New Posts For Thread: beware the monster performance.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performancebeware the monster performance in the build-up to the festival as not only do the odds get hammered, but there's always a concern in my mind that these performances have left their mark. paisley park, sir erec, apple's jade are performances that sprimaybe sir erec isn't the real deal but he's one of the most magnificent horses I've even for a long time... that build of horse should be made for Cheltenham.https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556705301#556705301maybe sir erec isn't the real deal but he's one of the most magnificent horses I've even for a long time... that build of horse should be made for Cheltenham.Sat, 23 Feb 2019 15:05:05 -0600agree duffy, rarely a layer but at 6/4 or shorter its tempting .https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556703691#556703691agree duffy, rarely a layer but at 6/4 or shorter its tempting .Sat, 23 Feb 2019 12:00:47 -0600lewisham ranger 23 Feb 19 16:16 another "monster" performance in the adonis, that made the nicky Henderson horse very short for the triumph. but then we learned later the time was quite slow compared to the novice hurdle later in the card.that horsehttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556703635#556703635lewisham ranger 23 Feb 19 16:16 another "monster" performance in the adonis, that made the nicky Henderson horse very short for the triumph. but then we learned later the time was quite slow compared to the novice hurdle later in the card.that horseSat, 23 Feb 2019 11:45:38 -0600kemboy was gifted a lead the last time jockey said they went very slow ,even when we took it up we still went slow nothing challenged us ! me i am not saying he wont win but bear that in mindhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556703181#556703181kemboy was gifted a lead the last time jockey said they went very slow ,even when we took it up we still went slow nothing challenged us ! me i am not saying he wont win but bear that in mindSat, 23 Feb 2019 10:41:51 -0600another "monster" performance in the adonis, that made the nicky Henderson horse very short for the triumph. but then we learned later the time was quite slow compared to the novice hurdle later in the card.that horse is a lay for me if it runs in thhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556703037#556703037another "monster" performance in the adonis, that made the nicky Henderson horse very short for the triumph. but then we learned later the time was quite slow compared to the novice hurdle later in the card.that horse is a lay for me if it runs in thSat, 23 Feb 2019 10:16:28 -0600I think death duty is a particularly important example because prior to him running at Cheltenham, he'd never won a race starting any bigger than 6/4. so basically was well placed, and hadn't had to do anything out of the ordinary to win his races.sohttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556630339#556630339I think death duty is a particularly important example because prior to him running at Cheltenham, he'd never won a race starting any bigger than 6/4. so basically was well placed, and hadn't had to do anything out of the ordinary to win his races.soWed, 13 Feb 2019 04:38:29 -0600a lot depends on the price. we end up backing horses that we know deep down are too short but justify it with the logic "it'll win anyway." I think a prime example a few years ago was a horse called dunguib. this put up a "monster" performance in winhttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556630287#556630287a lot depends on the price. we end up backing horses that we know deep down are too short but justify it with the logic "it'll win anyway." I think a prime example a few years ago was a horse called dunguib. this put up a "monster" performance in winWed, 13 Feb 2019 04:25:51 -0600Agree with that logicremember watching samcro and altior on the same day last year no bets from me and fantastic performances but running for the bookiesprefer the pleasure of backing balko de flos , penhill , relegate at big odds any daythen there'https://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556624161#556624161Agree with that logicremember watching samcro and altior on the same day last year no bets from me and fantastic performances but running for the bookiesprefer the pleasure of backing balko de flos , penhill , relegate at big odds any daythen there'Tue, 12 Feb 2019 03:29:35 -0600interesting point. Over 30 years of going to the Festival, as a general rule, it pays me to avoid backing the shorties, especially those who have shortened because of a massive last time out performance. The odd exception arises when a horse is a prohttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556621129#556621129interesting point. Over 30 years of going to the Festival, as a general rule, it pays me to avoid backing the shorties, especially those who have shortened because of a massive last time out performance. The odd exception arises when a horse is a proMon, 11 Feb 2019 13:56:18 -0600and he cud have added was going nowhere at the timehttps://community.betfair.com/cheltenham2011/go/thread/view/113609/31501927/beware-the-monster-performance?post_id=556600503#556600503and he cud have added was going nowhere at the timeSat, 09 Feb 2019 04:45:10 -0600