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Cheltenham Festival

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differentdrum
31 Jan 22 14:43
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Date Joined: 05 Oct 11
| Topic/replies: 19,155 | Blogger: differentdrum's blog
Why do we all have to spend month's guessing? What are people like Jennings paid for?

He said that Kilcruit would now be going Supreme. He already has Dysart Dynamo and Sir Gerhard at the top of the market so surely he isn't going to run all three, particularly when it seems he has nothing obvious for the Ballymore. He must have a very good idea by now. This cop out that he makes his mind up at the last minute has been allowed to go on too long. The idea that the leading trainer is somehow clueless doesn't wash.

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Replies: 16
By:
Ramruma
When: 31 Jan 22 16:08
If Mullins (or the others) had made the final decision, they'd not need to enter all the horses in all the races.

OP may be right that Mullins has "a very good idea by now". But it can only be misleading to punters if that is taken as his final decision.

Not to mention, of course, that the decision is not Mullins' alone, as owners must also be consulted.
By:
wonkeydonkey
When: 31 Jan 22 16:22
I would think he knows what he would like to send where but he keeps his options open for instances like the injury to Ferny Hollow. Obviously some people in the know do get some tasty prices
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 31 Jan 22 19:44
He has stated that Kilcruit is likely to go for the Supreme after his win today.

Surely he wouldn't run all 3 !?!?
By:
Ramruma
When: 31 Jan 22 20:46
In the past few years, Willie Mullins has always run at least two in the Supreme.

4 2015
3 2016
4 2017
2 2018
2 2019
3 2020
2 2021

So yes, he might run all three.
By:
ENGLANDBARNES1
When: 31 Jan 22 20:50
Kilcruit looked like a proper galloper, relentless but very one paced, is he going to try and take on Dysart Dynamo for the lead? But possibly best trying to make all so I just can’t see the both of them lining up.
Surely Kilcruit looks best in the Ballymore or even Albert Bartlett with his style of running?
His only chance in the supreme would be to have a few lengths lead turning for home as he won’t have the after burners to live with the top three.
By:
Ramruma
When: 31 Jan 22 22:06
Willie after Kilcruit won today: ""I don't know if we run him again before Cheltenham. I imagine he'll go to the Supreme."

It has taken Kilcruit three races to break his maiden, all at two miles, and if he does go straight to Cheltenham then obviously they cannot try him over further before then. It is not impossible, of course, but...

https://www.racingpost.com/news/race-reports/kilcruit-makes-it-third-time-lucky-with-first-hurdle-win-for-mullins-and-townend/535273
By:
layingisthewayforward
When: 31 Jan 22 22:53
To the OP, you actually think Mullins would give a straight answer if asked? Behave man.
By:
differentdrum
When: 31 Jan 22 23:55
You don't know if you don't ask. At least he might have to think of an answer.
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 01 Feb 22 05:53
Kilcruit ran over 2m 4f last time.
He appeared not to stay that day but it may have been he was struggling with his breathing.
At the start of the season Willie said Kilcruit for the Supreme and Gerhard for the Ballymore. 
Ruby has said when he rode Gerhard he was all speed.
It's impossible to second guess this lot.
By:
Ramruma
When: 01 Feb 22 08:13
@brandyontherocks is right, and I was wrong. Mullins did try Kilcruit over 2m4f over Christmas, when he came third behind Journey With Me. He appeared not to get the trip.
By:
Ramruma
When: 01 Feb 22 08:18
If it helps, if I've counted correctly, Willie Mullins has 21 horses entered in the Supreme. Obviously, most will run in other races or will stay at home. But it is not just the three that he is juggling.
By:
brandyontherocks
When: 01 Feb 22 08:24
Very true Ram.

He has a well bred French recruit called State Man running over 2m today also.
By:
paulo47
When: 01 Feb 22 09:58
As I recall Ruby was inferring that Kilcruit was worked with kid gloves and nothing serious was done with him until Xmas at least , a fragile horse .
By:
sageform
When: 02 Feb 22 20:00
I find it laughable that anyone could be sure which novices they will run in which races 6 weeks ahead. It will depend on how they work at the end of February.
By:
irishone
When: 11 Feb 22 07:32
Layingisthewayforward31 Jan 22 22:53Joined: 08 Sep 05 | Topic/replies: 3,758 | Blogger: layingisthewayforward's blog
To the OP, you actually think Mullins would give a straight answer if asked? Behave man."

As sage says willie wont know himself until a week or two before the festival

Its almost impossible to get a thoroughbred 100% right on any given day

You dont know how they are going to wake up some mornings
By:
JJmbe
When: 11 Feb 22 17:43
He wants the willie mullins hotline Laugh[:laugh:.
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