New Posts For Thread: Statistics questionhttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-questionSay I average 1 win in every 10 games, over how many would I be likely to win 5 in a row?What if I average 1 win in 5?The Maui Jackpot on the Poker site is now €40,000 that requires 5 wins in a row. I'm playing them at a profit but it's hard to gueMy heads not thinking straight today to work out the exact odds but maybe I can offer some more practical input.Used to play a lot of poker Ovalman and I mean a LOT. Nearly always cash although I was probably a better tournament player in sit n goeshttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545243647#545243647My heads not thinking straight today to work out the exact odds but maybe I can offer some more practical input.Used to play a lot of poker Ovalman and I mean a LOT. Nearly always cash although I was probably a better tournament player in sit n goesTue, 23 Jun 2015 12:07:24 -0500I've hit the Dirty Dozen €2k jackpot twice so these streaks do happen. 1st time I won I thought I played really well and made no mistakes but the 2nd Time I won I was a lucky git winning every flip. The game after I had QQ lose to 77 so it shows thhttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545243559#545243559I've hit the Dirty Dozen €2k jackpot twice so these streaks do happen. 1st time I won I thought I played really well and made no mistakes but the 2nd Time I won I was a lucky git winning every flip. The game after I had QQ lose to 77 so it shows thTue, 23 Jun 2015 12:02:35 -0500https://poker.betfair.com/promotion/jackpot_sng/The Maui is now €41,000 for winning 5 x €5 x 10 Man SnGs in a row. They have 20% rake which is a killer but I'd like to know if their worth going for the Jackpot. I was wondering over what volume ithttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545243463#545243463https://poker.betfair.com/promotion/jackpot_sng/The Maui is now €41,000 for winning 5 x €5 x 10 Man SnGs in a row. They have 20% rake which is a killer but I'd like to know if their worth going for the Jackpot. I was wondering over what volume itTue, 23 Jun 2015 11:57:13 -0500What type of games are you talking about ovalman and how many runners?https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545243203#545243203What type of games are you talking about ovalman and how many runners?Tue, 23 Jun 2015 11:38:18 -0500Are you playing them on Betfair Ovalman ?https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545242449#545242449Are you playing them on Betfair Ovalman ?Tue, 23 Jun 2015 10:45:28 -0500There are variance calculators: http://pokerdope.com/tournament-variance-calculator/But they don't give winning and losing streaks.I just want to work out if it's worth my time playing these as they have a 20% rake. I get rake back but I'd make morehttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545203901#545203901There are variance calculators: http://pokerdope.com/tournament-variance-calculator/But they don't give winning and losing streaks.I just want to work out if it's worth my time playing these as they have a 20% rake. I get rake back but I'd make moreSat, 20 Jun 2015 10:13:02 -0500Sorry, missed your reply before posting.https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545203815#545203815Sorry, missed your reply before posting.Sat, 20 Jun 2015 10:07:33 -0500Is the question: how many games would you have to play to have an average chance of winning 5 in a row? If so, then I think 100,000 is the right answer.https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545203799#545203799Is the question: how many games would you have to play to have an average chance of winning 5 in a row? If so, then I think 100,000 is the right answer.Sat, 20 Jun 2015 10:06:38 -0500I get your maths, I was working on a lottery scenario of 10x9x8x7x6 = 30,240 but know where I went wrong.I've phrased the question wrong but you've gave the correct answer with the information you had. These are 10 man games and if it were random thehttps://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545203769#545203769I get your maths, I was working on a lottery scenario of 10x9x8x7x6 = 30,240 but know where I went wrong.I've phrased the question wrong but you've gave the correct answer with the information you had. These are 10 man games and if it were random theSat, 20 Jun 2015 10:05:29 -0500I think the question is a little deeper than it looks.https://community.betfair.com/chit_chat/go/thread/view/94038/30529839/statistics-question?post_id=545203681#545203681I think the question is a little deeper than it looks.Sat, 20 Jun 2015 09:59:50 -0500