks likely to be withdrawn and the code has been witheld meaning we cannot rhttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559271329#559271329If you want to go through ever single permutation and write all his forecasts with different error rates go for it.Personally I am not interested in doing so now the paper looks likely to be withdrawn and the code has been witheld meaning we cannot rMon, 04 May 2020 10:10:57 -0500Didnt valance say under 20k would be good?It doesnt matter though. If they said 500k and we were getting 100 a week, then the government should change its advice.If they predicted 20k and the morgues were overflowing then the government should changehttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559271325#559271325Didnt valance say under 20k would be good?It doesnt matter though. If they said 500k and we were getting 100 a week, then the government should change its advice.If they predicted 20k and the morgues were overflowing then the government should changeMon, 04 May 2020 10:10:46 -0500No one was interested, are you sure about that sweeping statement ?Given that a series of measures were implemented to mitigate the higher numbers to the lower numbers, I'd say that certain people were very interested in them.Be a devil though, posthttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559271275#559271275No one was interested, are you sure about that sweeping statement ?Given that a series of measures were implemented to mitigate the higher numbers to the lower numbers, I'd say that certain people were very interested in them.Be a devil though, postMon, 04 May 2020 10:03:33 -0500Angoose04 May 20 13:41Joined: 18 Jul 02| Topic/replies: 15,704 | Blogger: Angoose's blogA real mystery then, YOU don't even know your reasons for choosing to quote only the high end figures.^These are the numbers the media used to scare us. It was thhttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559271247#559271247Angoose04 May 20 13:41Joined: 18 Jul 02| Topic/replies: 15,704 | Blogger: Angoose's blogA real mystery then, YOU don't even know your reasons for choosing to quote only the high end figures.^These are the numbers the media used to scare us. It was thMon, 04 May 2020 09:58:36 -0500Whack job sites don't brief against reasoned debateJust go off at a tangent Iwe won't laugh at you, our sides already achehttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559271143#559271143Whack job sites don't brief against reasoned debateJust go off at a tangent Iwe won't laugh at you, our sides already acheMon, 04 May 2020 09:33:32 -0500A real mystery then, YOU don't even know your reasons for choosing to quote only the high end figures.I'd check your temperature, you may be running a fever.https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559270861#559270861A real mystery then, YOU don't even know your reasons for choosing to quote only the high end figures.I'd check your temperature, you may be running a fever.Mon, 04 May 2020 08:41:13 -0500?https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559270759#559270759?Mon, 04 May 2020 08:27:42 -0500Why are you so happy to quote the high end figures but petrified to quote the low end figures ?https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559270631#559270631Why are you so happy to quote the high end figures but petrified to quote the low end figures ?Mon, 04 May 2020 08:04:05 -0500You are the one that wants a full list rather than the numbers put out by Ferguson/Trump in the media.Put your posting where your mouth is.https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/31645021/lord-sumption?post_id=559270607#559270607You are the one that wants a full list rather than the numbers put out by Ferguson/Trump in the media.Put your posting where your mouth is.Mon, 04 May 2020 07:53:49 -0500